Takeshi Kawakami

Establishment and validation of prognostic nomograms in first- line metastatic gastric cancer patients

Background It remains unclear whether human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status is an outcome-associated biomarker independent of known prognostic factors for metastatic gastric cancer. Moreover, there are few reports about nomograms in inoperable locally advanced or metastatic gastric cancer (AGC), although several studies have been reported regarding other cancer types. This retrospective study aimed to develop nomograms that combine HER2 status and other prognostic factors to predict the survival outcomes of AGC patients starting first-line treatment. Methods In this study, 838 consecutive AGC patients starting first-line chemotherapy at the Aichi Cancer Center Hospital (ACC) were included to establish the nomograms that calculated the predicted probability of survival at different time points, 6 months and 1 and 2 years for overall survival (OS) and 3 and 6 months, and 1 year for progression free survival (PFS). Nomograms were independently validated with 269 consecutive AGC patients at the Cancer Center Hospital (SCC) who underwent first-line chemotherapy. The discriminatory ability and accuracy of the models were assessed using Harrells c-index. IHC3+ or IHC2+/ISH+ tumors were defined as HER2 positive. Results At a median follow-up of 12.3 (ACC) and 11.6 (SCC) months, the median OS was 12.5 and 12.4 months (P=1.00), and the median PFS was 4.8 and 5.8 months (P=0.03), respectively. The nomograms showed good C-index values: OS was respectively 0.688 and 0.576 and PFS was respectively for 0.643 and 0.544. Conclusions The nomograms including HER2 status as covariate are crucial determinants of clinical care.

The impact of dose modification or termination of S-1 as adjuvant therapy on survival of locally advanced gastric cancer underwent curative gastrectomy.

193Background: Adjuvant S-1 therapy for pStage II/III gastric cancer (GC) patients (pts) after curative resection is standard treatment in Japan, however, prognosis of pStage III is still poor. There are few reports investigating the association of treatment exposure with survival. Therefore, we investigated the impact of dose modification or termination of S-1 as adjuvant therapy on overall survival (OS). Methods: The data of locally advanced GC pts who underwent gastrectomy with D2 lymph-node dissection in Shizuoka Cancer Center between Jan 2007 and Aug 2013 were retrospectively collected. Inclusion criteria were as follows: age 20 to 80 years; ECOG PS 0 or 1; histologically proven adenocarcinoma; pStage III under TNM 7th edition; R0 resection; initiation of S-1 within 56 days after surgery. S-1 was administered for 4 weeks followed by a 2 weeks rest. We defined completion of planned S-1 therapy as continuation of S-1 one year after surgery. Results: One hundred and six pts satisfied inclusion criteria....