S. Bruce Malkowicz

Pretreatment Nomogram for Prostate-Specific Antigen Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy or External-Beam Radiation Therapy for Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE To present nomograms providing estimates of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure-free survival after radical prostatectomy (RP) or external-beam radiation therapy (RT) for men diagnosed during the PSA era with clinically localized disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS A Cox regression multivariable analysis was used to determine the prognostic significance of the pretreatment PSA level, 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason score in predicting the time to posttherapy PSA failure in 1,654 men with T1c,2 prostate cancer managed with either RP or RT. RESULTS Pretherapy PSA, AJCC clinical stage, and biopsy Gleason score were independent predictors (P < .0001) of time to posttherapy PSA failure in patients managed with either RP or RT. Two-year PSA failure rates derived from the Cox regression model and bootstrap estimates of the 95% confidence intervals are presented in the format of a nomogram stratified by the pretreatment PSA, AJCC clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, and local treatment modality. CONCLUSION Men at high risk (> 50%) for early (< or = 2 years) PSA failure could be identified on the basis of the type of local therapy received and the clinical information obtained as part of the routine work-up for localized prostate cancer. Selection of these men for trials evaluating adjuvant systemic and improved local therapies may be justified.

A Multivariate Analysis of Clinical and Pathological Factors that Predict for Prostate Specific Antigen Failure after Radical Prostatectomy for Prostate Cancer

A Cox regression multivariate analysis was done to determine the clinical and pathological indicators that predict for prostate specific antigen (PSA) failure in 347 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer between 1989 and 1993. In the patient subgroups (PSA less than 20 ng./ml. and biopsy Gleason sum 5 to 7 or PSA more than 10 to 20 ng./ml. and biopsy Gleason sum 2 to 4) not classifiable into those at high and low risk for postoperative PSA failure using PSA and biopsy Gleason sum, the status of the seminal vesicles and prostatic capsule on endo-rectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) allowed for this categorization. Specifically, 2-year actuarial PSA failure rates were 84% versus 23% in patients with and without seminal vesicle invasion, respectively, on MRI (p < 0.0001) and 58% versus 21% in those with and without extracapsular extension, respectively (p = 0.0001). In patients with extracapsular extension but without pathological involvement of the seminal vesicle(s) or poorly differentiated tumors (pathological Gleason sum 8 to 10), the 2-year actuarial PSA failure rates were 50% (margin positive), 28% (margin negative with established extracapsular disease) and 9% (margin negative with focal microscopic extracapsular disease). Therefore, endo-rectal coil MRI showing seminal vesicle invasion or extracapsular extension when the PSA level is less than 20 ng./ml. and the biopsy Gleason sum is 5 to 7 or the PSA level is more than 10 but less than 20 ng./ml. and the biopsy Gleason sum is 2 to 4 predicted for PSA failure. In patients with extracapsular extension who had pathological Gleason sum less than 8 disease with uninvolved seminal vesicles, the margin status and extent of extracapsular disease predicted for PSA failure.

Clinical Utility of the Percentage of Positive Prostate Biopsies in Defining Biochemical Outcome After Radical Prostatectomy for Patients With Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE To determine the clinical utility of the percentage of positive prostate biopsies in predicting prostate-specific antigen (PSA) outcome after radical prostatectomy (RP) for men with PSA-detected or clinically palpable prostate cancer. METHODS A Cox regression multivariable analysis was used to determine whether the percentage of positive prostate biopsies provided clinically relevant information about PSA outcome after RP in 960 men while accounting for the previously established risk groups that are defined according to pretreatment PSA level, biopsy Gleason score, and the 1992 American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) clinical T stage. The findings were then tested using an independent surgical database that included data for 823 men. RESULTS Controlling for the known prognostic factors, the percentage of positive prostate biopsies added clinically significant information (P <.0001) regarding time to PSA failure after RP. Specifically, 80% of the patients in the intermediate-risk group (1992 AJCC T2b, or biopsy Gleason 7 or PSA > 10 ng/mL and </= 20 ng/mL) could be classified into either an 11% or 86% 4-year PSA control cohort using the preoperative prostate biopsy data. These findings were validated in the intermediate-risk patients using an independent surgical data set. CONCLUSION The validated stratification of PSA outcome after RP using the percentage of positive prostate biopsies in intermediate-risk patients is clinically significant. This information can be used to identify men with newly diagnosed and clinically localized prostate cancer who are at high risk for early (</= 2 years) PSA failure and, therefore, may benefit from the use of adjuvant therapy.

An Interval Longer than 12 Weeks Between the Diagnosis of Muscle Invasion and Cystectomy is Associated with Worse Outcome in Bladder Carcinoma

PURPOSE The standard of care for muscle invasive transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder is radical cystectomy. Definitive therapy may often be delayed for various reasons. We assessed whether pathological stage and survival correlated with the length of time between diagnosis of muscle invasion and cystectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS The records of 290 consecutive patients who underwent radical cystectomy between February 1987 and July 2000 were reviewed. Of 265 (91.4%) cystectomies performed for transitional cell carcinoma data were available for 247 (85.2%) and 189 (65.2%) patients were identified who underwent surgery for muscle invasive disease (T2 or greater). The interval between diagnosis of muscle invasion and cystectomy was calculated for each patient. Patients were divided into groups based on time to surgery as group 1-less than 4 weeks, 2-4 to 6 weeks, 3-7 to 9 weeks, 4-10 to 12 weeks, 5-13 to 16 weeks, and 6-greater than 16 weeks. Exploratory univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to test the association of time lag with clinical features and postoperative survival. RESULTS Mean patient age was 66 years (range 37 to 84) and overall 3-year Kaplan-Meier estimated survival was 59.1% +/- 4% (median followup 36 months). For all patients mean interval from diagnosis to cystectomy was 7.9 weeks (range 1 to 40). Extravesical disease (P3a or greater) or positive nodes were identified in 84% (16 of 19) of patients when the delay was longer than 12 weeks, compared with 48.2% (82 of 170) in those with a time lag of 12 weeks or less (p < 0.01). Similarly 3-year estimated survival was lower (34.9% +/- 13.5%) for patients with a surgery delay longer than 12 weeks compared to those with a shorter interval 62.1% +/- 4.5% (hazards ratio 2.51, 95% CI 1.30-4.83, p = 0.006). When adjusted for nodal status, and clinical and pathological stages the interval was still statistically significant (adjusted hazards ratio 1.93, 95% CI 0.99-3.76, p = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS In patients undergoing radical cystectomy a delay in surgery of greater than 12 weeks was associated with advanced pathological stage and decreased survival. Although this relationship persisted after adjusting for nodal status, and clinical and pathological stages, the presence of lymph node metastasis remained the strongest predictor of patient outcome.

Acute Biochemical and Functional Alterations in The Partially Obstructed Rabbit Urinary Bladder

Rapid structural and functional alterations have been noted in several models of partial outlet obstruction. To better characterize the rapid progression of alterations, the partially obstructed urinary bladders of mature NZW male rabbits were studied at 1, 3, 5, 7 and 14 days of outlet obstruction with respect to muscarinic receptor density, DNA, RNA, lipid and hydroxyproline content. Functional characteristics were assessed by measuring the in vitro response of the whole bladder to cholinergic and field stimulation. Wet weight increased eight-fold by day 7, decreasing to four-fold at day 14. Receptor density decreased by 50% by day 1 and remained low throughout. Although DNA concentration varied only slightly from controls, RNA increased four-fold by day 7. Hydroxyproline concentration per mg. tissue decreased in the obstructed bladder, yet total hydroxyproline content of the obstructed bladder significantly increased. Total lipids increased significantly during day 3 through 7 and decreased by day 14. Cystometry revealed a large capacity low pressure system at day 1 which rapidly changed to a low compliance system of lesser volume by day 14. Bladder emptying was significantly impaired in all obstructed specimens. Additionally, electrical field stimulation was significantly less effective than cholinergic stimulation in effecting bladder emptying. The above findings suggest that rapid changes in biochemical parameters occur during the early stage of acute obstruction which may in part be secondary to metabolic or inflammatory alterations in the detrusor. It additionally suggests that the myogenic alterations in partial outlet obstruction are rapid and partially adaptive, while neurogenic alterations appear degenerative and display a lesser degree of short term adaptation.

Predicting prostate specific antigen outcome preoperatively in the prostate specific antigen era.

PURPOSE We evaluated the ability of previously defined risk groups to predict prostate specific antigen (PSA) outcome 10 years after radical prostatectomy in patients diagnosed with clinically localized prostate cancer during the PSA era. MATERIALS AND METHODS Between 1989 and 2000, 2,127 men with clinically localized prostate cancer underwent radical prostatectomy, including 1,027 at Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania (study cohort) and 1,100 at Brigham and Womens Hospital (validation cohort). Cox regression analysis was done to calculate the relative risk of PSA failure with the 95% confidence interval (CI) in patients at intermediate and high versus low risk. The Kaplan-Meier actuarial method was used to estimate PSA outcome 10 years after radical prostatectomy. RESULTS Compared with low risk patients (stages T1c to 2a disease, PSA 10 ng./ml. or less and Gleason score 6 or less) the relative risk of PSA failure in those at intermediate (stage T2b disease or PSA greater than 10 to 20 ng./ml. or less, or Gleason score 7) and high (stage T2c disease, or PSA greater than 20 ng./ml. or Gleason score 8 or greater) risk was 3.8 (95% CI 2.6 to 5.7) and 9.6 (95% CI 6.6 to 13.9) in the study cohort, and 3.3 (95% CI 2.3 to 4.8) and 6.3 (95% CI 4.3 to 9.4) in the validation cohort. The 10-year PSA failure-free survival rate in the 1,020 patients in the low, 693 in the intermediate and 414 in the high risk groups was 83%, 46% and 29%, respectively (p <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Based on 10-year actuarial estimates of PSA outcome after radical prostatectomy 3 groups of patients were identified using preoperative PSA, biopsy Gleason score and 1992 clinical T category.

Association of HPC2/ELAC2 Genotypes and Prostate Cancer

HPC2/ELAC2 has been identified as a prostate cancer (CaP) susceptibility gene. Two common missense variants in HPC2/ELAC2 have been identified: a Ser-->Leu change at amino acid 217, and an Ala-->Thr change at amino acid 541. Tavtigian et al. reported that these variants were associated with CaP in a sample of men drawn from families with hereditary CaP. To confirm this report in a sample unselected for family history, we studied 359 incident CaP case subjects and 266 male control subjects that were frequency matched for age and race and were identified from a large health-system population. Among control subjects, the Thr541 frequency was 2.9%, and the Leu217 frequency was 31.6%, with no significant differences in frequency across racial groups. Thr541 was only observed in men who also carried Leu217. The probability of having CaP was increased in men who carried the Leu217/Thr541 variants (odds ratio = 2.37; 95% CI 1.06-5.29). This risk did not differ significantly by family history or race. Genotypes at HPC2/ELAC2 were estimated to cause 5% of CaP in the general population of inference. These results suggest that common variants at HPC2/ELAC2 are associated with CaP risk in a sample unselected for family history or other factors associated with CaP risk.

THE COMBINATION OF PREOPERATIVE PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN AND POSTOPERATIVE PATHOLOGICAL FINDINGS TO PREDICT PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN OUTCOME IN CLINICALLY LOCALIZED PROSTATE CANCER

PURPOSE The independent clinical and pathological predictors of time to postoperative prostate specific antigen (PSA) failure were used to identify prostate cancer patients at high risk for this end point. MATERIALS AND METHODS A Cox regression multivariate analysis was used to determine the prognostic significance of preoperative PSA, pathological stage, prostatectomy Gleason score and margin status in predicting the time to postoperative PSA failure in 862 men with palpable (T2) or PSA detected (T1c) prostate cancer. The 2-year PSA failure rates with 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the results of Cox regression analysis and a bootstrap procedure with 2,000 replications, respectively, and are presented in nomogram format stratified by preoperative PSA, pathological stage, prostatectomy Gleason score and margin status. RESULTS Preoperative PSA (p = 0.0001), pathological stage (p< or =0.002), margin status (p = 0.0001) and prostatectomy Gleason score (p = 0.034) were independent predictors of time to postoperative PSA failure. CONCLUSIONS Patients at high risk for early PSA failure could be identified postoperatively on the basis of preoperative PSA and prostatectomy pathology. Adjuvant therapy trials in these select patients may be justified.

Toremifene to Reduce Fracture Risk in Men Receiving Androgen Deprivation Therapy for Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE Androgen deprivation therapy is associated with fracture risk in men with prostate cancer. We assessed the effects of toremifene, a selective estrogen receptor modulator, on fracture incidence in men receiving androgen deprivation therapy during a 2-year period. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this double-blind, placebo controlled phase III study 646 men receiving androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer were assigned to toremifene (80 mg by mouth daily) and 638 were assigned to placebo. Subjects were followed for 2 years. The primary study end point was new vertebral fractures. Secondary end points included fragility fractures, bone mineral density and lipid changes. RESULTS The 2-year incidence of new vertebral fractures was 4.9% in the placebo group vs 2.5% in the toremifene group, a significant relative risk reduction of 50% (95% CI -1.5 to 75.0, p = 0.05). Toremifene significantly increased bone mineral density at the lumbar spine, hip and femoral neck vs placebo (p <0.0001 for all comparisons). There was a concomitant decrease in markers of bone turnover (p <0.05 for all comparisons). Toremifene also significantly improved lipid profiles. Venous thromboembolic events occurred more frequently with toremifene than placebo with 7 subjects (1.1%) in the placebo group experiencing a venous thromboembolic event vs 17 (2.6%) in the toremifene group. Other adverse events were similar between the groups. CONCLUSIONS Toremifene significantly decreased the incidence of new vertebral fractures in men receiving androgen deprivation therapy for prostate cancer. It also significantly improved bone mineral density, bone turnover markers and serum lipid profiles.

Strategy for Repeat Biopsy of Patients with Prostatic Intraepithelial Neoplasia Detected by Prostate Needle Biopsy

PURPOSE We evaluated the strategy for repeat biopsy of patients with prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia without concurrent carcinoma detected on prostate needle biopsy. MATERIALS AND METHODS Of 1,275 consecutive patients undergoing prostate needle biopsy 61 were identified with prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia but without concurrent prostate carcinoma. Of the 61 patients 53 had undergone repeat biopsy. The medical records, transrectal ultrasound, and operative and pathological reports of these patients were reviewed. RESULTS Repeat biopsy was done in 53 patients with prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia, yielding carcinoma in 15, prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia without carcinoma in 8 and benign tissue in 30. The yield of carcinoma from repeat biopsy of a prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia site was 8.3% (7 of 84 sites). A total of 18 sites of carcinoma was detected by repeat biopsy of a previous random biopsy site (8), a prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia site only (5), a transrectal ultrasound nodule (3), a palpable nodule and prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia site (1), and a transrectal ultrasound nodule and prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia site (1). Carcinoma was as frequently detected by repeat biopsy of a prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia site (6 patients) as by random repeat biopsy (6 patients). CONCLUSIONS Repeat prostate needle biopsy of patients with prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia should include random repeat biopsy and repeat biopsy of transrectal ultrasound abnormalities as well as previous sites of prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia.