Ruifeng Xu

Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus docetaxel for the treatment of previously treated PD-L1 positive advanced NSCLC patients in the United States

Abstract Objectives: This analysis aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab compared with docetaxel in patients with previously treated advanced non-squamous cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PD-L1 positive tumors (total proportion score [TPS] ≥ 50%). The analysis was conducted from a US third-party payer perspective. Methods: A partitioned-survival model was developed using data from patients from the KEYNOTE 010 clinical trial. The model used Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimates of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) from the trial for patients treated with either pembrolizumab 2 mg/kg or docetaxel 75 mg/m2 with extrapolation based on fitted parametric functions and long-term registry data. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were derived based on EQ-5D data from KEYNOTE 010 using a time to death approach. Costs of drug acquisition/administration, adverse event management, and clinical management of advanced NSCLC were included in the model. The base-case analysis used a time horizon of 20 years. Costs and health outcomes were discounted at a rate of 3% per year. A series of one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results. Results: Base case results project for PD-L1 positive (TPS ≥50%) patients treated with pembrolizumab a mean survival of 2.25 years. For docetaxel, a mean survival time of 1.07 years was estimated. Expected QALYs were 1.71 and 0.76 for pembrolizumab and docetaxel, respectively. The incremental cost per QALY gained with pembrolizumab vs docetaxel is

Modeling the durability of ZOSTAVAX® vaccine efficacy in people ≥60 years of age.

168,619/QALY, which is cost-effective in the US using a threshold of 3-times GDP per capita. Sensitivity analyses showed the results to be robust over plausible values of the majority of inputs. Results were most sensitive to extrapolation of overall survival. Conclusions: Pembrolizumab improves survival, increases QALYs, and can be considered as a cost-effective option compared to docetaxel in PD-L1 positive (TPS ≥50%) pre-treated advanced NSCLC patients in the US.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab for Unresectable Metastatic Melanoma After Progression with Ipilimumab in England.

Since 2006, the vaccine, ZOSTAVAX(®), has been licensed to prevent herpes zoster. Only limited clinical follow-up data are available to evaluate duration of protection, an important consideration when developing HZ vaccination policy recommendations. Four Poisson regression models were developed based on an integrated analysis of data from the Shingles Prevention Study and its Short Term Persistence extension to estimate the effects of years-since-vaccination and chronological-age on vaccine efficacy among people ≥60 years old. The models included number of HZ cases parsed into categories by chronological-age and time-since-vaccination as the dependent variable with different explanatory variables in each model. In all models, the interaction between vaccine-group and chronological-age was statistically significant indicating that vaccine efficacy decreases with the expected effects of advancing age but the interaction between vaccine-group and time-since-vaccination was not statistically significant indicating that much of the reduction in vaccine efficacy over time-since-vaccination can be explained by increasing age.

Budget-Impact Analysis of Alternative Herpes Zoster Vaccine Strategies: A U.S. HMO Perspective

Evidence on relative treatment effects concerning OS, progression-free survival (PFS) and discontinuation due to any reason (treatment persistence) and adverse events (tolerability) was estimated using a mixed treatment comparison following a systematic review of randomized clinical trials enrolling post-menopausal women with hormone-sensitive ABC. Health service costs were included and a lifetime perspective adopted (5% annual discount rate). Results: Everolimus+exemestane is estimated to significantly delay progression or death (HR PFS = 0.53; 95% CI: [0.37; 0.76]) and to increment life expectancy by 6.8 months in comparison to fulvestrant (HR OS = 0.82; 95% CI: [0.50; 1.36]), resulting in a 0.45 discounted life year (LY) gain. Corresponding incremental health service costs amount to 16,544€ /patient starting everolimus+exemestane. This results in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 36,703€ /LY gained with everolimus+exemestane. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed a greater than 60% probability of everolimus+exemestane being costeffective against fulvestrant, at a willingness to pay of 50,000€ /LY. ConClusions: We evidence how valuable information from clinical trials can be pooled and used to inform about the therapeutic and economic value of guideline recommended therapies for advanced breast cancer.

Cost Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab vs. Standard-of-Care Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for Metastatic NSCLC that Expresses High Levels of PD-L1 in the United States

BACKGROUND A herpes zoster vaccine has been approved by the FDA for use in prevention of herpes zoster in individuals who are aged 50 years or older. The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommends vaccination only in individuals who are aged 60 years and older. OBJECTIVES To (a) estimate the overall budget and health impact of either the introduction of a new vaccination strategy (individuals over the age of 50 years vs. individuals over the age of 60 years) within a hypothetical health plan or simply an increase in coverage within the population aged 60 years and over and (b) discern what effect copayments and changes to copayments have on the health plans budget. METHODS A decision-analytic economic model was developed to inform managed care decision makers of the potential effect on costs and outcomes associated with the use of the herpes zoster vaccine for prevention of herpes zoster (i.e., simple zoster or shingles). The model took a U.S. payer perspective. The number of eligible patients entering the model was estimated by considering the age distribution of the plan population and the percentage of patients contraindicated for vaccination (i.e., those who were immunocompromised or who had a history of anaphylactic/anaphylactoid reaction to gelatin, neomycin, or any other component of the vaccine). Eligible patients were vaccinated based on the projected uptake rates among the unvaccinated population in 2 possible vaccination scenarios: (1) a vaccination strategy in which only individuals over age 60 years can be vaccinated and (2) a vaccination strategy in which individuals over age 50 years can be vaccinated. Vaccination was assumed to reverse the age-related decline in immunity against zoster. The population vaccinated each year was estimated based on the uptake rates (percentage of the eligible unvaccinated that are vaccinated) required to reach a target annual coverage (percentage ever vaccinated). Patients could experience costs and outcomes related to vaccination or related to herpes zoster. Specifically, vaccination could cause adverse events that would require the use of health care resources. Patients who developed zoster could experience postherpetic neuralgia or develop nonpain complications that would require the use of health care resources. Vaccine costs, zoster cases (with and without postherpetic neuralgia or nonpain complication), and vaccine-related adverse events for the 2 vaccination scenarios were estimated for each budget year. RESULTS For a managed care organization population of 5 million members, the model estimated that a vaccination program that included patients over age 50 years instead of a program limiting vaccination to those over age 60 years was associated with a decrease in the number of patients developing zoster (2,372-3,392 cases avoided over 5 years). Annual incremental per-member-per-month (PMPM) costs associated with this vaccination program change were estimated to range from

Cost Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab (Keytruda®) Versus Ipilimumab in Patients with Advanced Melanoma in the United States

0.08 to

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab Versus Ipilimumab in Ipilimumab-Naïve Patients with Advanced Melanoma in the United States

0.14. When the vaccination program was kept at age 60 years and over and coverage was increased, the model estimated that the annual incremental PMPM costs ranged from

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab for Advanced Melanoma Treatment in Portugal

0.04 to

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab (Keytruda®) Versus Ipilimumab in Patients with Advanced Melanoma in Canada

0.06. Differences in costs were driven primarily by vaccination costs. The results of the scenario analyses showed that lower vaccination costs because of the application of copayments for a managed care organization reduced the magnitude of the total cost increase associated with the increase in uptake. CONCLUSIONS Vaccinating individuals aged 50 to 59 years with the herpes zoster vaccine would likely have an impact on a health plans budget because of the expected increase in the total number of individuals being vaccinated in the population, with limited cost savings because of fewer cases of herpes zoster. Higher coverage of vaccinations resulted in a greater increase in total costs each year. However, increasing coverage would also result in a decrease in the number of individuals developing zoster and associated postherpetic neuralgia and nonpain complications over the next 5 years. DISCLOSURES Merck & Co. funded this study/research and was involved in all stages of study conduct, including analysis of the data. Merck & Co. also undertook all costs associated with the development and publication of this manuscript. Graham and Mauskopf (and/or their institutions) received research funding from Merck & Co. to develop the budget-impact estimates and for other research studies. Johnson, Xu, and Acosta are employees of Merck & Co. Kawai was employed by Merck & Co. during part of the time of this study. Graham and Mauskopf were primarily responsible for the design and programming of the economic model, identification and final selection of the input parameter values, interpretation of the study results, and preparation of the study report. Johnson, Kawai, Xu, and Acosta contributed to model design, input parameter estimation, interpretation of the results, and review of and revisions to the study report. All authors had access to the data, participated in the development of this manuscript, and gave final approval before submission. All authors have agreed to be accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.