Tobias Dolch

Salinity gradient shapes distance decay of similarity among parasite communities in three marine fishes

Published data were used to compare the distance decay of similarity in parasite communities of three marine fish hosts: Atlantic cod Gadus morhua, the dab Limanda limanda and the flounder Platichthys flesus in two adjacent areas that differ with respect to the strength of a salinity gradient. In the Baltic Sea, which exhibits a strong salinity gradient from its connection with the North Sea in the west to its head in the north-east, parasite communities in all three fish hosts showed a significant decline of similarity with increasing distance. In contrast, among host populations in the North Sea, which is a fully marine environment, there was no such decline or only a weak relationship. The results suggest that environmental gradients like salinity can be strong driving forces behind patterns of distance decay in parasite communities of fishes.

Long-term changes of intertidal and subtidal sediment compositions in a tidal basin in the northern Wadden Sea (SE North Sea)

Wadden Sea tidal flats are highly dynamic regarding the spatial distribution and the grain size composition of their sediments. From 2003 to 2006 surface sediments have been surveyed in an intertidal and a subtidal area within the tidal inlet Königshafen (south-eastern North Sea, northern Wadden Sea, island of Sylt) with the goal to gain information on short-term development trends in the grain size composition. The average grain size (Mean) becomes finer in the sheltered part of the intertidal survey area whereas a coarsening tendency can be observed in the more exposed part of the intertidal and especially in the subtidal survey area. The trend of the most frequent grain size (first Mode) shows the same spatial distribution pattern but is far less distinct. Thus, the changing Mean must be related to an increase in the deposition of fines in the sheltered part of the intertidal Königshafen as well as a general removal of fine-grained material in the exposed intertidal and subtidal Königshafen. In order to see long-term trends the surveys of 2003–2006 were compared to earlier studies conducted in 1932/1933, 1981 and 1989. A significant depletion of mud can be observed in the entire survey area. It is concluded that primarily changed hydrodynamics that may accompany ongoing climate change are responsible for this. However, the loss of fine-grained sediments is additionally amplified by a reduced vegetation cover and coastal protection measures.

Unravelling interactions between salt marsh evolution and sedimentary processes in the Wadden Sea (southeastern North Sea)

Salt marshes in the Wadden Sea constitute about 20% of all salt marshes along European coasts. They are of immense importance for coastal protection reasons and as habitat for coastal plant, bird, and invertebrate species. The Wadden Sea is a coastal sedimentary ecosystem in the southeastern North Sea. Besides salt marshes, it is composed of tidal flats, high sands, and sandy shoals, dissected by (sub)tidal channels and located behind barrier islands. Accelerated global sea-level rise (SLR) and changes in storm climate have been identified as possible threats for the persistence of the Wadden Sea ecosystem including its salt marshes. Moreover, it is known that the amount and composition of the sediment available for salt marshes are the most important parameters influencing their ability to adapt to current and future SLR. Assessing these parameters requires a thorough understanding of the sedimentary system of the salt marshes and the adjacent tidal basins. In the present review, we investigate and unravel the interactions of sedimentary processes in the Wadden Sea with the processes taking place on the salt marshes. We identify the most crucial processes and interactions influencing the morphological development of salt marshes in the Wadden Sea. A conceptual model is proposed, intended as a framework for improved understanding of salt marsh development and for incorporation into new salt marsh models. The proposed model may also be applicable to regions other than the Wadden Sea.

Consensus forecasting of intertidal seagrass habitat in the Wadden Sea

1. After the dramatic eutrophication-induced decline of intertidal seagrasses in the 1970s, theWadden Sea has shown diverging developments. In the northern Wadden Sea, seagrass bedshave expanded and become denser, while in the southern Wadden Sea, only small beds withlow shoot densities are found. A lack of documentation of historical distributions hampersconservation management. Yet, the recovery in the northern Wadden Sea provides opportunityto construct robust habitat suitability models to support management.2. We tuned habitat distribution models based on 17 years of seagrass surveys in the northernWadden Sea and high-resolution hydrodynamics and geomorphology for the entire WaddenSea using five machine learning approaches. To obtain geographically transferablemodels, hyperparameters were tuned on the basis of prediction accuracy assessed by non-random,spatial cross-validation. The spatial cross-validation methodology was combined with aconsensus modelling approach.3. The predicted suitability scores correlated amongst each other and with the hold-out observationsin the training area indicating that the models converged and were transferable acrossspace. Prediction accuracy was improved by averaging the predictions of the best models.4. We graphically examined the relationship between the consensus suitability score andindependent presence-only data from outside the training area using the area-adjusted seagrassfrequency per suitability class (continuous Boyce index). The Boyce index was positivelycorrelated with the suitability score indicating the adequacy of the prediction methodology.5. We used the plot of the continuous Boyce index against habitat suitability score to demarcatethree habitat classes – unsuitable, marginal and suitable – for the entire international WaddenSea. This information is valuable for habitat conservation and restoration management.6. Divergence between predicted suitability and actual distributions from the recent past indicatesthat unaccounted factors limit seagrass development in the southern Wadden Sea.7. Synthesis and applications. Our methodology and data enabled us to produce a robust andvalidated consensus habitat suitability model. We identified highly suitable areas where intertidalseagrass meadows may establish and persist. Our work provides scientific underpinningfor effective conservation planning in a dynamic landscape and sets monitoring priorities.

Analysis of long-term changes of a sandy shoreline utilising high-resolution aerial photography

The Wadden Sea is the shallow sedimentary coastal zone of the south-eastern North Sea. It is a highly dynamic system where shorelines are continuously changed by wind, waves, currents and tides. These morphodynamics were surveyed at the island of Sylt which is located in the northern Wadden Sea. The base of this long-term study is a series of high-resolution aerial photographs from 1928 to 2003. The analyses of the georeferenced aerial photographs and the quantification of shoreline changes were conducted with a Geographic Information System (GIS).