Sabina Rinaldi

Association between Pre-Diagnostic Circulating Vitamin D Concentration and Risk of Colorectal Cancer in European Populations: a Nested Case-Control Study

Objective To examine the association between pre-diagnostic circulating vitamin D concentration, dietary intake of vitamin D and calcium, and the risk of colorectal cancer in European populations. Design Nested case-control study. Setting The study was conducted within the EPIC study, a cohort of more than 520 000 participants from 10 western European countries. Participants 1248 cases of incident colorectal cancer, which developed after enrolment into the cohort, were matched to 1248 controls Main outcome measures Circulating vitamin D concentration (25-hydroxy-vitamin-D, 25-(OH)D) was measured by enzyme immunoassay. Dietary and lifestyle data were obtained from questionnaires. Incidence rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the risk of colorectal cancer by 25-(OH)D concentration and levels of dietary calcium and vitamin D intake were estimated from multivariate conditional logistic regression models, with adjustment for potential dietary and other confounders. Results 25-(OH)D concentration showed a strong inverse linear dose-response association with risk of colorectal cancer (P for trend <0.001). Compared with a pre-defined mid-level concentration of 25-(OH)D (50.0-75.0 nmol/l), lower levels were associated with higher colorectal cancer risk (<25.0 nmol/l: incidence rate ratio 1.32 (95% confidence interval 0.87 to 2.01); 25.0-49.9 nmol/l: 1.28 (1.05 to 1.56), and higher concentrations associated with lower risk (75.0-99.9 nmol/l: 0.88 (0.68 to 1.13); ≥100.0 nmol/l: 0.77 (0.56 to 1.06)). In analyses by quintile of 25-(OH)D concentration, patients in the highest quintile had a 40% lower risk of colorectal cancer than did those in the lowest quintile (P<0.001). Subgroup analyses showed a strong association for colon but not rectal cancer (P for heterogeneity=0.048). Greater dietary intake of calcium was associated with a lower colorectal cancer risk. Dietary vitamin D was not associated with disease risk. Findings did not vary by sex and were not altered by corrections for season or month of blood donation. Conclusions The results of this large observational study indicate a strong inverse association between levels of pre-diagnostic 25-(OH)D concentration and risk of colorectal cancer in western European populations. Further randomised trials are needed to assess whether increases in circulating 25-(OH)D concentration can effectively decrease the risk of colorectal cancer.

Insulin-like Growth Factors, Their Binding Proteins, and Prostate Cancer Risk: Analysis of Individual Patient Data from 12 Prospective Studies

Context Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and IGF binding proteins may be associated with some cancers. Contribution This reanalysis of individual patient data from 12 studies of the association between IGFs and IGF binding proteins and prostate cancer suggests that higher levels of serum IGF-I are associated with higher risk for prostate cancer. Caution The 12 studies varied in the types of patients they studied and in how they measured IGFs. Implication High IGF-I levels seem to be a risk factor for prostate cancer. The Editors Prostate cancer is one of the most common types of cancer in men, yet few risk factors for the disease, other than age, race, and a family history, have been established (1, 2). Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and their associated binding proteins (IGFBPs) have been the subject of many epidemiologic investigations of prostate cancer because they are known to help regulate cell proliferation, differentiation, and apoptosis (3). Although results from some, but not all, studies suggest an association between IGFs and IGFBPs and prostate cancer risk, there has been much uncertainty about its consistency and magnitude. A previous meta-analysis that included only 3 prospective studies suggested that high levels could be associated with more than a 2-fold increase in risk (4), although recent studies have suggested the risk is lower. Furthermore, given that these peptides are correlated with each other, uncertainty remains about any observed relationships. The individual studies are rarely large enough to allow proper mutual adjustment for these correlated factors, and they are insufficiently powered to investigate the consistency of their findings in key subgroups (for example, stage and grade of disease). Such analyses are important because studies have suggested that IGF-I might be more associated with advanced than with localized disease (5, 6). The Endogenous Hormones and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group was established to conduct collaborative reanalyses of individual data from prospective studies on the relationships between circulating levels of sex hormones and IGFs and subsequent prostate cancer risk. Results for the sex hormones have been reported elsewhere and show no statistically significant relation between androgen or estrogen levels in men and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer (7). We report results for concentrations of IGFs and IGFBPs. Methods Participants The Endogenous Hormones and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group is described in detail elsewhere (7). In brief, the group invited principal investigators of all studies, found by searching PubMed, Web of Science, and CancerLit, that provided data on circulating concentrations of sex steroids, IGFs or IGFBPs, and prostate cancer risk by using prospectively collected blood samples to join the collaboration. Thirteen studies collected data on circulating IGF concentrations and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer (5, 6, 820), of which 1 contributed only data on sex hormones (20). Eleven of the studies used a matched casecontrol design nested within a prospective cohort study (5, 6, 812, 16, 19) or a randomized trial (1315, 17). One study used a casecohort design (18) and was converted into a matched casecontrol design by randomly matching up to 3 control participants to each case patient by age at recruitment, time between blood collection and diagnosis, time of blood draw, and race. (Table 1 provides a full description of the studies and matching criteria used.) Most of the prospective studies were population-based, with the exception of 1 based on health plan members (9), 1 that recruited male health professionals (16), and 1 that was a combination of an intervention study and a monitoring study for cardiovascular disease (6, 10). Two of the randomized trials did not have prostate cancer as a primary end point (5, 8, 15); the other 2 were based within a screening trial (13) or were about treatment of prostate-specific antigen (PSA)detected prostate cancer (14). Table 1. Study Characteristics Individual participant data were available for age; height; weight; smoking status; alcohol consumption; marital status; socioeconomic status (assessed by educational achievement); race; concentrations of IGFs, IGFBPs, and endogenous sex steroids; and PSA level. Information sought about prostate cancer included date of diagnosis, stage and grade of disease, and method of case patient ascertainment. Some studies (5, 6, 8, 10, 16) published more than 1 article or performed assays at different times on the association between IGFs and prostate cancer risk, sometimes with different matched casecontrol sets, laboratory measurements, and durations of follow-up. For each study, we created a single data set in which each participant appeared only once. In our analysis, we treated any participant who appeared in a study as both a control participant and a case patient as a case patient only. We removed matched set identifiers, and we generated a series of strata (equivalent to matched sets) in which participants in each study were grouped according to age at recruitment (2-year age bands) and date of recruitment (by year), because these matching criteria were common to most studies (Table 1). The number of strata used in the collaborative analysis was slightly less than that of matched sets used in the original analyses. To ensure that this process did not introduce any bias, we checked that the results for each study, using the original matched sets, were the same as those using the strata described above. Tumors were classified as advanced if the tumor was described as extending beyond the prostate capsule (T3/T4), and/or there was lymph node involvement (N1/N2/N3), and/or there were distant metastases (M1); tumors were classified as localized if they were T0/T1/T2 and N0/NX and M0. We classified tumors as high-grade if they had a Gleason score of 7 or more or were moderately poorly or poorly differentiated; otherwise, they were classified as low-grade. Statistical Analysis We calculated partial correlation coefficients between log-transformed IGF and IGFBP concentrations among control participants, adjusted for age at blood collection (<50, 50 to 59, 60 to 69, or 70 years) and study. For each IGF and IGFBP, we categorized men into quintiles of IGF and IGFBP serum concentrations, with cut-points defined by the study-specific quintiles of the distribution within control participants. For studies with more than 1 publication or in which the serum assays were done at different times, resulting in different absolute levels of IGFs (5, 6, 8, 10, 16), we calculated cut-points separately for each substudy. We used a conditional logistic regression stratified by study, age at recruitment (2-year age bands), and date of recruitment (single year) as our main method of analysis. To provide a summary measure of risk, we calculated a linear trend by scoring the quintiles of the serum IGF or IGFBP concentrations as 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, and 1. Under the assumption of linearity, a unit change in this trend variable is equivalent to the odds ratio (OR) comparing the highest with the lowest quintile. All results are unadjusted for participant characteristics, except for those controlled by the stratification variables. We examined the possible influence of 5 participant characteristics by adjusting the relevant conditional logistic regression models for body mass index (BMI) (<22.5, 22.5 to 24.9, 25.0 to 27.4, 27.5 to 29.9, or >30 kg/m2), marital status (married or cohabiting, or not married or cohabiting), educational status (did not attend college or university, or attended college or university), smoking (never, previous, or current), and alcohol consumption (<10 or 10 g/d). We excluded participants from the analysis if they had a missing value for the characteristic under examination. We assessed heterogeneity in linear trends among studies by using a chi-square statistic to test whether the study-specific ORs were statistically different from the overall OR (21). Heterogeneity among studies was also quantified by calculating the H and I 2 statistics (22). To test whether the linear trend OR estimates for each IGF and IGFBP varied according to case patient characteristics, we estimated a series of subsets for each characteristic: stage at diagnosis (localized or advanced), grade at diagnosis (low or high), year of diagnosis (before 1990, 1990 to 1994, or 1995 onward; these year cutoffs were chosen to attempt to reflect differences in the use of the PSA test for cancer detection), age at diagnosis (<60, 60 to 69, or 70 years), and time between blood collection and diagnosis (<3, 3 to 6, or 7 years). We excluded case patients from the analyses of stage and grade at diagnosis if the relevant information was not available. For each of these case patient characteristics, we calculated a heterogeneity chi-square statistic to assess whether the estimated ORs statistically differed from each other (21). To assess whether the OR estimate of the linear trend for each IGF or IGFBP varied according to PSA level at recruitment (<2 g/L or 2 g/L), we entered an interaction term into the conditional logistic regression model for each IGF or IGFBP, and we tested the statistical significance of the interaction term with a likelihood ratio test. Statistical significance was set at the 5% level. All statistical tests were 2-sided. All statistical analyses were done with Stata, version 9.0 (StataCorp, College Station, Texas). Results Table 1 shows the characteristics of the studies. The 12 prospective studies included approximately 3700 case patients with prostate cancer and 5200 control participants. Insulin-like growth factor I and IGFBP-III measurements were available for all and 3600 case patients, respectively. However, IGF-II and IGFBP-II measurements were available for only 379 and 419 case patients, respectively (Table 2). Mean age at blood collection

Fruit, vegetables, and colorectal cancer risk: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition.

BACKGROUND A high consumption of fruit and vegetables is possibly associated with a decreased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the findings to date are inconsistent. OBJECTIVE We examined the relation between self-reported usual consumption of fruit and vegetables and the incidence of CRC. DESIGN In the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), 452,755 subjects (131,985 men and 320,770 women) completed a dietary questionnaire in 1992-2000 and were followed up for cancer incidence and mortality until 2006. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS After an average follow-up of 8.8 y, 2,819 incident CRC cases were reported. Consumption of fruit and vegetables was inversely associated with CRC in a comparison of the highest with the lowest EPIC-wide quintile of consumption (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.75, 1.00; P for trend = 0.04), particularly with colon cancer risk (HR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.63, 0.91; P for trend < 0.01). Only after exclusion of the first 2 y of follow-up were these findings corroborated by calibrated continuous analyses for a 100-g increase in consumption: HRs of 0.95 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.00; P = 0.04) and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.89, 0.99; P = 0.02), respectively. The association between fruit and vegetable consumption and CRC risk was inverse in never and former smokers, but positive in current smokers. This modifying effect was found for fruit and vegetables combined and for vegetables alone (P for interaction < 0.01 for both). CONCLUSIONS These findings suggest that a high consumption of fruit and vegetables is associated with a reduced risk of CRC, especially of colon cancer. This effect may depend on smoking status.

Prospective study of IGF-I, IGF-binding proteins, and breast cancer risk, in northern and southern Sweden.

Objective: To examine the possible relationships of breast cancer risk to prediagnostic plasma levels of insulin; insulin-like growth factor-I (IGF-I); and IGF-binding proteins -1, -2, and -3. Methods: Within two prospective cohorts in Umeå and Malmö we measured plasma concentrations of insulin, IGF-I, and IGFBPs for a total of 513 incident breast cancer cases and 987 matched controls. Results: Globally, risk was unassociated with levels of IGF-I, IGFBP-3, or IGF-I adjusted for IGFBP-3. When breaking down the analysis by subgroups of age at blood donation, an increase in risk was observed for increasing levels of IGF-I in women aged 55 or older, in the Umeå cohort only (odds ratios of 1.00, 1.73, 1.76, 1.90; ptrend = 0.05). This effect weakened, however, when the analysis was restricted to subjects who did not use exogenous hormones for the treatment of menopausal symptoms. Levels of IGF-I and IGFBP-3 were not related to risk in younger women, recruited before age 50, contrary to observations from previous studies. In a subcohort where blood samples had been collected after at least four hours of fasting, breast cancer risk showed no clear associations with levels of insulin, IGFBP-1, or IGFBP-2. Conclusions: Our results do not confirm earlier findings of an association of plasma IGF-I levels with breast cancer risk especially in young women, but suggest a possible association with postmenopausal breast cancer risk, possibly among ERT/HRT users only. Our results do not support the hypothesis that elevated plasma insulin levels, and reduced levels of IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-2, are associated with increased breast cancer risk.

Postmenopausal levels of oestrogen, androgen, and SHBG and breast cancer: long-term results of a prospective study

We assessed the association of sex hormone levels with breast cancer risk in a case–control study nested within the cohort of 7054 New York University (NYU) Womens Health Study participants who were postmenopausal at entry. The study includes 297 cases diagnosed between 6 months and 12.7 years after enrollment and 563 controls. Multivariate odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence interval (CI)) for breast cancer for the highest quintile of each hormone and sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG) relative to the lowest were as follows: 2.49 (1.47–4.21), Ptrend=0.003 for oestradiol; 3.24 (1.87–5.58), Ptrend<0.001 for oestrone; 2.37 (1.39–4.04), Ptrend=0.002 for testosterone; 2.07 (1.28–3.33), Ptrend<0.001 for androstenedione; 1.74 (1.05–2.89), Ptrend<0.001 for dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS); and 0.51 (0.31–0.82), Ptrend<0.001 for SHBG. Analyses limited to the 191 cases who had donated blood five to 12.7 years prior to diagnosis showed results in the same direction as overall analyses, although the tests for trend did not reach statistical significance for DHEAS and SHBG. The rates of change per year in hormone and SHBG levels, calculated for 95 cases and their matched controls who had given a second blood donation within 5 years of diagnosis, were of small magnitude and overall not different in cases and controls. The association of androgens with risk did not persist after adjustment for oestrone (1.08, 95% CI=0.92–1.26 for testosterone; 1.15, 95% CI=0.95–1.39 for androstenedione and 1.06, 95% CI=0.90–1.26 for DHEAS), the oestrogen most strongly associated with risk in our study. Our results support the hypothesis that the associations of circulating oestrogens with breast cancer risk are more likely due to an effect of circulating hormones on the development of cancer than to elevations induced by the tumour. They also suggest that the contribution of androgens to risk is largely through their role as substrates for oestrogen production.

Endogenous sex hormones and endometrial cancer risk in women in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)

Epidemiological data show that reproductive and hormonal factors are involved in the etiology of endometrial cancer, but there is little data on the association with endogenous sex hormone levels. We analyzed the association between prediagnostic serum concentrations of sex steroids and endometrial cancer risk in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition using a nested case–control design of 247 incident endometrial cancer cases and 481 controls, matched on center, menopausal status, age, variables relating to blood collection, and, for premenopausal women, phase of menstrual cycle. Using conditional regression analysis, endometrial cancer risk among postmenopausal women was positively associated with increasing levels of total testosterone, free testosterone, estrone, total estradiol, and free estradiol. The odds ratios (ORs) for the highest versus lowest tertile were 2.66 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.50–4.72; P=0.002 for a continuous linear trend) for estrone, 2.07 (95% CI 1.20–3.60; P=0.001) for estradiol, and 1.66 (95% CI 0.98–2.82; P=0.001) for free estradiol. For total and free testosterone, ORs for the highest versus lowest tertile were 1.44 (95% CI 0.88–2.36; P=0.05) and 2.05 (95% CI 1.23–3.42; P=0.005) respectively. Androstenedione and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate were not associated with risk. Sex hormone-binding globulin was significantly inversely associated with risk (OR for the highest versus lowest tertile was 0.57, 95% CI 0.34–0.95; P=0.004). In premenopausal women, serum sex hormone concentrations were not clearly associated with endometrial cancer risk, but numbers were too small to draw firm conclusions. In conclusion, relatively high blood concentrations of estrogens and free testosterone are associated with an increased endometrial cancer risk in postmenopausal women.

Circulating levels of sex steroid hormones and risk of endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women

Experimental and epidemiological data support a role for sex steroid hormones in the pathogenesis of endometrial cancer. The associations of pre‐diagnostic blood concentrations of estradiol, estrone, testosterone, androstenedione, DHEAS and SHBG with endometrial cancer risk were investigated. A case‐control study was nested within 3 cohorts in New York (USA), Umeå (Sweden) and Milan (Italy). Cases were 124 postmenopausal women with invasive endometrial cancer. For each case, 2 controls were selected, matching the case on cohort, age and date of recruitment. Only postmenopausal women who did not use exogenous hormones at the time of blood donation were included. Odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by conditional logistic regression. ORs (95% CI) for endometrial cancer for quartiles with the highest hormone levels, relative to the lowest were as follows: 4.13 (1.76–9.72), ptrend = 0.0008 for estradiol, 3.67 (1.71–7.88), ptrend = 0.0007 for estrone, 2.15 (1.05–4.40), ptrend = 0.04 for androstenedione, 1.74 (0.88–3.46), ptrend = 0.06 for testosterone, 2.90 (1.42–5.90), ptrend = 0.002 for DHEAS and 0.46 (0.20–1.05), ptrend = 0.01 for SHBG after adjustment for body mass index, use of oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy. The results of our multicenter prospective study showed a strong direct association of circulating estrogens, androgens and an inverse association of SHBG levels with endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women. The effect of elevated androstenedione and testosterone levels on disease risk seems to be mediated mainly through their conversion to estrogens, although an independent effect of androgens on tumor growth cannot be ruled out, in particular in the years close to diagnosis.

Serum levels of IGF-I, IGFBP-3 and colorectal cancer risk: results from the EPIC cohort, plus a meta-analysis of prospective studies.

Several prospective studies have shown a moderate positive association between increasing circulating insulin‐like growth factor‐I (IGF‐I) levels and colorectal cancer risk. However, the associations were often statistically nonsignificant, and the relationship of cancer risk with IGF‐Is major binding protein, IGFBP‐3, showed major discrepancies between studies. We investigated the association of colorectal cancer risk with serum IGF‐I, total and intact IGFBP‐3, in a case‐control study nested within the EPIC cohort (1,121 cases of colorectal cancer and 1,121 matched controls). Conditional logistic regression was used to adjust for possible confounders. Our present study results were combined in a meta‐analysis with those from 9 previous prospective studies to examine the overall evidence for a relationship of prediagnostic serum IGF‐I with colorectal cancer risk. In the EPIC study, serum concentrations of IGF‐I and IGFBP‐3 showed no associations with risk of colorectal cancer overall. Only in subgroup analyses did our study show moderate positive associations of IGF‐I levels with risk, either among younger participants only (and only for colon cancer) or among participants whose milk intakes were in the lowest tertile of the population distribution (RR for an increase of 100 ng/ml = 1.43 [95% CI = 1.13–1.93]). Nevertheless, in the meta‐analysis a modest positive association remained between serum IGF‐I and colorectal cancer risk overall (RR = 1.07 [1.01–1.14] for 1 standard deviation increase in IGF‐I). Overall, data from our present study and previous prospective studies combined indicate a relatively modest association of colorectal cancer risk with serum IGF‐I.

Reproductive risk factors and endometrial cancer: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

Endometrial cancer risk has been associated with reproductive factors (age at menarche, age at menopause, parity, age at first and last birth, time since last birth and use of oral contraceptives (OCs)]. However, these factors are closely interrelated and whether they act independently still requires clarification. We conducted a study to examine the association of menstrual and reproductive variables with the risk of endometrial cancer among the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). Among the 302,618 women eligible for the study, 1,017 incident endometrial cancer cases were identified. A reduction in endometrial cancer risk was observed in women with late menarche, early menopause, past OC use, high parity and a shorter time since last full‐term pregnancy (FTP). No association was observed for duration of breast feeding after adjustment for number of FTP or for abortion (spontaneous or induced). After mutual adjustment, late age at menarche, early age at menopause and duration of OC use showed similar risk reductions of 7–8% per year of menstrual life, whereas the decreased risk associated with cumulative duration of FTPs was stronger (22% per year). In conclusion, our findings confirmed a reduction in risk of endometrial cancer with factors associated with a lower cumulative exposure to estrogen and/or higher exposure to progesterone, such as increasing number of FTPs and shorter menstrual lifespan and, therefore, support an important role of hormonal mechanisms in endometrial carcinogenesis.

Prediagnostic levels of C-peptide, IGF-I, IGFBP -1, -2 and -3 and risk of endometrial cancer†

Conditions related to chronic hyperinsulinemia, such as obesity, noninsulin dependent diabetes mellitus and polycystic ovary syndrome, are associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer. Elevated plasma IGF‐I and decreased levels of IGF‐binding proteins have been shown to be associated with increased risk of several cancer types that are frequent in affluent societies. We investigated for the first time in a prospective study the association of pre‐diagnostic blood concentrations of C‐peptide (a marker of pancreatic insulin production), IGF‐I, IGFBP‐1, ‐2 and ‐3 with endometrial cancer risk. A case‐control study was nested within 3 cohorts in New York (USA), Umeå (Sweden) and Milan (Italy). It included 166 women with primary invasive endometrial cancer and 315 matched controls, of which 44 case and 78 control subjects were premenopausal at recruitment. Endometrial cancer risk increased with increasing levels of C‐peptide (ptrend = 0.0002), up to an odds ratio (OR) of 4.76 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.91–11.8] for the highest quintile. This association remained after adjustment for BMI and other confounders [OR for the top quintile = 4.40 (1.65–11.7)]. IGFBP‐1 levels were inversely related to endometrial cancer [ptrend = 0.002; OR in the upper quintile = 0.30 (0.15–0.62)], but the association was weakened and lost statistical significance after adjustment for confounders [ptrend = 0.06; OR in the upper quintile = 0.49 (0.22–1.07)]. Risk was unrelated to levels of IGF‐I, IGFBP‐2 and IGFBP‐3. Chronic hyperinsulinemia, as reflected by increased circulating C‐peptide, is associated with increased endometrial cancer risk. Decrease in the prevalence of chronic hyperinsulinemia, through changes in lifestyle or medication, is expected to prevent endometrial cancer.