Wendy Metcalfe

Estimated Life Expectancy in a Scottish Cohort With Type 1 Diabetes, 2008-2010

IMPORTANCE Type 1 diabetes has historically been associated with a significant reduction in life expectancy. Major advances in treatment of type 1 diabetes have occurred in the past 3 decades. Contemporary estimates of the effect of type 1 diabetes on life expectancy are needed. OBJECTIVE To examine current life expectancy in people with and without type 1 diabetes in Scotland. We also examined whether any loss of life expectancy in patients with type 1 diabetes is confined to those who develop kidney disease. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Prospective cohort of all individuals alive in Scotland with type 1 diabetes who were aged 20 years or older from 2008 through 2010 and were in a nationwide register (n=24,691 contributing 67,712 person-years and 1043 deaths). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Differences in life expectancy between those with and those without type 1 diabetes and the percentage of the difference due to various causes. RESULTS Life expectancy at an attained age of 20 years was an additional 46.2 years among men with type 1 diabetes and 57.3 years among men without it, an estimated loss in life expectancy with diabetes of 11.1 years (95% CI, 10.1-12.1). Life expectancy from age 20 years was an additional 48.1 years among women with type 1 diabetes and 61.0 years among women without it, an estimated loss with diabetes of 12.9 years (95% CI, 11.7-14.1). Even among those with type 1 diabetes with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 or higher, life expectancy was reduced (49.0 years in men, 53.1 years in women) giving an estimated loss from age 20 years of 8.3 years (95% CI, 6.5-10.1) for men and 7.9 years (95% CI, 5.5-10.3) for women. Overall, the largest percentage of the estimated loss in life expectancy was related to ischemic heart disease (36% in men, 31% in women) but death from diabetic coma or ketoacidosis was associated with the largest percentage of the estimated loss occurring before age 50 years (29.4% in men, 21.7% in women). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Estimated life expectancy for patients with type 1 diabetes in Scotland based on data from 2008 through 2010 indicated an estimated loss of life expectancy at age 20 years of approximately 11 years for men and 13 years for women compared with the general population without type 1 diabetes.

Variation in parathyroid hormone immunoassay results—a critical governance issue in the management of chronic kidney disease

Renal physicians strive to maintain parathyroid hormone (PTH) concentrations for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) within guideline limits, but poor method comparability means there is currently serious risk of clinical misclassification. The potential for under- or over-treatment is significant, representing a major challenge to patient safety. In the short-term, raising awareness of clinical implications of method-related differences in PTH is essential. Agreeing and adopting assay-specific PTH action limits for CKD patients as an interim measure is highly desirable and has been achieved in Scotland. Establishing pre-analytical requirements for PTH is also a priority. In the longer term, re-standardization of PTH methods in terms of an appropriate International Standard is required. Provided commutability can be demonstrated, the recently established IS 95/646 for PTH (1-84) is a suitable candidate. Establishment of a well-characterized panel of samples of defined clinical provenance to enable manufacturers to determine appropriate reference intervals and clinical decision points is also recommended and will provide an invaluable clinical resource. Recent developments in mass spectrometry mean that a candidate reference measurement procedure for PTH is now achievable and will represent major progress. Concurrently, evidence-based recommendations on clinical requirements and performance goals for PTH are required. Improving the comparability of PTH results requires support from many stakeholders but is achievable.

How to routinely collect data on patient-reported outcome and experience measures in renal registries in Europe: an expert consensus meeting

Despite the potential for patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) and experience measures (PREMs) to enhance understanding of patient experiences and outcomes they have not, to date, been widely incorporated into renal registry datasets. This report summarizes the main points learned from an ERA-EDTA QUEST-funded consensus meeting on how to routinely collect PROMs and PREMs in renal registries in Europe. In preparation for the meeting, we surveyed all European renal registries to establish current or planned efforts to collect PROMs/PREMs. A systematic review of the literature was performed. Publications reporting barriers and/or facilitators to PROMs/PREMs collection by registries were identified and a narrative synthesis undertaken. A group of renal registry representatives, PROMs/PREMs experts and patient representatives then met to (i) share any experience renal registries in Europe have in this area; (ii) establish how patient-reported data might be collected by understanding how registries currently collect routine data and how patient-reported data is collected in other settings; (iii) harmonize the future collection of patient-reported data by renal registries in Europe by agreeing upon preferred instruments and (iv) to identify the barriers to routine collection of patient-reported data in renal registries in Europe. In total, 23 of the 45 European renal registries responded to the survey. Two reported experience in collecting PROMs and three stated that they were actively exploring ways to do so. The systematic review identified 157 potentially relevant articles of which 9 met the inclusion criteria and were analysed for barriers and facilitators to routine PROM/PREM collection. Thirteen themes were identified and mapped to a three-stage framework around establishing the need, setting up and maintaining the routine collection of PROMs/PREMs. At the consensus meeting some PROMs instruments were agreed for routine renal registry collection (the generic SF-12, the disease-specific KDQOL™-36 and EQ-5D-5L to be able to derive quality-adjusted life years), but further work was felt to be needed before recommending PREMs. Routinely collecting PROMs and PREMs in renal registries is important if we are to better understand what matters to patients but it is likely to be challenging; close international collaboration will be beneficial.

Renal replacement therapy in Europe: a summary of the 2013 ERA-EDTA Registry Annual Report with a focus on diabetes mellitus

Background This article provides a summary of the 2013 European Renal Association–European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Registry Annual Report (available at http://www.era-edta-reg.org), with a focus on patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) as the cause of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Methods In 2015, the ERA-EDTA Registry received data on renal replacement therapy (RRT) for ESRD from 49 national or regional renal registries in 34 countries in Europe and bordering the Mediterranean Sea. Individual patient data were provided by 31 registries, while 18 registries provided aggregated data. The total population covered by the participating registries comprised 650 million people. Results In total, 72 933 patients started RRT for ESRD within the countries and regions reporting to the ERA-EDTA Registry, resulting in an overall incidence of 112 per million population (pmp). The overall prevalence on 31 December 2013 was 738 pmp (n = 478 990). Patients with DM as the cause of ESRD comprised 24% of the incident RRT patients (26 pmp) and 17% of the prevalent RRT patients (122 pmp). When compared with the USA, the incidence of patients starting RRT pmp secondary to DM in Europe was five times lower and the incidence of RRT due to other causes of ESRD was two times lower. Overall, 19 426 kidney transplants were performed (30 pmp). The 5-year adjusted survival for all RRT patients was 60.9% [95% confidence interval (CI) 60.5–61.3] and 50.6% (95% CI 49.9–51.2) for patients with DM as the cause of ESRD.

Trends in dialysis modality choice and related patient survival in the ERA-EDTA Registry over a 20-year period.

BACKGROUND Although previous studies suggest similar patient survival for peritoneal dialysis (PD) and haemodialysis (HD), PD use has decreased worldwide. We aimed to study trends in the choice of first dialysis modality and relate these to variation in patient and technique survival and kidney transplant rates in Europe over the last 20 years. METHODS We used data from 196 076 patients within the European Renal Association-European Dialysis and Transplant Association (ERA-EDTA) Registry who started renal replacement therapy (RRT) between 1993 and 2012. Trends in the incidence rate and prevalence on Day 91 after commencing RRT were quantified with Joinpoint regression. Crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for 5-year dialysis patient and technique survival were calculated using Cox regression. Analyses were repeated using propensity score matching to control for confounding by indication. RESULTS PD prevalence dropped since 2007 and HD prevalence stabilized since 2009. Incidence rates of PD and HD decreased from 2000 and 2009, respectively, while the incidence of kidney transplantation increased from 1993 onwards. Similar 5-year patient survival for PD versus HD patients was found in 1993-97 [adjusted HR: 1.02, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.98-1.06], while survival was higher for PD patients in 2003-07 (HR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.88-0.95). Both PD (HR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.91-1.00) and HD technique survival (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.99) improved in 2003-07 compared with 1993-97. CONCLUSIONS Although initiating RRT on PD was associated with favourable patient survival when compared with starting on HD treatment, PD was often not selected as initial dialysis modality. Over time, we observed a significant decline in PD use and a stabilization in HD use. These observations were explained by the lower incidence rate of PD and HD and the increase in pre-emptive transplantation.

Outcomes of Male Patients with Alport Syndrome Undergoing Renal Replacement Therapy

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Patients with the hereditary disease Alport syndrome commonly require renal replacement therapy (RRT) in the second or third decade of life. This study compared age at onset of RRT, renal allograft, and patient survival in men with Alport syndrome receiving various forms of RRT (peritoneal dialysis, hemodialysis, or transplantation) with those of men with other renal diseases. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS Patients with Alport syndrome receiving RRT identified from 14 registries in Europe were matched to patients with other renal diseases. A linear spline model was used to detect changes in the age at start of RRT over time. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis were used to examine patient and graft survival. RESULTS Age at start of RRT among patients with Alport syndrome remained stable during the 1990s but increased by 6 years between 2000-2004 and 2005-2009. Survival of patients with Alport syndrome requiring dialysis or transplantation did not change between 1990 and 2009. However, patients with Alport syndrome had better renal graft and patient survival than matched controls. Numbers of living-donor transplantations were lower in patients with Alport syndrome than in matched controls. CONCLUSIONS These data suggest that kidney failure in patients with Alport syndrome is now being delayed compared with previous decades. These patients appear to have superior patient survival while undergoing dialysis and superior patient and graft survival after deceased-donor kidney transplantation compared with patients receiving RRT because of other causes of kidney failure.

Mortality from infections and malignancies in patients treated with renal replacement therapy: data from the ERA-EDTA registry

BACKGROUND Infections and malignancies are the most common non-cardiovascular causes of death in patients on chronic renal replacement therapy (RRT). Here, we aimed to quantify the mortality risk attributed to infections and malignancies in dialysis patients and kidney transplant recipients when compared with the general population by age group and sex. METHODS We followed 168 156 patients included in the ERA-EDTA registry who started RRT in 1993-2007 until 1 January 2012. Age- and cause-specific mortality rates per 1000 person-years (py) and mortality rate ratios (MRRs) compared with the European general population (WHO) were calculated. To identify risk factors, we used Cox regression. RESULTS Infection-related mortality was increased 82-fold in dialysis patients and 32-fold in transplant recipients compared with the general population. Female sex, diabetes, cancer and multisystem disease were associated with an increased risk of infection-related mortality. The sex difference was most pronounced for dialysis patients aged 0-39 years, with women having a 32% (adjusted HR 1.32 95% CI 1.09-1.60) higher risk of infection-related mortality than men. Mortality from malignancies was 2.9 times higher in dialysis patients and 1.7 times higher in transplant recipients than in the general population. Cancer and multisystem disease as primary causes of end-stage renal disease were associated with higher mortality from malignancies. CONCLUSION Infection-related mortality is highly increased in dialysis and kidney transplant patients, while the risk of malignancy-related death is moderately increased. Young women on dialysis may deserve special attention because of their high excess risk of infection-related mortality. Further research into the mechanisms, prevention and optimal treatment of infections in this vulnerable population is required.

Time trend in access to the waiting list and renal transplantation: a comparison of four European countries

BACKGROUND To examine the time trend and international differences in access to the waiting list and renal transplantation of patients with end-stage kidney disease. METHODS We included all patients (n = 30 961) from Austria, Norway, the Netherlands and Scotland who started renal replacement therapy (RRT) between 1995 and 2003 with their kidney transplant waiting list data (until 31 December 2005) and follow-up data on RRT and mortality (until 31 December 2007). The outcome measure was access to the waiting list within 2 years and to a first renal transplant within 4 years from the start of RRT, expressed as incidence per million age-related population (p.m.a.r.p.) per year. To estimate trends over time, mean percentage annual change (MPAC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. RESULTS In each country, the number of patients starting RRT > 65 years increased significantly over time, whereas the number of renal transplants did not increase to the same extent. Only in Norway were almost all patients on the waiting list transplanted within 4 years of RRT start if they were < 65 years. In patients who started RRT > 65 years, the access to renal transplantation was high in Norway (49 p.m.a.r.p.) and low in Austria ( < 26 p.m.a.r.p.), the Netherlands and Scotland (both < 10 p.m.a.r.p.) but increased significantly in Austria (MPAC = 9.8%; 95% CI = 3.9-16.9) and the Netherlands (MPAC = 9.0%; 95% CI = 3.2-15.0). CONCLUSION Only in Norway, virtually all patients on the waiting list < 65 years received a transplant within 4 years after the start of RRT and, remarkably, also most of those > 65 years of age.

How safe is renal replacement therapy? A national study of mortality and adverse events contributing to the death of renal replacement therapy recipients

BACKGROUND Patients receiving treatment with renal replacement therapy (RRT) have high mortality, and ensuring patient safety in this population is difficult. We aimed to estimate the incidence and nature of medical adverse events contributing to the death of patients being treated with RRT. METHODS This population registry-based retrospective case review study included all patients being treated with RRT for established renal failure in Scotland and who died between 1 January 2008 and 30 June 2011. Deaths were reviewed by consultant nephrologists using a structured questionnaire to identify factors contributing to death occurring in both the inpatient and outpatient setting. Reviewers were able to use any information source deemed relevant, including paper and electronic clinical records, mortality and morbidity meetings and procurator fiscal (Scottish coroner) investigations. Deaths occurring in 2008 and 2009 where avoidable factors were identified that may have or did lead to death of a patient were subject to further review and root cause analysis, in order to identify recurrent themes. RESULTS Of 1551 deaths in the study period, 1357 were reviewed (87.5%). Cumulative RRT exposure in the cohort was 2.78 million person-days. RRT complications were the primary cause of death in 28 (2.1%). Health-care-associated infection had contributed to 9.6% of all deaths. In 3.5% of deaths, factors were identified which may have or did contribute to death. These were both organizational and human error related and were largely due to five main causes: management of hyperkalaemia, prescribing, out of hours care, infection and haemodialysis vascular access. CONCLUSIONS Adverse events contributing to death in RRT recipients mainly relate to the everyday management of common medical problems and not the technical aspects of RRT. Efforts to avoid harm in this population should address these ubiquitous causes of harm.

End stage renal disease and survival in people with diabetes: a national database linkage study

Background: Increasing prevalence of diabetes worldwide is projected to lead to an increase in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT). Aim: To provide contemporary estimates of the prevalence of ESRD and requirement for RRT among people with diabetes in a nationwide study and to report associated survival. Methods: Data were extracted and linked from three national databases: Scottish Renal Registry, Scottish Care Initiative-Diabetes Collaboration and National Records of Scotland death data. Survival analyses were modelled with Cox regression. Results: Point prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD)5 in 2008 was 1.63% of 19 414 people with type 1 diabetes (T1DM) compared with 0.58% of 167 871 people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) (odds ratio for DM type 0.97, P = 0.77, on adjustment for duration. Although 83% of those with T1DM and CKD5 and 61% of those with T2DM and CKD5 were receiving RRT, there was no difference when adjusted for age, sex and DM duration (odds ratio for DM type 0.83, P = 0.432). Diabetic nephropathy was the primary renal diagnosis in 91% of people with T1DM and 58% of people with T2DM on RRT. Median survival time from initiation of RRT was 3.84 years (95% CI 2.77, 4.62) in T1DM and 2.16 years (95% CI: 1.92, 2.38) in T2DM. Conclusion: Considerable numbers of patients with diabetes continue to progress to CKD5 and RRT. Almost half of all RRT cases in T2DM are considered to be due to conditions other than diabetic nephropathy. Median survival time for people with diabetes from initiation of RRT remains poor. These prevalence data are important for future resource planning.