Robert Dubrow

Risk of Anal Cancer in HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Individuals in North America

BACKGROUND Anal cancer is one of the most common cancers affecting individuals infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), although few have evaluated rates separately for men who have sex with men (MSM), other men, and women. There are also conflicting data regarding calendar trends. METHODS In a study involving 13 cohorts from North America with follow-up between 1996 and 2007, we compared anal cancer incidence rates among 34 189 HIV-infected (55% MSM, 19% other men, 26% women) and 114 260 HIV-uninfected individuals (90% men). RESULTS Among men, the unadjusted anal cancer incidence rates per 100 000 person-years were 131 for HIV-infected MSM, 46 for other HIV-infected men, and 2 for HIV-uninfected men, corresponding to demographically adjusted rate ratios (RRs) of 80.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 42.7-151.1) for HIV-infected MSM and 26.7 (95% CI, 11.5-61.7) for other HIV-infected men compared with HIV-uninfected men. HIV-infected women had an anal cancer rate of 30/100 000 person-years, and no cases were observed for HIV-uninfected women. In a multivariable Poisson regression model, among HIV-infected individuals, the risk was higher for MSM compared with other men (RR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.8-6.0), but no difference was observed comparing women with other men (RR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.5-2.2). In comparison with the period 2000-2003, HIV-infected individuals had an adjusted RR of 0.5 (95% CI, .3-.9) in 1996-1999 and 0.9 (95% CI, .6-1.2) in 2004-2007. CONCLUSIONS Anal cancer rates were substantially higher for HIV-infected MSM, other men, and women compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, suggesting a need for universal prevention efforts. Rates increased after the early antiretroviral therapy era and then plateaued.

Gastroesophageal reflux disease, use of H2 receptor antagonists, and risk of esophageal and gastric cancer

AbstractObjective: The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma has risen rapidly in the past two decades, for unknown reasons. The goal of this analysis was to determine whether gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) or the medications used to treat it are associated with an increased risk of esophageal or gastric cancer, using data from a large population-based case–control study. Methods: Cases were aged 30–79 years, newly diagnosed with esophageal adenocarcinoma (n = 293), esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (n = 221), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (n = 261), or non-cardia gastric adenocarcinoma (n = 368) in three areas with population-based tumor registries. Controls (n = 695) were chosen by random digit dialing and from Health Care Financing Administration rosters. Data were collected using an in-person structured interview. Results: History of gastric ulcer was associated with an increased risk of non-cardia gastric adenocarcinoma (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.4–3.2). Risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma increased with frequency of GERD symptoms; the odds ratio in those reporting daily symptoms was 5.5 (95% CI 3.2–9.3). Ever having used H2 blockers was unassociated with esophageal adenocarcinoma risk (OR 0.9, 95% CI 0.5–1.5). The odds ratio was 1.3 (95% CI 0.6–2.8) in long-term (4 or more years) users, but increased to 2.1 (95% CI 0.8–5.6) when use in the 5 years prior to the interview was disregarded. Risk was also modestly increased among users of antacids. Neither GERD symptoms nor use of H2 blockers or antacids was associated with risk of the other three tumor types. Conclusions: Individuals with long-standing GERD are at increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma, whether or not the symptoms are treated with H2blockers or antacids.

HIV Infection, Immunodeficiency, Viral Replication, and the Risk of Cancer

Background: Few studies have compared cancer risk between HIV-infected individuals and a demographically similar HIV-uninfected internal comparison group, adjusting for cancer risk factors. Methods: We followed 20,775 HIV-infected and 215,158 HIV-uninfected individuals enrolled in Kaiser Permanente (KP) California for incident cancer from 1996 to 2008. Rate ratios (RR) were obtained from Poisson models comparing HIV-infected (overall and stratified by recent CD4 count and HIV RNA) with HIV-uninfected individuals, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, calendar period, KP region, smoking, alcohol/drug abuse, and overweight/obesity. Results: We observed elevated RRs for Kaposi sarcoma (KS; RR = 199; P < 0.001), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL; RR = 15; P < 0.001), anal cancer (RR = 55; P < 0.001), Hodgkin lymphoma (HL; RR = 19; P < 0.001), melanoma (RR = 1.8; P = 0.001), and liver cancer (RR = 1.8; P = 0.013), a reduced RR for prostate cancer (RR = 0.8; P = 0.012), and no increased risk for oral cavity/pharynx (RR = 1.4; P = 0.14), lung (RR = 1.2; P = 0.15), or colorectal (RR = 0.9; P = 0.34) cancers. Lung and oral cavity/pharynx cancers were elevated for HIV-infected subjects in models adjusted only for demographics. KS, NHL, anal cancer, HL, and colorectal cancer had significant (P < 0.05) trends for increasing RRs with decreasing recent CD4. The RRs for lung and oral cavity/pharynx cancer were significantly elevated with CD4 < 200 cells/μL and for melanoma and liver cancer with CD4 < 500 cells/μL. Only KS and NHL were associated with HIV RNA. Conclusion: Immunodeficiency was positively associated with all cancers examined except prostate cancer among HIV-infected compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, after adjustment for several cancer risk factors. Impact: Earlier antiretroviral therapy initiation to maintain high CD4 levels might reduce the burden of cancer in this population. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 20(12); 2551–9. ©2011 AACR.

Hepatic Decompensation in Antiretroviral-Treated Patients Co-Infected With HIV and Hepatitis C Virus Compared With Hepatitis C Virus–Monoinfected Patients: A Cohort Study

Context Patients with HIV are often co-infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Whether treatment of HIV with antiretroviral therapy (ART) can improve HCV outcomes is a topic of interest. Contribution In a Veterans Affairs study, patients co-infected with HIV and HCV who had HIV RNA levels less than 1000 copies/mL had a lower rate of hepatic decompensation than those with less HIV suppression. However, the rate was still higher than that in HCV-monoinfected patients. Caution Few women were studied. Implication Patients co-infected with HIV and HCV remain at greater risk for poor outcomes from HCV infection than HCV-monoinfected patients despite viral suppression by ART. The Editors Co-infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) occurs in 10% to 30% of HIV-infected patients (14). The course of chronic HCV is accelerated in patients co-infected with HIV, with more rapid progression of liver fibrosis than in HCV-monoinfected patients (57). Consequently, HCV-related liver complications, particularly hepatic decompensation (defined by the presence of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal hemorrhage, or hepatic encephalopathy [8]), have emerged as important causes of illness in co-infected patients (9, 10). Despite the importance of HCV-related end-stage liver disease, few longitudinal studies have evaluated the incidence and determinants of hepatic decompensation among patients co-infected with HIV and HCV during the antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. Previous studies suggest that ART slows progression of HCV-associated liver fibrosis, possibly by reducing HIV-related inflammation and immune dysfunction and inhibiting the ability of HIV to directly infect hepatocytes (1013). However, whether rates of hepatic decompensation and other severe liver events (for example, hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC] or liver-related death) in co-infected patients receiving ART are similar to those in HCV-monoinfected patients remains unclear. Furthermore, the determinants of hepatic decompensation among co-infected patients receiving ART are unknown. Determination of these factors could help define the mechanisms of decompensation in co-infected patients and could suggest interventions to reduce the risk for end-stage liver disease in this population. We first compared the incidence of hepatic decompensation between antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients. We hypothesized that rates of decompensation would remain higher in co-infected patients despite ART. We then evaluated host and viral factors associated with decompensation among co-infected patients. Methods Study Design and Data Source We conducted a retrospective cohort study among antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients in the VACS-VC (Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort) between 1 January 1997 and 30 September 2010 (14). The VACS-VC consists of electronic medical record data from HIV-infected patients receiving care at Veterans Affairs (VA) medical facilities across the United States. Each HIV-infected patient is matched on age, sex, race/ethnicity, and site to 2 HIV-uninfected persons. Data include hospital and outpatient diagnoses (recorded using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ICD-9], codes), procedures (recorded using CPT [Current Procedural Terminology] codes), laboratory results, and pharmacy data. Clinically confirmed cancer diagnoses are available from the VA Central Cancer Registry. Deaths are identified from the VA Vital Status file, which uses data from the Social Security Death Master File, Medicare Vital Status Files, and VA Beneficiary Identification and Records Locator Subsystem. For patients who died, principal cause of death can be determined by linkage with the National Death Index (15). In addition, U.S. Medicare and Medicaid claims data are available for veterans also enrolled in these programs and have been merged with VACS-VC data. Study Patients Co-infected patients were included if they had detectable HCV RNA, had recently initiated ART (defined as use of 3 antiretrovirals from 2 classes [16] or 3 nucleoside analogues [a previously accepted ART regimen] [17]) within the VA system, had an HIV RNA level greater than 500 copies/mL within 180 days before starting ART (to identify those who newly initiated ART [18]), and had been observed for at least 12 months in the VACS-VC after starting ART. Monoinfected patients had detectable HCV RNA, no recorded HIV ICD-9 diagnosis or antiretroviral prescriptions, and at least 12 months of observation in the VACS-VC. Patients were excluded if, during the baseline period (defined in the Statistical Analysis section), they had hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver transplantation or received interferon-based HCV therapy (because treatment reduces the risk for hepatic decompensation [19, 20]). Study Outcomes The primary outcome was incident hepatic decompensation, which was defined by 1 ICD-9 diagnosis of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or esophageal variceal hemorrhage at hospital discharge or 2 such outpatient diagnoses in the VACS-VC (Supplement 1). A prior study validated this determination, with 91% of events confirmed by medical records (21). The requirement of 2 outpatient diagnoses aimed to exclude events that were suspected but not subsequently confirmed at follow-up visits. On the basis of the results of the prior validation study (21), we did not include ICD-9 diagnoses for hepatic encephalopathy and jaundice, which could indicate decompensation, because these diagnoses frequently were linked to unrelated conditions (for example, narcotic overuse, stroke recorded as encephalopathy, or biliary obstruction or atazanavir-associated hyperbilirubinemia recorded as jaundice). Date of decompensation was defined as the hospital discharge date (if identified by hospital diagnosis) or initial outpatient diagnosis date (if identified by outpatient diagnosis). Supplement 1. ICD-9, ICD-10, and CPT Codes Secondary outcomes included incident hepatic decompensation (determined by the aforementioned ICD-9based definition) within the VACS-VC, Medicare, or Medicaid data (to capture outcomes occurring at non-VA hospitals that did not result in transfer to a VA facility; this outcome was secondary because non-VA events have not been validated); HCC; and severe liver events, a composite outcome of hepatic decompensation within the VACS-VC, HCC, or liver-related death. Hepatocellular carcinoma was determined using the VA Central Cancer Registry, which confirmed diagnoses by histologic or cytologic evaluation or consistent radiography. We classified deaths as liver-related if the underlying cause from the National Death Index was recorded as hepatic decompensation, liver cancer, alcoholic liver disease, viral hepatitis, or nonalcoholic liver disease (Supplement 1) (15). Data Collection Baseline data (Table 1) included age, sex, race/ethnicity, VA center patient volume, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, alcohol dependence or abuse, injection or noninjection drug use, hepatitis B surface antigen status, HCV genotype, HCV RNA level, pre-ART CD4 cell count, pre-ART plasma HIV RNA level, and baseline antiretroviral regimen. Diabetes was defined as a random glucose level of at least 200 mg/dL or antidiabetic medication use (22, 23). Alcohol dependence or abuse (24) and injection or noninjection drug use (24, 25) were defined by previously validated ICD-9 diagnoses (Supplement 1). Baseline serum creatinine, hemoglobin, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels and platelet count were collected from dates closest to but before the start of follow-up. Baseline FIB-4 score, a noninvasive measure of advanced hepatic fibrosis, was determined as follows: [age in yearsAST level in U/L] / [(platelet count in109/L)(ALT level in U/L)1/2] (26). Because liver fibrosis can progress by 1 stage as early as within 4 years for antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV (7) and within 5 years for HCV-monoinfected persons (27), we determined baseline FIB-4 scores by using ALT levels, AST levels, and platelet counts within a 2-year period around the start of follow-up. Scores less than 1.45 indicate no or minimal fibrosis, and scores greater than 3.25 indicate advanced hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis in co-infected (26) and HCV-monoinfected patients (28). Table 1. Characteristics of the Study Cohorts Longitudinal data included hepatitis B surface antigen status, plasma HIV RNA level, diabetes, and liver transplantation (determined by diagnosis and procedural codes) (Supplement 1). Statistical Analysis The 12 months before the start of follow-up represented the baseline period for both cohorts. Follow-up began 12 months after ART initiation for co-infected patients and after 12 months in the VACS-VC for monoinfected patients. The rationale for defining the baseline period as the first year of receipt of ART for co-infected patients was that many of these patients initially entered care at the time of ART initiation, which was shortly after their HIV diagnosis. Follow-up continued until a study end point, death, initiation of HCV therapy, or the last visit before 30 September 2010, whichever came first. For descriptive purposes, we estimated incidence rates (events per 1000 person-years) of end points with 95% CIs, standardized by the age and race/ethnicity distribution of co-infected patients (29). We then used Cox models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes in co-infected compared with monoinfected patients (30). We controlled for all available clinically relevant variables in Table 1. The proportionality of hazards was evaluated by plots of Schoenfeld residuals (31). In a sensitivity analysis, we addressed the potential for informative censoring by using inverse probability of censoring weights and Cox regression (Supplement

Adult glioblastoma multiforme survival in the temozolomide era: A population‐based analysis of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries

Survival after a glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) diagnosis remained static during the several decades before 1999. We hypothesized that the progressive increase in temozolomide use for GBM treatment that began in 1999 in the United States would be paralleled by a corresponding improvement in survival.

Family history of cancer and risk of esophageal and gastric cancers in the United States

The worldwide rates for histology‐ and subsite‐specific types of esophageal and gastric cancer reveal strikingly divergent patterns. The contribution of environmental and genetic factors has been explored in several high‐incidence areas, but data on genetic influences are scarce for Western countries. Using data from a multicenter, population‐based, case‐control study on 1,143 cases and 695 controls in the United States, we evaluated whether a family history of digestive or other cancers was associated with an increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (n = 293), esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (n = 221), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (n = 261) or non‐cardia gastric adenocarcinoma (n = 368). After adjusting for other risk factors, individuals reporting a family history of digestive cancers experienced no increased risk of either type of esophageal cancer but they were prone to adenocarcinomas of the gastric cardia [odds ratio (OR) = 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91–1.97] and non‐cardia segments (OR =1.46, 95% CI 1.03–2.08). This familial tendency, particularly for non‐cardia gastric tumors, was largely explained by an association with family history of stomach cancer (OR = 2.52, 95% CI 1.50–4.23). In addition, family history of breast cancer was associated with increased risks of esophageal adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.07–2.83) and non‐cardia gastric adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.76, 95% CI 1.09–2.82). Also seen were non‐significant familial associations of esophageal squamous‐cell cancer with prostate cancer as well as non‐cardia gastric cancer with leukemia and brain tumors, though these relationships must be interpreted with caution. Our data point to the role of familial susceptibility to gastric cancer, but not to any form of esophageal cancer, in the United States.

African-American/White differences in breast carcinoma: p53 alterations and other tumor characteristics.

Despite mounting evidence that breast tumors in African‐American (AA) women are more aggressive compared with breast tumors in white (W) women, little is known regarding racial/ethnic differences in genetic alterations that may be of prognostic importance.

Comparison of Risk and Age at Diagnosis of Myocardial Infarction, End-Stage Renal Disease, and Non-AIDS-Defining Cancer in HIV-Infected Versus Uninfected Adults

BACKGROUND Although it has been shown that human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults are at greater risk for aging-associated events, it remains unclear as to whether these events happen at similar, or younger ages, in HIV-infected compared with uninfected adults. The objective of this study was to compare the median age at, and risk of, incident diagnosis of 3 age-associated diseases in HIV-infected and demographically similar uninfected adults. METHODS The study was nested in the clinical prospective Veterans Aging Cohort Study of HIV-infected and demographically matched uninfected veterans, from 1 April 2003 to 31 December 2010. The outcomes were validated diagnoses of myocardial infarction (MI), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and non-AIDS-defining cancer (NADC). Differences in mean age at, and risk of, diagnosis by HIV status were estimated using multivariate linear regression models and Cox proportional hazards models, respectively. RESULTS A total of 98 687 (31% HIV-infected and 69% uninfected) adults contributed >450 000 person-years and 689 MI, 1135 ESRD, and 4179 NADC incident diagnoses. Mean age at MI (adjusted mean difference, -0.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], -.59 to .37 years) and NADC (adjusted mean difference, -0.10 [95% CI, -.30 to .10] years) did not differ by HIV status. HIV-infected adults were diagnosed with ESRD at an average age of 5.5 months younger than uninfected adults (adjusted mean difference, -0.46 [95% CI, -.86 to -.07] years). HIV-infected adults had a greater risk of all 3 outcomes compared with uninfected adults after accounting for important confounders. CONCLUSIONS HIV-infected adults had a higher risk of these age-associated events, but they occurred at similar ages than those without HIV.

HIV as an Independent Risk Factor for Incident Lung Cancer

Background:It is unclear whether the elevated rate of lung cancer among HIV-infected persons is due to biological effects of HIV, surveillance bias, or excess smoking. We compared the incidence of lung cancer between HIV-infected and demographically similar HIV-uninfected patients, accounting for smoking and stage of lung cancer at diagnosis. Design:Data from the Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort were linked to data from the Veterans Affairs Central Cancer Registry, resulting in an analytic cohort of 37 294 HIV-infected patients and 75 750 uninfected patients. Methods:We calculated incidence rates of pathologically confirmed lung cancer by dividing numbers of cases by numbers of person-years at risk. We used Poisson regression to determine incidence rate ratios (IRRs), adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking prevalence, previous bacterial pneumonia, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Results:The incidence rate of lung cancer in HIV-infected patients was 204 cases per 100 000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 167–249] and among uninfected patients was 119 cases per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 110–129). The IRR of lung cancer associated with HIV infection remained significant after multivariable adjustment (IRR 1.7; 95% CI 1.5–1.9). Lung cancer stage at presentation did not differ between HIV-infected and uninfected patients. Conclusion:In our cohort of demographically similar HIV-infected and uninfected patients, HIV infection was an independent risk factor for lung cancer after controlling for potential confounders including smoking. The similar stage distribution between the two groups indicated that surveillance bias was an unlikely explanation for this finding.

Food group intake and risk of subtypes of esophageal and gastric cancer

Incidence rates for adenocarcinomas of the esophagus and gastric cardia have been increasing rapidly, while rates for non‐cardia gastric adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma have declined. We examined food group intake as a risk factor for subtypes of esophageal and gastric cancers in a multicenter, population‐based case–control study in Connecticut, New Jersey and western Washington state. Associations between food groups and risk were estimated using adjusted odds ratios (OR), based on increasing intake of one serving per day. Total vegetable intake was associated with decreased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.75, 0.96). Conversely, total meat intake was associated with increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.43, 95% CI = 1.11, 1.83), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 1.08, 1.73) and noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.12, 1.71), with red meat most strongly associated with esophageal adenocarcinoma risk (OR = 2.49, 95% CI = 1.39, 4.46). Poultry was most strongly associated with gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.89, 95% CI = 1.15, 3.11) and noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma (OR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.19, 3.03). High‐fat dairy was associated with increased risk of both esophageal and gastric cardia adenocarcinoma. Higher intake of meats, particularly red meats, and lower intake of vegetables were associated with an increased risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma, while higher intake of meats, particularly poultry, and high‐fat dairy was associated with increased risk of gastric cardia adenocarcinoma.