Russell Gorddard

Building resilient pathways to transformation when “no one is in charge”: insights from Australia's Murray-Darling Basin

Climate change and its interactions with complex socioeconomic dynamics dictate the need for decision makers to move from incremental adaptation toward transformation as societies try to cope with unprecedented and uncertain change. Developing pathways toward transformation is especially difficult in regions with multiple contested resource uses and rights, with diverse decision makers and rules, and where high uncertainty is generated by differences in stakeholders’ values, understanding of climate change, and ways of adapting. Such a region is the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia, from which we provide insights for developing a process to address these constraints. We present criteria for sequencing actions along adaptation pathways: feasibility of the action within the current decision context, its facilitation of other actions, its role in averting exceedance of a critical threshold, its robustness and resilience under diverse and unexpected shocks, its effect on future options, its lead time, and its effects on equity and social cohesion. These criteria could potentially enable development of multiple stakeholder-specific adaptation pathways through a regional collective action process. The actual implementation of these multiple adaptation pathways will be highly uncertain and politically difficult because of fixity of resource-use rights, unequal distribution of power, value conflicts, and the likely redistribution of benefits and costs. We propose that the approach we outline for building resilient pathways to transformation is a flexible and credible way of negotiating these challenges.

Profit-Maximizing Land-Use Revisited: The Testable Implications of Non-joint Crop Production Under Land Constraint

This article derives new implications for the land allocation and production decisions of profit-maximizing farm-firms where production of different crops is non-joint but subject to a constraint on the total land area. These implications are observable and thus subject to empirical scrutiny. An estimable model of crop production, land allocation, and input-use decisions is derived that permits joint production and enables the implications of non-joint but land-constrained production to be tested. This may improve econometric estimates of cross-price elasticities of supply by linking models of land use and production decisions, and allowing non-jointness to be imposed where appropriate. Copyright 2013, Oxford University Press.