Vito Lepore

Course and prognosis in early-onset MS Comparison with adult-onset forms

Objectives: To establish the prognostic role of clinical and demographic factors in a hospital-based cohort of MS patients categorized by age at clinical onset and clinical course. Methods: Eighty-three patients with MS had a clinical onset of the disease in childhood (age <16 years; early-onset MS [EOMS]) and 710 in adult age (between 16 and 65 years; adult-onset MS [AOMS]). Patients were followed for a mean period of observation of 5 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses of clinical and demographic predictors for rapid progression and disability were performed using a stepwise Cox regression model with time-dependent covariates. Results: In EOMS, the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) evaluated at last clinical examination was lower than in AOMS, despite a longer disease duration. The probability to reach growth disability and progression was significantly lower in EOMS than in AOMS. Median times to reach EDSS score of 4 and secondary progression were longer in EOMS than in AOMS, but the age at both endpoints was significantly lower in EOMS. In EOMS and AOMS, an irreversible disability was related to a secondary progressive course, a sphincteric system involvement at onset, and an older age at onset (in EOMS only for the group >14 years); in AOMS, other unfavorable factors were a pyramidal involvement at onset and a high relapse frequency in the first 2 years. The risk of entering secondary progression was significantly influenced by a high number of relapses in EOMS and by a higher age at onset and a short interattack interval in AOMS. Conclusion: A slower rate of progression of disease characterized EOMS patients, suggesting more plasticity to recover in developing CNS, but the early clinical manifestation cannot be considered a positive prognostic factor.

New natural history of interferon‐β–treated relapsing multiple sclerosis

To investigate the impact of interferon‐beta (IFNβ) on disease progression in relapsing‐remitting multiple sclerosis patients.

Estrogen-replacement therapy and Alzheimer's disease in the Italian Longitudinal Study on Aging

Objective: To study the association of estrogen-replacement therapy and other estrogen-related variables with Alzheimers disease in postmenopausal women. Background: Postmenopausal estrogen use has been reported to lower the risk of Alzheimers disease. Design: A population-based, multicenter survey was carried out in eight Italian municipalities. The sample of 2,816 women, aged 65 to 84 years, was randomly selected from the population register of each municipality and stratified in 5-year age groups. All women were screened using the Mini-Mental State Examination and interviewed concerning risk factors. Those who screened positive underwent a clinical assessment. Dementia syndrome was diagnosed according to DSM-III-R criteria, and Alzheimers disease was diagnosed according to NINCDS-ADRDA criteria for possible and probable Alzheimers disease. Results: The estimated prevalence of postmenopausal estrogen use adjusted to the 1991 Italian female population was 12.3%. The frequency of estrogen use was higher among nonpatients compared with Alzheimers disease patients (odds ratio, 0.24; 95% confidence interval, 0.07 to 0.77). The inverse association between estrogen therapy and Alzheimers disease remained significant after adjustment for age, education, age at menarche, age at menopause, smoking and alcohol habits, body weight at the age of 50 years, and number of children(odds ratio, 0.28; 95% confidence interval, 0.08 to 0.98). Conclusions: Our data from a population-based study support the hypothesis that estrogen-replacement therapy is associated with a reduced prevalence of Alzheimers disease in postmenopausal women. Prospective clinical trials are required to enable women and their physicians to weigh risks and benefits of estrogen-replacement therapy for the prevention of dementia.

Association of Aspirin Use With Major Bleeding in Patients With and Without Diabetes

CONTEXT The benefit of aspirin for the primary prevention of cardiovascular events is relatively small for individuals with and without diabetes. This benefit could easily be offset by the risk of hemorrhage. OBJECTIVE To determine the incidence of major gastrointestinal and intracranial bleeding episodes in individuals with and without diabetes taking aspirin. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A population-based cohort study, using administrative data from 4.1 million citizens in 12 local health authorities in Puglia, Italy. Individuals with new prescriptions for low-dose aspirin (≤300 mg) were identified during the index period from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2008, and were propensity-matched on a 1-to-1 basis with individuals who did not take aspirin during this period. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Hospitalizations for major gastrointestinal bleeding or cerebral hemorrhage occurring after the initiation of antiplatelet therapy. RESULTS There were 186,425 individuals being treated with low-dose aspirin and 186,425 matched controls without aspirin use. During a median follow-up of 5.7 years, the overall incidence rate of hemorrhagic events was 5.58 (95% CI, 5.39-5.77) per 1000 person-years for aspirin users and 3.60 (95% CI, 3.48-3.72) per 1000 person-years for those without aspirin use (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.55; 95% CI, 1.48-1.63). The use of aspirin was associated with a greater risk of major bleeding in most of the subgroups investigated but not in individuals with diabetes (IRR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.97-1.22). Irrespective of aspirin use, diabetes was independently associated with an increased risk of major bleeding episodes (IRR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.28-1.44). CONCLUSIONS In a population-based cohort, aspirin use was significantly associated with an increased risk of major gastrointestinal or cerebral bleeding episodes. Patients with diabetes had a high rate of bleeding that was not independently associated with aspirin use.

Incidence of Dementia, Alzheimer's Disease, and Vascular Dementia in Italy. The ILSA Study

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence of dementia, Alzheimers disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) in older Italians and evaluate the relationship of age, gender, and education to developing dementia.

Incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in southern Italy: a population based study

Background: While the incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is similar across the world (range, 1.0 to 2.5/100 000), a latitude gradient from north to south has been observed. Objective: To determine the incidence of ALS in Puglia, a region of south eastern Italy, and to test the latitude gradient hypothesis comparing the present study with findings in studies conducted with the same design in a northern latitude. Methods: Puglia (4 086 613 residents in 2001) is the site of a multicentre-multisource prospective population based registry established in 1997. All incident ALS cases during the period 1998–99 were enrolled and followed up. Cases were classified using the first and the revised El Escorial criteria. Results: During the study period 130 cases were enrolled. The annual crude incidence for ALS in Puglia for the two year period 1998–99 was 1.6/100 000 (95% confidence interval, 1.3 to 1.9). The incidence was higher for men (incidence rate (IR) = 2.1 (1.7 to 2.7) than for women (IR = 1.2 (0.9 to 1.5)) in all age groups, with a male to female ratio of 1.6. For both men and women, the incidence increased through age 75 and declined rapidly afterwards. The mean annual incidence adjusted by age and sex to the 2001 Italian population was 1.7/100 000 (1.4 to 2.0). Conclusions: ALS incidence is within a narrow range across countries, with a peak between 65 and 75 years and a higher incidence in men. A north to south latitude gradient of ALS incidence is not supported by the results of cohort studies.

Geographical variations in sex ratio trends over time in multiple sclerosis

Background A female/male (F/M) ratio increase over time in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients was demonstrated in many countries around the world. So far, a direct comparison of sex ratio time-trends among MS populations from different geographical areas was not carried out. Objective In this paper we assessed and compared sex ratio trends, over a 60-year span, in MS populations belonging to different latitudinal areas. Methods Data of a cohort of 15,996 (F = 11,290; M = 4,706) definite MS with birth years ranging from 1930 to 1989 were extracted from the international MSBase registry and the New Zealand MS database. Gender ratios were calculated by six decades based on year of birth and were adjusted for the F/M born-alive ratio derived from the respective national registries of births. Results Adjusted sex ratios showed a significant increase from the first to the last decade in the whole MS sample (from 2.35 to 2.73; p = 0.03) and in the subgroups belonging to the areas between 83° N and 45° N (from 1.93 to 4.55; p<0.0001) and between 45° N to 35° N (from 1.46 to 2.30; p<0.05) latitude, while a sex ratio stability over time was found in the subgroup from areas between 12° S and 55° S latitude. The sex ratio increase mainly affected relapsing-remitting (RR) MS. Conclusions Our results confirm a general sex ratio increase over time in RRMS and also demonstrate a latitudinal gradient of this increase. These findings add useful information for planning case-control studies aimed to explore sex-related factors responsible for MS development.

Analysis of survival and prognostic factors in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a population based study.

Objective: To measure survivorship and predictors of prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Methods: Incident cases, diagnosed in the 1998–1999 period and classified according to the El Escorial criteria, were enrolled from a prospective population based registry established in Puglia, Southern Italy, with a reference population of 4 025 329. Cases were followed up until death or 30 June 2004. Results: We identified 130 incident cases of ALS while four were lost to follow-up. Median survival was 28 months from first symptoms and 16 months from diagnosis, while cumulative survivorship at 4 years was approximately 30%. Advanced age (>75 years: hazard ratio (HR) 7.5; 95% CI 1.9 to 29.6; p = 0.004) and bulbar or generalised (HR 1.8; 95% CI 1.1 to 3.0; p = 0.01) onset of symptoms were independent predictors of adverse survival. After stratifying patients according to site of first symptoms, age was a predictor of death among spinal (HR for patients aged >75 years compared with patients aged 45 years or less: HR 11; 95% CI 1.5 to 78.5; p = 0.01) but not among bulbar ALS (HR 4.5; 95% CI 0.4 to 46.5; p = 0.2). Among spinal onset cases, cases with predominant upper motoneuronal (UMN) involvement presented with a borderline significant better survivorship (HR 0.5; 95% CI 0.2 to 1.3; p = 0.1) Conclusions: Bulbar signs and advanced age among subjects with spinal onset were indicators of poor prognosis while El Escorial category at entry did not predict survival. Among subjects with spinal onset of the disease, a trend for a better survivorship of subjects with UMN signs was noted.

Possible risk factors for primary adult onset dystonia: a case-control investigation by the Italian Movement Disorders Study Group

OBJECTIVES Little is known about the aetiology of idiopathic adult onset dystonia. The Italian Movement Disorders Study Group promoted a case-control study on some hypothetical risk factors including past medical events, life events, life habits, occupational hazards, and family hystory of dystonia, parkinsonism, and tremor. METHODS Cases affected by idiopathic adult onset dystonia (age at symptom onset >20 years, duration of disease >one year and <five years) were selected among consecutive outpatients attending 14 Italian centres. Control outpatients matched for age (±5 years), sex, and referral centre were identified among diagnostic categories thought to be unassociated with study exposures. Information was obtained by a standardised questionnaire administered by medical interviewers. Conditional logistic univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed by a standard statistical package. RESULTS Multivariate analysis on 202 cases and 202 age and sex matched control outpatients indicated that head or facial trauma with loss of consciousness, family history of dystonia, and family history of postural tremor independently increased the risk of developing adult onset dystonia, whereas hypertension and cigarette smoking exerted a protective effect. The findings also suggested a positive association between local body injury—for example, previous ocular diseases and neck or trunk trauma—and dystonia of the same body part. CONCLUSIONS The results support the idea that environmental and genetic factors may both be important in the aetiology of adult onset dystonia, and suggest aetiological clues worthy of further analytical investigation.

Real-life impact of early interferonβ therapy in relapsing multiple sclerosis

Recent findings support greater efficacy of early vs. delayed interferon beta (IFNβ) treatment in patients with a first clinical event suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS). We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of early IFNβ treatment in definite relapsing‐remitting MS (RRMS) and to assess the optimal time to initiate IFNβ treatment with regard to the greatest benefits on disability progression.