Sue V. McDiarmid

Analysis of long-term outcomes of 3200 liver transplantations over two decades: A single-center experience

Objective:Few studies have evaluated long-term outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). This work analyzes the experience of nearly 2 decades by the same team in a single center. Outcomes of OLT and factors affecting survival were analyzed. Methods:Retrospective analysis of 3200 consecutive OLTs that were performed at our institution, between February 1984 and December 31, 2001. Results:Of 2662 recipients, 578 (21.7%) and 659 (24.7%) were pediatric and urgent patients, respectively. Overall 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year patient and graft survival estimates were 81%, 72%, 68%, 64% and 73%, 64%, 59%, 55%, respectively. Patient survival significantly improved in the second (1992–2001) versus the era I (1984–1991) of transplantation (P < 0.001). Similarly, graft survival was better in the era II of transplantation (P < 0.02). However, biliary and infectious complications increased in era II. When OLT indications were considered, best recipient survival was obtained in children with biliary atresia (82%, 79%, and 78% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively), while malignant disease in adult patients resulted in the worst outcomes of 68% and 43% at 1 and 5 years, post-OLT. Further, patients <18 years and nonurgent recipients exhibited superior survival when compared with recipients >18 years (P < 0.001) or urgent patients (P < 0.001). Of 13 donor and recipient variables, era of OLT, recipient age, urgent status, donor age, donor length of hospital stay, etiology of liver disease, retransplantation, warm and cold ischemia, but not graft type (whole, split, living-donor), significantly impacted patient survival. Conclusions:Long-term benefits of OLT are greatest in pediatric and nonurgent patients. Multiple factors involving the recipient, etiology of liver disease, donor characteristics, operative variables, and surgical experience influence long-term survival outcomes. By balancing and matching these factors with a given recipient, optimum results can be achieved.

Prevention And Preemptive Therapy Of Posttransplant Lymphoproliferative Disease In Pediatric Liver Recipients1

BACKGROUND We have previously reported a 10% incidence of posttransplant lymphoproliferative disease (PTLD) in pediatric patients receiving first liver grafts and primarily immunosuppressed with tacrolimus. To decrease the incidence of PTLD, we developed a protocol utilizing preemptive intravenous ganciclovir in high-risk recipients (i.e., donor (D)+, recipient (R)-), combined with serial monitoring of peripheral blood for Epstein Barr virus (EBV) by polymerase chain reaction (PCR). METHODS Consecutive pediatric recipients of a first liver graft were immunosuppressed with oral tacrolimus (both induction and maintenance), and low-dose prednisone. EBV serologies were obtained at the time of orthotopic liver transplant in recipients and donors. Recipients were divided into groups: group 1, high-risk (D+R-), and group 2, low-risk (D+R+; D-R-; D-R+). In group 1 (high-risk), all patients received a minimum of 100 days of intravenous ganciclovir (6-10 mg/kg/day), while, in group 2 (low-risk), patients received intravenous ganciclovir during their initial hospitalization and then were converted to oral acyclovir (40 mg/kg/day) at discharge. Semiquantitative EBV-PCR determinations were made at 1-2-month intervals. In both groups, patients with an increasing viral copy number by EBV-PCR had tacrolimus levels decreased to 2-5 ng/ml. Tacrolimus was stopped, and intravenous ganciclovir reinstituted for PTLD. A positive EBV-PCR with symptoms, but negative histology, was defined as EBV disease; PTLD was defined as histologic evidence of polyclonal or monoclonal B cell proliferation. RESULTS Forty children who had survived greater than 2 months were enrolled. There were 18 children in group 1 (high-risk; mean age of 14+/-15 months and mean follow-up time of 243+/-149 days) and 22 children in group 2 (low-risk; mean age of 64+/-65 months and follow-up time of 275+/-130 days). In group 1 (high-risk), there was no PTLD and one case of EBV disease (mononucleosis-like syndrome), which resolved. In group 2 (low-risk), there were two cases of PTLD; both resolved when tacrolimus was stopped. Both children were 8 months old at time of transplant. Neither received OKT3, and they had one and two episodes of steroid-sensitive rejection, respectively. One child had EBV disease (mild hepatitis), which resolved. CONCLUSIONS Since instituting this protocol, the overall incidence of PTLD has fallen from 10% to 5% for children receiving primary tacrolimus therapy after OLT. No high-risk pediatric liver recipient treated preemptively with intravenous ganciclovir developed PTLD. Both children with PTLD were less than 1 year at OLT and considered low-risk. However, their positive EBV antibody titers may have been maternal in origin and not have offered long-term protection. Serial monitoring of EBV-PCR after pediatric OLT is recommended to decrease the risk of PTLD by allowing early detection of EBV infection, which is then managed by decreasing immunosuppression and continuing intravenous ganciclovir.

Long-term results of pediatric liver transplantation: an analysis of 569 transplants.

OBJECTIVE To analyze a single centers 13-year experience with 569 pediatric orthotopic liver transplants for end-stage liver disease. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA Despite advances in medical therapy, liver replacement continues to be the only definitive mode of therapy for children with end-stage liver disease. Innovative surgical techniques and improved immunosuppression have broadened the application of liver replacement for affected children. However, liver transplantation in the child remains challenging because of the scarcity of donor organs, complex surgical technical demands, and the necessity to prevent long-term complications. METHODS The medical records of 440 consecutive patients younger than 18 years of age undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation for end-stage liver disease from March 20, 1984, to November 15, 1997, were reviewed. Results were analyzed using Cox multivariate regression analysis to determine the statistical strength of independent associations between pretransplant covariates and patient and graft survival. Actuarial patient and graft survival rates were determined at 1, 3, 5, and 10 years. The type and incidence of posttransplant complications were determined, as was the quality of long-term allograft function. The median follow-up period was 4.1 years. RESULTS Biliary atresia was the most common cause (50.4%) of endstage liver disease in this patient population. The median recipient age was 2.4 years; 239 patients (54%) were younger than 3 years of age and 1 11 patients (25%) were younger than 1 year of age. There were 471 whole organs, 29 were ex vivo reduced size, 33 were living-related donor, and 36 were in situ split-liver allografts. Three hundred forty-three (78%) patients underwent a single allograft, whereas 97 patients required retransplantation; hepatic artery thrombosis was the most common indication for retransplantation (55 patients). The 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year actuarial patient survival rates were 82%, 80%, 78%, and 76%, respectively; allograft survival rates were 68%, 63%, 60%, and 54%. Long-term liver function remains excellent: current median follow-up values for total bilirubin and aspartate aminotransferase were 0.5 mg/dl and 54 IU/L, respectively. Cox multivariate regression analysis demonstrated that pretransplant patient age, the era of transplantation, and the number of allografts performed significantly and independently predicted patient survival rates, whereas allograft type and pretransplant diagnosis did not. CONCLUSIONS Liver transplantation in the pediatric patient is a durable procedure that provides excellent long-term survival. Although there have been overall improvements in patient outcome with increased experience, the effect is most pronounced for patients younger than 1 year of age. Retransplantation, although effective in a meaningful number of patients, continues to carry a progressive decrement in survival with the number of allografts performed. Use of living-related and in situ split-liver allografts has dramatically reduced waiting times for small children and has improved patient survival.

Development of a pediatric end-stage liver disease score to predict poor outcome in children awaiting liver transplantation

Background. A pediatric end-stage liver disease (PELD) score for children with chronic liver disease using easily obtainable, objective, verifiable parameters, would be useful to prioritize children awaiting liver transplantation. Methods. Data from the Studies of Pediatric Liver Transplantation (SPLIT), a consortium of 29 U.S. and Canadian centers, were used to develop the PELD score. Two pretransplantation endpoints were evaluated: (1) death, n=884; and (2) death or moving to the intensive care unit (ICU), n=779. The analyses were restricted to children with chronic liver disease who were listed for a first transplant. Preliminary analyses of 17 possible factors yielded 6 parameters of interest: age <1 year, total bilirubin, international normalized ratio (INR), albumin, growth failure (height or weight Z score <−2), and calculated glomerular filtration rate. In a univariate Cox regression analysis, age, bilirubin, INR, and albumin were significant (P <0.01) predictors of both endpoints; glomerular filtration rate was not significant for either endpoint; and growth failure was significant for death/ICU but not death alone. In the multivariate analyses, age, bilirubin, and INR were significant for the death endpoint; and bilirubin, INR, growth failure, and albumin were significant for the death/ICU endpoint. From these results, three PELD models were evaluated to predict both outcomes at 3 and 6 months: PELD 1 (age, bilirubin, INR); PELD 2 (bilirubin, INR, albumin, growth failure); and PELD 3 (bilirubin, INR, albumin, growth failure, and age). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC) was used to compare models. For PELD 3, the most inclusive model, the AUC ROC at 3 months was 0.92 for death and 0.82 for “death–moved to ICU.” A comparison of the AUC ROCs for the other models and for the model of end-stage liver disease ([MELD], the adult end-stage liver disease severity score model), none of which performed better than PELD 3, are presented. Conclusion. A model using five objective parameters can accurately predict death or death–moved to ICU in children awaiting liver transplantation.

Preoperative factors associated with outcome and their impact on resource use in 1148 consecutive primary liver transplants.

BACKGROUND Hepatic transplantation is a highly effective but costly treatment for end-stage hepatic dysfunction. One approach to improve efficiency in the use of scarce organs for transplantation is to identify preoperative factors that are associated with poor outcome posttransplantation. This may assist both in selecting patients optimal for transplantation and in identifying strategies to improve survival. METHODS In the present work, we retrospectively reviewed consecutive liver transplants performed at the University of California at Los Angeles during a 6-year period and determined preoperative variables that were associated with outcome in primary grafts. In addition, we used the hospitals cost accounting database to determine the impact of these variables on the degree of resource use by high-risk patients. RESULTS We found five variables to have independent prognostic value in predicting graft survival after primary liver transplantation: (1) donor age, (2) recipient age, (3) donor sodium, (4) recipient creatinine, and (5) recipient ventilator requirement pretransplant. Recipient ventilator requirement and elevated creatinine were associated with significant increases in resource use during the transplant admission. CONCLUSIONS Patients at high risk for graft failure and costly transplants can be identified preoperatively by a set of parameters that are readily available, noninvasive, and inexpensive. Selection of recipients on the basis of these data would improve the efficiency of liver transplantation and reduce its cost.

Outcome of acetaminophen overdose in pediatric patients and factors contributing to hepatotoxicity

Seventy-three medical records of pediatric patients admitted for acetaminophen overdose were reviewed. Twenty-eight patients (39%) had severe liver toxic effects, and six of them underwent liver transplantation. Multiple miscalculated overdoses given by parents, with delay in therapy, are risk factors and the major cause of overdose in children 10 years of age or younger.

Summary Report of a National Conference: Evolving Concepts in Liver Allocation in the MELD and PELD Era

A national conference was held to review and assess data gathered since implementation of MELD and PELD and determine future directions. The objectives of the conference were to review the current system of liver allocation with a critical analysis of its strengths and weaknesses. Conference participants used an evidence‐based approach to consider whether predicted outcome after transplantation should influence allocation, to discuss the concept of minimal listing score, to revisit current and potential expansion of exception criteria, and to determine whether specific scores should be used for automatic removal of patients on the waiting list. After review of data from the first 18 months since implementation, association and society leaders, and surgeons and hepatologists with wide regional representation were invited to participate in small group discussions focusing on each of the main objectives. At the completion of the meeting, there was agreement that MELD has had a successful initial implementation, meeting the goal of providing a system of allocation that emphasizes the urgency of the candidate while diminishing the reliance on waiting time, and that it has proven to be a powerful tool for auditing the liver allocation system. It was also agreed that the data regarding the accuracy of PELD as a predictor of pretransplant mortality were less conclusive and that PELD should be considered in isolation. Recommendations for the transplant community, based on the analysis of the MELD data, were discussed and are presented in the summary document. (Liver Transpl 2004;10:A6–A22.)

Pretransplant Model to Predict Posttransplant Survival in Liver Transplant Patients

ObjectiveTo develop a prognostic model that determines patient survival outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using readily available pretransplant variables. Summary Background DataThe current liver organ allocation system strongly favors organ distribution to critically ill recipients who exhibit poor survival outcomes following OLT. A severely limited organ resource, increasing waiting list deaths, and rising numbers of critically ill recipients mandate an organ allocation system that balances disease severity with survival outcomes. Such goals can be realized only through the development of prognostic models that predict survival following OLT. MethodsVariables that may affect patient survival following OLT were analyzed in hepatitis C (HCV) recipients at the authors’ center, since HCV is the most common indication for OLT. The resulting patient survival model was examined and refined in HCV and non-HCV patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Kaplan-Meier methods, univariate comparisons, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were employed for analyses. ResultsVariables identified by multivariate analysis as independent predictors for patient survival following primary transplantation of adult HCV recipients in the last 10 years at the authors’ center were entered into a prognostic survival model to predict patient survival. Accordingly, mortality was predicted by 0.0293 (recipient age) + 1.085 (log10 recipient creatinine) + 0.289 (donor female gender) + 0.675 urgent UNOS - 1.612 (log10 recipient creatinine times urgent UNOS). The above variables, in addition to donor age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), retransplantation, and warm and cold ischemia times, were applied to the UNOS database. Of the 46,942 patients transplanted over the last 10 years, 25,772 patients had complete data sets. An eight-factor model that accurately predicted survival was derived. Accordingly, the mortality index posttransplantation = 0.0084 donor age + 0.019 recipient age + 0.816 log creatinine + 0.0044 warm ischemia (in minutes) + 0.659 (if second transplant) + 0.10 log bilirubin + 0.0087 PT + 0.01 cold ischemia (in hours). Thus, this model is applicable to first or second liver transplants. Patient survival rates based on model-predicted risk scores for death and observed posttransplant survival rates were similar. Additionally, the model accurately predicted survival outcomes for HCV and non-HCV patients. ConclusionsPosttransplant patient survival can be accurately predicted based on eight straightforward factors. The balanced application of a model for liver transplant survival estimate, in addition to disease severity, as estimated by the model for end-stage liver disease, would markedly improve survival outcomes and maximize patients’ benefits following OLT.

FK506 (tacrolimus) compared with cyclosporine for primary immunosuppression after pediatric liver transplantation: Results from the U.S. multicenter trial

We report on the efficacy and safety of FK506 (tacrolimus) compared with a cyclosporine (CsA)-based immunosuppressive regimen after 1 year of treatment in pediatric liver allograft recipients (< 12 years) participating in a multicenter U.S. randomized trial. Patients received either FK506 or CsA as primary immunosuppression following a first ABO-compatible liver transplant. Intravenous FK506 was initiated at 0.1 mg/kg per day, followed by oral FK506 beginning at 0.3 mg/kg per day. The dose was adjusted to maintain plasma trough levels of 0.5-2.0 ng/ml. The CsA group was treated according to each centers usual protocol. Both groups received the same initial doses of corticosteroids. All rejection episodes were biopsy-proven and a standardized algorithm was adopted for the treatment of rejection. Thirty patients were randomized to the FK506 group and 20 to the CsA group. After twelve months of follow-up 20 patients remained in the FK506 group and 13 in the CsA group. Patient survivals were 80% and graft survival 70% in the FK506 group compared with 81% and 71% respectively, in the CsA group. 48% of the FK506 group remained rejection-free compared with 21% of the CsA group, and 79% of FK506-treated patients did not require OKT3 compared with 68% of CsA treated patients. The cumulative corticosteroid dose was less at each time point throughout the first year in the FK506 group. The incidence of serious and minor infections was similar in both groups. Nephrotoxicity, neurotoxicity, and gastrointestinal disturbances were the major toxicities reported. Differences did not reach statistical significance between the two groups although major neurologic events, diarrhea and dyspepsia were more often reported in the FK506 group. There was no difference in mean serum creatinine at 12 months between the two groups. There was a tendency toward lower mean serum cholesterol in the FK506 group. There was no hirsuitism in the FK506 group compared with a 30% incidence in the CsA group. In conclusion, compared with CsA, there is a trend toward less rejection in FK506-treated pediatric allograft recipients, while both drugs have a similar spectrum of side effects.

Predictors of Survival After In Vivo Split Liver Transplantation: Analysis of 110 Consecutive Patients

ObjectiveTo determine the factors that influence patient survival after in vivo split liver transplantation (SLT). Summary Background DataSplit liver transplantation is effective in expanding the donor pool, and its use reduces the number of deaths in patients awaiting orthotopic liver transplantation. Early SLTs were associated with poor outcomes, and acceptance of the technique has been slow. A better understanding of the factors that influence patient and graft survival would be useful in widening the application of SLT. MethodsDuring a 3.5-year period, 55 right and 55 left lateral in vivo split grafts were transplanted in 102 pediatric and adult recipients. The authors’ in vivo split technique has been previously described. Median follow-up was 14.5 months. Recipient, donor, and surgical variables were analyzed for their effect on patient survival after SLT. ResultsOverall survival rates of patients who received an SLT were not significantly different from those of patients who received whole organ transplants. Survival of left lateral segment recipients, at median follow-up time, was 76% versus 80% in patients receiving a trisegment. Fifty of 102 patients (49%) were high-risk urgent recipients (United Network for Organ Sharing [UNOS] status 1 and 2A) and 52 (51%) were nonurgent recipients (UNOS status 2B, 3). High-risk recipients had a survival rate significantly lower than that of nonurgent recipients. By univariate comparison, two variables—UNOS status and number of transplants per patient—were significantly associated with an increased risk of death. Preoperative recipient mechanical ventilation, preoperative prothrombin time, donor sodium level, donor length of hospital stay, and warm ischemia time approached significance. The type of graft (right vs. left) did not reduce the survival rate after transplantation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified UNOS status and length of donor hospital stay as independent predictors of survival. ConclusionsPatient survival of in vivo SLT is not significantly different from that of whole-organ orthotopic liver transplantation. The variables affecting outcome of in vivo SLT are similar to those in whole-organ transplantation. in vivo SLT should be widely applied to expand a severely depleted donor pool.