Rob Hermsen

Does suggestive information cause a confirmation bias in bullet comparisons

Several researchers have argued that the confirmation bias, the tendency to selectively gather and process information such that it fits existing beliefs, is a main threat to objective forensic examinations. The goal of the present study was to empirically investigate whether examiners making bullet comparisons are indeed vulnerable to this bias. In the first experiment, six qualified examiners evaluated 6 sets of bullets that were presented to them twice. In the neutral task condition it was mentioned in the case description that there were two perpetrators and two crime scenes, whereas in the potentially biasing task condition it was mentioned that there was only one perpetrator and one crime scene. The results showed no effect of biased information on the decision outcome. An exploratory analysis revealed rather large individual differences in two cases. In a second study we compared the conclusions of first and second examiners of actual cases that were conducted in the period between 1997 and 2006. As the second examiner mostly has no context information it may be expected that the conclusion of the first examiner should be more extreme when he or she would have become prey to a confirmation bias. The results indicate an effect in the opposite direction: the first examiner gave less extreme ratings than the second one. In all, our results indicate that examiners were not affected by biased information the case description.

Pattern recognition in a database of cartridge cases

Several systems exist for collecting spent ammunition for forensic investigation. These databases store images of cartridge cases and the marks on them. The research in this paper is focused on the different methods of feature selection and pattern recognition that can be used for comparison. For automatic comparison of these images it is necessary to extract firstly the useful parts of the images. On databases of 3800 images several processing steps have been tested and compared. The results and methods, which have been implemented, are presented. The usual correlation methods based on gray values of all relevant image data have been tested. They were useful in the database. Further invariant image descriptors and the a trous wavelet transform have been implemented. These methods are promising, however more investigation is needed for the use of these methods.

Interaction of bullets with intermediate targets: Material transfer and damage

In complex shooting incidents, it is not always clear which bullet hit or eventually killed the victim and who fired it. The examination of traces of foreign material embedded in or adhered to bullets provides critical information in the trajectory reconstruction of spent bullets. Such a reconstruction can have considerable legal implications because it can prove that it was not someones intention to kill. However, the microtraces that remain on spent bullets are often ignored. Microtraces on bullets, around bullet-holes and on ricochet marks were investigated using SEM/EDX for two different types of bullets: a relatively hard, full metal jacket (FMJ) bullet and a relatively soft, lead round-nose (LRN) bullet. A total of 179 bullets were fired into intermediate targets, sheets of 5 different materials (MDF, greenboard, gypsum fibreboard, glass and steel), at approximate incident angles of 90°, 10° and 5°. Of the 144 bullets fired at incident angles of 90°, 130 bullets perforated one of the materials, and 14 bullets perforated two of the materials. The 35 bullets fired at incident angles of 10° and 5° ricocheted off the intermediate targets, producing ricochet marks. In the majority of cases, traces from the target materials were found on the bullet, both after perforation and ricochet. The only exceptions were (1) the perforation of 9-mm sheets of MDF by FMJ bullets and (2) ricochet off glass when the glass did not break. Steel targets transfer small, but still detectable traces of iron to the bullet. The order in which targets are hit was reflected in the traces found on the bullets, i.e., materials from a secondary target were deposited on top of deposits from the primary target. This result implies that it is possible to determine the order of impact from the stratification of the material analysed. Traces from the bullets were found around all the bullet holes. Wipe-off from lead bullets is sometimes visible by the naked eye. Ricocheting bullets produce remarkable traces on glass. The combination of sliding and flattening action leaves a trace of the bullets surface material in the form of tiny droplets and other evidence of liquid formation. In general, softer LRN bullets are more susceptible to the transfer of material than harder FMJ bullets. For perforation, trace materials are preferentially deposited in a ring-shaped area around the (flattened or unflattened) nose of the bullet.

Experimental evaluation of the impact of seating depth variations on observed marks on primers

Although the examination of bullet and primer striae patterns is still a very important task in forensic ballistics, a fundamental explanation or theoretical model for reasoning about the (ir)reproducibility of the observed marks is still non-existing. More specifically, it is still unclear which ammunition production or firing condition parameters may play an important role in the striae and marks formation process. From a practical point of view this situation is unfortunate because a proper knowledge of these parameters and conditions could help underpin and explain certain differences found in actual casework investigations. Additionally, a proper understanding of these issues could allow examiners to select or develop a near-optimal test firing procedure by using more detailed and controlled variations of certain intra- and/or inter-ammunition parameters than the ones that are in use today. In this paper, we discuss the results of an experiment aimed at evaluating the impact of primer seating depth variations on observed primer striae and other marks. First, three sets of cartridge cases with different seating depth intervals were selected. Second, each of these sets were fired consecutively using a selected pistol. Finally, the cartridge cases were examined using both traditional optical microscopes and three-dimensional (3D) profilometer techniques. The results reported in this paper show that in our experiments no important impact of the initial primer seating depth on the observed primer striae patterns could be found, but that the firing pin impression does seem to change if the initial seating depth is larger than a certain threshold.

Can postmortem MRI be used to assess trajectories in gunshot victims

PurposeMulti-detector computed tomography (MDCT) has proven to be of value for the reconstruction of trajectories of projectiles and the assessment of the injuries in deceased gunshot victim. For the depiction of soft tissue injury, MRI is superior to MDCT and MRI may be of value to assess trajectories. In a clinical setting, there are guidelines for the application of MRI in patients with projectiles or projectile fragments and with precautions MRI is safe for these patients. However, this has not been studied for the postmortem application of MRI from a forensic point of view.Subjects and methodTo assess the behaviour of projectiles, two ferromagnetic and one non-ferromagnetic projectile were exposed to the magnetic field of a 1.5- and 3-T MRI. Projectiles were placed in six phantoms with the characteristics of human muscle tissue, with and without a simulated trajectory in the gel. Before and after exposure to the magnetic field, the gelatine phantoms were imaged with MDCT to assess the position of the projectiles.ResultsThe ferromagnetic projectiles rotate to a position where their long axis is parallel to the z-axis of the magnetic field and five out of the six projectiles moved through, either through the simulated trajectory or through a new trajectory. This was observed in both the 1.5- and 3-T systems.ConclusionFerromagnetic projectiles can rotate and migrate in a gelatine phantom. It is very likely that these projectiles will also migrate in a human body in a MRI system. Therefore, from a forensic point of view, postmortem MR will make a reconstruction of the trajectories in the body and of the reconstruction of the incident as a whole less reliable.

Image matching algorithms for breech face marks and firing pins in a database of spent cartridge cases of firearms

On the market several systems exist for collecting spent ammunition data for forensic investigations. These databases store images of cartridge cases and the marks on them. Image matching is used to create hit lists that show those cartridges in the database which have marks that are most similar to the marks of the cartridge case under investigation. The research in this paper focuses on the different methods of feature selection and pattern recognition that can be used for optimizing the results of image matching. A fast pre-selection method based on signatures is applied that is based on the Kanade Lucas Tomasi equation. The positions of the points compared with this method are compared. In this way 11 of the 49 images were in the top position in combination with the third scale of the a trous wavelet. Light conditions and the prominence of the marks determines to a large extent whether correct matches are found in the top ranked position. All images were retrieved in the top give percent of the complete database. This method takes only a few minutes, which can be structured for comparisons to be carried out in seconds.

Objective Evaluation of Subclass Characteristics on Breech Face Marks

Subclass characteristics can be found on the breech face marks left on spent cartridge cases. Even if they are assumed to be rare and their reported number is small, they can potentially lead to false associations. Subclass characteristics have been studied empirically allowing examiners to recognize them and to understand in which conditions they are produced. Until now, however, their influence on the identification process has not been studied from a probabilistic point of view. In this study, we aim at measuring the effect of these features on the strength of association derived from examinations involving subclass characteristics. The study takes advantage of a 3D automatic comparison system allowing the calculation of likelihood ratios (LRs). The similarities between cartridge case specimens fired by thirteen S&W .40S&W Sigma pistols are quantified, and their respective LRs are computed. The results show that the influence of subclass characteristics on the LRs is limited, even when these features are prevalent among the potential sources considered in a case. We show that the proportion of firearms sharing subclass characteristics should be larger than 40% of the pool of potential firearms for the effect to be significant.