William K. Gray

Stroke incidence in rural and urban Tanzania: a prospective, community-based study

BACKGROUND There are no methodologically rigorous studies of the incidence of stroke in sub-Saharan Africa. We aimed to provide reliable data on the incidence of stroke in rural and urban Tanzania. METHODS The Tanzania Stroke Incidence Project (TSIP) recorded stroke incidence in two well defined demographic surveillance sites (DSS) over a 3-year period from June, 2003. The Hai DSS (population 159,814) is rural and the Dar-es-Salaam DSS (population 56,517) is urban. Patients with stroke were identified by use of a system of community-based investigators and liaison with local hospital and medical centre staff. Patients who died from stroke before recruitment into the TSIP were identified via verbal autopsy, which was done on all those who died within the study areas. FINDINGS There were 636 strokes during the 3-year period (453 in Hai and 183 in Dar-es-Salaam). Overall crude yearly stroke incidence rates were 94.5 per 100,000 (95% CI 76.0-115.0) in Hai and 107.9 per 100,000 (88.1-129.8) in Dar-es-Salaam. When age-standardised to the WHO world population, yearly stroke incidence rates were 108.6 per 100 000 (95% CI 89.0-130.9) in Hai and 315.9 per 100,000 (281.6-352.3) in Dar-es-Salaam. INTERPRETATION Age-standardised stroke incidence rates in Hai were similar to those seen in developed countries. However, age-standardised incidence rates in Dar-es-Salaam were higher than seen in most studies in developed countries; this could be because of a difference in the prevalence of risk factors and emphasises the importance of health screening at a community level. Health policy makers must continue to monitor the incidence of stroke in sub-Saharan Africa and should base future funding decisions on such data. FUNDING The Wellcome Trust.

The high prevalence of hypertension in rural-dwelling Tanzanian older adults and the disparity between detection, treatment and control: a rule of sixths?

There are limited, reliable data on the prevalence of hypertension in East African populations. The aim of this study was to document the prevalence of hypertension in the rural Hai district of Tanzania. All consenting individuals aged 70 years and over who were living in 12 randomly-selected villages in the district underwent three consecutive sitting blood pressure (BP) measurements. An average of the last two measurements was taken. Prior diagnosis of, and treatment for, hypertension was recorded. Of the 2223 subjects, 1553 (69.9%, 95% CI 68.0–71.8) had hypertension (BP ⩾140/90). Of those with hypertension 733 (47.2%) had isolated systolic hypertension. Only 586 (37.7%) hypertensives had been previously diagnosed, 94 (6.1%) were currently treated and 14 (0.9%) were adequately controlled. This is the first large-scale prevalence study of hypertension in the elderly in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Our results approximate to a ‘rule of sixths’; 2/6 of hypertensives were previously detected, 1/6 of those previously detected were on treatment and 1/6 of those on treatment were adequately controlled. Hypertension is a large problem in the elderly population in SSA, and there are a growing number of elderly who are at risk of hypertensive sequelae owing to lack of detection and treatment.

The prevalence of dementia in rural Tanzania: a cross-sectional community-based study.

Despite the growing burden of dementia in low‐income countries, there are few previous data on the prevalence of dementia in sub‐Saharan Africa. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of dementia in those who are 70 years and older in the rural Hai District of Tanzania.

The prevalence of hypertension and hypertension risk factors in a rural Indian community: A prospective door-to-door study

Background: The aim of this study was to identify the prevalence and risk factors for hypertension in a rural community in north-east India. Materials and Methods: A door-to-door survey was conducted amongst all residents of a village in Uttarakhand province. All residents were interviewed and data were was relating to the demographics of the individuals, dietary habits, alcohol consumption, tobacco use, psychosocial stress, past medical history and drug history. Blood pressure (BP) and anthropometric data was recorded and blood samples taken. Results: We identified 1348 people living in the village. Assessment was carried out on all those aged 15 years and over (n=968, 71.8%). Hypertension, defined as BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg or cases of known hypertensive on medication, were present in 30.9% (95% CI 25.6 to 36.0) of males and 27.8% (95% CI 23.4 to 32.2) of females. Standardisation to the World Health Organization (WHO) world population gives an overall prevalence of 32.3% (95% confidence interval, CI 28.9 to 35.8). Increasing age and higher body mass index (BMI) were independent predictors of hypertension in both sexes, with psychosocial stress an additional independent predictor in males. Conclusions: Rates of hypertension in the rural community under study are similar to those seen in high-income countries and in urban India. With the exception of age, all the risk factors identified were potentially modifiable.

A cross-sectional study of the nutritional status of community-dwelling people with idiopathic Parkinson's disease

BackgroundParkinsons disease (PD) patients have an increased risk of under-nutrition, but we are unaware of any population based prevalence studies of under-nutrition in PD. The main objective of this study was to identify the prevalence, and nature, of under-nutrition in a representative population of people with PD.MethodsPeople diagnosed with idiopathic PD from within two PD prevalence study sites in North-East England were asked to participate in this study. Those who participated (n = 136) were assessed using a number of standard rating scales including Hoehn & Yahr stage and Unified Parkinsons Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS). Body mass index (BMI), mid-arm circumference (MAC), triceps skin fold thickness (TSF) and grip strength were recorded together with social and demographic information.ResultsBMI < 20 identified over 15% of the study group to have under-nutrition. The Malnutritional Universal Screening Tool (MUST) scoring system identified 23.5% of participants at medium or high risk of malnutrition. Low BMI, indicating under-nutrition, was associated with greater age and disease duration, lower MAC, TSF, mid-arm muscle circumference (MAMC), reduced grip strength and a report of unintentional weight loss. Problems increased with increasing age and disease duration and were greater in females.ConclusionsUnder-nutrition is a problem for around 15% of community dwelling people with PD. All PD patients should be screened for under-nutrition; the MUST score is a useful early screening tool.

Hip fractures in people with idiopathic Parkinson's disease: Incidence and outcomes

The incidence of hip fracture and outcomes from hip surgery for people with Parkinsons disease (PD) are thought to be poorer than for people without PD. The aim of this audit of a prospective hip‐fracture database was to establish the incidence of, and outcomes from, hip fracture in people with and without PD living in North East England. The number of people with PD living in the study area was estimated using data from two previous prevalence studies in the same geographical area. Using data collected prospectively for the National Hip Fracture Database for Northumbria Healthcare National Health Service Foundation Trust in the UK, the annual incidence of hip fracture in people with and without PD was calculated. Type of fracture, time to surgery, time to discharge, and 30‐day outcomes from surgery were compared. Annual incidence of hip fracture was significantly higher in people with PD across all age bands. In those 60 years of age and over, it was 2,171 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2,082–2,264) per 100,000 in people with PD and 551 (95% CI: 506–598) in people without PD. The experience of PD and non‐PD patients within hospital was remarkably similar. However, PD patients had poorer mobility before hip fracture, took longer to be discharged to the community, and were less mobile postsurgery. Specific guidelines for managing people with PD who sustain a hip fracture may help to improve awareness of the potential complications of the condition and improve outcomes.

Geriatric medicine: services and training in Africa

BACKGROUND the population is ageing globally and developing countries are experiencing the most rapid increase in the number of older persons. By 2045 the United Nations estimate that for the first time in history more people will be over 65, than under 15, years of age. The World Health Organization predicts that deaths from non-communicable diseases will rise by 24% in Africa in the next decade. The aim of this survey was to determine the specialist medical services available for older persons and the undergraduate and postgraduate training systems in place for geriatrics in each African country. METHODS a short survey was developed and sent to representatives from every country. Where appropriate, French and Portuguese translations were available. RESULTS responses were received from 40/54 countries (74%). Data were obtained via an internet search for a further three countries. Out of 43, 25 countries had no geriatricians. Out of 40, 35 countries had no formal undergraduate training for medical students on geriatrics and 33 of 40 countries reported no national postgraduate training scheme for geriatrics. Having at least one geriatrician in the country was associated with a World Bank upper middle-income status (P = 0.04), but there was no significant association with the population size (P = 0.395). CONCLUSION despite increasing numbers of older people and the increasing burden of chronic disease there are few geriatricians in Africa. Without undergraduate training, even general medical physicians will have limited knowledge of specialist geriatric needs. This is an area that will require development and investment in the future.

Stroke risk factors in an incident population in urban and rural Tanzania: a prospective, community-based, case-control study

Summary Background The burden of stroke on health systems in low-income and middle-income countries is increasing. However, high-quality data for modifiable stroke risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa are scarce, with no community-based, case-control studies previously published. We aimed to identify risk factors for stroke in an incident population from rural and urban Tanzania. Methods Stroke cases from urban Dar-es-Salaam and the rural Hai district were recruited in a wider study of stroke incidence between June 15, 2003, and June 15, 2006. We included cases with first-ever and recurrent stroke. Community-acquired controls recruited from the background census populations of the two study regions were matched with cases for age and sex and were interviewed and assessed. Data relating to medical and social history were recorded and blood samples taken. Findings We included 200 stroke cases (69 from Dar-es-Salaam and 131 from Hai) and 398 controls (138 from Dar-es-Salaam and 260 from Hai). Risk factors were similar at both sites, with previous cardiac event (odds ratio [OR] 7·39, 95% CI 2·42–22·53; p<0·0001), HIV infection (5·61, 2·41–13·09; p<0·0001), a high ratio of total cholesterol to HDL cholesterol (4·54, 2·49–8·28; p<0·0001), smoking (2·72, 1·49–4·96; p=0·001), and hypertension (2·14, 1·09–4·17; p=0·026) identified as significant independent risk factors for stroke. In Hai, additional risk factors of diabetes (4·04, 1·29–12·64) and low HDL cholesterol (9·84, 4·06–23·84) were also significant. Interpretation We have identified many of the risk factors for stroke already reported for other world regions. HIV status was an independent risk factor for stroke within an antiretroviral-naive population. Clinicians should be aware of the increased risk of stroke in people with HIV, even in the absence of antiretroviral treatment. Funding The Wellcome Trust.

Predictors of the psychosocial impact of being a carer of people living with Parkinson's disease: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION Caring for a person with Parkinsons disease (PwP) can have a variety of negative consequences that may challenge their ability to continue their caring role. It is still unknown why some individuals adapt better than others in response to such burdens. This review is the first to synthesize and evaluate the evidence on the predictive factors of psychosocial outcomes in PwP carers. METHODS Studies which identified predictors of psychosocial outcomes for unpaid carers were included. PsychINFO, EMBASE, AMED, BNI and CINAHL databases were searched, supplemented by scanning of references lists of included studies and relevant journals from 2008 onwards. Quality was assessed using the NICE methodology checklist for prognostic studies. RESULTS Twenty-nine studies were included in the review, providing a low-level of evidence. Carer burden was investigated in 18 studies and mental health and quality of life (QoL) in seven studies each. PwP non-motor symptoms and QoL and carer depression were consistently identified as predictors for at least one psychosocial outcome. Demographics and disease factors were consistently found not to be predictors. Carer involvement and protective factors (e.g. social support, personality) demonstrated promising findings but studies were too few or factors measured inconsistently. CONCLUSION Confident conclusions could not be drawn regarding the most important predictors that should be targeted in psychosocial interventions due to methodological weaknesses and lack of theoretical testing across the current literature. Future research should build upon psychological theory to gain a better understanding of the mechanisms that explain how carers adapt to caregiving.

The prevalence of neurological disorders in older people in Tanzania

There are few data on neurological disorders prevalence from low‐ and middle‐income countries, particularly sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) and none specific to the African elderly. We aimed to determined the prevalence of neurological disorders in those aged 70 years and over in a rural African community.