Shintaro Kasahara

Temporal Trends in Clinical Characteristics, Management and Prognosis of Patients With Symptomatic Heart Failure in Japan – Report From the CHART Studies –

BACKGROUND Temporal trends in clinical characteristics, management and prognosis of patients with symptomatic heart failure (HF) remain to be elucidated in Japan. METHODSANDRESULTS From the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-1 (CHART-1; 2000-2005, n=1,278) and CHART-2 (2006-present, n=10,219) Studies, we enrolled 1,006 and 3,676 consecutive symptomatic stage C/D HF patients, respectively. As compared with the patients in the CHART-1 Study, those in the CHART-2 Study had similar age and sex prevalence, and were characterized by lower brain natriuretic peptide, higher prevalence of preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and higher prevalence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and ischemic heart disease (IHD), particularly IHD with LVEF ≥50%. From CHART-1 to CHART-2, use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors, β-blockers and aldosterone antagonists was significantly increased, while that of loop diuretics and digitalis was decreased. Three-year incidences of all-cause death (24 vs. 15%; adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR], 0.73; P<0.001), cardiovascular death (17 vs. 7%; adjHR, 0.38; P<0.001) and hospitalization for HF (30 vs. 17%; adjHR, 0.51; P<0.001) were all significantly decreased from CHART-1 to CHART-2. In the CHART-2 Study, use of β-blockers was associated with improved prognosis in patients with LVEF <50%, while that of statins was associated with improved prognosis in those with LVEF ≥50%. CONCLUSIONS Along with implementation of evidence-based medications, the prognosis of HF patients has been improved in Japan. ( TRIAL REGISTRATION clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00418041)

Characterization of heart failure patients with mid-range left ventricular ejection fraction—a report from the CHART-2 Study

The new category of heart failure (HF), HF with mid‐range left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HFmrEF), has recently been proposed. However, the clinical features of HFmrEF, with reference to HF with preserved LVEF (HFpEF) and HF with reduced LVEF (HFrEF) in the same HF cohort, remain to be fully examined.

Prognostic Impact of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure – A Report From the CHART-2 Study –

BACKGROUND The prognostic impact of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) is not fully elucidated. METHODS AND RESULTS We examined 4,818 consecutive stage C/D chronic heart failure (CHF) patients in the Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,859 (38.6%) of them had AF. Compared with the 2,953 patients without AF, AF patients were characterized by higher age (71 vs. 68 years), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (58.9 vs. 61.9 ml/min/1.73 m(2)), higher brain natriuretic peptide (152 vs. 74.5 pg/ml), similar left ventricular ejection fraction (56.8 vs. 56.5%), and a similar prescription rate of β-blockers (48.1 vs. 50.6%) and renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors (72.9 vs. 71.6%). Among the patients without AF at enrollment, 106 (3.6%) developed new AF during the median 3.2-year follow-up, which was associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.72; P=0.013). In contrast, neither paroxysmal nor chronic AF at enrollment was associated with increased mortality. The mortality rate was significantly high in the first year after the onset of new AF. On inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis using propensity score, RAS inhibitors and statins were associated with reduced incidence of new AF, and diuretics were associated with increase of new AF. CONCLUSIONS Onset of new AF, but not a history of AF, is associated with increased mortality in CHF patients, especially in the first year.

Prognostic Impact of Loop Diuretics in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure – Effects of Addition of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors and β-Blockers –

BACKGROUND It remains to be elucidated whether addition of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors and/or β-blockers to loop diuretics has a beneficial prognostic impact on chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. METHODSANDRESULTS From the Chronic Heart failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku district 2 (CHART-2) Study (n=10,219), we enrolled 4,134 consecutive patients with symptomatic stage C/D CHF (mean age, 69.3 years, 67.7% male). We constructed Cox models for composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke and HF admission. On multivariate inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) Cox modeling, loop diuretics use was associated with worse prognosis with hazard ratio (HR) 1.28 (P<0001). Furthermore, on IPTW multivariate Cox modeling for multiple treatments, both low-dose (<40 mg/day) and high-dose (≥40 mg/day) loop diuretics were associated with worse prognosis with HR 1.32 and 1.56, respectively (both P<0.001). Triple blockade with RAS inhibitor(s), mineral corticoid (aldosterone) receptor antagonist(s) (MRA), and β-blocker(s) was significantly associated with better prognosis in those on low-dose but not on high-dose loop diuretics. CONCLUSIONS Chronic use of loop diuretics is significantly associated with worse prognosis in CHF patients in a dose-dependent manner, whereas the triple combination of RAAS inhibitor(s), MRA, and β-blocker(s) is associated with better prognosis when combined with low-dose loop diuretics. (Circ J 2016; 80: 1396-1403).

Prognostic Impact of Atrial Fibrillation and New Risk Score of Its Onset in Patients at High Risk of Heart Failure ― A Report From the CHART-2 Study ―

BACKGROUND The prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients at high risk for heart failure (HF) remains unclear. In addition, there is no risk estimation model for AF development in these patients.Methods and Results:The present study included 5,382 consecutive patients at high risk of HF enrolled in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,217 (22.6%) had AF, and were characterized, as compared with non-AF patients, by higher age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 116 non-AF patients (2.8%) newly developed AF (new AF) during the median 3.1-year follow-up. AF at enrollment was associated with worse prognosis for both all-cause death and HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.31, P=0.027 and aHR 1.74, P=0.001, for all-cause death and HF hospitalization, respectively) and new AF was associated with HF hospitalization (aHR 4.54, P<0.001). We developed a risk score with higher age, smoking, pulse pressure, lower eGFR, higher BNP, aortic valvular regurgitation, LV hypertrophy, and left atrial and ventricular dilatation on echocardiography, which effectively stratified the risk of AF development with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.76). CONCLUSIONS These results indicated that AF is associated with worse prognosis in patients at high risk of HF, and our new risk score may be useful to identify patients at high risk for AF onset.

Long-term prognostic impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake in patients with cardiovascular disease – Report from the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND We and others have previously reported that the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) caused a significant but transient increase in cardiovascular diseases and deaths in the disaster area. However, it remains to be examined whether the GEJE had a long-term prognostic influence in large-scale cohort studies. This point is important when analyzing the data before and after the GEJE in the cohort studies in the disaster area. METHODS We examined 8676 patients registered in our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (N=10,219) between 2006 and 2010 and were alive after March 10, 2011. RESULTS There were 48 GEJE-related deaths, causing a sharp and transient increase in all-cause death within a month after the GEJE. However, after excluding the GEJE-related deaths, the cubic polynomial spline smoothing showed no significant increase in all-cause death, heart failure admission, non-fetal acute myocardial infarction, or non-fetal stroke during the median 3-year follow-up after the GEJE. The extrapolation curves beyond the GEJE, which were obtained by the parametric survival models based on the survival data censored on the GEJE, were not significantly different from the Kaplan-Meier curves estimating the survival functions of deaths and cardiac events during the total follow-up period without considering the impacts of the GEJE. Furthermore, the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model applied to the matched cohort of the baseline data and the data after the GEJE showed no significant differences in the impacts of prognostic factors on all-cause mortality before and after the GEJE. CONCLUSIONS These results indicate that the GEJE had no significant long-term prognostic impact after the earthquake in cardiovascular patients in the disaster area.

Prognostic Impact of Statin Intensity in Heart Failure Patients With Ischemic Heart Disease: A Report From the CHART‐2 (Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku District 2) Study

Background The beneficial prognostic impact of statins has been established in patients with ischemic heart disease but not in those with heart failure (HF). In addition, it is still unclear whether patients benefit from statins regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Methods and Results We examined 2444 consecutive stage C or D HF patients with ischemic heart disease registered in CHART‐2 (Chronic Heart Failure Registry and Analysis in the Tohoku District 2), a multicenter, prospective, observational cohort study in Japan. Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the Japanese standard doses of statins and statin‐intensity categories defined by the 2013 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association guidelines: higher (moderate‐high)‐intensity (n=868), lower (low)‐intensity (n=526), and no statin (n=1050). The median follow‐up period was 6.4 years (13929 person‐years). Analysis with the inverse probability of treatment weighted using a propensity score for multiple treatment revealed that both the higher‐intesity group (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.68; P<0.001) and the lower‐intensity group (HR: 0.82; P<0.001) had significantly lower incidence of the primary end point—a composite of all‐cause death and HF admission—compared with the no statin group. The higher‐intensity statin group had significantly lower incidence of the primary end point (HR: 0.82; P<0.001), all‐cause death (HR: 0.83; P<0.001), and HF admission (HR: 0.78; P<0.001) than the lower‐intensity statin group. Moreover, the use of statins, either higher‐ or lower‐intensity, was associated with reduced incidence of the primary end point, regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Conclusions These results suggest that statin use, particularly the use of higher‐intensity statins, has a beneficial prognostic impact in HF patients with ischemic heart disease, regardless of low‐density lipoprotein cholesterol levels. Clinical Trial Registration URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00418041.

The 3A3B score: The simple risk score for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction - A report from the CHART-2 Study

BACKGROUND Few simple risk models, without echocardiography have been developed for patients with heart failure (HF) and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HFpEF). METHODS To develop a risk score to predict all-cause death for HFpEF patients, we examined 1277 HF patients with LVEF ≥50% and BNP ≥100 pg/ml in the CHART-2 Study, a large-scale prospective cohort study for HF in Japan. We selected the optimal subset of covariates for the score with Cox proportional hazard models and random survival forests (RSF). RESULTS During the median 5.7-year follow-up, 576 deaths occurred. Cox models and RSF analyses consistently indicated age ≥75 years, albumin <3.7 g/dl, anemia, BMI <22 kg/m2, BNP ≥300 pg/ml (or NT-proBNP ≥1400 pg/ml), and BUN ≥25 mg/dl, as the important 6 prognostic variables. Incorporating these 6 variables, we developed a scoring system (3A3B score, with 2 points given to age ≥75 years and 1 point to the others based on the hazard ratios. The discrimination ability of the risk score was excellent (c-index 0.708). Regarding model goodness-of-fit, the overall gradient in 5-year risk was well captured by the score. The predictive accuracy of the 3A3B score was confirmed in the external validation cohorts from the TOPCAT trial (N = 835, c-index 0.652) and the ASIAN-HF registry (N = 170, c-index 0.741). CONCLUSIONS We developed a simple risk score to predict long-term prognosis of HFpEF patients. The 3A3B score, comprising 6 commonly available parameters in daily practice, has potential utility in the risk stratification and management of HFpEF patients.

Prognostic impact of residual stenosis after percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with ischemic heart failure – A report from the CHART-2 study

BACKGROUND Complete revascularization with PCI is not always achieved in patients with ischemic HF. Therefore, this study aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of residual coronary stenosis (RS) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in patients with ischemic heart failure (HF). METHODS We analyzed a total of 1307 patients with symptomatic HF and a history of PCI registered in our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study. RS that was defined as the presence of ≥70% luminal stenosis in major coronary arteries at the last coronary angiography. RESULTS Among the study population, 851 patients (65.1%) had RS. During a median follow-up period of 3.2 years, patients with RS had higher all-cause mortality than those without it even after propensity score matching (21.9 vs. 11.6%, log-rank P = 0.027). Multivariable Cox hazard analysis also showed the negative impact of RS on all-cause death in ischemic HF patients [hazard ratio (HR):1.62, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-2.46, P = 0.024]. Importantly, when divided all subjects into three subgroups by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) [LVEF < 40% (HFrEF), LVEF 40-49% (HFmrEF), and LVEF ≥ 50% (HFpEF)], inverse probability of treatment weighted method provided a similar result that RS after PCI was an independent risk factor for death in the HFpEF [HR(95%CI); 1.94(1.22-3.09), P < 0.01] and HFmrEF [4.47(1.13-14.98), P < 0.01] groups, but not in the HFrEF group [1.20(0.59-2.43), P = 0.62]. CONCLUSIONS These results indicate that RS after PCI could aggravate long-term prognosis of ischemic HF patients with moderate- to well-preserved EF, but not those with reduced EF.

European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Annual Congress Report From Barcelona 2017

From August 26th to 30th, the 2017 Annual Congress of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC 2017) was held in Barcelona, Spain. Despite the terrorism tradegy just before the ESC congress, the congress attracted many medical professionals from all over the world to discuss the recent topics in cardiovascular medicine in more than 500 sessions, including COMPASS (Cardiovascular OutcoMes for People using Anticoagulation StrategieS Trial), CANTOS (Canakinumab Anti-Inflammatory Thrombosis Outcomes Study), and ORION (which assessed the effect of a novel siRNA inhibitor to PCSK9 on reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol). Japanese cardiologists and the Japanese Circulation Society greatly contributed to the congress. This report briefly introduces some late-breaking registry results, late-breaking clinical trials, and ESC Guidelines from the ESC 2017 Congress.