Süleyman Alici

Prognostic factors in pancreatic carcinoma: Serum LDH levels predict survival in metastatic disease

In this study, our aim was to investigate the impact of various prognostic factors on survival in patients with pancreatic carcinoma. The group consisted of 127 cases with adenocarcinoma histologically. The patients had a median age of 58 years, and 81 (64%) were male. The median survival time of the whole group was 7 months, and the 4-year survival rate was 18%. The median survival duration of the patients without metastases was 8 months, and the survival rate at 1 year was 37.5% and 7.2% at 5 years. It was associated with improved survival compared with the cases with metastatic disease (p < 0.0001). In univariate analysis, decreased performance status (p = 0.0009) and unresectability of tumor (p < 0.0001) were associated with poor outcome. However, only surgery was found to be a statistically significant parameter in multivariate analysis (p = 0.002). The median survival duration of patients with metastases was 5 months, and the 1-year survival rate was 10%. Age younger than 60 years (p = 0.04), decreased serum hemoglobin levels (p = 0.04), and elevated lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) levels (p = 0.0001) were associated with a significantly shorter survival rate. In the Cox model, a high serum LDH level was the only independent unfavorable prognostic factor (p = 0.001). In conclusion, surgical intervention in the group without metastases and serum LDH levels in the group with metastases were the most important prognostic factors influencing survival. Pretreatment serum LDH determinations may provide a useful means of stratifying patient populations when comparing treatment programs for advanced pancreatic cancer.

Prognostic factors and COX-2 expression in advanced stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) is overexpressed in various types of human malignancies, including squamous cell carcinomas of the esophagus, but its clinicopathologic role in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unclear. The aim of this study was to analyze expression of COX-2 in ESCC and to correlate this expression with clinicopathologic parameters and survival. From 1999 to 2003, endoscopic tissue samples from 110 patients with ESCC were collected for analysis. COX-2 expression was examined through immunohistochemical staining. Clinicopathologic data were analyzed to verify significance. COX-2 expression was detected in 50 of 110 ESCC specimens (45%). COX-2 expression was negative to weak in 73% (COX-2 low) and moderate to strong in 27% (COX-2 high) of tumors. Statistical differences between COX-2 high and COX-2 low were found according to status of the stage (stage IVM1a/IVM1b) (P=.001): cancer antigen (CA) 19-9 (normal/high) (P=.011), CA 12-5 (normal/high) (P=.011), and CA 15-3 (normal/high) (P=.035). Survival was significantly reduced among patients with high COX-2 expression (median overall survival, 3 mo) when compared with the COX-2 low group (median overall survival, 6 mo) (P=.0001). In the univariate analysis, age, body mass index, stage, COX-2, lactate dehydrogenase, CA 12-5, and CA 15-3 were significant factors for survival. With the use of COX regression analysis, only stage (P=.000), COX-2 (P=.000), lactate dehydrogenase (P=.023), and CA 15-3 (P=.002) were independent prognostic factors. Results showed that in patients with ESCC, COX-2 overexpression was significantly correlated with visceral metastases (IVM1b). COX-2 overexpression is an unfavorable prognostic factor in ESCC.

Treatment of aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma with dose-intensified epirubicin in combination of cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and prednisone (CEOP-100): A phase II study

Epirubicin is an agent with a lower incidence of cardiotoxicity and myelotoxicity compared with doxorubicin; and it is active in patients with non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL). Our aim was to define the therapeutic efficacy and toxicity of dose-intensified epirubicin in combination with cyclophosphamide, vincristine, and prednisone (CEOP) in patients with diffuse large-cell NHL. Previously untreated patients aged between 15 and 75 years, with at least one measurable lesion, adequate liver, renal, cardiac functions, and no central nervous system involvement were included in the study. The planned chemotherapy regimen CEOP consisted of cyclophosphamide 750 mg/m2, epirubicin 100 mg/m2, and vincristine 1.4 mg/m2 intravenously on day 1 and 100 mg prednisone taken orally on days 1 to 5. Courses were repeated every 21 days. Patients with stage I and II received four cycles of chemotherapy followed by involved-field radiotherapy, and patients with stage III and IV received six cycles of chemotherapy followed by radiotherapy to bulky lymph node sites. Seventy-five patients were enrolled in the study. The complete response rate was 83.8%, and 72 patients were assessable for toxicity. The most common toxicity was myelosuppression; 13.9% of the patients had grade III-IV neutropenia. Severe mucositis, diarrhea, and emesis were uncommon (<10%). At a median follow-up period of 41 months, the 5-year progression-free survival and overall survival rates were 63.5% and 65.3%, respectively. Increasing the dose intensity of epirubicin can yield a similar complete response rate compared with the regimens used in NHL without significantly increasing the toxicity rate associated with chemotherapy. The role of dose-intensive epirubicin should be investigated further in future randomized trials.

Prognostic factors in patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma without complete response to first-line therapy

This study was conducted to retrospectively identify the prognostic factors that specifically predict survival rates of patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma who did not achieve a complete response (CR) to first-line therapy. Prognostic factors in terms of survival were analyzed in 76 adult patients with non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma who had failed to achieve CR to first-line chemotherapy (CT) regimens administered at Istanbul University, Institute of Oncology, between February 1989 and October 1998. A total of 41 patients were female, and median age was 60 y (range, 18–87 y). Twenty-seven patients (35%) had primary refractory disease (stable disease + progressive disease). A partial response (PR) was demonstrated in 49 (65%). In all, 92% had been administered anthracycline on the basis of computed tomography findings. Of 27 patients with primary refractory disease, 20 died because of initial CT toxicity or disease progression. A total of 10 patients with primary refractory disease underwent second-line CT. CR was observed in only 1 of those patients. Of the 49 patients who had a PR to first-line therapy, 31 died because of disease progression. Of those patients, 14 underwent second-line CT. Four patients were observed to have a CR. Median overall survival (OS) in all patients was established at 15 mo (range, 11–19 mo), and 5-y OS was 25%. On the other hand, median OS in patients with primary refractory disease was 7.6 mo (range, 5.7–9.4 mo) and was observed to be 17.8 mo (range, 9.4–26.1 mo) in patients with a PR. The difference in survival rates between patients with primary refractory disease and those with a PR was significant (P=.005). Although median OS was 18.1 mo (range, 8.4–27.8 mo) in patients with intermediategrade histology, it was 6.1 mo (range, 1–11.7 mo) in patients with high-grade histology (P=.001). As a result of univariate analysis, significant prognostic factors associated with OS included histologic grade (intermediate/high) (P=.001), response to initial therapy (primary refractory disease/PR) (P=.005), performance status (0–2/2–4) (P=.024), and International Prognostic Index risk groups (low/low intermediate/intermediate-high/high risk) (P=.004). Multivariate analysis revealed that independent prognostic parameters associated with OS included response to initial therapy (P=.009) and histologic grade (P=.001). Although prognosis is rather poor in patients with high histologic grade and primary refractory disease, patients with a PR have a slightly better prognosis.

Aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma treated at the Institute of Oncology, Istanbul: treatment, outcome, and prognostic factors.

In an unselected group of patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (A-NHL) treated at our institution during a 10-year period (1989–1998), we studied the treatment outcome and influence of possible prognostic factors. Two hundred one patients with A-NHL were analyzed retrospectively with regard to personal, treatment, and disease-specific characteristics. Median age was 55 years (range: 16–87 years) and the male:female ratio was 1.5. During a median follow-up of 26 months, the overall response rate was 74% (complete response 63%, partial response 11%). The 2- and 5-year disease-free survival rates were 49 ± 3% (mean ± SEM) and 41 ± 4%, respectively. In a univariate analysis, the following variables were associated with prognosis in terms of survival: patient age, clinical stage, performance status, B symptoms, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, treatment response, and histologic grade of tumor. In multivariate analyses, patient age, performance status, and treatment response emerged as independent prognostic factors for survival.