Scott S. Emerson

The Clinical Usefulness of Serum Prostate Specific Antigen After Hormonal Therapy of Metastatic Prostate Cancer

We longitudinally followed serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) levels in 48 patients who were treated with either orchiectomy, monthly luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone injection or continuous diethylstilbestrol for stage D2 prostate adenocarcinoma and achieved an objective response. Of the patients 34 had clinical evidence of disease progression (median remission duration 19 months). Median length of followup for the 14 patients who remained in remission was 42 months. Pretreatment performance status, pretreatment extent of metastases as measured by a bone scan and post-treatment nadir PSA level were univariately correlated with remission duration. After adjustment for the 2 former pretreatment variables, a highly significant independent effect of the nadir PSA level on remission duration persisted. Patients whose post-treatment nadir PSA level decreased below 4 ng./ml. had a significantly longer remission duration than those whose nadir PSA remained elevated (median 42 versus 10 months, p less than 0.0001). No cases were observed to progress (as defined by our criteria independent of PSA level) while the serial post-treatment PSA levels continued to decrease or remained at a plateau after reaching the nadir. The time at which the PSA began to increase once the nadir was reached predated objective evidence of progression in all patients except 2 in whom the 2 events occurred simultaneously (mean lead time 7.3 +/- 5.0 months). We conclude that following serial PSA levels in patients treated with androgen ablation for metastatic prostate cancer can aid in distinguishing favorable from nonfavorable responders early in the course of therapy and greatly assist in monitoring for progression.

Cytogenetics of 158 patients with regional or disseminated melanoma. Subset analysis of near-diploid and simple karyotypes.

We report on the cytogenetic analyses of 158 cases of metastatic malignant melanoma, comprised of 63 cases with regional disease (RD) and 95 cases with distant (metastatic) disease (DD). Clonal structural abnormalities were identified in 126 (80%) cases and were significantly increased ( < 0.01 after adjusting for multiple comparisons) on chromosomes (in order of frequency of involvement) 1, 6, 7, 11, 9, and 3. Clustering of breakpoints occurred at 1p36, 1p22-q21, 6p11-q21, 9p, 11q23-qter, 13p (especially for cases with DD), and 19q13. The most common clonal numerical abnormalities, in a subset of 49 near-diploid cases were -10, -22, -9, +7, -19, and -Y. Analysis of chromosome segment gains and losses (CSRP) showed frequent loss of chromosomes 6 and 10, followed by equal rates of involvement of chromosomes 1, 7, and 9. Whole or segmental losses of chromosome 9 (especially 9p) correlate well with recent molecular genetic studies identifying putative suppressor genes, and are also likely important genetic abnormalities. However, based on the frequency of abnormalities in this large series of metastatic melanomas, it is likely that structural abnormalities of 1 and 6, and 10 are important in the pathogenesis of sporadic advanced melanoma.

Serum can inhibit reversal of multidrug resistance by chemosensitisers

The purpose of this study was to evaluate to what extent the ability of various chemosensitisers (CS) to reverse P-glycoprotein-associated multidrug resistance (MDR) is reduced when tested in physiological serum protein concentrations. Utilising drug sensitivity and accumulation assays, the CS were tested in medium containing 10% fetal bovine serum and in 100% horse or human serum. Two RPMI 8226 human myeloma sublines were used which express different levels of P-glycoprotein. The CS were tested at various concentrations, including clinically achievable blood levels. When using the CS at high doses, wide differences were observed in the extent CS activity was diminished by serum. Verapamil, cyclosporin A and quinine were not affected, quinidine and medroxyprogesterone acetate were moderately inhibited, and amiodarone and trifluoperazine were largely inactivated. When the CS were used at concentrations achievable in humans, the activity of all agents except quinine was markedly reduced by serum. With respect to the extent to which CS activity was diminished by serum, good statistical correlation (r > 0.90, P < 0.001) was found between the use of cytotoxicity and drug accumulation assays, horse and human serum or cell lines with high and low levels of P-glycoprotein, respectively. These studies demonstrated that physiological serum protein concentrations can profoundly diminish the MDR reversing activity of particular CS. Some drugs, such as amiodarone and trifluoperazine, are largely inactivated by serum when used at a wide range of concentrations. Other agents, such as verapamil and cyclosporin A, are essentially unaffected when used at high doses but markedly inhibited at concentrations achievable in humans. These data suggest that in vitro studies of CS in medium containing low serum protein concentrations can result in misleading conclusions regarding the potential clinical activity of such agents.

STOPPING A CLINICAL TRIAL VERY EARLY BASED ON UNPLANNED INTERIM ANALYSES :A GROUP SEQUENTIAL APPROACH

In the conduct of a clinical trial, unexpectedly high rates of toxicity may cause a researcher to want to terminate the trial early even though no formal stopping rule had been specified. The experience of one such clinical trial is used as an example of the ways in which group sequential methodology can be applied in deciding to stop the study, as well as in reporting the results of the clinical trial. This approach is then compared to a Bayesian analysis.