Richard J. Willke

Confidence Intervals for Cost-Effectiveness Ratios: A Comparison of Four Methods

We evaluated four methods for computing confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness ratios developed from randomized controlled trials: the box method, the Taylor series method, the nonparametric bootstrap method and the Fieller theorem method. We performed a Monte Carlo experiment to compare these methods. We investigated the relative performance of each method and assessed whether or not it was affected by differing distributions of costs (normal and log normal) and effects (10% absolute difference in mortality resulting from mortality rates of 25% versus 15% in the two groups as well as from mortality rates of 55% versus 45%) or by differing levels of correlation between the costs and effects (correlations of -0.50, -0.25, 0.0, 0.25 and 0.50). The principal criterion used to evaluate the performance of the methods was the probability of miscoverage. Symmetrical miscoverage of the intervals was used as a secondary criterion for evaluating the four methods. Overall probabilities of miscoverage for the nonparametric bootstrap method and the Fieller theorem method were more accurate than those for the other the methods. The Taylor series method had confidence intervals that asymmetrically underestimated the upper limit of the interval. Confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness ratios resulting from the nonparametric bootstrap method and the Fieller theorem method were more dependably accurate than those estimated using the Taylor series or box methods. Routine reporting of these intervals will allow individuals using cost-effectiveness ratios to make clinical and policy judgments to better identify when an intervention is a good value for its cost.

Comparison of length of hospital stay for patients with known or suspected methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus species infections treated with linezolid or vancomycin: a randomized, multicenter trial.

Study Objective. To compare hospital length of stay (LOS), weekly discharges, and days of antibiotic treatment with linezolid (intravenous with oral follow‐up) and vancomycin (intravenous only).

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Alongside Clinical Trials II—An ISPOR Good Research Practices Task Force Report

Clinical trials evaluating medicines, medical devices, and procedures now commonly assess the economic value of these interventions. The growing number of prospective clinical/economic trials reflects both widespread interest in economic information for new technologies and the regulatory and reimbursement requirements of many countries that now consider evidence of economic value along with clinical efficacy. As decision makers increasingly demand evidence of economic value for health care interventions, conducting high-quality economic analyses alongside clinical studies is desirable because they broaden the scope of information available on a particular intervention, and can efficiently provide timely information with high internal and, when designed and analyzed properly, reasonable external validity. In 2005, ISPOR published the Good Research Practices for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Alongside Clinical Trials: The ISPOR RCT-CEA Task Force report. ISPOR initiated an update of the report in 2014 to include the methodological developments over the last 9 years. This report provides updated recommendations reflecting advances in several areas related to trial design, selecting data elements, database design and management, analysis, and reporting of results. Task force members note that trials should be designed to evaluate effectiveness (rather than efficacy) when possible, should include clinical outcome measures, and should obtain health resource use and health state utilities directly from study subjects. Collection of economic data should be fully integrated into the study. An incremental analysis should be conducted with an intention-to-treat approach, complemented by relevant subgroup analyses. Uncertainty should be characterized. Articles should adhere to established standards for reporting results of cost-effectiveness analyses. Economic studies alongside trials are complementary to other evaluations (e.g., modeling studies) as information for decision makers who consider evidence of economic value along with clinical efficacy when making resource allocation decisions.

Estimating country‐specific cost‐effectiveness from multinational clinical trials

Because costs and outcomes of medical treatments may vary from country to country in important ways, decision makers are increasingly interested in having data based on their own countrys health care situations. This paper proposes methods for estimating country-specific cost-effectiveness ratios from data available from multinational clinical trials. It examines how clinical and economic outcomes interact when estimating treatment effects on cost and proposes empirical methods for capturing these interactions and incorporating them when making country-specific estimates. We use data from a multinational phase III trial of tirilazad mesylate for the treatment of subarachnoid haemorrhage to illustrate these methods. Our findings suggest that it is possible for meaningful country-by-country differences to be found in such trial data. These differences can be useful in informing reimbursement, utilization, and other decisions taken at the country level.

Incidence of exudative age-related macular degeneration among elderly Americans

PURPOSE To estimate the 3-year incidence of exudative age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and its treatment by laser photocoagulation in elderly Americans. DESIGN Population-based cohort study using insurance claims data. PARTICIPANTS A random 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries, age 65 and older. METHODS Incidence of exudative AMD and of laser photocoagulation for this condition was assessed based on four categories of ascertainment criteria that included procedure and diagnosis codes associated with exudative AMD, choroidal neovascularization, and its treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incidence of AMD and of associated laser photocoagulation. RESULTS Overall, the 3-year incidence of exudative AMD is estimated to be between 9.4 per 1000 and 11.4 per 1000 Americans age 65 and older (depending on ascertainment criteria), based on those diagnosed and treated by ophthalmologists for the condition. These estimates bracket the measured incidence of exudative AMD in the Beaver Dam Eye Study and lie within its 95% confidence interval. The 3-year incidence of exudative AMD with attendant laser photocoagulation was 2.3 per 1000. Women were found to have a slightly higher incidence of AMD than men using all ascertainment criteria (P < 0.001), and white Americans were found to have a fivefold-to-sixfold higher ascertainment criteria than black Americans (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The reported incidence of exudative AMD identified in the population of Medicare beneficiaries suggests that measurements on incidence for this condition derived from the Beaver Dam Eye Study can be generalized to the U.S. population.

RESOURCE COSTING FOR MULTINATIONAL NEUROLOGIC CLINICAL TRIALS : METHODS AND RESULTS

We present the results of a multinational resource costing study for a prospective economic evaluation of a new medical technology for treatment of subarachnoid hemorrhage within a clinical trial. The study describes a framework for the collection and analysis of international resource cost data that can contribute to a consistent and accurate intercountry estimation of cost. Of the 15 countries that participated in the clinical trial, we collected cost information in the following seven: Australia, France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Spain, and Sweden. The collection of cost data in these countries was structured through the use of worksheets to provide accurate and efficient cost reporting. We converted total average costs to average variable costs and then aggregated the data to develop study unit costs. When unit costs were unavailable, we developed an index table, based on a market-basket approach, to estimate unit costs. To estimate the cost of a given procedure, the market-basket estimation process required that cost information be available for at least one country. When cost information was unavailable in all countries for a given procedure, we estimated costs using a method based on physician-work and practice-expense resource-based relative value units. Finally, we converted study unit costs to a common currency using purchasing power parity measures. Through this costing exercise we developed a set of unit costs for patient services and per diem hospital services. We conclude by discussing the implications of our costing exercise and suggest guidelines to facilitate more effective multinational costing exercises.

Effect of Linezolid versus Vancomycin on Length of Hospital Stay in Patients with Complicated Skin and Soft Tissue Infections Caused by Known or Suspected Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococci: Results from a Randomized Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND Complicated skin and soft tissue infections are common surgical indications usually requiring patients to be hospitalized, and are often caused by gram-positive bacteria, including methicillin-resistant staphylococci such as MRSA. Vancomycin has been the standard treatment for methicillin-resistant staphylococcal infections in many countries, but its intravenous-only formulation for systemic infections often confines patients to the hospital for the treatment. Linezolid, a novel oxazolidinone antibiotic available in intravenous and 100% bioavailable oral forms, was shown in a randomized trial to be as efficacious as vancomycin for suspected or proven methicillin-resistant staphylococcal infections. To determine if oral linezolid can reduce length of hospital stay (LOS) when compared to vancomycin, we compared the LOS for the 230 complicated skin and soft tissue infection patients enrolled in this trial. MATERIALS AND METHODS Patients received up to four weeks of linezolid (intravenous followed by optional oral) or vancomycin (intravenous only), followed by up to four weeks of observation. Unadjusted LOS was estimated using Kaplan-Meier survival functions, whereas the log-logistic survival analysis model was used to estimate the multivariate-adjusted LOS controlling for patient demographics and selected baseline clinical variables. Analysis was done on the intent-to-treat (n = 230) sample as well as on two subsamples of the clinically evaluable (n = 144) and surgical site infection (n = 114) patients. RESULTS The unadjusted Kaplan-Meier median LOS was five days shorter for the linezolid group than the vancomycin group in the intent-to-treat sample (9 vs. 14 days, p = 0.052). It was eight days shorter (8 vs. 16 days, p = 0.0025) in the clinically evaluable sample, but the difference in the surgical site infection sample was not significant (10 vs. 14 days; p = 0.29). The linezolid groups unadjusted mean LOS was 1.7, 5.3 and 0.8 days shorter in the intentto-treat, clinically evaluable, and surgical site infection samples, respectively. After adjusting for age, gender, race, geographic region, bacteremia, type of inpatient location, and number of concurrent medical conditions using the log-logistic model, between-treatment differences in the multivariate-adjusted median LOS decreased to 3, 6, and 3 days, whereas the differences in mean LOS increased to 3.1, 6.5 and 2.5 days for the intent-to-treat, clinically evaluable, and surgical site infection samples (p < 0.01, < 0.01, and < 0.10), respectively. When the between-treatment differences in LOS were expressed as odds ratio of hospital discharges, multivariate-adjustment increased the odds ratios in favor of linezolid for all the three samples. CONCLUSION Results from this randomized trial show that linezolid can significantly reduce LOS for patients with complicated skin and soft tissue infections from suspected or confirmed methicillin-resistant staphylococci.

Addressing ceiling effects in health status measures: a comparison of techniques applied to measures for people with HIV disease.

OBJECTIVES To compare different approaches to address ceiling effects when predicting EQ-5D index scores from the 10 subscales of the MOS-HIV Health Survey. STUDY DESIGN Data were collected from an HIV treatment trial. Statistical methods included ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, the censored least absolute deviations (CLAD) approach, a standard two-part model (TPM), a TPM with a log-transformed EQ-5D index, and a latent class model (LCM). Predictive accuracy was evaluated using percentage of absolute error (R(1)) and squared error (R(2)) predicted by statistical methods. FINDINGS A TPM with a log-transformed EQ-5D index performed best on R(1); a LCM performed best on R(2). In contrast, the CLAD was worst. Performance of the OLS and a standard TPM were intermediate. Values for R(1) ranged from 0.33 (CLAD) to 0.42 (TPM-L); R(2) ranged from 0.37 (CLAD) to 0.53 (LCM). CONCLUSIONS The LCM and TPM with a log-transformed dependent variable are superior to other approaches in handling data with ceiling effects.

Cost-Effectiveness of Eplerenone Compared With Placebo in Patients With Myocardial Infarction Complicated by Left Ventricular Dysfunction and Heart Failure

Background—In the Eplerenone Post-Acute Myocardial Infarction Heart Failure Efficacy and Survival Study (EPHESUS), aldosterone blockade with eplerenone decreased mortality in patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and heart failure after acute myocardial infarction. The present study was performed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of eplerenone compared with placebo in these patients. Methods and Results—A total of 6632 patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and heart failure after acute myocardial infarction were randomized to eplerenone or placebo and followed up for a mean of 16 months. The coprimary end points were all-cause mortality and the composite of cardiovascular mortality/cardiovascular hospitalization. The evaluation of resource use included hospitalizations, outpatient services, and medications. Eplerenone was priced at the average wholesale price,

Measuring agreement between patient and proxy responses to multidimensional health-related quality-of-life measures in clinical trials: An application of psychometric profile analysis

3.60 per day. Survival beyond the trial period was estimated from data from the Framingham Heart Study, the Saskatchewan Health database, and the Worcester Heart Attack Registry. The incremental cost-effectiveness of eplerenone in cost per life-year and quality-adjusted life-year gained compared with placebo was estimated. The number of life-years gained with eplerenone was 0.1014 based on Framingham (95% CI, 0.0306 to 0.1740), 0.0636 with Saskatchewan (95% CI, 0.0229 to 0.1038), and 0.1337 with Worcester (95% CI, 0.0438 to 0.2252) data. Cost was