Stéphanie Desprat

European climate optimum and enhanced Greenland melt during the Last Interglacial

The Last Interglacial climatic optimum, ca. 128 ka, is the most recent climate interval signifi cantly warmer than present, providing an analogue (albeit imperfect) for ongoing global warming and the effects of Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) melting on climate over the coming millennium. While some climate models predict an Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) strengthening in response to GIS melting, others simulate weakening, leading to cooling in Europe. Here, we present evidence from new proxy-based paleoclimate and ocean circulation reconstructions that show that the strongest warming in western Europe coincided with maximum GIS meltwater runoff and a weaker AMOC early in the Last Interglacial. By performing a series of climate model sensitivity experiments, including enhanced GIS melting, we were able to simulate this confi guration of the Last Interglacial climate system and infer information on AMOC slowdown and related climate effects. These experiments suggest that GIS melt inhibited deep convection off the southern coast of Greenland, cooling local climate and reducing AMOC by ~24% of its present strength. However, GIS melt did not perturb overturning in the Nordic Seas, leaving heat transport to, and thereby temperatures in, Europe unaffected.

Orbital-scale climate forcing of grassland burning in southern Africa.

Although grassland and savanna occupy only a quarter of the worlds vegetation, burning in these ecosystems accounts for roughly half the global carbon emissions from fire. However, the processes that govern changes in grassland burning are poorly understood, particularly on time scales beyond satellite records. We analyzed microcharcoal, sediments, and geochemistry in a high-resolution marine sediment core off Namibia to identify the processes that have controlled biomass burning in southern African grassland ecosystems under large, multimillennial-scale climate changes. Six fire cycles occurred during the past 170,000 y in southern Africa that correspond both in timing and magnitude to the precessional forcing of north–south shifts in the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Contrary to the conventional expectation that fire increases with higher temperatures and increased drought, we found that wetter and cooler climates cause increased burning in the study region, owing to a shift in rainfall amount and seasonality (and thus vegetation flammability). We also show that charcoal morphology (i.e., the particles length-to-width ratio) can be used to reconstruct changes in fire activity as well as biome shifts over time. Our results provide essential context for understanding current and future grassland-fire dynamics and their associated carbon emissions.

25. Climate variability of the last five isotopic interglacials: Direct land-sea-ice correlation from the multiproxy analysis of North-Western Iberian margin deep-sea cores

Abstract The last five isotopic interglacials (marine isotope stages 11, 9, 7, 5 and 1) were investigated in Iberian margin deep-sea cores, using terrestrial (pollen) and marine (planktic foraminifera assemblages, benthic and planktic oxygen isotopes) climatic indicators. This work shows that the climatic variability detected on the continent is contemporaneously recorded in the ocean, but temperature changes are not in phase with ice volume variations. The comparison of the different marine isotope stages highlights a common pattern within these stages. They are characterized by three major climatic cycles, related to orbital cyclicity, on which suborbital climatic fluctuations are superimposed. Particularly, suborbital events interrupt the deglacial warming associated with Terminations IV to I and the second major warm period of each isotopic interglacial as well as the transitions towards glacial marine isotope stages. MIS 7 displays a short first warm period (8kyr) followed by a striking cold and dry period succeeded by a new strong warmth. In contrast, MIS 11 presents the longest period (31kyr) of the last 450000 years.

Land–sea climatic variability in the eastern North Atlantic subtropical region over the last 14,200 years: Atmospheric and oceanic processes at different timescales:

High-temporal resolution analysis of different climatic tracers (pollen, foraminiferal-based winter sea surface temperature (SST), benthic foraminiferal δ18O) from marine core MD95-2042, retrieved off SW Iberia, allows us to directly compare, without any chronological ambiguity, Mediterranean vegetation and eastern North Atlantic winter SST changes for the last 14.2 kyr. We identify on land and in the ocean several climatic phases such as the end of the warm and humid Bølling–Allerød, the cold and dry Younger Dryas, and the warm and humid Holocene with the Mediterranean forest (MF) optimum between 9.6 and 8.1 kyr. This record shows that, at multi-centennial timescale (~800 years), declines in forest cover generally related to dry and cool periods in southern Iberia are synchronous with cold SST in the eastern part of the North Atlantic subtropical gyre. At multi-centennial timescale, changes in thermohaline circulation, via freshwater content fluctuations, appear to be responsible for the coupling between dryness in Iberia and SST cooling in eastern North Atlantic subtropical gyre. In contrast, some Holocene events include centennial-scale oscillations (~100 years) marked by MF declines in southern Iberia concomitant with SST warming in the eastern North Atlantic subtropical gyre. This climatic pattern is similar to that observed at decadal timescale under the influence of the positive mode of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). We suggest, therefore, that synchronous SW Iberian dryness and SST warming at centennial timescale could be explained by atmospheric fluctuations related to NAO changes.

Interglacials as simulated by the LLN 2-D NH and MoBidiC climate models

Two Earth system models of intermediate complexity (EMICs), i.e. LLN 2-D NH and MoBidiC, were designed in Louvain-la-Neuve to test the astronomical theory of palaeoclimate. The purpose was to see whether the astronomically driven insolation is the main driver of climate change over the last glacial-interglacial cycles. It also aims at identifying the major processes and feedbacks at work in the climate system. Here, we report on the results obtained for the interglacial periods of the last 800 kyr and for the future over the next 100 kyr. Major processes governing the response of the modelled climate system to insolation and/or CO2 changes are related to the albedo-temperature and water vapourtemperature feedbacks, to the taiga-tundra direct and indirect impacts on highlatitudes surface albedo, to the altitude and continental effects on the precipitation over the ice sheets, to the lagging lithospheric response to the ice-sheet loading and to the mechanical destabilisation of the ice sheets through the rapid melting of their southern front as compared to the northern.

Pollen from the Deep-Sea: A Breakthrough in the Mystery of the Ice Ages

Pollen from deep-sea sedimentary sequences provides an integrated regional reconstruction of vegetation and climate (temperature, precipitation, and seasonality) on the adjacent continent. More importantly, the direct correlation of pollen, marine and ice indicators allows comparison of the atmospheric climatic changes that have affected the continent with the response of the Earth’s other reservoirs, i.e., the oceans and cryosphere, without any chronological uncertainty. The study of long continuous pollen records from the European margin has revealed a changing and complex interplay between European climate, North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs), ice growth and decay, and high- and low-latitude forcing at orbital and millennial timescales. These records have shown that the amplitude of the last five terrestrial interglacials was similar above 40°N, while below 40°N their magnitude differed due to precession-modulated changes in seasonality and, particularly, winter precipitation. These records also showed that vegetation response was in dynamic equilibrium with rapid climate changes such as the Dangaard-Oeschger (D-O) cycles and Heinrich events, similar in magnitude and velocity to the ongoing global warming. However, the magnitude of the millennial-scale warming events of the last glacial period was regionally-specific. Precession seems to have imprinted regions below 40°N while obliquity, which controls average annual temperature, probably mediated the impact of D-O warming events above 40°N. A decoupling between high- and low-latitude climate was also observed within last glacial warm (Greenland interstadials) and cold phases (Greenland stadials). The synchronous response of western European vegetation/climate and eastern North Atlantic SSTs to D-O cycles was not a pervasive feature throughout the Quaternary. During periods of ice growth such as MIS 5a/4, MIS 11c/b and MIS 19c/b, repeated millennial-scale cold-air/warm-sea decoupling events occurred on the European margin superimposed to a long-term air-sea decoupling trend. Strong air-sea thermal contrasts promoted the production of water vapor that was then transported northward by the westerlies and fed ice sheets. This interaction between long-term and shorter time-scale climatic variability may have amplified insolation decreases and thus explain the Ice Ages. This hypothesis should be tested by the integration of stochastic processes in Earth models of intermediate complexity.

Unraveling the forcings controlling the vegetation and climate of the best orbital analogues for the present interglacial in SW Europe

The suitability of MIS 11c and MIS 19c as analogues of our present interglacial and its natural evolution is still debated. Here we examine the regional expression of the Holocene and its orbital analogues over SW Iberia using a model–data comparison approach. Regional tree fraction and climate based on snapshot and transient experiments using the LOVECLIM model are evaluated against the terrestrial–marine profiles from Site U1385 documenting the regional vegetation and climatic changes. The pollen-based reconstructions show a larger forest optimum during the Holocene compared to MIS 11c and MIS 19c, putting into question their analogy in SW Europe. Pollen-based and model results indicate reduced MIS 11c forest cover compared to the Holocene primarily driven by lower winter precipitation, which is critical for Mediterranean forest development. Decreased precipitation was possibly induced by the amplified MIS 11c latitudinal insolation and temperature gradient that shifted the westerlies northwards. In contrast, the reconstructed lower forest optimum at MIS 19c is not reproduced by the simulations probably due to the lack of Eurasian ice sheets and its related feedbacks in the model. Transient experiments with time-varying insolation and CO2 reveal that the SW Iberian forest dynamics over the interglacials are mostly coupled to changes in winter precipitation mainly controlled by precession, CO2 playing a negligible role. Model simulations reproduce the observed persistent vegetation changes at millennial time scales in SW Iberia and the strong forest reductions marking the end of the interglacial “optimum”.

Comparison of Pollen Distribution in Surface Sediments of the Northeastern Tunisia (Ghar El Melh Lagoon) with Remotely Sensed Vegetation Data

Studies of surface pollen samples have been widely used in Europe to assess the relationships between pollen composition and vegetation (Davis et al. 2013). However, such studies in the southern Mediterranean borderlands are rare, in particular in Tunisia. Before reconstructing the vegetation and climate variability over the past millennia from sedimentary archives from the lagoon Ghar el Melh, we have performed pollen analysis from surface samples to evaluate the representation of the northeastern Tunisian vegetation in pollen spectra.