Vineet Goyal

On the Power of Robust Solutions in Two-Stage Stochastic and Adaptive Optimization Problems

We consider a two-stage mixed integer stochastic optimization problem and show that a static robust solution is a good approximation to the fully adaptable two-stage solution for the stochastic problem under fairly general assumptions on the uncertainty set and the probability distribution. In particular, we show that if the right-hand side of the constraints is uncertain and belongs to a symmetric uncertainty set (such as hypercube, ellipsoid or norm ball) and the probability measure is also symmetric, then the cost of the optimal fixed solution to the corresponding robust problem is at most twice the optimal expected cost of the two-stage stochastic problem. Furthermore, we show that the bound is tight for symmetric uncertainty sets and can be arbitrarily large if the uncertainty set is not symmetric. We refer to the ratio of the optimal cost of the robust problem and the optimal cost of the two-stage stochastic problem as the stochasticity gap. We also extend the bound on the stochasticity gap for another class of uncertainty sets referred to as positive. If both the objective coefficients and right-hand side are uncertain, we show that the stochasticity gap can be arbitrarily large even if the uncertainty set and the probability measure are both symmetric. However, we prove that the adaptability gap (ratio of optimal cost of the robust problem and the optimal cost of a two-stage fully adaptable problem) is at most four even if both the objective coefficients and the right-hand side of the constraints are uncertain and belong to a symmetric uncertainty set. The bound holds for the class of positive uncertainty sets as well. Moreover, if the uncertainty set is a hypercube (special case of a symmetric set), the adaptability gap is one under an even more general model of uncertainty where the constraint coefficients are also uncertain.

A Markov Chain Approximation to Choice Modeling

Assortment planning is an important problem that arises in many industries such as retailing and airlines. One of the key challenges in an assortment planning problem is to identify the “right” model for the substitution behavior of customers from the data. Error in model selection can lead to highly suboptimal decisions. In this paper, we consider a Markov chain based choice model and show that it provides a simultaneous approximation for all random utility based discrete choice models including the multinomial logit (MNL), the probit, the nested logit and mixtures of multinomial logit models. In the Markov chain model, substitution from one product to another is modeled as a state transition in the Markov chain. We show that the choice probabilities computed by the Markov chain based model are a good approximation to the true choice probabilities for any random utility based choice model under mild conditions. Moreover, they are exact if the underlying model is a generalized attraction model (GAM) of which the MNL model is a special case. We also show that the assortment optimization problem for our choice model can be solved efficiently in polynomial time. In addition to the theoretical bounds, we also conduct numerical experiments and observe that the average maximum relative error of the choice probabilities of our model with respect to the true probabilities for any offer set is less than 3% where the average is taken over different offer sets. Therefore, our model provides a tractable approach to choice modeling and assortment optimization that is robust to model selection errors. Moreover, the state transition primitive for substitution provides interesting insights to model the substitution behavior in many real-world applications.

MIP reformulations of the probabilistic set covering problem

In this paper, we address the following probabilistic version (PSC) of the set covering problem:

On the Crossing Spanning Tree Problem

{\min\{cx\,|\,{\mathbb P}(Ax \ge \xi) \ge p, x \in \{0, 1\}^N\}}

Pay today for a rainy day: improved approximation algorithms for demand-robust min-cut and shortest path problems

where A is a 0-1 matrix,

A tight characterization of the performance of static solutions in two-stage adjustable robust linear optimization

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