Tristan Le Cotty

Agribiom: A Tool for Scenario-Building and Hybrid Modelling

Agribiom is a quantitative tool devoted to the analysis of the world’s production, trade and use of biomass. Its construction was initiated in early 2006 at CIRAD, with the aim of creating a tool for use in collective scenario-building, such as the Agrimonde project, and in hybrid modelling exercises.

Resource-Use Balances in the Agrimonde Scenarios

In Agrimonde 1, the quantitative assumptions on resource production in each region and the assumptions on resource consumption were established independently, in relation to past trends and to factors that the panel considered to be drivers for the future (Chaps. 5, 6 and 7). To obtain quantitative scenarios, it is therefore essential to check whether these assumptions are compatible with one another and under what conditions of trade between regions, and then, if necessary, to adjust the values of certain assumptions.