Susan K. Ewing

Comparison of 2 frailty indexes for prediction of falls, disability, fractures, and death in older women

BACKGROUND Frailty, as defined by the index derived from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS index), predicts risk of adverse outcomes in older adults. Use of this index, however, is impractical in clinical practice. METHODS We conducted a prospective cohort study in 6701 women 69 years or older to compare the predictive validity of a simple frailty index with the components of weight loss, inability to rise from a chair 5 times without using arms, and reduced energy level (Study of Osteoporotic Fractures [SOF index]) with that of the CHS index with the components of unintentional weight loss, poor grip strength, reduced energy level, slow walking speed, and low level of physical activity. Women were classified as robust, of intermediate status, or frail using each index. Falls were reported every 4 months for 1 year. Disability (> or =1 new impairment in performing instrumental activities of daily living) was ascertained at 4(1/2) years, and fractures and deaths were ascertained during 9 years of follow-up. Area under the curve (AUC) statistics from receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and -2 log likelihood statistics were compared for models containing the CHS index vs the SOF index. RESULTS Increasing evidence of frailty as defined by either the CHS index or the SOF index was similarly associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Frail women had a higher age-adjusted risk of recurrent falls (odds ratio, 2.4), disability (odds ratio, 2.2-2.8), nonspine fracture (hazard ratio, 1.4-1.5), hip fracture (hazard ratio, 1.7-1.8), and death (hazard ratio, 2.4-2.7) (P < .001 for all models). The AUC comparisons revealed no differences between models with the CHS index vs the SOF index in discriminating falls (AUC = 0.61 for both models; P = .66), disability (AUC = 0.64; P = .23), nonspine fracture (AUC = 0.55; P = .80), hip fracture (AUC = 0.63; P = .64), or death (AUC = 0.72; P = .10). Results were similar when -2 log likelihood statistics were compared. CONCLUSION The simple SOF index predicts risk of falls, disability, fracture, and death as well as the more complex CHS index and may provide a useful definition of frailty to identify older women at risk of adverse health outcomes in clinical practice.

Change in bone turnover and hip, non-spine, and vertebral fracture in alendronate-treated women: the fracture intervention trial.

We used data from the Fracture Intervention Trial to assess the relationship change in bone turnover after 1 year of alendronate or placebo treatment and subsequent hip, non‐spine, and spine fracture risk among 6186 postmenopausal women. In the alendronate group (n = 3105), greater reductions in one or more biochemical marker were associated with a lower risk of fracture.

A Comparison of Frailty Indexes for the Prediction of Falls, Disability, Fractures, and Mortality in Older Men

OBJECTIVES: To compare the validity of a parsimonious frailty index (components: weight loss, inability to rise from a chair, and poor energy (Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF) index)) with that of the more complex Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) index (components: unintentional weight loss, low grip strength, poor energy, slowness, and low physical activity) for prediction of adverse outcomes in older men.

Intentional and Unintentional Weight Loss Increase Bone Loss and Hip Fracture Risk in Older Women

Objectives: To test the hypothesis that unintentional weight loss increases the rate of bone loss and risk of hip fracture more than intentional weight loss.

Predictors of Non-Spine Fracture in Elderly Men: The MrOS Study†

We examined determinants of nonvertebral fracture in elderly men from six U.S. communities followed an average of 4.1 years. Six clinical risk factors predicted fracture risk independent of hip BMD: tricyclic antidepressant use, previous fracture, inability to complete a narrow walk trial, falls in previous year, age ≥80 years, and depressed mood.

Pretreatment levels of bone turnover and the antifracture efficacy of alendronate: The fracture intervention trial

The influence of pretreatment bone turnover on alendronate efficacy is not known. In the FIT, we examined the effect of pretreatment bone turnover on the antifracture efficacy of daily alendronate given to postmenopausal women. The nonspine fracture efficacy of alendronate was significantly greater among both osteoporotic and nonosteoporotic women with higher baseline levels of the bone formation marker PINP.

Circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and frailty status in older women.

CONTEXT Vitamin D deficiency and frailty are common with aging, but the association between these conditions is uncertain. OBJECTIVE To determine the association between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels and prevalent and incident frailty status among older women. DESIGN Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of a prospective cohort study. SETTING Four U.S. centers. PARTICIPANTS 6307 women aged≥69 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Frailty status classified as robust, intermediate stage, or frail at baseline; and robust, intermediate stage, frail, or dead (all-cause mortality) at follow-up an average of 4.5 years later. RESULTS At baseline, there was a U-shaped association between 25(OH)D level and odds of frailty with the lowest risk among women with levels 20.0-29.9 ng/ml (referent group). Compared with this group, the odds of frailty were higher among those with levels<15.0 ng/ml [multivariable odds ratio (MOR) 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.19-1.82], those with levels 15.0-19.9 ng/ml (MOR 1.24, 95% CI 0.99-1.54), and those with levels≥30 ng/ml (MOR 1.32, 95% CI 1.06-1.63). Among 4551 nonfrail women at baseline, the odds of frailty/death (vs. robust/intermediate) at follow-up appeared higher among those with levels 15.0-19.9 ng/ml (MOR 1.21, 95% CI 0.99-1.49), but the CI overlapped 1.0. The odds of death (vs. robust/intermediate/frail at follow-up) was higher among those with levels<15.0 ng/ml (MOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.04-1.88) and those with levels 15.0-19.9 ng/ml (MOR 1.30, 95% CI 0.97-1.75), although the latter association did not quite reach significance. CONCLUSION Lower (<20 ng/ml) and higher (≥30 ng/ml) levels of 25(OH)D among older women were moderately associated with a higher odds of frailty at baseline. Among nonfrail women at baseline, lower levels (<20 ng/ml) were modestly associated with an increased risk of incident frailty or death at follow-up.

Association Between Sleep and Physical Function in Older Men: The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Sleep Study

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether sleep quality is associated with physical function in older men.

Self‐Reported Sleep and Nap Habits and Risk of Falls and Fractures in Older Women: The Study of Osteoporotic Fractures

OBJECTIVES: To test the association between self‐reported sleep and nap habits and risk of falls and fractures in a large cohort of older women.

Impact of incident vertebral fractures on health related quality of life (HRQOL) in postmenopausal women with prevalent vertebral fractures

Vertebral fractures are a common complication of osteoporosis and may cause a decrease of health-related quality of life (HRQOL). This study was designed to determine the impact of incident vertebral fractures on HRQOL. The Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE), a multicenter, randomized, double blind trial, in which women were taking raloxifene or placebo. This study was done in European centers only in a subset of 361 women from seven European countries, all with prevalent vertebral fractures. A specific questionnaire for osteoporosis developed by the International Osteoporosis Foundation was used for assessment at baseline, 1, 2 and 3 years. This questionnaire, Qualeffo, contains 41 questions in the domains pain, physical function, social function, general health perception and mental function. Domain and total scores are expressed on a 100-point scale with 0 corresponding to the best HRQOL. Standardized lateral spinal radiographs were made at baseline, 2 and 3 years and evaluated in a central facility. Sixty-seven patients sustained a fracture in a vertebra that was not fractured at baseline (incident vertebral fractures). Twenty of these were accompanied by signs and symptoms necessitating immediate doctor’s attention (clinical vertebral fractures) and 47 vertebral fractures were only diagnosed on radiographs (subclinical vertebral fractures). Incident vertebral fractures (clinical and subclinical) were associated with an increase of back pain (mean score change 6.4; 95% CI 2.1–10.7), deterioration of physical function (mean score change 2.4; 95% CI 0.1–4.8), and worse general health perception (mean score change 3.8; 95% CI 0.1–7.5). Score changes for patients with subclinical vertebral fractures were intermediate between those for patients with clinical vertebral fractures and patients without incident vertebral fracture. Clinical and subclinical incident vertebral fractures both have an adverse impact on HRQOL.