Wouter H Bos

Arthritis development in patients with arthralgia is strongly associated with anti-citrullinated protein antibody status: a prospective cohort study

Background Anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) are associated with increased risk for rheumatoid arthritis. Objective To investigate the effect of the presence and levels of ACPA on arthritis development in patients with arthralgia. Methods Patients with arthralgia positive for ACPA or IgM rheumatoid factor (IgM-RF) were tested for the shared epitope (SE) and were prospectively followed up for at least 12 months. Absence of clinical arthritis at inclusion and arthritis development during follow-up were independently confirmed by two investigators. Cox regression hazard analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for arthritis development. Results 147 patients with arthralgia were included (50 ACPA positive, 52 IgM-RF positive and 45 positive for both antibodies). After a median follow-up of 28 months (interquartile range (IQR) 19–39), 29 patients developed arthritis in a median of 4 (IQR 3–6) joints and 26 (90%) of these were ACPA positive. The presence of ACPA (HR = 6.0; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.8 to 19.8; p = 0.004), but not of IgM-RF (HR = 1.4, 95% CI 0.6 to 3.1) nor the SE (HR = 1.5, 95% CI 0.7 to 3.0), was associated with arthritis development. Within the group of ACPA-positive patients, the risk for arthritis was enhanced by the presence of IgM-RF (HR = 3.0; 95% CI 1.4 to 6.9; p = 0.01) and high ACPA levels (HR = 1.7; 95% CI 1.1 to 2.5; p = 0.008), but not the SE (HR = 1.0; 95% CI 0.5 to 2.1; p = 1.0). Conclusion In patients with arthralgia the presence of ACPA (but not of IgM-RF or SE) predicts arthritis development. The risk in ACPA-positive patients may be further increased by the concomitant presence of IgM-RF or high levels of ACPA.

The extent of the anti-citrullinated protein antibody repertoire is associated with arthritis development in patients with seropositive arthralgia

Objectives To determine the fine specificity of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) in the early phase of arthritis development, the ACPA repertoire in arthralgia patients and the association with arthritis development were studied. Methods A total of 244 patients with arthralgia positive for anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies (aCCPs) and/or IgM rheumatoid factor (IgM-RF), without arthritis were included. Development of arthritis was defined as presence of one or more swollen joints at clinical examination during follow-up. Sera were tested at baseline for reactivity to five citrullinated peptides derived from fibrinogen (three), vimentin (one) and α-enolase (one) and five corresponding arginine peptides in an ELISA. Results In all, 69 patients (28%) developed arthritis in a median of 3 joints after a median follow-up of 11 (IQR 5–20) months. Reactivity to each peptide was significantly associated with arthritis development (p<0.001). The ACPA repertoire did not differ between patients who did or did not develop arthritis. Among aCCP-positive patients, patients recognising two or more additional citrullinated peptides developed arthritis more often (p=0.04). The number of recognised peptides was positively associated with the aCCP level (p<0.001). Crossreactivity between different peptides was minimal. Conclusions Arthritis development is not associated with recognition of a specific citrullinated peptide once joint complaints are present. The ACPA repertoire in some patients with arthralgia is expanded. High aCCP levels are associated with a qualitatively broad ACPA repertoire. Patients with an extended ACPA repertoire have a higher risk of developing arthritis.

A prediction rule for the development of arthritis in seropositive arthralgia patients

Objective To predict the development of arthritis in anticyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies and/or IgM rheumatoid factor positive (seropositive) arthralgia patients. Methods A prediction rule was developed using a prospective cohort of 374 seropositive arthralgia patients, followed for the development of arthritis. The model was created with backward stepwise Cox regression with 18 variables. Results 131 patients (35%) developed arthritis after a median of 12 months. The prediction model consisted of nine variables: Rheumatoid Arthritis in a first degree family member, alcohol non-use, duration of symptoms <12 months, presence of intermittent symptoms, arthralgia in upper and lower extremities, visual analogue scale pain ≥50, presence of morning stiffness ≥1 h, history of swollen joints as reported by the patient and antibody status. A simplified prediction rule was made ranging from 0 to 13 points. The area under the curve value (95% CI) of this prediction rule was 0.82 (0.75–0.89) after 5 years. Harrells C (95% CI) was 0.78 (0.73–0.84). Patients could be categorised in three risk groups: low (0–4 points), intermediate (5–6 points) and high risk (7–13 points). With the low risk group as a reference, the intermediate risk group had a hazard ratio (HR; 95% CI) of 4.52 (2.42–8.77) and the high risk group had a HR of 14.86 (8.40–28.32). Conclusions In patients presenting with seropositive arthralgia, the risk of developing arthritis can be predicted. The prediction rule that was made in this patient group can help (1) to inform patients and (2) to select high-risk patients for intervention studies before clinical arthritis occurs.

The value of ultrasonography in predicting arthritis in auto-antibody positive arthralgia patients: a prospective cohort study

IntroductionUltrasonography (US) has better sensitivity than clinical evaluation for the detection of synovitis in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Patients presenting with arthralgia and a positive anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) and/or Rheumatoid Factor (IgM-RF) status are at risk for developing RA. In the present study, US utility and predictive properties in arthralgia patients at risk for the development of arthritis were studied.Methods192 arthralgia patients with ACPA and/or IgM-RF were included. Absence of clinical arthritis was confirmed by two physicians. US was performed by one of two trained radiologists of any painful joint, and of adjacent and contralateral joints. Joint effusion, synovitis and power Doppler (PD) signal in the synovial membrane of the joints and tenosynovitis adjacent to the joint were evaluated and classified on a 4-grade semi-quantitative scale. Grade 2-3 joint effusion, synovitis, tenosynovitis and grade 1-3 Power Doppler signal were classified as abnormal.ResultsForty-five patients (23%) developed arthritis after a mean of 11 months. Inter-observer reliability for synovitis and PD was moderate (kappa 0.46, and 0.56, respectively) and for joint effusion low (kappa 0.23). The prevalence of tenosynovitis was too low to calculate representative kappa values. At joint level, a significant association was found between US abnormalities and arthritis development in that joint for joint effusion, synovitis and PD. At patient level, a trend was seen towards more arthritis development in patients who had US abnormalities for joint effusion, synovitis, PD and tenosynovitis.ConclusionsUS abnormalities were associated with arthritis development at joint level, although this association did not reach statistical significance at patient level. US could potentially be used as a diagnostic tool for subclinical arthritis in seropositive arthralgia patients. However, further research is necessary to improve test characteristics.

Gene expression profiling in autoantibody-positive patients with arthralgia predicts development of arthritis

OBJECTIVE To identify molecular features associated with the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), to understand the pathophysiology of preclinical development of RA, and to assign predictive biomarkers. METHODS The study group comprised 109 anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA)- and/or rheumatoid factor-positive patients with arthralgia who did not have arthritis but were at risk of RA, and 25 patients with RA. The gene expression profiles of blood samples obtained from these patients were determined by DNA microarray analysis and quantitative polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS In 20 of the 109 patients with arthralgia who were at risk of RA, arthritis developed after a median of 7 months. Gene expression profiling of blood cells revealed heterogeneity among the at-risk patients, based on differential expression of immune-related genes. This report is the first to describe gene signatures relevant to the development of arthritis. Signatures significantly associated with arthritis development were involved in interferon (IFN)-mediated immunity, hematopoiesis, and chemokine/cytokine activity. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the odds ratio (OR) for developing arthritis within 12 months was 21.0 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 2.8-156.1 [P = 0.003]) for the subgroup characterized by increased expression of genes involved in IFN-mediated immunity and/or cytokine/chemokine-activity. Genes involved in B cell immunology were associated with protection against progression to arthritis (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.21-0.70 [P = 0.002]). These processes were reminiscent of those in patients with RA, implying that the preclinical phase of disease is associated with features of established disease. CONCLUSION The results of this study indicate that IFN-mediated immunity, hematopoiesis, and cell trafficking specify processes relevant to the progression of arthritis independent of ACPA positivity. These findings strongly suggest that certain gene signatures have value for predicting the progression to arthritis, which will pave the way to preventive medicine.

Effect of dexamethasone on autoantibody levels and arthritis development in patients with arthralgia: a randomised trial

Background Rheumatoid arthritis is characterised by antibodies to citrullinated proteins (ACPA) and rheumatoid factor (RF) in the preclinical phase. Objective To determine whether an intervention aimed at decreasing autoantibody levels in people at risk may be effective in preventing progression to arthritis. Methods 83 patients with arthralgia positive for ACPA or IgM-RF were randomly allocated to intramuscular injections of 100 mg dexamethasone or placebo at baseline and 6 weeks. The primary end point was a 50% antibody reduction or normalisation at 6 months. Results The primary end point was reached in one patient in each group. Patients treated with dexamethasone had reductions of antibody levels after 1 month (ACPA 222% and IgM-RF 214%), which persisted at 6 months for ACPA. During a median follow-up of 26 months, arthritis development in both groups was similar (20% vs 21%). Conclusion In autoantibody-positive patients with arthralgia, dexamethasone treatment decreases ACPA and IgM-RF levels, but does not prevent arthritis development. Trial registration number: ISRCTN73232918.

Levels of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and IgM rheumatoid factor are not associated with outcome in early arthritis patients: a cohort study

IntroductionTo investigate whether baseline levels of anti-citrullinated protein antibody (ACPA) or IgM rheumatoid factor (IgM-RF) and changes in the year thereafter are associated with disease activity, functional and radiographic outcome in early arthritis patients, and provide additional information over baseline autoantibody status.MethodsIn 545 early arthritis patients ACPA and IgM-RF levels, disease activity (DAS28), the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) and Sharp/Van der Heijde Score (SHS) were assessed annually. Baseline status, levels and first-year changes of the autoantibodies were associated with these measures at the two-year follow-up and sub-analysed according to autoantibody status.ResultsThe mean age was 52.7 years, 69% was female, at baseline 56% was ACPA positive, 47% IgM-RF positive. At the two-year follow-up the mean DAS28 was 2.88, and the median HAQ and SHS were 0.38 and 1, respectively. At one year, ACPA and IgM-RF levels had decreased by 31% and 56%, respectively. A switch from negative to positive occurred in 2% for ACPA and 3% for IgM-RF. Positive ACPA and RF status were both associated with SHS at two years (P < 0.001), but baseline levels only showed a minor correlation of ACPA with DAS28 and HAQ at two years. Level changes were not associated with the outcome parameters.ConclusionsBaseline levels and first-year changes of ACPA and IgM-RF are hardly associated with outcome after two years. Seroconversion seldom occurs. Therefore, it does not appear useful to repeat ACPA or IgM-RF measurements.

Different properties of ACPA and IgM-RF derived from a large dataset: further evidence of two distinct autoantibody systems

IntroductionThe aim of this study was to examine seroconversion and the relationship with age and inflammation of autoantibodies in a large group of patients attending an outpatient rheumatology clinic.MethodsLevels of antibodies to citrullinated proteins/peptides (ACPAs) and IgM rheumatoid factor (IgM-RF) were determined in 22,427 samples collected from 18,658 patients. The diagnosis was derived from a diagnosis registration system. The degree of seroconversion in repeated samples and the correlation of levels with age and inflammatory markers were determined for ACPA and IgM-RF in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and non-RA patients.ResultsSeventy-one percent of RA patients (n = 1,524) were ACPA-positive and 53% were IgM-RF-positive; in non-RA patients (n = 2,245), the corresponding values were 2% and 4%, respectively. In patients with at least two samples (n = 3,769), ACPA status was more stable than IgM-RF status in RA patients. ACPA- or IgM-RF-negative non-RA patients seldom became positive. ACPA positivity was unrelated to age in both RA and non-RA patients. IgM-RF positivity was unrelated to age in RA patients; however, it increased with age in non-RA patients. The correlation between autoantibody levels and inflammatory markers was low in general and was somewhat higher for IgM-RF than for ACPA.ConclusionsACPA status is more stable in time and with increasing age than IgM-RF status, further establishing its role as a disease-specific marker. ACPA and IgM-RF levels are only moderately correlated with markers of inflammation.

The role of the shared epitope in arthralgia with anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibodies (anti-CCP), and its effect on anti-CCP levels

OBJECTIVES Patients presenting with both arthralgia and antibodies to cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) have an increased risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA). To further characterise this patient group and shed more light on its relationship with clinically manifest early arthritis and established RA, an immunogenetic and serological analysis was performed. METHODS In a group of 111 patients with anti-CCP-positive arthralgia, anti-CCP levels and shared epitope (SE) status were determined. Data were compared with 125 and 128 patients with anti-CCP-positive early arthritis and established RA respectively. RESULTS In patients with anti-CCP-positive arthralgia, the frequency of SE allele positivity is significantly lower when compared with anti-CCP-positive early arthritis and established RA (58% vs 80%, and 58% vs 92%, respectively, both p<0.001). Median anti-CCP levels were higher in the group of patients with SE-positive arthralgia compared with the group of patients with SE-negative arthralgia (p = 0.02). Median anti-CCP levels were similar in the groups of patients with SE-positive arthralgia and arthritis. CONCLUSIONS The lower frequency of SE positivity in patients with arthralgia compared with patients with RA indicates that, compared with patients who were SE positive, patients who were SE negative as a group go through a longer arthralgia phase, or alternatively have a lower risk for transition from anti-CCP positive arthralgia to RA. Furthermore, the present results suggest that in this early stage the effect of the SE on disease risk may be mediated through higher anti-CCP levels.

Improvement of Thyroid Function in Hypothyroid Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis After 6 Months of Adalimumab Treatment: A Pilot Study

Objective. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is characterized by high levels of cytokines such as tumor necrosis factor (TNF). TNF appears to have an etiologic role in thyroid dysfunction, and thyroid dysfunction is a common comorbidity in RA. Anti-TNF treatment might limit thyroid dysfunction. Thus, changes in thyroid hormones were studied during TNF-blocking therapy in patients with RA. Methods. At baseline and after 6 months’ treatment with adalimumab, thyroid function [thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), free thyroxine (fT4), and antibodies against thyroid peroxidase (TPOabs)] were assessed in 138 consecutive adalimumab-treated patients with RA who were naive for TNF-blocking agents. Patients were categorized as hypothyroid, hyperthyroid, or euthyroid. In these groups, changes in thyroid function were determined. Results. Prevalences of hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism, and TPOabs were 13%, 5%, and 15%, respectively. After 6 months, TPOabs decreased from 267 to 201 IU/ml (p = 0.048). In hypothyroid patients without concomitant L-thyroxine, a trend for declining levels of TSH was observed. Subgroup analysis revealed that in patients who were hypothyroid and TPOabs-positive and L-thyroxine-naive, TSH levels decreased significantly, from 12.5 (interquartile range 6.7–18.4) to 7.1 (interquartile range 4.9–13.8) mU/l (p = 0.043). Conclusion. Anti-TNF treatment improves thyroid function in hypothyroid patients with RA (especially in those who are L-thyroxine-naive and TPOabs-positive), providing further evidence that inflammatory cytokines such as TNF have a pathogenic role in thyroid dysfunction.