Sophie Le Coeur

Long-Term Survival of HIV-Infected Children Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy in Thailand: A 5-Year Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND There are scarce data on the long-term survival of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected children receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) in lower-middle income countries beyond 2 years of follow-up. METHODS Previously untreated children who initiated ART on meeting immunological and/or clinical criteria were followed in a prospective cohort in Thailand. The probability of survival up to 5 years from initiation was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods, and factors associated with mortality were assessed using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS Five hundred seventy-eight children received ART; of these, 111 (19.2%) were followed since birth. At start of ART (baseline), the median age was 6.7 years, 128 children (22%) were aged <2 years, and the median CD4 cell percentage was 7%. Median duration of follow-up was 53 months; 42 children (7%) died, and 38 (7%) were lost to follow-up. Age <12 months, low CD4 cell percentage, and low weight-for-height z score at ART initiation were independently associated with mortality (P < .001). The probability of survival among infants aged <12 months at baseline was 84.3% at 1 year and 76.7% at 5 years of ART, compared with 95.7% and 94.8%, respectively, among children aged ≥1 year. Low CD4 cell percentage and wasting at baseline had a strong association with mortality among older children but weak or no association among infants. CONCLUSIONS Children who initiated ART as infants after meeting immunological and/or clinical criteria had a high risk of mortality which persisted beyond the first year of therapy. Among older children, those with severe wasting or low CD4 cell percentage at treatment initiation were at high risk of mortality during the first 6 months of therapy. These findings support the scale-up of early HIV diagnosis and immediate treatment in infants, before advanced disease progression in older children.

Risk Factors for In Utero or Intrapartum Mother-to-Child Transmission of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 in Thailand

BACKGROUND The identification of risk factors for in utero and intrapartum transmission of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) is crucial to the design and understanding of preventive interventions. METHODS The randomized Perinatal HIV Prevention Trial-1 enrolled 1437 pregnant women and their non-breast-fed infants, to compare the efficacy of various durations of zidovudine prophylaxis. Using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, we studied the role that factors known or occurring at various times during gestation or delivery play in in utero and intrapartum transmission. RESULTS Variables independently associated with in utero transmission were HIV-1 load >35,000 copies/mL (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 4.2) and delayed initiation of maternal zidovudine prophylaxis until >31.4 weeks gestation (AOR, 3.0). Variables associated with intrapartum transmission were HIV-1 load >10,000 copies/mL (AOR, 3.8 for 10,000-35,000 copies/mL and 7.1 for >35,000 copies/mL), induction of labor (AOR, 2.6), and premature labor with tocolysis (AOR, 15.1). CONCLUSIONS With the exception of very high HIV-1 load, risk factors for in utero transmission were different from those for intrapartum transmission. Optimal prophylactic interventions must address each of the major risk factors, with appropriate timing.

Efficacy and Safety of 1-Month Postpartum Zidovudine-Didanosine to Prevent HIV-Resistance Mutations after Intrapartum Single-Dose Nevirapine

BACKGROUND Intrapartum single-dose nevirapine plus third trimester maternal and infant zidovudine are essential components of programs to prevent mother-to-child transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in resource-limited settings. The persistence of nevirapine in the plasma for 3 weeks postpartum risks selection of resistance mutations to nonnucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs). We hypothesized that a 1-month zidovudine-didanosine course initiated at the same time as single-dose nevirapine (sdNVP) would prevent the selection of nevirapine-resistance mutations. METHODS HIV-infected pregnant women in the PHPT-4 cohort with CD4 cell counts >250 cells/mm3 received antepartum zidovudine from the third trimester until delivery, sdNVP during labor, and a 1-month zidovudine-didanosine course after delivery. These women were matched on the basis of baseline HIV load, CD4 cell count, and duration of antepartum zidovudine to women who received sdNVP in the PHPT-2 trial (control subjects). Consensus sequencing and the more sensitive oligonucleotide ligation assay were performed on samples obtained on postpartum days 7-10, 37-45, and 120 (if the HIV load was >500 copies/mL) to detect K103N/Y181C/G190A mutations. RESULTS The 222 PHPT-4 subjects did not differ from matched control subjects in baseline characteristics except for age. The combined group median CD4 cell count was 421 cells/mm3 (interquartile range [IQR], 322-549 cells/mm3), the median HIV load was 3.45 log10 copies/mL (IQR, 2.79-4.00 log10 copies/mL), and the median duration of zidovudine prophylaxis was 10.4 weeks (IQR, 9.1-11.4 weeks). Using consensus sequencing, major NNRTI resistance mutations were detected after delivery in 0% of PHPT-4 subjects and 10.4% of PHPT-2 controls. The oligonucleotide ligation assay detected resistance in 1.8% of PHPT-4 subjects and 18.9% of controls. Major NNRTI resistance mutations were detected by either method in 1.8% of PHPT-4 subjects and 20.7% of controls (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS A 1-month postpartum course of zidovudine plus didanosine prevented the selection of the vast majority of NNRTI resistance mutations.

Impact of AIDS on adult mortality: a morgue-based study in Pointe-Noire, Republic of Congo.

Objective:To measure the impact of AIDS on adult mortality by systematically investigating all deaths during 3 months, in the city of Pointe-Noire where the HIV epidemic emerged 20 years ago and levelled-off around 5% among adults. Design:Exhaustive morgue-based study, in a city where by law all bodies should be registered at the morgue before they can be legally buried. Methods:From 30 June to 19 October 2001, a clinical examination of all bodies registered at the morgue was performed by a physician, and blood samples were systematically drawn for HIV testing. Relatives were interviewed on circumstances of death. Additional information was gathered from hospital files for cases previously hospitalized. Age- and sex-specific mortality rates were calculated using the population at risk derived from the 2001 census. Results:Overall, 1309 adult deaths were investigated and 96.5% of the bodies registered at the morgue were tested for HIV. Forty-five percent of the deaths (570) were due to AIDS. The HIV prevalence was higher in female than in male deaths (57.1 versus 44.8%; P < 0.001). The AIDS-mortality rate among adults was 6.3 per thousand for women and 4.9 per thousand for men. Among 1000 young adults aged 15 years, 442 girls and 482 boys will not reach age 60 years (45q15). Without AIDS these would have been 216 and 307, respectively. Conclusions:Our study provides a direct measure of the impact of AIDS on mortality relative to other causes. In the most productive age group, 25–44 years, mortality is tripled by AIDS.

Direct estimation of maternal mortality in Africa

Direct estimation of maternal mortality is facilitated in Brazzaville, Congo, by a law requiring that all bodies be delivered to a mortuary before burial. The authors investigated all bodies handled by the citys 3 mortuaries in a 4-week period in 1996. 15 maternal deaths were identified among the 138 female adult bodies. Based on the number of live births (27,888) in a 12-month period in 1995-96 and on the age distribution of the mothers, a maternal mortality rate of 645/100,000 was calculated. The lifetime risk for maternal mortality was estimated as 1 in 25 women. This rate is unexpectedly high since 90% of women in Brazzaville have access to prenatal care and most births occur in maternity hospitals. The excess maternal mortality is attributable, in part, to the high number of abortion-related deaths in young women. In this series, 6 deaths were due to abortion-related septicemia or hemorrhage. Maternal mortality is unlikely to decrease in African cities until more safe reproductive choices are available.

Association of low CD4 cell count and intrauterine growth retardation in Thailand.

Objective:Each year, intrauterine growth retardation (IUGR) affects 20-30 million neonates worldwide, mostly in resource-limited settings. Increased perinatal and infant mortality has been associated with IUGR. Some studies have suggested that HIV infection could increase the risk of IUGR. To confirm this hypothesis, we examined the association between HIV-related factors and the risk of IUGR in Thailand. Patients and Methods:Data from a cohort of 1436 HIV-infected pregnant women enrolled in the “Perinatal HIV Prevention Trial-1”, a clinical trial conducted from 1997 to 1999 in Thailand, were analyzed using a logistic regression, adjusting for risk factors usually associated with IUGR. Results:The rate of IUGR was 7.6%. Adjusting for a short maternal height, low body mass index, small weight gain during pregnancy, and infant female sex, a low maternal CD4 percentage was independently associated with IUGR (odds ratio 0.96, per 1% increment, 95% confidence interval 0.93 to 0.99, P = 0.03). Conclusions:The current World Health Organization recommendation to initiate combination antiretroviral therapy for immunocompromised women as early as possible during pregnancy for their own health and for the prevention of HIV mother-to-child transmission is likely to also decrease the incidence of IUGR. Encouraging immunocompromised HIV-infected women who plan to become pregnant to wait until immune restoration has been achieved may help to reduce the risk of IUGR.

Haematological safety of perinatal zidovudine in pregnant HIV-1-infected women in Thailand: secondary analysis of a randomized trial.

Objectives: To respond to the primary safety objective of the Perinatal HIV Prevention Trial 1 (PHPT-1) by studying the evolution of haematological parameters according to zidovudine exposure duration in HIV-1−infected pregnant women. Design: Multicenter, randomized, double-blind, controlled trial of different durations of zidovudine prophylaxis. Setting: 27 hospitals in Thailand. Participants: 1,436 HIV-infected pregnant women in PHPT-1. Intervention: Zidovudine prophylaxis initiation at 28 or 35 wk gestation. Outcome measures: Haemoglobin level, leucocytes, total lymphocyte counts, and absolute neutrophil counts were measured at 26, 32, and 35 wk and at delivery. The evolution of haematological parameters was estimated between 26 and 35 wk (zidovudine/placebo) and between 35 wk and delivery to compare a long versus short zidovudine exposure. For each parameter, linear mixed models were adjusted on baseline sociodemographic variables, HIV clinical stage, CD4 count, and viral load. Results: Between 26 and 35 wk, haemoglobin, leucocytes, and absolute neutrophil counts decreased in zidovudine-exposed compared to unexposed women (mean difference [95% CI] −0.4 [−0.5 to −0.3], −423 [−703 to −142], −485 [−757 to −213], respectively). However, between 35 wk and delivery, the haematological parameters increased faster in women exposed to long rather than short durations of zidovudine (0.1 [0.0 to 0.1]; 105 [18 to 191]; 147 [59 to 234], respectively). At delivery, the differences were not statistically significant, except for mean haemoglobin level, which remained slightly lower in the long zidovudine treatment group (difference: 0.2 g/dl). Zidovudine had no negative impact on the absolute lymphocyte counts. Conclusion: Zidovudine initiated at 28 wk gestation rather than 35 wk had a transient negative impact on the evolution of haematological parameters, which was largely reversed by delivery despite continuation of zidovudine. This result provides reassurance about the safety of early initiation of zidovudine prophylaxis during pregnancy to maximize prevention of perinatal HIV.

Cost-effectiveness of early infant HIV diagnosis of HIV-exposed infants and immediate antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected children under 24 months in Thailand.

Background HIV-infected infants have high risk of death in the first two years of life if untreated. WHO guidelines recommend early infant HIV diagnosis (EID) of all HIV-exposed infants and immediate antiretroviral therapy (ART) in HIV-infected children under 24-months. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of this strategy in HIV-exposed non-breastfed children in Thailand. Methods A decision analytic model of HIV diagnosis and disease progression compared: EID using DNA PCR with immediate ART (Early-Early); or EID with deferred ART based on immune/clinical criteria (Early-Late); vs. clinical/serology based diagnosis and deferred ART (Reference). The model was populated with survival and cost data from a Thai observational cohort and the literature. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per life-year gained (LYG) was compared against the Reference strategy. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3%. Results Mean discounted life expectancy of HIV-infected children increased from 13.3 years in the Reference strategy to 14.3 in the Early-Late and 17.8 years in Early-Early strategies. The mean discounted lifetime cost was

Impact of HIV/Aids on Child Mortality before the Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy Era: A Study in Pointe-Noire, Republic of Congo

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Higher Placental Anti-Inflammatory IL-10 Cytokine Expression in HIV-1 Infected Women Receiving Longer Zidovudine Prophylaxis Associated with Nevirapine

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