Reena H. Doshi

The effect of immunization on measles incidence in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Results from a model of surveillance data.

BACKGROUND Measles continues to be a leading cause of vaccine-preventable disease mortality among children under five despite a safe and efficacious vaccine being readily available. While global vaccination coverage has improved tremendously, measles outbreaks persist throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Since 2010, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has seen a resurgence of measles outbreaks affecting all 11 provinces. These outbreaks are mainly attributed to gaps in routine immunization (RI) coverage compounded with missed supplementary immunization activities (SIAs). We utilized national passive surveillance data from DRCs Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) system to estimate the effect of immunization on measles incidence in DRC. METHODS We investigated the decline in measles incidence post-immunization with one dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV1) with and without the addition of supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) and outbreak response immunization (ORI) campaigns. Measles case counts by health zone were obtained from the IDSR system between January 1, 2010 and December 31, 2013. The impact of measles immunization was modeled using a random effects multi-level model for count data with RI coverage levels and mass campaign activities from one year prior. RESULTS The presence of an SIA (aIRR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.60-1.25]) and ORI (0.28 [0.20-0.39]) in the year prior were both associated with a decrease in measles incidence. When interaction terms were included, our results suggested that the high levels of MCV1 reported in the year prior and the presence of either mass campaign was associated with a decrease in measles incidence. CONCLUSIONS Our results highlight the importance of a two-dose measles vaccine schedule and the need for a strong routine immunization program coupled with frequent SIAs. Repeated occurrences of large-scale outbreaks in DRC suggest that vaccination coverage rates are grossly overestimated and signify the importance of the evaluation and modification of measles prevention and control strategies.

Ebola Virus Neutralizing Antibodies Detectable in Survivors of theYambuku, Zaire Outbreak 40 Years after Infection

Duration of immunity against Ebola virus among survivors remains unclear. We assessed serological immune profiles and retention of Ebola virus neutralizing antibodies in 14 survivors of the 1976 Yambuku outbreak 40 years postinfection, providing the longest documentation of such measures reported.

Evidence of Mumps Infection Among Children in the Democratic Republic of Congo

Background: Mumps is an acute viral infection and while the infection is usually mild, complications can lead to permanent sequelae including brain damage and deafness. The burden of mumps is currently unknown the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), we therefore assessed susceptibility to mumps infection among children 6–59 months of age. Methods: In collaboration with the 2013–2014 DRC Demographic and Health Survey, we conducted a serosurvey to assess population immunity to vaccine preventable diseases. Dried blood spot samples were collected from children 6 to 59 months of age and processed at the UCLA-DRC laboratory in Kinshasa, DRC using the Dynex Technologies Multiplier FLEX chemiluminescent immunoassay platform (Dynex multiplex assay, Chantilly, VA). Logistic multivariate analyses were used to determine risk factors for mumps seropositivity. Results: Serologic and survey data were matched for 7195, 6–59 month-old children, among whom 22% were positive and 3% indeterminate for mumps antibodies in weighted analyses. In multivariate analyses, the odds of seropositivity increased with increasing age, female gender, number of children in household, increasing socioeconomic status and province (Kinshasa with the highest odds of positive test result compared with all other provinces). Conclusion: These data suggest that mumps virus is circulating in DRC and risk of exposure increases with age. At present, the introduction of a combined measles–mumps–rubella vaccine remains unlikely, as the capacity to maintain adequate vaccine coverage levels for routine immunization must be improved before additional antigens can be considered for the routine immunization schedule.

Field evaluation of measles vaccine effectiveness among children in the Democratic Republic of Congo

BACKGROUND Large-scale measles outbreaks in areas with high administrative vaccine coverage rates suggest the need to re-evaluate measles prevention and control in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Monitoring of measles Vaccine Effectiveness (VE) is a useful measure of quality control in immunization programs. We estimated measles VE among children aged 12-59 months in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) using laboratory surveillance data from 2010-2012. METHODS We used the case-based surveillance system with laboratory confirmation to conduct a case-control study using the test negative design. Cases and controls were selected based on presence (n=1044) or absence (n=1335) of measles specific antibody IgM or epidemiologic linkage. Risk factors for measles were assessed using unconditional logistic regression, stratified by age. RESULTS Among children 12-59 months, measles vaccination was protective against measles [aOR (95%C)], 0.20 (0.15-0.26) and estimated VE was 80% (95% CI 74-85%). Year of diagnosis, 2011: 6.02 (4.16-8.72) and 2012; 8.31 (5.57-12.40) was a risk factor for measles when compared to 2010. Compared to Kinshasa, children in Bas-Congo, Kasai-Oriental, Maniema and South Kivu provinces all had higher odds of developing measles. Measles VE was similar for children 12-23 months and 24-59 months (80% and 81% respectively). CONCLUSIONS Repeated occurrences of measles outbreaks and lower than expected VE estimates suggest the need to further evaluate measles vaccine efficacy and improve vaccine delivery strategies in DRC.

Smallpox and its eradication in the Democratic Republic of Congo: lessons learned.

Smallpox eradication is considered to be one of the most remarkable accomplishments of the 20th century. Lessons learned from the campaign during the 1960s and 1970s in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) can provide important information for the development of other eradication programs including polio. The DRC is the third largest country in Africa; the population suffers from extreme poverty, deteriorating infrastructure and health systems, and long periods of civil strife. Despite these challenges, DRCs smallpox eradication campaign was successful, eradicating smallpox only 41 months after initiation. DRC had been polio free since 2001; however, in 2006, imported cases were identified in the country. Polio transmission has since been re-established and DRC now has the second greatest number of reported polio cases in the world. Challenges which existed during the smallpox campaign in DRC are still present today; additionally, the polio vaccine itself poses unique challenges which include requiring multiple doses to confer immunity. In the fight against polio in DRC, it will be important to draw from the smallpox eradication experience. A number of important themes emerged during the campaign that could be beneficial to eradicating polio and future eradication programs that may follow. During the smallpox campaign, a standard vaccination program was implemented, surveillance was intensified, and there were strong collaborative programs with community involvement. These successful elements of the smallpox campaign should be adapted and applied in DRC in polio eradication programs.

Predictors of measles vaccination coverage among children 6–59 months of age in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Highlights • DRC’s overall measles vaccination coverage level of 70% is too low to halt the spread of measles.• Socioeconomic variables and residence are associated with vaccination coverage disparities.• Vaccination coverage and data quality are linked, and as such, dated records must be increased.

Serologic Evidence of Ebolavirus Infection in a Population With No History of Outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Background Previous studies suggest that cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) may go unreported because they are asymptomatic or unrecognized, but evidence is limited by study designs and sample size. Methods A large population-based survey was conducted (n = 3415) to assess animal exposures and behaviors associated with Ebolavirus antibody prevalence in rural Kasai Oriental province of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Fourteen villages were randomly selected and all healthy individuals ≥1 year of age were eligible. Results Overall, 11% of subjects tested positive for Zaire Ebolavirus (EBOV) immunoglobulin G antibodies. Odds of seropositivity were higher for study participants older than 15 years of age and for males. Those residing in Kole (closer to the outbreak site) tested positive at a rate 1.6× higher than Lomela, with seropositivity peaking at a site located between Kole and Lomela. Multivariate analyses of behaviors and animal exposures showed that visits to the forest or hunting and exposure to rodents or duikers predicted a higher likelihood of EBOV seropositivity. Conclusions These results provide serologic evidence of Ebolavirus exposure in a population residing in non-EBOV outbreak locations in the DRC and define statistically significant activities and animal exposures that associate with EBOV seropositivity.

Detecting Ebola with limited laboratory access in the Democratic Republic of Congo: evaluation of a clinical passive surveillance reporting system

Ebola virus disease (EVD) can be clinically severe and highly fatal, making surveillance efforts for early disease detection of paramount importance. In areas with limited access to laboratory testing, the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) may be a vital tool in improving outbreak response.

Varicella Coinfection in Patients with Active Monkeypox in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Abstract From 2006 to 2007, an active surveillance program for human monkeypox (MPX) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo identified 151 cases of coinfection with monkeypox virus and varicella zoster virus from 1158 suspected cases of human MPX (13%). Using clinical and socio-demographic data collected with standardized instruments by trained, local nurse supervisors, we examined a variety of hypotheses to explain the unexpectedly high proportion of coinfections among the sample, including the hypothesis that the two viruses occur independently. The probabilities of disease incidence and selection necessary to yield the observed sample proportion of coinfections under an assumption of independence are plausible given what is known and assumed about human MPX incidence. Cases of human MPX are expected to be underreported, and more coinfections are expected with improved surveillance.

HIV infection and risk factors among the armed forces personnel stationed in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo

Despite recent declines in HIV incidence, sub-Saharan Africa remains the most heavily affected region in the global HIV/AIDS epidemic. Estimates of HIV prevalence in African military personnel are scarce and inconsistent. We conducted a serosurvey between June and September 2007 among 4043 Armed Forces personnel of the Democratic Republic of Congo (FARDC) stationed in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) to determine the prevalence of HIV and syphilis infections and describe associated risk behaviours. Participants provided blood for HIV and syphilis testing and responded to a demographic and risk factor questionnaire. The prevalence of HIV was 3.8% and the prevalence of syphilis was 11.9%. Women were more likely than men to be HIV positive, (7.5% vs. 3.6% respectively, aOR: 1.66, 95% C.I: 1.21–2.28, p < 0.05). Factors significantly associated with HIV infection included gender and self-reported genital ulcers in the 12 months before date of enrollment. The prevalence of HIV in the military appears to be higher than the general population in DRC (3.8% vs. 1.3%, respectively), with women at increased risk of infection.