Vincenzo Valentini

Long-term outcome in patients with a pathological complete response after chemoradiation for rectal cancer: a pooled analysis of individual patient data

BACKGROUND Locally advanced rectal cancer is usually treated with preoperative chemoradiation. After chemoradiation and surgery, 15-27% of the patients have no residual viable tumour at pathological examination, a pathological complete response (pCR). This study established whether patients with pCR have better long-term outcome than do those without pCR. METHODS In PubMed, Medline, and Embase we identified 27 articles, based on 17 different datasets, for long-term outcome of patients with and without pCR. 14 investigators agreed to provide individual patient data. All patients underwent chemoradiation and total mesorectal excision. Primary outcome was 5-year disease-free survival. Kaplan-Meier survival functions were computed and hazard ratios (HRs) calculated, with the Cox proportional hazards model. Subgroup analyses were done to test for effect modification by other predicting factors. Interstudy heterogeneity was assessed for disease-free survival and overall survival with forest plots and the Q test. FINDINGS 484 of 3105 included patients had a pCR. Median follow-up for all patients was 48 months (range 0-277). 5-year crude disease-free survival was 83.3% (95% CI 78.8-87.0) for patients with pCR (61/419 patients had disease recurrence) and 65.6% (63.6-68.0) for those without pCR (747/2263; HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.34-0.57; p<0.0001). The Q test and forest plots did not suggest significant interstudy variation. The adjusted HR for pCR for failure was 0.54 (95% CI 0.40-0.73), indicating that patients with pCR had a significantly increased probability of disease-free survival. The adjusted HR for disease-free survival for administration of adjuvant chemotherapy was 0.91 (95% CI 0.73-1.12). The effect of pCR on disease-free survival was not modified by other prognostic factors. INTERPRETATION Patients with pCR after chemoradiation have better long-term outcome than do those without pCR. pCR might be indicative of a prognostically favourable biological tumour profile with less propensity for local or distant recurrence and improved survival. FUNDING None.

Prognostic value of pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer: long-term analysis of 566 ypCR patients.

PURPOSE In the literature, a favorable prognosis was observed for complete pathologic response after preoperative therapy (ypCR) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. The aim of this study is to verify whether ypCR predicts a favorable outcome in a large series of patients. METHODS AND MATERIALS The Gastro-Intestinal Working Group of the Italian Association of Radiation Oncology collected clinical data for 566 patients with ypCR (ypT0N0) after neoadjuvant therapy. Eligibility criteria included locally advanced rectal cancer with no evidence of metastases at the time of diagnosis, evidence of ypCR after preoperative radiotherapy +/- chemotherapy (CT). RESULTS Median radiation dose was 50 Gy. A total of 527 patients (93%) received one of 12 different neoadjuvant CT schedules. Sphincter preservation, anteroposterior resection, and endoscopic surgery were performed in 73%, 22%, and 5% of patients, respectively. Adjuvant CT was administered to 22% of patients. Median follow-up was 46.4 months. Locoregional recurrence occurred in 7 patients (1.6%). Distant metastases occurred in 49 patients (8.9%). Overall, 5-year rates of disease-free survival, overall survival, and cancer-specific survival were 85%, 90%, and 94%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, only age and clinical stage statistically correlated with survival outcome. Adjuvant CT was still of borderline significance (worse for adjuvant CT). No relation was found between survival and neoadjuvant CT schedules. CONCLUSION A ypCR after neoadjuvant therapy identified a favorable group of patients, even in this large series of 566 patients collected in 61 centers. Locoregional recurrence occurred only in 1.6% patients.

Nomograms for Predicting Local Recurrence, Distant Metastases, and Overall Survival for Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer on the Basis of European Randomized Clinical Trials

PURPOSE The purpose of this study was to develop accurate models and nomograms to predict local recurrence, distant metastases, and survival for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with long-course chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by surgery and to allow for a selection of patients who may benefit most from postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and close follow-up. PATIENTS AND METHODS All data (N = 2,795) from five major European clinical trials for rectal cancer were pooled and used to perform an extensive survival analysis and to develop multivariate nomograms based on Cox regression. Data from one trial was used as an external validation set. The variables used in the analysis were sex, age, clinical tumor stage stage, tumor location, radiotherapy dose, concurrent and adjuvant chemotherapy, surgery procedure, and pTNM stage. Model performance was evaluated by the concordance index (c-index). Risk group stratification was proposed for the nomograms. RESULTS The nomograms are able to predict events with a c-index for external validation of local recurrence (LR; 0.68), distant metastases (DM; 0.73), and overall survival (OS; 0.70). Pathologic staging is essential for accurate prediction of long-term outcome. Both preoperative CRT and adjuvant chemotherapy have an added value when predicting LR, DM, and OS rates. The stratification in risk groups allows significant distinction between Kaplan-Meier curves for outcome. CONCLUSION The easy-to-use nomograms can predict LR, DM, and OS over a 5-year period after surgery. They may be used as decision support tools in future trials by using the three defined risk groups to select patients for postoperative chemotherapy and close follow-up (http://www.predictcancer.org).

Predicting outcomes in radiation oncology —multifactorial decision support systems

With the emergence of individualized medicine and the increasing amount and complexity of available medical data, a growing need exists for the development of clinical decision-support systems based on prediction models of treatment outcome. In radiation oncology, these models combine both predictive and prognostic data factors from clinical, imaging, molecular and other sources to achieve the highest accuracy to predict tumour response and follow-up event rates. In this Review, we provide an overview of the factors that are correlated with outcome—including survival, recurrence patterns and toxicity—in radiation oncology and discuss the methodology behind the development of prediction models, which is a multistage process. Even after initial development and clinical introduction, a truly useful predictive model will be continuously re-evaluated on different patient datasets from different regions to ensure its population-specific strength. In the future, validated decision-support systems will be fully integrated in the clinic, with data and knowledge being shared in a standardized, instant and global manner.

Locally advanced rectal cancer: MR imaging in prediction of response after preoperative chemotherapy and radiation therapy.

PURPOSE To prospectively differentiate, at magnetic resonance (MR) imaging, patients with locally advanced nonmucinous rectal cancer who will respond to long-course chemotherapy and radiation therapy (CRT) from those who will not respond, with histopathologic results as the reference standard. MATERIALS AND METHODS Institutional review board approval for this study was obtained, and all patients provided written informed consent. High-spatial-resolution T2-weighted MR images were acquired before and 6-8 weeks after CRT in 53 patients (33 men, 20 women; mean age, 63 years; age range, 42-79 years). Patients were categorized as responders to CRT (patients with T3 cancer that converted to T2 or a lower stage, patients with T4 cancer that converted to T3 or a lower stage) or as nonresponders (patients with stable or progressive disease). At the posttreatment MR imaging examination, a decrease in signal intensity was considered to represent a morphologic response with fibrosis. Before CRT and surgery, tumor volume was calculated at MR imaging by multiplying cross-sectional area by section thickness. Tumor length was measured at MR imaging and in the histopathologic specimen. Nodal downstaging was evaluated. The relationship between pathologic response, morphologic MR imaging response, and percentage volume reduction was evaluated with the Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon two-sample test. RESULTS Morphologic response assessment with MR imaging achieved a positive predictive value (PPV) of 84.2% (32 of 38) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 66.7% (10 of 15). Volume reduction extent (> or = 70%) was significantly different between patients in whom disease was downstaged and those in whom it was not downstaged (P = .000005) and showed additional diagnostic value, with an overall accuracy of 86.8% (46 of 53). Presurgical MR imaging and histopathologic tumor length did not show a significant difference. MR imaging accuracy for lymph node (N) stage was 86.8% (46 of 53) on the basis of morphologic criteria. CONCLUSION After CRT, morphologic and volumetric evaluation at MR imaging had a high PPV and a low NPV for response assessment. The detection of small clusters of residual tumor cells within fibrosis remains a problem. SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL http://radiology.rsnajnls.org/cgi/content/full/250/3/730/DC1.

EURECCA colorectal: Multidisciplinary management: European consensus conference colon & rectum

BACKGROUND Care for patients with colon and rectal cancer has improved in the last 20years; however considerable variation still exists in cancer management and outcome between European countries. Large variation is also apparent between national guidelines and patterns of cancer care in Europe. Therefore, EURECCA, which is the acronym of European Registration of Cancer Care, is aiming at defining core treatment strategies and developing a European audit structure in order to improve the quality of care for all patients with colon and rectal cancer. In December 2012, the first multidisciplinary consensus conference about cancer of the colon and rectum was held. The expert panel consisted of representatives of European scientific organisations involved in cancer care of patients with colon and rectal cancer and representatives of national colorectal registries. METHODS The expert panel had delegates of the European Society of Surgical Oncology (ESSO), European Society for Radiotherapy & Oncology (ESTRO), European Society of Pathology (ESP), European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO), European Society of Radiology (ESR), European Society of Coloproctology (ESCP), European CanCer Organisation (ECCO), European Oncology Nursing Society (EONS) and the European Colorectal Cancer Patient Organisation (EuropaColon), as well as delegates from national registries or audits. Consensus was achieved using the Delphi method. For the Delphi process, multidisciplinary experts were invited to comment and vote three web-based online voting rounds and to lecture on the subjects during the meeting (13th-15th December 2012). The sentences in the consensus document were available during the meeting and a televoting round during the conference by all participants was performed. This manuscript covers all sentences of the consensus document with the result of the voting. The consensus document represents sections on diagnostics, pathology, surgery, medical oncology, radiotherapy, and follow-up where applicable for treatment of colon cancer, rectal cancer and metastatic colorectal disease separately. Moreover, evidence based algorithms for diagnostics and treatment were composed which were also submitted to the Delphi process. RESULTS The total number of the voted sentences was 465. All chapters were voted on by at least 75% of the experts. Of the 465 sentences, 84% achieved large consensus, 6% achieved moderate consensus, and 7% resulted in minimum consensus. Only 3% was disagreed by more than 50% of the members. CONCLUSIONS Multidisciplinary consensus on key diagnostic and treatment issues for colon and rectal cancer management using the Delphi method was successful. This consensus document embodies the expertise of professionals from all disciplines involved in the care for patients with colon and rectal cancer. Diagnostic and treatment algorithms were developed to implement the current evidence and to define core treatment guidance for multidisciplinary team management of colon and rectal cancer throughout Europe.

Analysis of intraprostatic failures in patients treated with hormonal therapy and radiotherapy: implications for conformal therapy planning

PURPOSE Conformal therapy of prostate cancer is based on high-dose irradiation to the entire prostate gland. The aim of this study was to analyze the pattern of intraprostatic recurrence in patients undergoing external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) at a dose of 65-70 Gy to evaluate whether conventional radiotherapy doses are adequate to control microscopic disease outside the primary tumor and therefore whether high-dose irradiation can be exclusively focused on the macroscopic disease. METHODS AND MATERIALS The clinical and radiologic reports of 118 patients with prostate cancer undergoing EBRT (64.8-70.2 Gy) combined with hormonal therapy were evaluated. In all patients, before and after therapy, the size and site of the primary neoplasm within the prostate were assessed by clinical examination and imaging studies. RESULTS With a median follow-up of 45 months (range 14-119), the 5-year actuarial local control rate was 83.9%. Twelve patients had an intraprostatic recurrence, with the appearance of a new nodule (in 5 patients with a complete response after therapy) or increased nodular size compared with the minimal size (in the 7 other patients). In all patients, on the basis of a semiquantitative evaluation of the site of recurrence, this was shown to originate within the initial tumor volume. CONCLUSION The results of this analysis seem to confirm some histologic findings observed in patients undergoing prostatectomy for local recurrence after radiotherapy that suggest that local recurrence usually originates in the primary tumor rather than in focal prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia. This observation might justify the application of conformal therapy procedures aimed at identifying the gross tumor volume, in the phase of boost, exclusively with the primary tumor.

Adjuvant radiotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer with pathological stage I: definitive results of a phase III randomized trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE To evaluate the benefits and the drawbacks of post-operative radiotherapy in completely resected Stage I (a and b) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). MATERIALS AND METHODS Patients with pathological Stages Ia and Ib NSCLC have been randomized into two groups: Group 1 (G1) received adjuvant radiotherapy, Group 0 (G0) the control group did not receive any adjuvant therapy. Local control, toxicity and survival have been evaluated. RESULTS Between July 1989 and June 1997, 104 patients with pathological stage I NSCLC have been enrolled in this study. Fifty-one patients were randomized to G1 and 53 to G0. Six patients have been excluded from the study due to incomplete follow-up data. Regarding local control, one patient in the G1 group had a local recurrence (2.2%) while in the G0 12 local recurrences have been observed (23%). Seventy-one percent of patients are disease-free at 5 years in G1 and 60% in G0 (P=0.039). Overall 5-year survival (Kaplan-Meier) showed a positive trend in the treated group: 67 versus 58% (P=0.048). Regarding toxicity in G1, six patients experienced a grade 1 acute toxicity. Radiological evidence of long-term lung toxicity, with no significant impairment of the respiratory function, has been detected in 18 of the 19 patients who have been diagnosed as having a post-radiation lung fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS Adjuvant radiotherapy gave good results in terms of local control in patients with completely resected NSCLC with pathological Stage I. Overall 5-year survival and disease-free survival showed a promising trend. Treatment-related toxicity is acceptable.

Ten years of preoperative chemoradiation for extraperitoneal T3 rectal cancer : Acute toxicity, tumor response, and sphincter preservation in three consecutive studies

PURPOSE To compare acute toxicity, tumor response, and sphincter preservation in three schedules of concurrent chemoradiation in resectable transmural and/or node-positive extraperitoneal rectal cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS Between 1990 and 1999, 163 consecutive patients were treated according to the following combined modalities: FUMIR: between 1990 and 1995, 83 patients were treated with bolus i.v. mitomycin C (MMC), 10 mg/m(2) day 1, plus 24-h continuous infusion i.v. 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) 1,000 mg/m(2) days 1-4, and concurrent external beam radiotherapy (37.8 Gy). PLAFUR-4: between 1995 and 1998, 40 patients were treated with cisplatin (c-DDP) 60 mg/m(2) given as slow infusion (1-4 h) on days 1 and 29, plus 24-h continuous infusion i.v. 5-FU 1,000 mg/m(2), days 1-4 and 29-32 with concurrent external-beam radiotherapy (50.4 Gy). PLAFUR-5: between 1998 and 1999, 40 patients were treated with c-DDP 60 mg/m(2) given as slow infusion (during 1-4 h) on days 1 and 29, plus 24-h continuous infusion i.v. 5-FU 1,000 mg/m(2), days 1-5 and 29-33 with concurrent external-beam radiotherapy (50.4 Gy). RESULTS Grade > or = 3 acute toxicity occurred in 14%, 5%, and 17% of patients treated in the FUMIR, PLAFUR-4, and PLAFUR-5 studies, respectively (p = 0.201). In the FUMIR, PLAFUR-4, and PLAFUR-5 studies, clinical response rate was 77%, 70%, and 83%, respectively. Tumor downstaging occurred in 57%, 68%, and 58% of patients, respectively. Pathologic complete response was recorded in 9% (FUMIR), 23% (PLAFUR-4), and 20% (PLAFUR-5) of patients. Sphincter-preserving surgery was feasible in 44% (FUMIR), 40% (PLAFUR-4), and 61% (PLAFUR-5) of patients having a distance between the anal-rectal ring and the lower pole of the tumor of 0-30 mm, and in 95%, 100%, and 100%, respectively, in those having a distance of 31-50 mm. Comparing FUMIR vs. PLAFUR, the clinical response rate was similar in the two series: a partial response was observed in 62/81 (77%) patients with FUMIR treatment, and in 61/80 (76%) patients with PLAFUR treatment. Tumor downstaging was observed in 46/81 (57%) patients and in 50/80 (68%) patients, respectively. The pathologic complete response rate was statistically higher in the PLAFUR series: 7/81 (9%) patients with FUMIR treatment and 17/80 (21%) patients with PLAFUR treatment (p = 0.04). Major downstaging (pT0+ pTmic+ pT1) in the FUMIR group was reported in 12/81 (15%) patients versus 31/80 (39%) patients in the PLAFUR group (p = 0.0006). The anal sphincter was preserved in 63/81 (78%) patients with FUMIR treatment and in 69/80 (86%) patients with PLAFUR treatment. The perioperative morbidity was statistically lower with PLAFUR: a perioperative morbidity was experienced by 20/81 (25%) patients with FUMIR treatment and by 9/80 (11%) patients with PLAFUR treatment (p = 0.042). CONCLUSION In our experience, higher radiation dose (50.4 Gy vs. 37.8 Gy), a second course of concurrent 5-FU, and the use of c-DDP instead of MMC improved the pathologic response rate without increasing acute toxicity and perioperative morbidity. The use of 5-FU 5-day infusion (PLAFUR-5) resulted in higher toxicity with a similar response rate compared to 4-day infusion (PLAFUR-4).

‘Rapid Learning health care in oncology’ – An approach towards decision support systems enabling customised radiotherapy’ ☆ ☆☆

PURPOSE An overview of the Rapid Learning methodology, its results, and the potential impact on radiotherapy. MATERIAL AND RESULTS Rapid Learning methodology is divided into four phases. In the data phase, diverse data are collected about past patients, treatments used, and outcomes. Innovative information technologies that support semantic interoperability enable distributed learning and data sharing without additional burden on health care professionals and without the need for data to leave the hospital. In the knowledge phase, prediction models are developed for new data and treatment outcomes by applying machine learning methods to data. In the application phase, this knowledge is applied in clinical practice via novel decision support systems or via extensions of existing models such as Tumour Control Probability models. In the evaluation phase, the predictability of treatment outcomes allows the new knowledge to be evaluated by comparing predicted and actual outcomes. CONCLUSION Personalised or tailored cancer therapy ensures not only that patients receive an optimal treatment, but also that the right resources are being used for the right patients. Rapid Learning approaches combined with evidence based medicine are expected to improve the predictability of outcome and radiotherapy is the ideal field to study the value of Rapid Learning. The next step will be to include patient preferences in the decision making.