Raymond Robbins

Epidemiology of early Rapid Response Team activation after Emergency Department admission.

BACKGROUND Rapid Response Team (RRT) calls can often occur within 24h of hospital admission to a general ward. We seek to determine whether it is possible to identify these patients before there is a significant clinical deterioration. METHODS Retrospective case-controlled study comparing patient characteristics, vital signs, and hospital outcomes in patients triggering RRT activation within 24h of ED admission (cases) with matched ED admissions not receiving a RRT call (controls). RESULTS Over 12 months, there were 154 early RRT calls. Compared with controls, cases had a higher heart rate (HR) at triage (92 vs. 84 beats/min; p=0.008); after 3h in the ED (91 vs. 80 beats/min; p=0.0007); and at ED discharge (91 vs. 81 beats/min; p=0.0005). Respiratory rate (RR) was also higher at triage (21.2 vs. 19.2 breaths/min; p=0.001). On multiple variable analysis, RR at triage and HR before ward transfer predicted early RRT activation: OR 1.07 [95% CI 1.02-1.12] for each 1 breath/min increase in RR; and 1.02 [95% CI 1.002-1.030] for each beat/minute increase in HR, respectively. Study patients required transfer to the intensive care in approximately 20% of cases and also had a greater mortality: (21% vs. 6%; OR 4.65 [95% CI 1.86-11.65]; p=0.0003) compared with controls. CONCLUSIONS Patients that trigger RRT calls within 24h of admission have a fourfold increase in risk of in-hospital mortality. Such patients may be identified by greater tachycardia and tachypnoea in the ED.

Inpatient HbA1c testing: a prospective observational study.

Objective To use admission inpatient glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) testing to help investigate the prevalence of unrecognized diabetes, the cumulative prevalence of unrecognized and known diabetes, and the prevalence of poor glycemic control in both. Moreover, we aimed to determine the 6-month outcomes for these patients. Finally, we aimed to assess the independent association of diabetes with these outcomes. Research, design, and methods Prospective observational cohort study conducted in a tertiary hospital in Melbourne, Australia. Patients A cohort of 5082 inpatients ≥54 years admitted between July 2013 and January 2014 underwent HbA1c measurement. A previous diagnosis of diabetes was obtained from the hospital medical record. Patient follow-up was extended to 6 months. Results The prevalence of diabetes (known and unrecognized) was 34%. In particular, we identified that unrecognized but HbA1c-confirmed diabetes in 271 (5%, 95% CI 4.7% to 6.0%) patients, previously known diabetes in 1452 (29%, 95% CI 27.3% to 29.8%) patients; no diabetes in 3359 (66%, 95% CI 64.8–67.4%) patients. Overall 17% (95% CI 15.3% to 18.9%) of patients with an HbA1c of >6.5% had an HbA1c ≥8.5%. After adjusting for age, gender, Charlson Index score, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and hemoglobin levels, with admission unit treated as a random effect, patients with previously known diabetes had lower 6-month mortality (OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.87, p=0.001). However, there were no significant differences in proportions of intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation or readmission within 6 months between the 3 groups. Conclusions Approximately one-third of all inpatients ≥54 years of age admitted to hospital have diabetes of which about 1 in 6 was previously unrecognized. Moreover, poor glycemic control was common. Proportions of intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, or readmission were similar between the groups. Finally, diabetes was independently associated with lower 6-month mortality.

An assessment of the triage performance of the efferent arm of the rapid response system

OBJECTIVES To measure the triage performance of the efferent arm of a rapid response system (RRS) by assessing the 24h outcome of patients triaged to remain on the ward after rapid response team (RRT) review. METHODS We performed a retrospective observational study of all consecutive RRS activations between August 2005 and December 2011 in a university-affiliated hospital. Calls involving patients with documented limitations of medical therapy (LOMT) orders were excluded. We determined patients who were triaged to stay on the ward at the end of their first (index) call and analyzed their vital status and location 24h later. Finally, we reviewed medical charts of patients triaged to remain on the ward and had a cardiac arrest and/or died within 24h of RRT review. RESULTS We studied 8304 RRT calls. We excluded 1794 calls involving patients with LOMT, 2165 that were repeat calls, 20 where data was missing, 650 where patients were immediately transferred to a high dependency (HDU) or an intensive care unit (ICU) and 92 where calls were rapidly upgraded to cardiac arrest calls. Thus, we identified 3583 index calls at the end of which patients were triaged to remain on the ward. Within 24h, 454 (12.7%) of those had a repeat RRT activation and 378 were transferred to HDU/ICU. 12 (0.3%) suffered a cardiac arrest on the ward. Altogether, 14 (0.4%) patients died within 24h of the index RRT activation. Of those 6 had LOMT applied after the call, 4 had been admitted to ICU in a further call and 6 (0.2%) patients had unexpected cardiac arrest on the ward. CONCLUSIONS The rate of unexpected cardiac arrest in the 24h following RRT activation is very low for patients triaged to stay on the ward. Major triage errors by the RRT appear uncommon.

The Presence of Diabetes and Higher HbA1c Are Independently Associated With Adverse Outcomes After Surgery

OBJECTIVE Limited studies have examined the association between diabetes and HbA1c with postoperative outcomes. We investigated the association of diabetes, defined categorically, and the association of HbA1c as a continuous measure, with postoperative outcomes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS In this prospective, observational study, we measured the HbA1c of surgical inpatients age ≥54 years at a tertiary hospital between May 2013 and January 2016. Patients were diagnosed with diabetes if they had preexisting diabetes or an HbA1c ≥6.5% (48 mmol/mol) or with prediabetes if they had an HbA1c between 5.7 and 6.4% (39 and 48 mmol/mol). Patients with an HbA1c <5.7% (39 mmol/mol) were categorized as having normoglycemia. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained from hospital records, and patients were followed for 6 months. Random-effects logistic and negative binomial regression models were used for analysis, treating surgical units as random effects. We undertook classification and regression tree (CART) analysis to design a 6-month mortality risk model. RESULTS Of 7,565 inpatients, 30% had diabetes, and 37% had prediabetes. After adjusting for age, Charlson comorbidity index (excluding diabetes and age), estimated glomerular filtration rate, and length of surgery, diabetes was associated with increased 6-month mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.29 [95% CI 1.05–1.58]; P = 0.014), major complications (1.32 [1.14–1.52]; P < 0.001), intensive care unit (ICU) admission (1.50 [1.28–1.75]; P < 0.001), mechanical ventilation (1.67 [1.32–2.10]; P < 0.001), and hospital length of stay (LOS) (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 1.08 [95% CI 1.04–1.12]; P < 0.001). Each percentage increase in HbA1c was associated with increased major complications (aOR 1.07 [1.01–1.14]; P = 0.030), ICU admission (aOR 1.14 [1.07–1.21]; P < 0.001), and hospital LOS (aIRR 1.05 [1.03–1.06]; P < 0.001). CART analysis confirmed a higher risk of 6-month mortality with diabetes in conjunction with other risk factors. CONCLUSIONS Almost one-third of surgical inpatients age ≥54 years had diabetes. Diabetes and higher HbA1c were independently associated with a higher risk of adverse outcomes after surgery.

Using Automated HbA1c Testing to Detect Diabetes Mellitus in Orthopedic Inpatients and Its Effect on Outcomes

Aims The prevalence of diabetes is rising, and people with diabetes have higher rates of musculoskeletal-related comorbidities. HbA1c testing is a superior option for diabetes diagnosis in the inpatient setting. This study aimed to (i) demonstrate the feasibility of routine HbA1c testing to detect the presence of diabetes mellitus, (ii) to determine the prevalence of diabetes in orthopedic inpatients and (iii) to assess the association between diabetes and hospital outcomes and post-operative complications in orthopedic inpatients. Methods All patients aged ≥54 years admitted to Austin Health between July 2013 and January 2014 had routine automated HbA1c measurements using automated clinical information systems (CERNER). Patients with HbA1c ≥6.5% were diagnosed with diabetes. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained from hospital records. Results Of the 416 orthopedic inpatients included in this study, 22% (n = 93) were known to have diabetes, 4% (n = 15) had previously unrecognized diabetes and 74% (n = 308) did not have diabetes. Patients with diabetes had significantly higher Charlson comorbidity scores compared to patients without diabetes (median, IQR; 1 [0,2] vs 0 [0,0], p<0.001). After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidity score and estimated glomerular filtration rate, no significant differences in the length of stay (IRR = 0.92; 95%CI: 0.79–1.07; p = 0.280), rates of intensive care unit admission (OR = 1.04; 95%CI: 0.42–2.60, p = 0.934), 6-month mortality (OR = 0.52; 95%CI: 0.17–1.60, p = 0.252), 6-month hospital readmission (OR = 0.93; 95%CI: 0.46–1.87; p = 0.828) or any post-operative complications (OR = 0.98; 95%CI: 0.53–1.80; p = 0.944) were observed between patients with and without diabetes. Conclusions Routine HbA1c measurement using CERNER allows for rapid identification of inpatients admitted with diabetes. More than one in four patients admitted to a tertiary hospital orthopedic ward have diabetes. No statistically significant differences in the rates of hospital outcomes and post-operative complications were identified between patients with and without diabetes.

Clinically manifest thromboembolic complications of femoral vein catheterization for continuous renal replacement therapy.

PURPOSE The safety of femoral vein (FV) catheterization for continuous renal replacement therapy is uncertain. We sought to determine the incidence of clinically manifest venous thromboembolism (VTE) in such patients. METHODS We retrospectively studied patients with femoral high flow catheters (≥ 13F) (December 2005 to February 2011). Discharge diagnostic codes were independently screened for VTE. The incidence of VTE was also independently similarly assessed in a control cohort of patients ventilated for more than 2 days (January 2011 to December 2011) in the same intensive care unit (ICU). RESULTS We studied 380 patients. Their mean age was 61 years, and 59% were male. The mean Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III score was 84; average duration of continuous renal replacement therapy was 74 hours, and 232 patients (61%) survived to hospital discharge with an average length of hospital stay of 22 days. Only 5 patients (1.3%) had clinically manifest VTE after FV catheterization. In the control cohort of 514 ICU patients, the incidence of VTE was 4.4% (P < .05 compared with FV group). CONCLUSION The incidence of clinically manifest VTE after FV catheterization with high flow catheters is low and lower to that seen in general ICU patients.

Laboratory tests to identify patients at risk of early major adverse events: a prospective pilot study

To test whether commonly measured laboratory variables can identify surgical patients at risk of major adverse events (death, unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission or rapid response team (RRT) activation).

Routine use of HbA1c amongst inpatients hospitalised with decompensated heart failure and the association of dysglycaemia with outcomes

Diabetes is an independent risk factor for development of heart failure and has been associated with poor outcomes in these patients. The prevalence of diabetes continues to rise. Using routine HbA1c measurements on inpatients at a tertiary hospital, we aimed to investigate the prevalence of diabetes amongst patients hospitalised with decompensated heart failure and the association of dysglycaemia with hospital outcomes and mortality. 1191 heart failure admissions were identified and of these, 49% had diabetes (HbA1c ≥ 6.5%) and 34% had pre-diabetes (HbA1c 5.7–6.4%). Using a multivariable analysis adjusting for age, Charlson comorbidity score (excluding diabetes and age) and estimated glomerular filtration rate, diabetes was not associated with length of stay (LOS), Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission or 28-day readmission. However, diabetes was associated with a lower risk of 6-month mortality. This finding was also supported using HbA1c as a continuous variable. The diabetes group were more likely to have diastolic dysfunction and to be on evidence-based cardiac medications. These observational data are hypothesis generating and possible explanations include that more diabetic patients were on medications that have proven mortality benefit or prevent cardiac remodelling, such as renin-angiotensin system antagonists, which may modulate the severity of heart failure and its consequences.

Using routine HbA1c measurements in stroke and the associations of dysglycaemia with stroke outcomes.

AIMS Diabetes is a major risk factor for stroke. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of diabetes and pre-diabetes within a stroke cohort and examine the association of glycaemia status with mortality and morbidity. METHODS Inpatients aged ≥54 who presented with a diagnosis of stroke had a routine HbA1c measurement as part of the Austin Health Diabetes Discovery Initiative. Additional data were attained from hospital databases and Australian Stroke Clinical Registry. Outcomes included diabetes and pre-diabetes prevalence, length of stay, 6-month and in-hospital mortality, 28-day readmission rates, and 3-month modified Rankin scale score. RESULTS Between July 2013 and December 2015, 610 patients were studied. Of these, 31% had diabetes while 40% had pre-diabetes. Using multivariable regression analyses, the presence of diabetes was associated with higher odds of 6-month mortality (OR = 1.90, p = 0.022) and higher expected length of stay (IRR = 1.29, p = 0.004). Similarly, a higher HbA1c was associated with higher odds of 6-month mortality (OR = 1.27, p = 0.005) and higher expected length of stay (IRR = 1.08, p = 0.010). CONCLUSIONS 71% of this cohort had diabetes or pre-diabetes. Presence of diabetes and higher HbA1c were associated with higher 6-month mortality and length of stay. Further research is necessary to determine if improved glycaemic control may improve stroke outcomes.

Patient characteristics, incidence, technique, outcomes and early prediction of tracheostomy in the state of Victoria, Australia

Background: Tracheostomy is a relatively common procedure in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients. Aims: To study the patient characteristics, incidence, technique, outcomes and prediction of tracheostomy in the State of Victoria, Australia. Methods: We used data from the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database (ANZICS APD) and the Victorian Admitted Episode Dataset (VAED) to identify and match patients who had received a tracheostomy from 2004 to 2014. Results: Between 1st January 2004 and 30th June 2014, 9750 patients received a tracheostomy with 7670 available for matching and 6010 (78.4%) successfully matched. Of the matched tracheostomy patients, median age was 61 years, median APACHE IIIJ score was 66 and overall hospital mortality was 21%. The incidence of tracheostomy almost halved over the decade with more than half of tracheostomies (53.5%) being percutaneous. Hospital mortality of patients receiving a tracheostomy decreased from 26.5% in 2004 to 16.5% in 2014 by an average decrease of 6%/year. No robust model could be developed to predict tracheostomy. Conclusion: The incidence of tracheostomy and the adjusted mortality rate of patients who received a tracheostomy have significantly decreased over a decade. Day of admission information could not be used to predict subsequent tracheostomy. HighlightsDescription of 6010 patients who received a tracheostomy over a 10‐year periodTracheostomy rate almost halved over this period.Intensive Care and hospital mortality decreased significantly over this period.A prediction model developed from ICU admission criteria performed inadequately.