Vivek Pradhan

Anti-MAdCAM antibody (PF-00547659) for ulcerative colitis (TURANDOT): a phase 2, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND PF-00547659 is a fully human monoclonal antibody that binds to human mucosal addressin cell adhesion molecule-1 (MAdCAM-1) to selectively reduce lymphocyte homing to the intestinal tract. We aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of PF-00547659 in patients with moderate to severe ulcerative colitis. METHODS This phase 2, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial recruited patients aged 18-65 years from 105 centres in 21 countries, with a history (≥3 months) of active ulcerative colitis extending more than 15 cm beyond the anal verge (with a total Mayo score ≥6 and a Mayo endoscopic subscore ≥2) who had failed or were intolerant to at least one conventional therapy. Patients were stratified by previous anti-TNFα treatment, and randomly assigned by a computer-generated randomisation schedule to receive a subcutaneous injection of 7·5 mg, 22·5 mg, 75 mg, or 225 mg PF-00547659 or placebo at baseline, then every 4 weeks. Patients, investigators, and sponsors were blinded to the treatment. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients achieving remission (total Mayo score ≤2 with no individual subscore >1 and rectal bleeding subscore ≤1) at week 12. The efficacy analysis included all patients who received at least one dose of the randomised treatment; the safety analysis was done according to treatment received. All p values were one-sided and multiplicity-adjusted. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01620255. FINDINGS Between Nov 2, 2012, and Feb 4, 2016, we screened 587 patients; 357 were eligible and randomly assigned to receive placebo (n=73) or PF-00547659 at doses of 7·5 mg (n=71), 22·5 mg (n=72), 75 mg (n=71), or 225 mg (n=70). Remission rates at week 12 were significantly greater in three of four active-treatment groups than in the placebo group (2·7% [two of 73]): 7·5 mg (11·3% [eight of 71]), 22·5 mg (16·7% [12 of 72]), 75 mg (15·5% [11 of 71]), and 225 mg (5·7% [four of 70]). These rates corresponded to a stratum-adjusted (anti-TNFα-naive and anti-TNFα-experienced) risk difference versus placebo of 8·0% for 7·5 mg (90% CI 1·9 to 14, p=0·0425), 12·8% for 22·5 mg (5·6 to 19·9, p=0·0099), 11·8% for 75 mg (4·8 to 18·8, p=0·0119), and 2·6% for 225 mg (-1·2 to 6·4, p=0·1803). Four of 73 (5·5%) patients had a serious adverse event in the placebo group, ten of 71 (14·1%) in the 7·5 mg group, one of 70 (1·4%) in the 22·5 mg group, three of 73 (4·1%) in the 75 mg group, and three of 70 (4·3%) in the 225 mg group. No safety signal was observed for the study drug. INTERPRETATION PF-00547659 was safe and well tolerated in this patient population, and better than placebo for induction of remission in patients with moderate to severe ulcerative colitis. The greatest clinical effects were observed with the 22·5 mg and 75 mg doses. FUNDING Pfizer.

Binomial confidence intervals for testing non-inferiority or superiority: a practitioner’s dilemma

In testing for non-inferiority or superiority in a single arm study, the confidence interval of a single binomial proportion is frequently used. A number of such intervals are proposed in the literature and implemented in standard software packages. Unfortunately, use of different intervals leads to conflicting conclusions. Practitioners thus face a serious dilemma in deciding which one to depend on. Is there a way to resolve this dilemma? We address this question by investigating the performances of ten commonly used intervals of a single binomial proportion, in the light of two criteria, viz., coverage and expected length of the interval.

Effect of PF-00547659 on Central Nervous System Immune Surveillance and Circulating β7+ T Cells in Crohn’s Disease: Report of the TOSCA Study

Abstract Background and Aims Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy [PML], a brain infection associated with anti-integrin drugs that inhibit lymphocyte translocation from bloodstream to tissue, can be fatal. Decreased central nervous system [CNS] immune surveillance leading to this infection has been reported in patients with multiple sclerosis or Crohn’s disease treated with anti-integrin antibody natalizumab. PF-00547659 is an investigational human monoclonal antibody for inflammatory bowel disease, targeted against α4β7-mucosal addressin cell-adhesion molecule-1 [the integrin ligand selectively expressed in the gut]. We hypothesised that this selective agent would not affect central nervous system immune surveillance. Methods Cerebrospinal fluid from five healthy volunteers, and from 10 patients with Crohn’s disease previously treated with immunosuppressants, was evaluated to assess the feasibility of the study. Subsequently, 39 patients with active Crohn’s disease and previous immunosuppression were evaluated over 12 weeks of PF-00547659-induction therapy. We measured total lymphocytes, T cell subsets in cerebrospinal fluid, and circulating β7+ memory cells. Disease activity was assessed using the Harvey–Bradshaw Index. Results Patients treated with PF-00547659 had no reduction of cerebrospinal fluid lymphocytes, T-lymphocyte subsets, or CD4:CD8 ratio, whereas circulating β7+ memory cells increased significantly. A total of 28/35 [80%] patients had a clinical response and 27/34 [79%] had disease remission. Treatment-related adverse events, none serious, were reported in 23/49 [47%] patients. Conclusions In patients with active Crohn’s disease, natalizumab therapy increases the risk for PML, and the increased risk is thought to be associated with iatrogenic leukopenia within the CNS. PML under PF-00547659 may be a lesser concern, as this agent did not reduce lymphocytes or T cell subsets in the cerebrospinal fluid.

Safety, Pharmacokinetic, and Pharmacodynamic Evaluation After Single and Multiple Ascending Doses of a Novel Selective Androgen Receptor Modulator in Healthy Subjects.

PURPOSE Tolerability, pharmacokinetic (PK), and pharmacodynamic (PD) properties of single ascending doses (SADs) and multiple ascending doses (MADs) of PF-06260414, a novel selective androgen receptor modulator, were assessed after oral administration in healthy subjects. METHODS Range of SAD and MAD levels tested were 1 to 400 mg and 3 to 100 mg BID, respectively (n = 8 per cohort). In addition, a 60-mg once-daily (n = 8) cohort and a Japanese cohort receiving 30 mg BID (n = 7) also received PF-06260414. Plasma was collected to study PK properties and hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal (HPG) axis hormones. Tolerability was evaluated from adverse events (AEs), physical examinations, vital signs, ECGs, and clinical laboratory results. FINDINGS PF-06260414 was well tolerated with no serious AEs. The most frequently reported AEs were increase in alanine aminotransferase and headache, which were reported by 7 and 3 subjects, respectively. PF-06260414 had fast absorption (median Tmax, approximately 1-2 hours), a mean t½ of approximately 6.9 to 12.8 hours, time-independent PK properties and dose proportionality. Cmax and AUCτ geometric means in Japanese subjects were 98.6% and 79.5% higher than in Western subjects, respectively, but had similar HPG axis modulation. Changes in HPG axis hormones monitored in SADs were similar to placebo. Maximum placebo-corrected modulations were observed for total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin in the MAD 100-mg BID regimen. IMPLICATIONS This study was the first to compare a number of different factors of PF-06260414, including tolerability, PK and PD properties, and ethnic differences between Japanese and Western healthy subjects. PF-06260414 had favorable PK properties and found that sex hormone-binding globulin, total testosterone, and HDL were most sensitive to modulation. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02070939.

Weighted profile likelihood‐based confidence interval for the difference between two proportions with paired binomial data

Inference on the difference between two binomial proportions in the paired binomial setting is often an important problem in many biomedical investigations. Tang et al. (2010, Statistics in Medicine) discussed six methods to construct confidence intervals (henceforth, we abbreviate it as CI) for the difference between two proportions in paired binomial setting using method of variance estimates recovery. In this article, we propose weighted profile likelihood-based CIs for the difference between proportions of a paired binomial distribution. However, instead of the usual likelihood, we use weighted likelihood that is essentially making adjustments to the cell frequencies of a 2 × 2 table in the spirit of Agresti and Min (2005, Statistics in Medicine). We then conduct numerical studies to compare the performances of the proposed CIs with that of Tang et al. and Agresti and Min in terms of coverage probabilities and expected lengths. Our numerical study clearly indicates that the weighted profile likelihood-based intervals and Jeffreys interval (cf. Tang et al.) are superior in terms of achieving the nominal level, and in terms of expected lengths, they are competitive. Finally, we illustrate the use of the proposed CIs with real-life examples.

Normal intrathecal leukocyte cell number and composition do not decrease the incidence of post–lumbar puncture headache

The pathogenesis of post-lumbar puncture headache (PLPH) has remained unclear. A beneficial role of CSF cells in the repair of a post-traumatic dural CSF leak has been suggested. The primary purpose of this study was to investigate the effects of 8weeks of induction therapy with high-dose PF-00547659 on the cellular elements of CNS immune surveillance in patients with active Crohns Disease and a history of immunosuppressive therapy (Clinicaltrials.govNCT01387594). PF-00547659 is a human monoclonal antibody that binds to mucosal addressin-cell adhesion molecule 1 (MAdCAM-1) on endothelial cells and blocks its interaction with beta7-integrin expressing lymphocytes. The study was executed in three parts or cohorts under two protocols. The incidence of a PLPH was 35% after the initial lumbar puncture, and 26% following the second lumbar puncture. After initiation of PF-00547659 anti-MAdCAM-1 therapy, there was a small and non-significant increase in the numbers of overall CSF leukocytes, and in lymphocyte subsets (CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ T cells). The lymphocyte composition was unaltered by PF-00547659 anti-MAdCAM-1 therapy. Our observations suggest that normal numbers and composition of intrathecal leukocytes do not decrease the incidence of PLPH.

Corrected likelihood-ratio tests in logistic regression using small-sample data

ABSTRACT Likelihood-ratio tests (LRTs) are often used for inferences on one or more logistic regression coefficients. Conventionally, for given parameters of interest, the nuisance parameters of the likelihood function are replaced by their maximum likelihood estimates. The new function created is called the profile likelihood function, and is used for inference from LRT. In small samples, LRT based on the profile likelihood does not follow χ2 distribution. Several corrections have been proposed to improve LRT when used with small-sample data. Additionally, complete or quasi-complete separation is a common geometric feature for small-sample binary data. In this article, for small-sample binary data, we have derived explicitly the correction factors of LRT for models with and without separation, and proposed an algorithm to construct confidence intervals. We have investigated the performances of different LRT corrections, and the corresponding confidence intervals through simulations. Based on the simulation results, we propose an empirical rule of thumb on the use of these methods. Our simulation findings are also supported by real-world data.

Bias Reduction in Logistic Regression with Missing Responses When the Missing Data Mechanism is Nonignorable

ABSTRACT In logistic regression with nonignorable missing responses, Ibrahim and Lipsitz proposed a method for estimating regression parameters. It is known that the regression estimates obtained by using this method are biased when the sample size is small. Also, another complexity arises when the iterative estimation process encounters separation in estimating regression coefficients. In this article, we propose a method to improve the estimation of regression coefficients. In our likelihood-based method, we penalize the likelihood by multiplying it by a noninformative Jeffreys prior as a penalty term. The proposed method reduces bias and is able to handle the issue of separation. Simulation results show substantial bias reduction for the proposed method as compared to the existing method. Analyses using real world data also support the simulation findings. An R package called brlrmr is developed implementing the proposed method and the Ibrahim and Lipsitz method.