Valarie B. Ashby

Comparison of Mortality in All Patients on Dialysis, Patients on Dialysis Awaiting Transplantation, and Recipients of a First Cadaveric Transplant

BACKGROUND AND METHODS The extent to which renal allotransplantation - as compared with long-term dialysis - improves survival among patients with end-stage renal disease is controversial, because those selected for transplantation may have a lower base-line risk of death. In an attempt to distinguish the effects of patient selection from those of transplantation itself, we conducted a longitudinal study of mortality in 228,552 patients who were receiving long-term dialysis for end-stage renal disease. Of these patients, 46,164 were placed on a waiting list for transplantation, 23,275 of whom received a first cadaveric transplant between 1991 and 1997. The relative risk of death and survival were assessed with time-dependent nonproportional-hazards analysis, with adjustment for age, race, sex, cause of end-stage renal disease, geographic region, time from first treatment for end-stage renal disease to placement on the waiting list, and year of initial placement on the list. RESULTS Among the various subgroups, the standardized mortality ratio for the patients on dialysis who were awaiting transplantation (annual death rate, 6.3 per 100 patient-years) was 38 to 58 percent lower than that for all patients on dialysis (annual death rate, 16.1 per 100 patient-years). The relative risk of death during the first 2 weeks after transplantation was 2.8 times as high as that for patients on dialysis who had equal lengths of follow-up since placement on the waiting list, but at 18 months the risk was much lower (relative risk, 0.32; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.30 to 0.35; P<0.001). The likelihood of survival became equal in the two groups within 5 to 673 days after transplantation in all the subgroups of patients we examined. The long-term mortality rate was 48 to 82 percent lower among transplant recipients (annual death rate, 3.8 per 100 patient-years) than patients on the waiting list, with relatively larger benefits among patients who were 20 to 39 years old, white patients, and younger patients with diabetes. CONCLUSIONS Among patients with end-stage renal disease, healthier patients are placed on the waiting list for transplantation, and long-term survival is better among those on the waiting list who eventually undergo transplantation.

Renal transplantation in elderly patients older than 70 years of age: results from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients.

Background. Elderly patients (ages 70 yr and older) are among the fastest-growing group starting renal-replacement therapy in the United States. The outcomes of elderly patients who receive a kidney transplant have not been well studied compared with those of their peers on the waiting list. Methods. Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we analyzed data from 5667 elderly renal transplant candidates who initially were wait-listed from January 1, 1990 to December 31, 2004. Of these candidates, 2078 received a deceased donor transplant, and 360 received a living donor transplant by 31 December 2005. Time-to-death was studied using Cox regression models with transplant as a time-dependent covariate. Mortality hazard ratios (RRs) of transplant versus waiting list were adjusted for recipient age, sex, race, ethnicity, blood type, panel reactive antibody, year of placement on the waiting list, dialysis modality, comorbidities, donation service area, and time from first dialysis to first placement on the waiting list. Results. Elderly transplant recipients had a 41% lower overall risk of death compared with wait-listed candidates (RR=0.59; P<0.0001). Recipients of nonstandard, that is, expanded criteria donor, kidneys also had a significantly lower mortality risk (RR=0.75; P<0.0001). Elderly patients with diabetes and those with hypertension as a cause of end-stage renal disease also experienced a large benefit. Conclusions. Transplantation offers a significant reduction in mortality compared with dialysis in the wait-listed elderly population with end-stage renal disease.

BODY SIZE, DOSE OF HEMODIALYSIS, AND MORTALITY

This study investigates the role of body size on the mortality risk associated with dialysis dose in chronic hemodialysis patients. A national US random sample from the US Renal Data System was used for this observational longitudinal study of 2-year mortality. Prevalent hemodialysis patients treated between 1990 and 1995 were included (n = 9,165). A Cox proportional hazards model, adjusting for patient characteristics, was used to calculate the relative risk (RR) for mortality. Both dialysis dose (equilibrated Kt/V [eKt/V]) and body size (body weight, body volume, and body mass index) were independently and significantly (P < 0.01 for each measure) inversely related to mortality when adjusted for age and diabetes. Mortality was less among larger patients and those receiving greater eKt/V. The overall association of mortality risk with eKt/V was negative and significant in all patient subgroups defined by body size and by race-sex categories in the range 0.6 < eKt/V < 1.6. The association was negative in the restricted range 0.9 < eKt/V < 1.6 (although not generally significant) for all body-size subgroups and for three of four race-by-sex subgroups, excepting black men (RR = 1. 003/0.1 eKt/V; P > 0.95). These findings suggest that dose of dialysis and several measures of body size are important and independent correlates of mortality. These results suggest that patient management protocols should attempt to ensure both good patient nutrition and adequate dose of dialysis, in addition to managing coexisting medical conditions.

Kidney and pancreas transplantation

Data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients offer a unique and comprehensive view of US trends in kidney and pancreas waiting list characteristics and outcomes, transplant recipient and donor characteristics, and patient and allograft survival. Important findings from our review of developments during 2002 and the decades transplantation trends appear below.

KIDNEY AND PANCREAS TRANSPLANTATION IN THE UNITED STATES, 1997-2006: THE HRSA BREAKTHROUGH COLLABORATIVES AND THE 58 DSA CHALLENGE

Growth in the number of active patients on the kidney transplant waiting list has slowed. Projections based on the most recent 5‐year data suggest the total waiting list will grow at a rate of 4138 registrations per year, whereas the active waiting list will increase at less than one‐sixth that rate, or 663 registrations per year. The last 5 years have seen a small trend toward improved unadjusted allograft survival for living and deceased donor kidneys. Since 2004 the overall number of pancreas transplants has declined. Among pancreas recipients, those with simultaneous kidney‐pancreas transplants experienced the highest pancreas graft survival rates.

Analytical Methods and Database Design: Implications for Transplant Researchers, 2005

Understanding how transplant data are collected is crucial to understanding how the data can be used. The collection and use of Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (OPTN/SRTR) data continues to evolve, leading to improvements in data quality, timeliness and scope while reducing the data collection burden. Additional ascertainment of outcomes completes and validates existing data, although caveats remain for researchers. We also consider analytical issues related to cohort choice, timing of data submission, and transplant center variations in follow‐up data. All of these points should be carefully considered when choosing cohorts and data sources for analysis.

Insurance Type and Minority Status Associated with Large Disparities in Prelisting Dialysis among Candidates for Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Disparities in time to placement on the waiting list on the basis of socioeconomic factors decrease access to deceased-donor renal transplantation for some groups of patients with end-stage renal disease. This study was undertaken to determine candidate factors that influence duration of dialysis before placement on the waiting list among candidates for deceased-donor renal transplantation in the United States from January 2001 to December 2004 and the impact of Medicare eligibility rules on access. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS Access to the waiting list was measured as the percentage of all wait-listed candidates in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database who were listed before dialysis and by the duration of dialysis before placement on the waiting list. Multivariate logistic and linear regressions were used to determine variables that were predictive of preemptive listing and the duration of dialysis before listing. RESULTS The odds for preemptive placement on the waiting list improved during the course of the study period, whereas the median duration of prelisting dialysis did not. The candidate factors that were associated with low rates of preemptive listing and prolonged exposure to prelisting dialysis included Medicare insurance, minority race/ethnicity, and low educational attainment. In patients who were listed after the age of 64 yr, the adverse effect of Medicare insurance on access largely disappeared. CONCLUSIONS The disparity in dialysis exposure could potentially be diminished by concerted efforts on the part of the nephrology and transplant communities to promote early referral and preemptive placement on the waiting list, by calculating waiting time from the date of initiation of dialysis for patients who are on dialysis at the time of referral, and by relaxing Medicare eligibility requirements.

Geographic variability in access to primary kidney transplantation in the United States, 1996-2005.

This article focuses on geographic variability in patient access to kidney transplantation in the United States. It examines geographic differences and trends in access rates to kidney transplantation, in the component rates of wait‐listing, and of living and deceased donor transplantation. Using data from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services and the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we studied 700 000+ patients under 75, who began chronic dialysis treatment, received their first living donor kidney transplant, or were placed on the waiting list pre‐emptively. Relative rates of wait‐listing and transplantation by State were calculated using Cox regression models, adjusted for patient demographics. There were geographic differences in access to the kidney waiting list and to a kidney transplant. Adjusted wait‐list rates ranged from 37% lower to 64% higher than the national average. The living donor rate ranged from 57% lower to 166% higher, while the deceased donor transplant rate ranged from 60% lower to 150% higher than the national average. In general, States with higher wait‐listing rates tended to have lower transplantation rates and States with lower wait‐listing rates had higher transplant rates. Six States demonstrated both high wait‐listing and deceased donor transplantation rates while six others, plus D.C. and Puerto Rico, were below the national average for both parameters.

Geographic Variation in End-Stage Renal Disease Incidence and Access to Deceased Donor Kidney Transplantation

The effect of demand for kidney transplantation, measured by end‐stage renal disease (ESRD) incidence, on access to transplantation is unknown. Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (OPTN/SRTR) from 2000 to 2008, we performed donation service area (DSA) and patient‐level regression analyses to assess the effect of ESRD incidence on access to the kidney waiting list and deceased donor kidney transplantation. In DSAs, ESRD incidence increased with greater density of high ESRD incidence racial groups (African Americans and Native Americans). Wait‐list and transplant rates were relatively lower in high ESRD incidence DSAs, but wait‐list rates were not drastically affected by ESRD incidence at the patient level. Compared to low ESRD areas, high ESRD areas were associated with lower adjusted transplant rates among all ESRD patients (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.66–0.70). Patients living in medium and high ESRD areas had lower transplant rates from the waiting list compared to those in low ESRD areas (medium: RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.66–0.69; high: RR 0.63, 95% CI 0.61–0.65). Geographic variation in access to kidney transplant is in part mediated by local ESRD incidence, which has implications for allocation policy development.

Access and Outcomes Among Minority Transplant Patients, 1999–2008, with a Focus on Determinants of Kidney Graft Survival

Coincident with an increasing national interest in equitable health care, a number of studies have described disparities in access to solid organ transplantation for minority patients. In contrast, relatively little is known about differences in posttransplant outcomes between patients of specific racial and ethnic populations. In this paper, we review trends in access to solid organ transplantation and posttransplant outcomes by organ type, race and ethnicity. In addition, we present an analysis of categories of factors that contribute to the racial/ethnic variation seen in kidney transplant outcomes. Disparities in minority access to transplantation among wait‐listed candidates are improving, but persist for those awaiting kidney, simultaneous kidney and pancreas and intestine transplantation. In general, graft and patient survival among recipients of solid organ transplants is highest for Asians and Hispanic/Latinos, intermediate for whites and lowest for African Americans. Although much of the difference in outcomes between racial/ethnic groups can be accounted for by adjusting for patient characteristics, important observed differences remain. Age and duration of pretransplant dialysis exposure emerge as the most important determinants of survival in an investigation of the relative impact of center‐related versus patient‐related variables on kidney graft outcomes.