Sandra Rae

Suppression of plasma viral load below 20 copies/ml is required to achieve a long-term response to therapy

Background:Current guidelines state that the goal of antiretroviral therapy for HIV-infected individuals is to suppress plasma viral load (pVL) to below 400 copies/ml Methods:Predictors of achieving and maintaining pVL suppression were examined in a randomized trial of combinations of zidovudine, nevirapine and didanosine in patients with CD4+ T cell counts of between 200 and 600 × 106 cells/I who were naive to antiretroviral therapy and AIDS-free at enrolment. Results:One hundred and four patients had pVL > 500 copies/ml at baseline and a pVL nadir below 500 copies/ml. Of these, 77 patients experienced an increase in pVL above 500 copies/ml. The median number of days of pVL suppression to below 500 copies/ml was 285 (42) for patients with pVL nadir ≤ (>) 20 copies/ml (P = 00.0001). The relative risk of an increase in pVL above 500 copies/ml associated with a pVL nadir below 20 copies/ml was 0.11 (P = 0.0001). The relative risks of an increase in pVL above 5000 copies/ml associated with a pVL nadir below 20 copies/ml or between 20 and 400 copies/ml were 0.05 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.02–0.12] and 0.37 (95% CI, 0.23–0.61) respectively, compared with individuals with a pVL nadir > 400 copies/ml. Individuals with a pVL nadir ≤ 20 copies/ml were at a significantly lower risk of virologic failure than individuals with a pVL nadir of between 21 and 400 copies/ml (P = 0.0001). Conclusions:Our results demonstrate that suppression of pVL below 20 copies/ml is necessary to achieve a long-term antiretroviral response. Our data support the need for a revision of current therapeutic guidelines for the management of HIV infection.

The social determinants of emergency department and hospital use by injection drug users in Canada

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to describe the relationship between sociodemographic characteristics and human immunodeficiency (HIV) status of a cohort of injection drug users (IDUs) on their self-reported health service utilization.DesignInterviewer-administered questionnaire.MethodsIDUs who had injected illicit drugs within the previous month were recruited through street outreach. They underwent serology for HIV-1 and questionnaires on demographics, drug using behaviors, housing status, and health service utilization (hospitalization overnight and emergency department visits) in the previous 6 months. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent associations with the use of health services.ResultsOf 1,103 cohort participants, 65% were male, 63% were white, and 23% were HIV positive. Cocaine was the most frequently injected drug used. Almost half (47%) had used health services in the previous 6 months. The following variables were associated independently with health service utilization (adjusted odds ratio; 95% confidence interval): unstable housing, defined as living primarily in a hotel, boarding room, or transition house or on the street in the past 6 months (1.44; 1.11–1.86); female gender (1.45; 1.11–1.89); HIV-positive status (1.43; 1.06–1.92); injection of cocaine (1.50; 1.12–2.02); and primary care physician visit in past 6 months (1.91; 1.39–2.64).ConclusionIDUs with unstable housing were more likely to report emergency department and hospital use, which may be a reflection of their disorganized lifestyle or poorer health status. Further studies are required to assess the effect on the health status and health care use of IDUs of interventions that increase the availability of safe, affordable housing.

A Pilot Study of Hydroxyurea among Patients with Advanced Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Disease Receiving Chronic Didanosine Therapy: Canadian HIV Trials Network Protocol 080

To assess the in vivo short-term antiretroviral effect of hydroxyurea in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected persons chronically treated with didanosine (ddI), 26 patients with CD4 cell counts between 100 and 350 were enrolled in a 12-week, open-label pilot study and randomly assigned to receive 500 or 1000 mg/day hydroxyurea. Clinical status, laboratory toxicities, CD4 lymphocyte count, and HIV RNA plasma virus load were assessed weekly. Median declines from baseline of 0.02 and 0.63 log10 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL of plasma were observed for the 500- and 1000-mg/day groups, respectively (P = .02). CD4 cell counts did not change significantly with the addition of hydroxyurea; however, a small but statistically significant decrease in counts was observed during the washout phase. Both doses of hydroxyurea were well-tolerated. These results demonstrate a substantial decrease in plasma virus load when 1000 mg of hydroxyurea is administered over 1 month as adjunctive therapy to ddI among HIV-infected persons with 100-350 CD4 cells/mm3.

A Pilot Study of Nevirapine, Indinavir, and Lamivudine among Patients with Advanced Human Immunodeficiency Virus Disease Who Have Had Failure of Combination Nucleoside Therapy

The effects of nevirapine, indinavir, and lamivudine in combination were studied among 22 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients with CD4 cell counts < or =50/mm3, whose options for antiretroviral therapy were limited by clinical or laboratory failure or toxicity with previous regimens. Median plasma HIV RNA was 5.16 log10 copies/mL at baseline, decreasing by a median of 3.12 log10 copies/mL at 24 weeks. Median baseline CD4 cell count was 30/mm3, increasing by a median of 95/mm3 at week 24. Adverse reactions led to drug discontinuation in 4 cases. Steady-state pharmacokinetic analysis in 17 patients was consistent with an interaction between nevirapine and indinavir. Nevirapine plasma levels were within the expected range, while indinavir levels were lower than expected. Despite this interaction, the combination of nevirapine, indinavir, and lamivudine was safe and well-tolerated and had substantial antiviral and immunologic effects lasting for the 24-week study.

Consecutive rebounds in plasma viral load are associated with virological failure at 52 weeks among HIV-infected patients.

ObjectivesTo describe the characteristics and predictors of transient plasma viral load (pVL) rebounds among patients on stable antiretroviral therapy and to determine the effect of one or more pVL rebounds on virological response at week 52. MethodsIndividual data were combined from 358 patients from the INCAS, AVANTI-2 and AVANTI-3 studies. Logistic regression models were used to determine the relationship between the magnitude of an increase in pVL and the probability of returning to the lower limit of quantification (LLOQ: 20–50 copies/ml) and to determine the odds of virological success at 52 weeks associated with single and consecutive pVL rebounds. ResultsA group of 165 patients achieved a pVL nadir < LLOQ; of these, 85 patients experienced pVL rebounds within 52 weeks. The probability of a pVL rebound was greater among patients who did not adhere to treatment (68% vs 49%;P < 0.05). The probability of reachieving virological suppression after a pVL rebound was not associated with the magnitude of the rebound [odds ratio (OR), 0.86;P = 0.56] but was associated with triple therapy (OR, 2.22;P = 0.06) or non-adherence (OR, 0.40;P = 0.04). The probability of virological success at week 52 was not associated with an isolated pVL rebound but was less likely after detectable pVL at two consecutive visits. ConclusionsAn isolated pVL rebound was not associated with virological success at 52 weeks but rebounds at two consecutive visits decreased the probability of later virological success. Given their high risk of short-term virological failure, patients who present with consecutive detectable pVL measurements following complete suppression should be considered ideal candidates for intervention studies.

Suppression of Plasma Virus Load below the Detection Limit of a Human Immunodeficiency Virus Kit Is Associated with Longer Virologic Response than Suppression below the Limit of Quantitation

Suppression of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 plasma virus load (PVL) to <20 copies/mL is associated with a longer virologic response after initiation of antiretroviral therapy. The relationship between duration of virologic response and PVL nadir according to a less sensitive assay was explored. When compared with subjects with a PVL nadir >500 copies/mL, the relative risks of PVL rising above 1000 copies/mL for participants in the INCAS trial and the British Columbia Drug Treatment Program with a PVL nadir below the limit of detection (LOD) were 0.04 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.02-0.09) and 0.06 (95% CI, 0.03-0.12), respectively. The corresponding relative risks for persons with a detectable but not quantifiable PVL nadir were 0.25 (95% CI, 0.13-0.50) and 0.54 (95% CI, 0.25-1.19). The relative risks of virologic failure associated with a PVL nadir detectable but not quantifiable and a PVL nadir below the LOD were statistically different (P<.0001) in both data sets.

Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Infected Persons with Mutations Conferring Resistance to Zidovudine Show Reduced Virologic Responses to Hydroxyurea and Stavudine-Lamivudine

The baseline predictors of poor virologic response (<0.5 log decrease in plasma virus load) were examined in two 1996 pilot trials of combination nucleoside-analogue therapy. One trial examined the addition of hydroxyurea to didanosine therapy; the other examined stavudine-lamivudine in combination. In both, predictors of virologic response included the presence of mutations associated with zidovudine resistance. For hydroxyurea, the odds ratio (OR) of failure to achieve a short-term (4 weeks) virologic response in a bivariate logistic regression model was 30.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-543; P=.02) for use of lower dose hydroxyurea (500 mg/day) and 14.7 (95% CI, 1.1-200; P=.04) for the presence of a zidovudine-related mutation. For the stavudine-lamivudine study, the OR of failure to achieve a virologic response at 4 weeks in a multivariate logistic regression model was 23 (95% CI, 2.7-199; P=.004) for the presence of a mutation at codon 215.

Correlation of Virus Load in Plasma and Lymph Node Tissue in Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection

The impact of long-term changes in plasma viremia, produced by effective combination antiretroviral therapy, on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) burden within tissue reservoirs is unknown. Fifteen patients who had received at least 1 year of therapy with two or three drug combinations of zidovudine, didanosine, and nevirapine had suitable samples of lymph node tissue obtained by ultrasound-guided core needle biopsy. HIV RNA was extracted from homogenized tissue samples and quantitated using a modified branched DNA assay. Results were correlated with antiretroviral treatment effect on the basis of plasma virus load measurements over the preceding 12-18 months. A statistically significant negative correlation was observed between magnitude of treatment effect on plasma viremia and lymph node virus load. These data suggest that combinations of antiretroviral drugs that produce sustained suppression of plasma HIV RNA may also be able to reduce the virus burden in lymphoid tissues.

Stavudine plus Lamivudine in Advanced Human Immunodeficiency Virus Disease: A Short-Term Pilot Study

The short-term effects of stavudine (d4T) plus lamivudine (3TC) were evaluated among 48 human immunodeficiency virus-infected patients for whom zidovudine therapy had failed or who could not tolerate zidovudine. Patients were followed for 8 weeks after initiation of open-label d4T plus 3TC. Four patients discontinued therapy, because of neutropenia (1), hepatitis (1), or neuropathy (2). Reduction in virus load was -0.86 (+0.3 to -3.4) log10 copies/mL and CD4 cell increase was 30 (-100 to +290) cells/mm3. Virologic response was associated with a higher CD4 cell count, no prior exposure to d4T and 3TC, and no previous AIDS-defining illness. Virus load reduction for patients naive to 3TC and d4T was -1.47 (-0.14 to -3.37) log10 copies/mL. Short-term use of d4T plus 3TC is safe, well-tolerated, and associated with virologic and substantial immunologic benefits. Further evaluation of d4T and 3TC in combination is warranted.

Estimates of the virological benefit of antiretroviral therapy are both assay- and analysis-dependent

Objective:To assess the potential discrepancies in reported changes in plasma viral load (PVL) depending on how values below the detection limit of the assay are handled in the data analysis phase of a randomized controlled clinical trial. Design:Data from a recently completed clinical trial comparing combinations of zidovudine, didanosine and nevirapine were analysed. In this trial, PVL was measured using an assay with a lower quantification limit of 400 HIV-1 RNA copies/ml initially. All PVL values less than 500 copies/ml were retested with a more sensitive assay with a lower quantification limit of 20 copies/ml. Methods:Several summary measures for assessing change in PVL were calculated using three different methods to adjust for PVL values less than the quantification limit of the assay. The differences between these measures were evaluated. Results:We found that the magnitude of the discrepancy between summary measures used to report changes in PVL depended on the proportion of subjects with PVL less than the quantification limit of the assay, how those observations were handled in the data analysis, and the relative difference between the quantification limits of the conventional and more sensitive assay. Conclusion:The lack of consensus in reporting of PVL data in the literature makes the interpretation of published trial results difficult. In the absence of agreement on the most appropriate summary measure of PVL data, we recommend that all summaries include information on the quantification limit of the assay used, the proportion of observations at or below the quantification limit and how these observations were handled in the data analysis.