Ulrich Keil

The International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase Three: A global synthesis

This ISAAC Phase Three synthesis provides summarised information on the main findings of the study, regional tables and figures related to the prevalence and severity of current symptoms of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema in the main regions of the world. The large number of surveyed children (≈1,200,000), the large number of centres (233) and countries (98) that participated in ISAAC Phase Three makes this study the most comprehensive survey of these diseases ever undertaken. Globally, the prevalence for current asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema in the 13-14-year age group was 14.1%, 14.6% and 7.3%, respectively. In the 6-7-year age group the prevalence for current asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema was 11.7%, 8.5% and 7.9%, respectively. The study shows a wide variability in the prevalence and severity of asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema which occurs not just between regions and countries but between centres in the same country and centres in the same city. This study definitively establishes that the prevalence of those diseases can be very high in non-affluent centres with low socioeconomic conditions. The large variability also suggests a crucial role of local environment characteristics to determine the differences in prevalence between one place and another. Thus, ISAAC Phase Three has provided a large body of epidemiological information on asthma, rhinoconjunctivitis and eczema in childhood from contrasting environments which is expected to yield new clues about the aetiology of those conditions and reasons for their marked global variability.

Inverse association of overweight and breast feeding in 9 to 10-y-old children in Germany.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether breast feeding is associated with prevalent overweight in pre-adolescent children.METHODS: Cross-sectional studies of 9 to 10-y-old children attending fourth grade in 1995/1996 in Dresden (n=1046) and Munich (n=1062), Germany, according to the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) Phase II protocol. A comprehensive questionnaire including detailed breast feeding history was filled out by the childs parent. Height and weight were measured in a random subsample of children undergoing spirometry. Overweight was defined as body mass index ≥90th age- and sex-specific percentile of the German reference.RESULTS: While the prevalence of overweight differed substantially between Dresden (girls 9.1%, boys 12.5%) and Munich (17% both), we observed a markedly lower overweight prevalence among breast fed than non-breast fed children in both cities. Controlling for age, sex and city, breast-fed children were substantially less likely to be overweight at 9–10 y (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.41–0.74). Results were slightly attenuated after adjustment for nationality, socio-economic status, number of siblings, parental smoking (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.52–0.87). A longer overall duration and duration of exclusive breast feeding was associated significantly with decreasing prevalence of overweight.CONCLUSION: The results highlight the importance and possible preventive potential of early nutrition in the development of overweight in children. Both feeding behaviors acquired by the nursing infant and metabolic effects may contribute to the observed inverse association of breast feeding and overweight in children.

Case finding, data quality aspects and comparability of myocardial infarction registers: results of a south German register study.

The population-based Augsburg Coronary Event Register (330,000 residents, age 25-74 years) has registered a total of 1012 cases of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in 1985 and 1021 AMI in 1986 and categorized them on the basis of the current WHO diagnostic algorithm for AMI. The register is designed for longitudinal comparisons of annual AMI risk (incidence, attack rate, death rate), and the risk to the AMI patients themselves (28-day case fatality). The methodology and specific issues encountered during registration and data evaluation are described. With an estimated 95% completeness of case finding, the quality control data review which the register conducts annually shows a consistency of specific data structures which indicate stable case finding and validation procedures. However, local conditions which affect case finding and data completeness per case are responsible for the creation of subsets of AMI which are in turn distinguished by differences in diagnostic category structures. With regard to the study objectives, the differences among subsets appear to have the least effect on rate calculations if DEFINITE and POSSIBLE AMI are combined. The implications of methodological variations and subset differences within and across registers on annual rate calculations and result comparisons are discussed.

Alcohol and blood pressure: results from the Luebeck Blood Pressure Study.

Data from the Luebeck Blood Pressure Study, a cross-sectional study on a random sample (n = 3,100) of the 30- to 69-year-old population of Luebeck, were analyzed with regard to alcohol consumption and blood pressure. Putative confounders such as obesity, smoking, physical activity, and educational attainment were controlled for by multiple regression analyses. Luebeck men who consumed more than 40 g of alcohol per day revealed 5-6 mm Hg higher mean systolic and 4-5 mm Hg higher mean diastolic blood pressure values. A J-shaped relationship between alcohol consumption and systolic blood pressure was seen in Luebeck men. According to our calculations, about 7% of hypertension among Luebeck men is due to alcohol consumption of greater than or equal to 40 g/day. Among women, strong interactions between age and alcohol consumption were found, therefore two age groups, 30-44 and 45-69 years, were analyzed separately. In the younger age group the alcohol-blood pressure relationship was not pronounced. In the older age group a strong interaction between alcohol consumption and smoking was found. For female smokers steep increases in the adjusted mean diastolic (5.2 mm Hg) and systolic (9.6 mm Hg) blood pressure values were seen for the alcohol consumption category greater than or equal to 20 g/day. For female nonsmokers a flat curve was seen with regard to mean diastolic and systolic blood pressure values. The data from the Munich Blood Pressure Study show a very similar relationship between alcohol consumption and mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure values.

The management of childhood asthma in the community

The aim of the present study was to assess the management of children with asthma in the community. Community-based random samples of children aged 5–7 and 9–11 yrs in Dresden and Munich, Germany, were studied in 1995–1996 using the phase II protocol of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood. Detailed information on the use of antiasthma drugs and accessory treatment in the past year was collected by parental questionnaire. A total of 11,094 (response rate 83%) children participated. Among children with wheeze in the last year, 36% had used bronchodilators and 19% were on regular anti-inflammatory treatment. The strongest determinant of treatment was a physicians diagnosis of asthma. Forty-seven per cent of the children with current wheeze had not been diagnosed as asthmatics and received hardly any treatment (9% bronchodilators and 2% anti-inflammatory drugs), despite an increased prevalence of severe asthma symptoms, bronchial hyperresponsiveness and atopic sensitisation compared with children without asthma symptoms. The proportion of children regularly using inhaled steroids was small (6%) among current wheezers and reached only 21% among children with diagnosed asthma and >12 wheezing attacks in the last year. Inhaled steroid use was lower in Munich than in Dresden and inversely related to the use of alternative remedies. Further efforts to improve the diagnosis and treatment of childhood asthma are needed. These should aim to increase awareness of the chronic nature of asthma and the need for treatment according to current guidelines.

Five-year changes in population blood pressure and hypertension prevalence

Two cardiovascular risk factor surveys were carried out in 1984/85 and 1989/90 in the Augsburg study region of the international World Health Organization (WHO) Monitoring Trends and Determinants of Cardiovascular Disease (MONICA) project. Independent random samples of the 25- to 64-year-old population were examined at each survey. Five-year changes in blood pressure (BP) and hypertension parameters were monitored in a population not targeted by any formal intervention program. Response rates in both surveys ranged close to 80%. Evaluation of selected quality indicators confirmed comparability of the two surveys in terms of BP measurement quality. Small but consistent decreases in mean systolic and diastolic BP were observed, particularly for women 35 years and older, whereas BP changes in men were less pronounced and inconsistent. Likewise, downward shifts of the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of systolic and diastolic BP occurred in women and their slopes of BP rise with age decreased while such changes were less clear in men. The age-standardized prevalence of men and women with hypertensive BP (HBP; > or = 160/95 mm Hg) decreased slightly. This contrasted with rises in the prevalence of actual hypertension (those with HBP plus those taking antihypertensive drugs) for 45- to 64-year-old men, which originated from changes in hypertension management involving a more frequent drug treatment of borderline-hypertensive men (140 to 159/90 to 94 mm Hg) in 1989/90. There were notable overall increases in the awareness, treatment, and control of men and women with hypertension.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Coronary heart disease mortality, morbidity, and case fatality in five east and West German cities 1985–1989

Abstract Cardiovascular mortality (CVD; International Classification of Diseases [1CD]390–458) is higher in East than in West Germany, but the differences in official coronary heart disease mortality (CHD; ICD 410–414) are not so pronounced. The aim of this study was to validate the official mortality statistics based on the five German AMI registers and to analyze whether these mortality differences are due to differences in the attack rates of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or to differences in the 28-day case fatality rates. This comparison includes the MONICA study cities of Augsburg and Bremen, both in West Germany, as well as the cities of Chemnitz, Erfurt, and Zwickau in East Germany (former the German Democratic Republic). The rates were calculated on the basis of all MONICA cases of definite AMI or coronary death aged 35 to 64 years occurring in the respective study populations between 1985 and 1989. All study populations except women in Augsburg showed higher coronary death rates compared to the rates based on the official cause of death statistics (ICD 410–414), but this difference was significant only for men in Chemnitz. In men there were no significant differences in the register-based coronary death rates between these urban areas (160/100,000 in Zwickau to 170/100,000 in Chemnitz) nor in the AMI attack rates (327/100,000 in Augsburg to 363/100,000 in Chemnitz), and consequently no significant center differences in the overall 28-day case fatality. However, the prehospital case fatality was significantly higher in Erfurt (34%) than in Bremen (27%). There were no significant differences in the AMI attack rates in women as well (60/100,000 in Chemnitz to 70/100,000 in Bremen and Erfurt), but the overall 28-day case fatality showed a clear gradient from the East (61–71%) to the West German cities (48–56%) and therefore also the register-based coronary death rates (38–50/100,000 and 34–38/100,000, respectively). However, the higher 28-day case fatality in women found in the MONICA registers in East compared to West Germany is not reflected in the CHD mortality statistics because of a stronger underestimation of the official mortality rates in East than in West Germany, in particular in women. Nevertheless, the total mortality rates and in most cases also the CVD mortality rates were in women significantly higher in the East German compared to the West German cities. The East German official preunification CHD mortality data cannot be used for national and international comparisons. The results of the MONICA AMI registers in East and West Germany indicate, furthermore, the need to improve coronary care in women in the eastern part of the country. Nevertheless, because of the relatively high AMI attack rates in both parts of Germany primary prevention must generally be intensified.

Weight change and change of total cholesterol and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol results of the MONICA Augsburg cohort study

Data from the MONICA (Monitoring Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease) Augsburg cohort were used to study the effect of weight change on changes in serum levels of total and high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol. Weight gain was associated with rising levels of total cholesterol and falling levels of high-density-lipoprotein cholesterol in both sexes, more so in men than in women. Moreover, these relationships weakened with advancing age in women, but not in men. The results support the view that weight loss may more favorably affect lipid levels in men than in women, particularly at older ages.

[Smoking among children and adolescents: a challenge for primary prevention].

The best way to prevent the deleterious health effects of cigarette smoking is helping children to refrain from starting the habit. As a part of a survey of the prevalence of asthma symptoms in children and adolescents, we investigated the smoking habits of grade seven and eight school children in Bochum, a city of approximately 400,000 people in northwestern Germany. A random sample of 2050 children (93%) answered a confidential questionnaire. Fifty-three percent of the children responded that they had ever smoked cigarettes and 26% indicated that they had smoked during the previous month. 10% of the teenagers smoked daily, and 5% smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day. The prevalence of active smoking during the previous month was more frequent among girls (28%) than among boys (23%), but slightly more boys (5%) than girls (4%) smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day. The prevalence of active smoking was increased among children living in families of lower socio-economic status or in households with smokers. The high prevalence of cigarette smoking among the school children in Bochum, Germany, emphasizes the need to develop and implement effective intervention programs for children and adolescents and to contribute to a social environment which is conductive to refraining from smoking.

Die Rauchgewohnheiten von Kindern und Jugendlichen: Eine Herausforderung fr die primre Prvention@@@Smoking among children and adolescents in Bochum, Germany: A challenge for primary prevention@@@Le tabagisme chez les enfants et les adolescents: Un dfi pour la prvention primaire

The best way to prevent the deleterious health effects of cigarette smoking is helping children to refrain from starting the habit. As a part of a survey of the prevalence of asthma symptoms in children and adolescents, we investigated the smoking habits of grade seven and eight school children in Bochum, a city of approximately 400,000 people in northwestern Germany. A random sample of 2050 children (93%) answered a confidential questionnaire. Fifty-three percent of the children responded that they had ever smoked cigarettes and 26% indicated that they had smoked during the previous month. 10% of the teenagers smoked daily, and 5% smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day. The prevalence of active smoking during the previous month was more frequent among girls (28%) than among boys (23%), but slightly more boys (5%) than girls (4%) smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day. The prevalence of active smoking was increased among children living in families of lower socio-economic status or in households with smokers. The high prevalence of cigarette smoking among the school children in Bochum, Germany, emphasizes the need to develop and implement effective intervention programs for children and adolescents and to contribute to a social environment which is conductive to refraining from smoking.