Veni Ezhil

Tracking the Evolution of Non–Small-Cell Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND Among patients with non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC), data on intratumor heterogeneity and cancer genome evolution have been limited to small retrospective cohorts. We wanted to prospectively investigate intratumor heterogeneity in relation to clinical outcome and to determine the clonal nature of driver events and evolutionary processes in early‐stage NSCLC. METHODS In this prospective cohort study, we performed multiregion whole‐exome sequencing on 100 early‐stage NSCLC tumors that had been resected before systemic therapy. We sequenced and analyzed 327 tumor regions to define evolutionary histories, obtain a census of clonal and subclonal events, and assess the relationship between intratumor heterogeneity and recurrence‐free survival. RESULTS We observed widespread intratumor heterogeneity for both somatic copy‐number alterations and mutations. Driver mutations in EGFR, MET, BRAF, and TP53 were almost always clonal. However, heterogeneous driver alterations that occurred later in evolution were found in more than 75% of the tumors and were common in PIK3CA and NF1 and in genes that are involved in chromatin modification and DNA damage response and repair. Genome doubling and ongoing dynamic chromosomal instability were associated with intratumor heterogeneity and resulted in parallel evolution of driver somatic copy‐number alterations, including amplifications in CDK4, FOXA1, and BCL11A. Elevated copy‐number heterogeneity was associated with an increased risk of recurrence or death (hazard ratio, 4.9; P=4.4×10‐4), which remained significant in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS Intratumor heterogeneity mediated through chromosome instability was associated with an increased risk of recurrence or death, a finding that supports the potential value of chromosome instability as a prognostic predictor. (Funded by Cancer Research UK and others; TRACERx ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01888601.)

Mathematical modelling of tumour volume dynamics in response to stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer

This paper reports a modelling study of tumour volume dynamics in response to stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR). The main objective was to develop a model that is adequate to describe tumour volume change measured during SABR, and at the same time is not excessively complex as lacking support from clinical data. To this end, various modelling options were explored, and a rigorous statistical method, the Akaike information criterion, was used to help determine a trade-off between model accuracy and complexity. The models were calibrated to the data from 11 non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with SABR. The results showed that it is feasible to model the tumour volume dynamics during SABR, opening up the potential for using such models in a clinical environment in the future.

Mosaics of polynomial transformations giving a patient specific registration to reduce breathing motion artefacts

Nuclear Medicine (NM) imaging is an important diagnostic tool, used widely in the field of oncology amongst others. However, NM images suffer from significant blurring due to inevitable patient motion, such as breathing, coughing and other voluntary or involuntary movement. Advances in detector technology and reconstruction techniques have led to a steady improvement in NM spatial resolution and the problems posed by patient motion are therefore becoming increasingly significant, particularly for PET/CT. Many correction schemes will require gated images to be aligned. This paper describes a method of registering major organs in piecewise fashion called virtual dissection. Results from processing synthetic data and one set of patient data are presented. A key feature is the possibility to use a mixture of registration techniques on a single set of data and combine the results into a single set of output images.

Factors influencing the robustness of P-value measurements in CT texture prognosis studies

Several studies have recently reported on the value of CT texture analysis in predicting survival, although the topic remains controversial, with further validation needed in order to consolidate the evidence base. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of varying the input parameters in the Kaplan-Meier analysis, to determine whether the resulting P-value can be considered to be a robust indicator of the parameters prognostic potential. A retrospective analysis of the CT-based normalised entropy of 51 patients with lung cancer was performed and overall survival data for these patients were collected. A normalised entropy cut-off was chosen to split the patient cohort into two groups and log-rank testing was performed to assess the survival difference of the two groups. This was repeated for varying normalised entropy cut-offs and varying follow-up periods. Our findings were also compared with previously published results to assess robustness of this parameter in a multi-centre patient cohort. The P-value was found to be highly sensitive to the choice of cut-off value, with small changes in cut-off producing substantial changes in P. The P-value was also sensitive to follow-up period, with particularly noisy results at short follow-up periods. Using matched conditions to previously published results, a P-value of 0.162 was obtained. Survival analysis results can be highly sensitive to the choice in texture cut-off value in dichotomising patients, which should be taken into account when performing such studies to avoid reporting false positive results. Short follow-up periods also produce unstable results and should therefore be avoided to ensure the results produced are reproducible. Previously published findings that indicated the prognostic value of normalised entropy were not replicated here, but further studies with larger patient numbers would be required to determine the cause of the different outcomes.