Robert A. Lowe

Regional Variation in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Incidence and Outcome

CONTEXT The health and policy implications of regional variation in incidence and outcome of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest remain to be determined. OBJECTIVE To evaluate whether cardiac arrest incidence and outcome differ across geographic regions. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS Prospective observational study (the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium) of all out-of-hospital cardiac arrests in 10 North American sites (8 US and 2 Canadian) from May 1, 2006, to April 30, 2007, followed up to hospital discharge, and including data available as of June 28, 2008. Cases (aged 0-108 years) were assessed by organized emergency medical services (EMS) personnel, did not have traumatic injury, and received attempts at external defibrillation or chest compressions or resuscitation was not attempted. Census data were used to determine rates adjusted for age and sex. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incidence rate, mortality rate, case-fatality rate, and survival to discharge for patients assessed or treated by EMS personnel or with an initial rhythm of ventricular fibrillation. RESULTS Among the 10 sites, the total catchment population was 21.4 million, and there were 20,520 cardiac arrests. A total of 11,898 (58.0%) had resuscitation attempted; 2729 (22.9% of treated) had initial rhythm of ventricular fibrillation or ventricular tachycardia or rhythms that were shockable by an automated external defibrillator; and 954 (4.6% of total) were discharged alive. The median incidence of EMS-treated cardiac arrest across sites was 52.1 (interquartile range [IQR], 48.0-70.1) per 100,000 population; survival ranged from 3.0% to 16.3%, with a median of 8.4% (IQR, 5.4%-10.4%). Median ventricular fibrillation incidence was 12.6 (IQR, 10.6-5.2) per 100,000 population; survival ranged from 7.7% to 39.9%, with a median of 22.0% (IQR, 15.0%-24.4%), with significant differences across sites for incidence and survival (P<.001). CONCLUSION In this study involving 10 geographic regions in North America, there were significant and important regional differences in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence and outcome.

Treatment of osteoporosis: are physicians missing an opportunity?

Background: Medical treatment of women with established osteoporosis may decrease the incidence of future fractures. Postmenopausal women who have sustained a distal radial fracture have decreased bone-mineral density and nearly twice the risk of a future hip fracture. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the adequacy of diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women following an acute fracture of the distal part of the radius. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed with use of a claims database that includes more than three million patients, from thirty states, enrolled in multiple health plans. All women, fifty-five years of age or older, who sustained a distal radial fracture between July 1, 1994, and June 30, 1997, were identified in the database. Only patients with at least six months of continuous and complete medical and pharmaceutical health-care coverage from the date of the fracture were enrolled, to ensure that all health-care claims would be captured in the database. This cohort of patients was then evaluated to determine the proportion who had undergone either a diagnostic bone-density scan or treatment with any recommended medication for established osteoporosis (estrogen, a bisphosphonate, or calcitonin) within six months following the fracture. Results: A search of the database identified 1162 women, fifty-five years of age or older, who had a distal radial fracture. Of these 1162 patients, thirty-three (2.8 percent) underwent a bone-density scan and 266 (22.9 percent) were treated with at least one of the medications approved for treatment of established osteoporosis. Twenty women had both a bone-density scan and drug treatment. Therefore, only 279 (24.0 percent) of the 1162 women who sustained a distal radial fracture underwent either diagnostic evaluation or treatment of osteoporosis. There was a significant decrease in the rate of treatment of osteoporosis with increasing patient age at the time of the fracture (p < 0.0001). Conclusions: Current physician practice may be inadequate for the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women who have sustained a distal radial fracture.

Violent injuries among women in an urban area

BACKGROUND Although the rate of death from injuries due to violent acts is much higher among black women than among white women in the United States, little is known about the nature and correlates of violent injuries among black women living in urban areas. METHODS In this case-control study conducted at three emergency departments in one inner-city community (in west Philadelphia), we studied 405 adolescent girls and women who had been intentionally injured and 520 adolescent girls and women (control subjects) who had health problems not related to violent injury. Data were collected by conducting standardized interviews with use of questionnaires and by screening urine for illicit drugs. Individual logistic-regression models were constructed to identify factors associated with violent injuries inflicted by partners and those inflicted by persons other than the partners of the victims. RESULTS The male partners of the injured women were much more likely than the male partners of control subjects to use cocaine (odds ratio, 4.4; 95 percent confidence interval, 2.3 to 8.4) and to have been arrested in the past (odds ratio, 3.1; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.8 to 5.2). Fifty-three percent of violent injuries to the women had been perpetrated by persons other than their partners. Womens use of illicit drugs and alcohol abuse were factors associated with both violence on the part of partners and violence on the part of other persons. Neighborhood characteristics, including low median income, a high rate of change of residence, and poor education, were independently associated with the risk of violent injuries among women. CONCLUSIONS Women in this urban, low-income community face violence from both partners and other persons. Substance abuse, particularly cocaine use, is a significant correlate of violent injuries. Standard Census data may help identify neighborhoods where women are at high risk for such violence and that would benefit from community-level interventions.

Refusing Care to Emergency Department Patients: Evaluation of Published Triage Guidelines

STUDY OBJECTIVE To determine whether a set of published triage guidelines identifies patients who can safely be refused emergency department care. DESIGN Historical cohort study. SETTING A public hospital ED. TYPE OF PARTICIPANTS All patients triaged during a one-week period who were not in the most acute triage category. MEASUREMENTS Two ED nurses, blinded to the study hypothesis, reviewed each triage sheet to determine whether the case met the published guidelines for refusing care. In addition, each ED record was reviewed for appropriateness; a visit was considered appropriate only if predetermined, explicit criteria were met and an emergency physician agreed that a 24-hour delay in care might have worsened the patients outcome. MAIN RESULTS Of the 106 patients who would have been refused care according to the triage guidelines, 35 (33%) had appropriate visits. Four were hospitalized. CONCLUSION When tested in our patient population, the triage guidelines were not sufficiently sensitive to identify patients who needed ED care. Broad application of these guidelines may jeopardize the health of some patients.

National study of barriers to timely primary care and emergency department utilization among medicaid beneficiaries

STUDY OBJECTIVE We compare the association between barriers to timely primary care and emergency department (ED) utilization among adults with Medicaid versus private insurance. METHODS We analyzed 230,258 adult participants of the 1999 to 2009 National Health Interview Survey. We evaluated the association between 5 specific barriers to timely primary care (unable to get through on telephone, unable to obtain appointment soon enough, long wait in the physicians office, limited clinic hours, lack of transportation) and ED utilization (≥1 ED visit during the past year) for Medicaid and private insurance beneficiaries. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for demographics, socioeconomic status, health conditions, outpatient care utilization, and survey year. RESULTS Overall, 16.3% of Medicaid and 8.9% of private insurance beneficiaries had greater than or equal to 1 barrier to timely primary care. Compared with individuals with private insurance, Medicaid beneficiaries had higher ED utilization overall (39.6% versus 17.7%), particularly among those with barriers (51.3% versus 24.6% for 1 barrier and 61.2% versus 28.9% for ≥2 barriers). After adjusting for covariates, Medicaid beneficiaries were more likely to have barriers (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30 to 1.52) and higher ED utilization (adjusted OR 1.48; 95% CI 1.41 to 1.56). ED utilization was even higher among Medicaid beneficiaries with 1 barrier (adjusted OR 1.66; 95% CI 1.44 to 1.92) or greater than or equal to 2 barriers (adjusted OR 2.01; 95% CI 1.72 to 2.35) compared with that for individuals with private insurance and barriers. CONCLUSION Compared with individuals with private insurance, Medicaid beneficiaries were affected by more barriers to timely primary care and had higher associated ED utilization. Expansion of Medicaid eligibility alone may not be sufficient to improve health care access.

Association between primary care practice characteristics and emergency department use in a medicaid managed care organization.

Background:Many patients use emergency departments (EDs) for primary care. Previous studies have found that patient characteristics affect ED utilization. However, such studies have led to few policy changes. Objectives:We sought to determine whether Medicaid patients’ ED use is associated with characteristics of their primary care practices. Research Design:This was a cohort study. Subjects:A total of 57,850 patients, assigned to 353 primary care practices affiliated with a Medicaid HMO, were included. Measures:Predictor variables were characteristics of primary care practices, which were measured by visiting each practice. The outcome variable was ED use adjusted for patient characteristics. Results:On average, patients made 0.80 ED visits/person/yr. Patients from practices with more than 12 evening hours/wk used the ED 20% less than patients from practices without evening hours. A higher ratio of the number of active patients per clinician-hour of practice time was associated with more ED use. When more Medicaid patients were in a practice, these patients used the ED more frequently. Other factors associated with ED use included equipment for the care of asthma and presence of nurse practitioners and physician assistants. Discussion:Modifiable characteristics of primary care practices were associated with ED use. Because the observational design of this study does not allow definitive conclusions about causality, future studies should include intervention trials to determine whether changing practice characteristics can reduce ED use. Conclusions:Improving primary care access and scope of services may reduce ED use. Focusing on systems issues rather than patient characteristics may be a more productive strategy to improve appropriate use of emergency medical care.

Frequent Users of Emergency Department Services: Gaps in Knowledge and a Proposed Research Agenda

Frequent use of emergency department (ED) services is often perceived to be a potentially preventable misuse of resources. The underlying assumption is that similar and more appropriate care can be delivered outside of EDs at a lower cost. To reduce costs and incentivize more appropriate use of services, there have been efforts to design interventions to transition health care utilization of frequent users from EDs to other settings such as outpatient clinics. Many of these efforts have succeeded in smaller trials, but wider use remains elusive for varying reasons. There are also some fundamental problems with the assumption that all or even the majority of frequent ED use is misuse and invoking reasons for that excessive use. These tenuous assumptions become evident when frequent users as a group are compared to less frequent users. Specifically, frequent users tend to have high levels of frequent ED use, have a higher severity of illness, be older, have fewer personal resources, be chronically ill, present for pain-related complaints, and have government insurance (Medicare or Medicaid). Because of the unique characteristics of the population of frequent users, we propose a research agenda that aims to increase the understanding of frequent ED use, by: 1) creating an accepted categorization system for frequent users, 2) predicting which patients are at risk for becoming or remaining frequent users, 3) implementing both ED- and non-ED-based interventions, and 4) conducting qualitative studies of frequent ED users to explore reasons and identify factors that are subject to intervention and explore specific differences among populations by condition, such as mental illness and heart failure.

Environmental justice: frequency and severity of US chemical industry accidents and the socioeconomic status of surrounding communities

Study objectives: The Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 requires that chemical facilities in the US with specified quantities of certain toxic or flammable chemicals file a five year history of accidents. This study considers the relation between the reported accidents and surrounding community characteristics. Design: This study is a retrospective analysis of the association between the demographics of counties in which facilities are located and the risk of accidental chemical release and resulting injuries at those facilities. The “location risk” (the risk that a facility having large volumes of hazardous chemicals is located in a community) and “operations risk” (the risk of an accident itself) are investigated. Setting:1994–2000 accident history data from 15 083 US industrial facilities using one or more of 140 flammable or toxic substances above a threshold level. Demographic makeup of 2333 counties surrounding these facilities was determined from the 1990 US census. Main results: Larger and more chemical intensive facilities tend to be located in counties with larger African-American populations and in counties with both higher median incomes and high levels of income inequality. Even after adjusting for location risk there is greater risk of accidents for facilities in heavily African-American counties (OR of accident = 1.9, 95% CI = 1.5 to 2.4). Conclusions: Further research and policy interventions are required to reduce the probability of locating facilities in an inequitable fashion, as well as health surveillance, and regulatory monitoring and enforcement activities to ensure that hazardous facilities in minority communities prepare and prevent accidental chemical releases to the same standards as elsewhere.

Accident Epidemiology and the U.S. Chemical Industry: Accident History and Worst-Case Data from RMP*Info

This article reports on the data collected on one of the most ambitious government-sponsored environmental data acquisition projects of all time, the Risk Management Plan (RMP) data collected under section 112(r) of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. This RMP Rule 112(r) was triggered by the Bhopal accident in 1984 and led to the requirement that each qualifying facility develop and file with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency a Risk Management Plan (RMP) as well as accident history data for the five-year period preceding the filing of the RMP. These data were collected in 1999-2001 on more than 15,000 facilities in the United States that store or use listed toxic or flammable chemicals believed to be a hazard to the environment or to human health of facility employees or off-site residents of host communities. The resulting database, RMP*Info, has become a key resource for regulators and researchers concerned with the frequency and severity of accidents, and the underlying facility-specific factors that are statistically associated with accident and injury rates. This article analyzes which facilities actually filed under the Rule and presents results on accident frequencies and severities available from the RMP*Info database. This article also presents summaries of related results from RMP*Info on Offsite Consequence Analysis (OCA), an analytical estimate of the potential consequences of hypothetical worst-case and alternative accidental releases on the public and environment around the facility. The OCA data have become a key input in the evaluation of site security assessment and mitigation policies for both government planners as well as facility managers and their insurers. Following the survey of the RMP*Info data, we discuss the rich set of policy decisions that may be informed by research based on these data.

Community characteristics affecting emergency department use by Medicaid enrollees.

Objectives:In seeking to identify modifiable, system-level factors affecting emergency department (ED) use, we used a statewide Medicaid database to study community variation in ED use and ascertain community characteristics associated with higher use. Methods:This historical cohort study used administrative data from July 1, 2003 to December 31, 2004. Residence ZIP codes were used to assign all 555,219 Medicaid enrollees to 130 primary care service areas (PCSAs). PCSA characteristics studied included rural/urban status, presence of hospital(s), driving time to hospital, and several measures of primary care capacity. Statistical analyses used a 2-stage model. In the first stage (enrollee level), ED utilization rates adjusted for enrollee demographics and medical conditions were calculated for each PCSA. In the second stage (community level), a mixed effects linear model was used to determine the association between PCSA characteristics and ED use. Results:ED utilization rates varied more than 20-fold among the PCSAs. Compared with PCSAs with primary care capacity less than need, PCSAs with capacity 1 to 2 times the need had 0.12 (95% CI: −0.044, −0.20) fewer ED visits/person/yr. Compared with PCSAs with the nearest hospital accessible within 10 minutes, PCSAs with the nearest hospital >30 minutes’ drive had 0.26 (95% CI: −0.38, −0.13) fewer ED visits/person/yr. Conclusions:Within this Medicaid population, ED utilization was determined not only by patient characteristics but by community characteristics. Better understanding of system-level factors affecting ED use can enable communities to improve their health care delivery systems–augmenting access to care and reducing reliance on EDs.