Xiuhai Yang

Computerized Prescribing Alerts and Group Academic Detailing to Reduce the Use of Potentially Inappropriate Medications in Older People

OBJECTIVES: To examine the effect of replacing drug‐specific computerized prescribing alerts with age‐specific alerts on rates of dispensing potentially inappropriate medications in older people and to determine whether group academic detailing enhances the effectiveness of these alerts.

Opioids for back pain patients: Primary care prescribing patterns and use of services

Background: Opioid prescribing for noncancer pain has increased dramatically. We examined whether the prevalence of unhealthy lifestyles, psychologic distress, health care utilization, and co-prescribing of sedative-hypnotics increased with increasing duration of prescription opioid use. Methods: We analyzed electronic data for 6 months before and after an index visit for back pain in a managed care plan. Use of opioids was characterized as “none,” “acute” (≤90 days), “episodic,” or “long term.” Associations with lifestyle factors, psychologic distress, and utilization were adjusted for demographics and comorbidity. Results: There were 26,014 eligible patients. Of these, 61% received a course of opioids, and 19% were long-term users. Psychologic distress, unhealthy lifestyles, and utilization were associated incrementally with duration of opioid prescription, not just with chronic use. Among long-term opioid users, 59% received only short-acting drugs; 39% received both long- and short-acting drugs; and 44% received a sedative-hypnotic. Of those with any opioid use, 36% had an emergency visit. Conclusions: Prescription of opioids was common among patients with back pain. The prevalence of psychologic distress, unhealthy lifestyles, and health care utilization increased incrementally with duration of use. Coprescribing sedative-hypnotics was common. These data may help in predicting long-term opioid use and improving the safety of opioid prescribing.

Epidemiology and healthcare costs of incident Clostridium difficile infections identified in the outpatient healthcare setting.

OBJECTIVE To describe the epidemiology and healthcare costs of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) identified in the outpatient setting. DESIGN Population-based, retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS Kaiser Permanente Colorado and Kaiser Permanente Northwest members between June 1, 2005, and September 30, 2008. METHODS We identified persons with incident CDI and classified CDI by whether it was identified in the outpatient or inpatient healthcare setting. We collected information about baseline variables and follow-up healthcare utilization, costs, and outcomes among patients with CDI. We compared characteristics of patients with CDI identified in the outpatient versus inpatient setting. RESULTS We identified 3,067 incident CDIs; 56% were identified in the outpatient setting. Few strong, independent predictors of diagnostic setting were identified, although a previous stay in a nonacute healthcare institution (odds ratio [OR], 1.45 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.13-1.86]) was statistically associated with outpatient-identified CDI, as was age from 50 to 59 years (OR, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.18-2.29]), 60 to 69 years (OR, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.03-1.82]), and 70 to 79 years (OR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.06-1.74]), when compared with persons aged 80-89 years. CONCLUSIONS We found that more than one-half of incident CDIs in this population were identified in the outpatient setting. Patients with outpatient-identified CDI were younger with fewer comorbidities, although they frequently had previous exposure to healthcare. These data suggest that practitioners should be aware of CDI and obtain appropriate diagnostic testing on outpatients with CDI symptoms.

Systolic Blood Pressure and Mortality Among Older, Community-Dwelling Adults With CKD

BACKGROUND Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an increasingly common condition, especially in older adults. CKD manifests differently in older versus younger patients, with a risk of death that far outweighs the risk of CKD progressing to the point that dialysis is required. Current CKD guidelines recommend a blood pressure target <130/80 mm Hg for all patients with CKD; however, it is unknown how lower versus higher baseline blood pressures may affect older adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS Older patients (aged ≥ 75 years) with CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) in a community-based health maintenance organization. PREDICTOR Baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 130, 130-160 (reference group), and > 160 mm Hg. OUTCOMES Participants were followed up for 5 years to examine rates of mortality (primary outcome) and cardiovascular disease hospitalizations (secondary outcome). RESULTS At baseline, 3,099 participants (38.5%) had SBP < 130 mm Hg, 3,772 (46.9%) had SBP of 131-160 mm Hg, and 1,171 (14.6%) had SBP >160 mm Hg. A total of 3,734 (46.4%) died and 2,881 (35.8%) were hospitalized. Adjusted HRs for mortality in the groups with SBP < 130 and > 160 mm Hg were 1.22 (95% CI, 1.11-1.34) and 1.06 (95% CI, 0.93-1.22), respectively. Adjusted HRs for cardiovascular hospitalization in these groups were 1.10 (95% CI, 0.99-1.23) and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.09-1.45), respectively. LIMITATIONS Although causality should not be inferred from this retrospective analysis, results from this study can generate hypotheses for future randomized controlled trials to investigate the relationship between blood pressure and outcomes in older patients with CKD. CONCLUSIONS Our study suggests that lower baseline SBP (≤ 130 mm Hg) may predict poorer outcomes in terms of both mortality and cardiovascular hospitalizations in older adults with CKD. Conversely, higher baseline SBP (> 160 mm Hg) may predict increased risk of cardiovascular hospitalizations, but does not predict mortality. Clinical trials are required to test this hypothesis.

Prescription Opioids for Back Pain and Use of Medications for Erectile Dysfunction

Study Design. Cross-sectional analysis of electronic medical and pharmacy records. Objective. To examine associations between use of medication for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement and use of opioid therapy, patient age, depression, and smoking status. Summary of Background Data. Males with chronic pain may experience erectile dysfunction related to depression, smoking, age, or opioid-related hypogonadism. The prevalence of this problem in back pain populations and the relative importance of several risk factors are unknown. Methods. We examined electronic pharmacy and medical records for males with back pain in a large group model health maintenance organization during 2004. Relevant prescriptions were considered for 6 months before and after the index visit. Results. There were 11,327 males with a diagnosis of back pain. Males who received medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement (n = 909) were significantly older than those who did not and had greater comorbidity, depression, smoking, and use of sedative-hypnotics. In logistic regressions, the long-term use of opioids was associated with greater use of medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement compared with no opioid use (odds ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.12–1.87, P < 0.01). Age, comorbidity, depression, and use of sedative-hypnotics were also independently associated with the use of medications for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement. Patients prescribed daily opioid doses of 120 mg of morphine-equivalents or more had greater use of medication for erectile dysfunction or testosterone replacement than patients without opioid use (odds ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.03–2.43), even with adjustment for the duration of opioid therapy. Conclusion. Dose and duration of opioid use, as well as age, comorbidity, depression, and use of sedative-hypnotics, were associated with evidence of erectile dysfunction. These findings may be important in the process of decision making for the long-term use of opioids. Level of Evidence: 4

Systolic BP and Mortality in Older Adults with CKD

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Optimal BP targets for older adults with CKD are unclear. This study sought to determine whether a nonlinear relationship between BP and mortality-as described for the broader CKD population and for older adults in the general population-is present for older adults with CKD. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS A cohort of 21,015 adults age 65-105 years with a moderate or severe reduction in eGFR (<60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2)) were identified within the Kaiser Permanente Northwest Health Maintenance Organization population. The relationship between baseline systolic BP (SBP; ≤120, 121-130, 131-140, 141-150, >150 mmHg; referent, 131-140 mmHg) and all-cause mortality across age groups (65-70, 71-80, and >80 years) was examined; patients were followed for up to 11 years after cohort entry. RESULTS The median times at risk were 3.15 years, 3.53 years, and 2.76 years for adults age 65-70, 71-80, and >80 years, respectively. Mortality during follow-up was 19.6% for those age 65-70 years, 33.4% for those age 71-80 years, and 55.7% for those age >80 years. The relationship between SBP and mortality varied as a function of age. The risk of death was highest for patients with the lowest SBP in all age groups. Only among adults age 65-70 years was an SBP>140 mmHg associated with a higher risk of death compared with the referent category. Patterns of age modification of the relationship between SBP and mortality were consistent in all sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS In a cohort of older adults, the relationship between SBP and mortality varied systematically with age. A relationship between higher SBP and mortality was present only for younger members of this cohort and not for those older than 70. These results raise the question of whether the relative benefits and harms of lowering BP to recommended targets for older adults with CKD may vary as a function of age.

Predicting costs of care in heart failure patients

BackgroundIdentifying heart failure patients most likely to suffer poor outcomes is an essential part of delivering interventions to those most likely to benefit. We sought a comprehensive account of heart failure events and their cumulative economic burden by examining patient characteristics that predict increased cost or poor outcomes.MethodsWe collected electronic medical data from members of a large HMO who had a heart failure diagnosis and an echocardiogram from 1999–2004, and followed them for one year. We examined the role of demographics, clinical and laboratory findings, comorbid disease and whether the heart failure was incident, as well as mortality. We used regression methods appropriate for censored cost data.ResultsOf the 4,696 patients, 8% were incident. Several diseases were associated with significantly higher and economically relevant cost changes, including atrial fibrillation (15% higher), coronary artery disease (14% higher), chronic lung disease (29% higher), depression (36% higher), diabetes (38% higher) and hyperlipidemia (21% higher). Some factors were associated with costs in a counterintuitive fashion (i.e. lower costs in the presence of the factor) including age, ejection fraction and anemia. But anemia and ejection fraction were also associated with a higher death rate.ConclusionsClose control of factors that are independently associated with higher cost or poor outcomes may be important for disease management. Analysis of costs in a disease like heart failure that has a high death rate underscores the need for economic methods to consider how mortality should best be considered in costing studies.

Predicting the risk of end-stage renal disease in the population-based setting: a retrospective case-control study

BackgroundPrevious studies of predictors of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) have limitations: (1) some focused on patients with clinically recognized chronic kidney disease (CKD); (2) others identified population-based patients who developed ESRD, but lacked earlier baseline clinical measures to predict ESRD. Our study was designed to address these limitations and to identify the strength and precision of characteristics that might predict ESRD pragmatically for decision-makers--as measured by the onset of renal replacement therapy (RRT).MethodsWe conducted a population-based, retrospective case-control study of patients who developed ESRD and started RRT. We conducted the study in a health maintenance organization, Kaiser Permanente Northwest (KPNW). The case-control study was nested within the adult population of KPNW members who were enrolled during 1999, the baseline period. Cases and their matched controls were identified from January 2000 through December 2004. We evaluated baseline clinical characteristics measured during routine care by calculating the adjusted odds ratios and their 95% confidence intervals after controlling for matching characteristics: age, sex, and year.ResultsThe rate of RRT in the cohort from which we sampled was 58 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 53 to 64). After excluding patients with missing data, we analyzed 350 cases and 2,114 controls. We identified the following characteristics that predicted ESRD with odds ratios ≥ 2.0: eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR = 20.5; 95% CI, 11.2 to 37.3), positive test for proteinuria (OR = 5.0; 95% CI, 3.5 to 7.1), hypertension (OR = 4.5; 95% CI, 2.5 to 8.0), gout/positive test for uric acid (OR = 2.5; 95% CI, 1.8 to 3.5), peripheral vascular disease (OR = 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.6), congestive heart failure (OR = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.3), and diabetes (OR = 2.1; 95% CI, 1.5 to 2.9).ConclusionsThe clinical characteristics needed to predict ESRD--for example, to develop a population-based, prognostic risk score--were often documented during routine care years before patients developed ESRD and required RRT.

Predicting Mortality in Older Adults with Kidney Disease: A Pragmatic Prediction Model

To develop mortality risk prediction models for older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) that include comorbidities and measures of health status and use not associated with particular comorbid conditions (nondisease‐specific measures).

Outcomes predicted by phosphorous in chronic kidney disease: a retrospective CKD-inception cohort study

BACKGROUND The impact of secondary hyperparathyroidism on morbidity and mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate the relationship between CKD and serum phosphorous. Through clinical databases at a large health maintenance organization, we identified a dynamic CKD inception cohort between 1997 and 2004, with stage 3-5 kidney disease with subsequent phosphorous measurement; the patients were followed up for up to 5 years for outcomes of mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular hospitalizations and renal replacement therapy (RRT; dialysis or transplant). Survival analysis with time-varying covariables for phosphorous and renal function estimated the relationship between phosphorous level and outcomes, adjusting for potential confounding variables. RESULTS A total of 930 patients with complete data were included in our analysis; they had a higher disease burden than excluded patients. Phosphorous did not predict overall or cardiovascular mortality, or cardiovascular hospitalizations. The rate of RRT increased significantly with the level of phosphorous, even when controlling for renal function. CONCLUSIONS Contrary to some previous reports, we did not find evidence of increased mortality with phosphorous, but did find that increased levels of phosphorous are related to excess rates of RRT. Our work does not suggest that controlling phosphorous will lower the risk of RRT; our work motivates randomized controlled trials to investigate the clinical value of such interventions.