Scott Wegner

Comparisons of causes of death and mortality rates among HIV-infected persons : Analysis of the pre-, early, and late HAART (Highly active antiretroviral therapy) eras

Methods:Comparisons of death-related variables during the 3 eras were performed. Results:The number of deaths declined over the study period, with 987 deaths in the pre-HAART era, 159 deaths in the early HAART era (1997-1999), and 78 deaths in the late HAART era (2000-2003) (P < 0.01). The annual death rate peaked in 1995 (10.3 per 100 patients) and then declined to <2 deaths per 100 persons in the late HAART era (P < 0.01). The proportion of deaths attributable to infection decreased, but infection remained the leading cause of death in our cohort, followed by cancer. Of those who died, there was an increasing proportion of non-HIV-related deaths (32% vs. 9%; P < 0.01), including cardiac disease (22% vs. 8%; P < 0.01) and trauma (8% vs. 2%; P = 0.01) in the post-HAART versus pre-HAART era. Despite the absence of intravenous drug use and the low prevalence of hepatitis C coinfection in our cohort, an increasing proportion of deaths in the HAART era were attributable to liver disease, although the numbers are small. Conclusions:Despite increasing concerns regarding antiretroviral resistance, the death rate among HIV-infected persons in our cohort continues to decline. Our data show a lower death rate than that reported among many other US HIV-infected populations; this may be the result of open access to health care. A shift in the causes of death toward non-HIV-related causes suggests that a more comprehensive health care approach may be needed for optimal life expectancy; this may include enhanced screening for malignancy and heart disease as well as preventive measures for liver disease and accidents.

Trends in the Incidence of Cancers among HIV-Infected Persons and the Impact of Antiretroviral Therapy: A 20-Year Cohort Study

Objective:To describe trends in incidence rates of AIDS-defining cancers (ADCs) and non-AIDS-defining cancers (NADCs) during the HIV epidemic and to evaluate predictors, including the impact of antiretroviral therapy, of cancer development. Design:Retrospective analysis of a multicenter, prospective natural history study including 4498 HIV-infected US military beneficiaries with 33 486 person-years of follow-up. Methods:Predictors evaluated included demographics, clinical data, time-updated CD4 cell counts, HIV viral loads, and antiretroviral history. Time periods were classified as early pre (1984–1990), late pre (1991–1995), early post (1996–2000), and late post (2001–2006) HAART eras. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association of specific factors with cancer. Results:Ten percent of HIV-infected persons developed cancer. ADC rates increased between the early and late pre-HAART eras (7.6 and 14.2 cases per 1000 person-years) and have since declined from 5.4 to 2.7 in the early and late HAART eras, respectively (P < 0.001). Rates of NADCs have risen over the four periods (2.9, 2.8, 4.2, 6.7, P = 0.0004). During the late HAART era, 71% of cancers were NADCs. Predictors for ADCs included low CD4 cell count, noncancer AIDS diagnosis, and lack of HAART. NADCs were predicted by increasing age and white race (due to skin cancers). Conclusion:Although the rate of ADCs continues to fall, the rate of NADCs is rising and now accounts for the majority of cancers in HIV-infected persons. The development of NADCs is associated with increasing age among HIV patients. HAART use is protective for ADCs, but did not significantly impact NADCs.

Clinical Outcomes of Elite Controllers, Viremic Controllers, and Long-Term Nonprogressors in the US Department of Defense HIV Natural History Study

Durable control of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) replication and lack of disease progression in the absence of antiretroviral therapy were studied in a military cohort of 4586 subjects. We examined groups of elite controllers (ie, subjects with plasma HIV RNA levels of <50 copies/mL; prevalence, 0.55% [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.35%-0.80%]), viremic controllers (ie, subjects with plasma HIV RNA levels of 50-2000 copies/mL; prevalence, 3.34% [95% CI, 2.83%-3.91%]), and subjects with a lack of disease progression (ie, long-term nonprogressors [LTNPs]) through 7 years of follow-up (LTNP7s; prevalence, 3.32% [95% CI, 2.70%-4.01%]) or 10 years of follow-up (LTNP10s; prevalence, 2.04% [95% CI, 1.52%-2.68%]). For elite and viremic controllers, spontaneous virologic control was established early and was typically observed when the initial viral load measurement was obtained within 1 year of estimated seroconversion. Elite controllers had favorable time to development of AIDS (P=.048), a CD4 cell count of 350 cells/microL (P= .009), and more-stable CD4 cell trends, compared with viremic controllers. LTNPs defined by 10-year versus 7-year criteria had a longer survival time (P=.001), even after adjustment for differing periods of invulnerability (P= .042). Definitions of controllers and LTNPs describe distinct populations whose differing clinical outcomes improve with the stringency of criteria, underscoring the need for comparability between study populations.

Prevalence of genotypic and phenotypic resistance to anti-retroviral drugs in a cohort of therapy-naïve HIV-1 infected US military personnel.

ObjectiveWhile transmission of drug-resistant HIV-1 has been reported, estimates of prevalence of resistance in drug-naïve populations are incomplete. We investigated the prevalence of genotypic mutations and phenotypic antiretroviral resistance in a cohort of HIV-1 infected U.S. military personnel prior to the institution of antiretroviral therapy. DesignCross-sectional cohort study. MethodsPlasma was obtained from 114 recently HIV-1 infected subjects enrolled in an epidemiological study. Genotypic resistance was determined by consensus sequencing of a PCR product from the HIV-1 pol gene. Sequences were interpreted by a phenotypic–genotypic correlative database. Resistance phenotypes were determined by a recombinant virus cell culture assay. ResultsGenotypic mutations and phenotypic resistance were found at a higher than expected frequency. Resistance to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors was most common, with a prevalence of 15% of 95 subjects by genotype and 26% of 91 subjects by phenotype. Genotypic and phenotypic resistance respectively were found in 4% and 8% of subjects for nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and in 10% and 1% for protease inhibitors. One subject harbored virus with resistance to all three drug classes. ConclusionsA substantial frequency of resistance to antiretroviral drugs was identified in a therapy-naïve U.S. cohort. In most cases, the genotypic and phenotypic assays yielded similar results, although the genotypic assay could detect some protease inhibitor resistance-associated mutations in the absence of phenotypic resistance. These data suggest the need for optimization of treatment guidelines based on current estimates of the prevalence of drug resistance in HIV-1 seroconverters.

World-wide variation in HIV-1 phenotypic susceptibility in untreated individuals: biologically relevant values for resistance testing.

ObjectivesTo examine the natural phenotypic variability in drug susceptibility among recombinant HIV-1 isolates from a large number of untreated HIV-positive individuals from wide-ranging geographic locations, and to use this information to establish biologically relevant cut-off values for phenotypic antiretroviral susceptibility testing. MethodsPhenotypic susceptibility to 14 antiretroviral agents was determined for HIV-1 samples from > 1000 treatment-naive individuals in seven clinical trials. Samples were from the USA (n = 351), Germany (n = 306), Canada (n = 265), and South Africa (n = 358). Geometric mean fold-resistance and confidence intervals were determined relative to a standard laboratory wild-type virus. ResultsBaseline fold-resistance was approximately log-normally distributed for all antiretroviral agents examined. There was no evidence of large geographical differences in average antiviral susceptibility. Geometric mean fold-resistance for each of 14 antiviral agents was similar (± 0.5-fold) for samples derived from the USA, Canada, Germany, or South Africa. The non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) exhibited the broadest distribution of susceptibility; approximately 97.5% of all isolates had < 2.5–4.0, < 3.0–4.5, and < 5–10 fold-decrease in susceptibility to five protease inhibitors, six nucleoside analogues, and three NNRTI, respectively. No consistent geographic pattern or clade effect (B versus C) in either the mean or the distribution of baseline antiretroviral susceptibility was observed. ConclusionsPhenotypic drug susceptibility of HIV-1 in untreated individuals varies markedly from drug to drug, with broadly similar patterns world-wide. These results have important implications in defining the ‘normal range’ of phenotypic susceptibility to antiretroviral agents and establish biologically relevant cut-off values for this phenotypic drug susceptibility test.

Long-Term Efficacy of Routine Access to Antiretroviral-Resistance Testing in HIV Type 1–Infected Patients: Results of the Clinical Efficacy of Resistance Testing Trial

The long-term efficacy of making resistance testing routinely available to clinicians has not been established. We conducted a clinical trial at 6 US military hospitals in which volunteers infected with human immunodeficiency virus type-1 were randomized to have routine access to phenotype resistance testing (PT arm), access to genotype resistance testing (GT arm), or no access to either test (VB arm). The primary outcome measure was time to persistent treatment failure despite change(s) in antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen. Overall, routine access to resistance testing did not significantly increase the time to end point. Time to end point was significantly prolonged in the PT arm for subjects with a history of treatment with > or =4 different ART regimens or a history of treatment with nonnucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors before the study, compared with that in the VB arm. These results suggest that routine access to resistance testing can improve long-term virologic outcomes in HIV-infected patients who are treatment experienced but may not impact outcome in patients who are naive to or have had limited experience with ART.

Race and mental health diagnosis are risk factors for highly active antiretroviral therapy failure in a military cohort despite equal access to care.

Background:Data suggest that African Americans have lower rates of virologic suppression using highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), possibly because of socioeconomic status and access to care. In a US Military clinic, where beneficiaries have ready access to no-cost health care, the impact of several variables (including race) on HIV virologic suppression were examined. Methods:Retrospective analysis of antiretroviral-naive patients who began HAART between 1997 and 2003. Demographics, viral loads, CD4 cell counts, and mental health diagnoses were analyzed. Results:The charts of 129 individuals who initiated their first antiretroviral regimen during the period of observation were evaluated. The overall efficacy of reaching viral suppression was 71% at 12 months and 56% at 24 months. HIV suppression was achieved at 12 months by 63% of African Americans and 92% of whites (P = 0.001). Mental health diagnosis was associated with failure at 24 months (38 vs. 61%; P = 0.034). Being white (odds ratio = 3.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2 to 10.3; P = 0.022) and lacking a mental health diagnosis (odds ratio = 8.7, 95% CI: 2.4 to 32.1; P = 0.001) were both associated with increased efficacy at 24 months by multivariate analysis. Conclusions:African-American race and the presence of a mental health diagnoses were independently associated with antiretroviral failure. Equal access to care yields high efficacy rates with HAART but does not fully equilibrate racial differences in virologic failure.

Increasing Age at Hiv Seroconversion From 18 to 40 Years Is Associated With Favorable Virologic and Immunologic Responses to Haart

Background:Studies evaluating the effect of age on response to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) have been limited by their inability to control for duration of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. We examined the effect of age at HIV seroconversion on response to HAART. Methods:A retrospective analysis of a longitudinal US military cohort of HIV-infected subjects. Time to and maintenance of viral suppression, rate of CD4 cell increase, and rate of progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome or death were compared across age groups using time-to-event methods. Results:Five hundred sixty-three HIV-infected adults who seroconverted after January 1, 1996, and started HAART were included. Increasing age at seroconversion was significantly associated with faster time to viral suppression (P = 0.002). Increasing age also correlated with duration of suppression, with a 35% reduction in risk of viral rebound for every 5-year increase in age above 18 years (hazard ratio: 0.65, 95% confidence interval 0.55 to 0.75). The rate of CD4 cell increase from 6 to 84 months post-HAART was significantly greater in those who seroconverted at older ages (P = 0.0002). Rates of progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome or death did not differ between groups. Conclusions:Increasing age at seroconversion was associated with shorter time to and longer maintenance of viral suppression and a faster increase in CD4 cell count.

Effectiveness of highly-active antiretroviral therapy by race/ethnicity

Objective:To determine the effectiveness of HAART by race/ethnicity. Design:Prospective multicenter cohort study. Methods:We studied 991 African–Americans and 911 European–Americans enrolled in the United States Militarys Tri-Service AIDS Clinical Consortium Natural History Study who had dates of HIV seroconversion known within 5 years and followed between 1990 and 2002. We determined the rate of disease progression to AIDS and death for subjects in this cohort. Multivariable models evaluated race, pre-HAART (1990–1995) and HAART (1996–2002) eras, age, gender and military service. Results:In the pre-HAART era, African–Americans had a statistically nonsignificant trend towards better outcomes: the relative hazards (RH) of AIDS and death for African–Americans compared to European–Americans were 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68–1.05] and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.55–1.08), respectively. In the HAART era, outcomes were similar by race: 1.17 (95% CI, 0.86–1.61) for AIDS and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.81–1.53) for death with overlapping Kaplan–Meier curves. Relative to the pre-HAART era, the adjusted RH of AIDS in the HAART era was 0.41 (95% CI, 0.31–0.54) and 0.30 (95% CI, 0.22–0.40) for African–American and European–American participants, respectively. Analogous RH for death were 0.55 (95% CI, 0.38–0.80) and 0.38 (95% CI, 0.27–0.54). The precipitous declines in AIDS and death in the HAART era were not statistically different by race. Conclusions:In a large multi-racial cohort with equal access to health care, HIV treatment outcomes by race/ethnicity were similar.

Is HIV Becoming More Virulent? Initial CD4 Cell Counts among HIV Seroconverters During the Course of the HIV Epidemic: 1985-2007

BACKGROUND Whether human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconverters have been presenting with progressively lower CD4 cell counts over the course of the HIV epidemic is controversial. Additional data on whether HIV might have become more virulent on a population level (measured by post-seroconversion CD4 cell counts) may provide important insights regarding HIV pathogenesis. METHODS To determine whether post-seroconversion CD4 cell counts have changed over time, we evaluated 2174 HIV seroconverters as part of a large cohort study during the period 1985-2007. Participants were documented antiretroviral-naive HIV seroconverters who had a CD4 cell count measured within 6 months after receiving a diagnosis of HIV infection. Multiple linear regression models were used to assess trends in initial CD4 cell counts. RESULTS The mean initial CD4 cell count decreased during the study period from 632 cells/mm(3) in 1985-1990 to 553 cells/mm(3) in 1991-1995, 493 cells/mm(3) in 1996-2001, and 514 cells/mm(3) in 2002-2007. During those periods, the percentages of seroconverters with an initial CD4 cell count <350 cells/mm(3) were 12%, 21%, 26%, and 25%, respectively. In the multiple linear model, the mean decrease in CD4 cell count from 1985-1990 was 65 cells/mm(3) in 1991-1995 (P < .001)), 107 cells/mm(3) in 1996-2001 (P < .001), and 102 cells/mm(3) in 2002-2007 (P < .001). Similar trends occurred with regard to CD4 cell percentage and total lymphocyte count. Similar decreases in initial CD4 cell counts were observed among African American and white persons during the epidemic. DISCUSSION A significant decrease in initial CD4 cell counts among HIV seroconverters in the United States has occurred during the HIV epidemic. These data provide an important clinical correlate to suggestions that HIV may have adapted to the host, resulting in a more virulent infection.