Xuebo Jin

Maneuvering target tracking by adaptive statistics model

A good model can extract useful information about the target’s state from observations effectively. There are many models used to tracking a, maneuvering target such as constant-velocity (CV) model, Singer acceleration model (zero-mean first-order Markov model) and current model (mean-adaptive acceleration model), etc. While due to the complexity of maneuvering target, to seek the target model which can get better performance is still a subject worthy of study. Based on statistics relation between the autocorrelation function and the covariance of Markov random processing, this paper develops a model which can adaptively adjust system parameters on line. Simulations show the good estimation performance get by the model developed here, and comparing CV, Singer and current models, the model can adaptively get the model parameter while tracking the trajectory and needn’t doing several tests to obtain a priori parameter.

Centralized and distributed robust state fusion estimation

The study of robust state estimation for uncertain multisensor system is an important field of multisensor fusion estimation theory. Based on robust filtering theory, this paper develops polytopic models and centralized robust fusion estimation of uncertain multisensor system by linear matrix inequality (LMI) method, and proves the exact transforming condition, by which robust centralized estimate can be transformed to the distributed fusion method with the same fusion estimate performance. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the estimation approach for the uncertain multisensor system.

Parallel Irregular Fusion Estimation Based on Nonlinear Filter for Indoor RFID Tracking System

In practical RFID tracking systems, usually it is impossible that the readers are placed right with a “grid” structure, so effective estimation method is required to obtain the accurate trajectory. Due to the data-driven mechanism, measurement of RFID system is sampled irregularly; therefore the traditional recursive estimation may fail from K to K + 1 sampling point. Moreover, because the distribution density of the readers is nonuniform and multiple measurements might be implemented simultaneously, fusion of estimations also needs to be considered. In this paper, an irregular estimation strategy with parallel structure was developed, where the dynamic model update and states fusion estimation were processed synchronously to achieve real-time indoor RFID tracking. Two nonlinear estimation methods were proposed based on the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF), respectively. The tracking performances were compared, and the simulation results show that the developed UKF method got lower covariance in indoor RFID tracking while the EKF one cost less calculating time.

ANFIS Model for Time Series Prediction

This paper describes an architecture of ANFIS (adaptive network based fuzzy inference system), to the prediction of chaotic time series, where the goal is to minimize the prediction error. We consider the stock data as the time series. This paper focuses on how the stock data affect the prediction performance. In the experiments we changed the number of data as input of the ANFIS model, the type of membership functions and the desired goal error, thereby increasing the complexity of the training.

Fast Tracking for Video Target Tracking

Fast video tracking can result in irregular sampling tracking problem. This paper transforms the irregular sampling measurement to the time-varying parameters and develops a model with adaptive parameters on line by the autocorrelation function of Markov random processing. Simulations and experiments show the good fast-tracking performance can be get by the model developed here even at very high irregular rate of measurement sampling time.

Analysis of algae growth mechanism and water bloom prediction under the effect of multi-affecting factor

The formation process of algae is described inaccurately and water blooms are predicted with a low precision by current methods. In this paper, chemical mechanism of algae growth is analyzed, and a correlation analysis of chlorophyll-a and algal density is conducted by chemical measurement. Taking into account the influence of multi-factors on algae growth and water blooms, the comprehensive prediction method combined with multivariate time series and intelligent model is put forward in this paper. Firstly, through the process of photosynthesis, the main factors that affect the reproduction of the algae are analyzed. A compensation prediction method of multivariate time series analysis based on neural network and Support Vector Machine has been put forward which is combined with Kernel Principal Component Analysis to deal with dimension reduction of the influence factors of blooms. Then, Genetic Algorithm is applied to improve the generalization ability of the BP network and Least Squares Support Vector Machine. Experimental results show that this method could better compensate the prediction model of multivariate time series analysis which is an effective way to improve the description accuracy of algae growth and prediction precision of water blooms.

A Novel Group Decision-Making Method Based on Sensor Data and Fuzzy Information

Algal bloom is a typical phenomenon of the eutrophication of rivers and lakes and makes the water dirty and smelly. It is a serious threat to water security and public health. Most scholars studying solutions for this pollution have studied the principles of remediation approaches, but few have studied the decision-making and selection of the approaches. Existing research uses simplex decision-making information which is highly subjective and uses little of the data from water quality sensors. To utilize these data and solve the rational decision-making problem, a novel group decision-making method is proposed using the sensor data with fuzzy evaluation information. Firstly, the optimal similarity aggregation model of group opinions is built based on the modified similarity measurement of Vague values. Secondly, the approaches’ ability to improve the water quality indexes is expressed using Vague evaluation methods. Thirdly, the water quality sensor data are analyzed to match the features of the alternative approaches with grey relational degrees. This allows the best remediation approach to be selected to meet the current water status. Finally, the selection model is applied to the remediation of algal bloom in lakes. The results show this method’s rationality and feasibility when using different data from different sources.

Main Trend Extraction Based on Irregular Sampling Estimation and Its Application in Storage Volume of Internet Data Center

The storage volume of internet data center is one of the classical time series. It is very valuable to predict the storage volume of a data center for the business value. However, the storage volume series from a data center is always “dirty,” which contains the noise, missing data, and outliers, so it is necessary to extract the main trend of storage volume series for the future prediction processing. In this paper, we propose an irregular sampling estimation method to extract the main trend of the time series, in which the Kalman filter is used to remove the “dirty” data; then the cubic spline interpolation and average method are used to reconstruct the main trend. The developed method is applied in the storage volume series of internet data center. The experiment results show that the developed method can estimate the main trend of storage volume series accurately and make great contribution to predict the future volume value. 


Relation between Irregular Sampling and Estimated Covariance for Closed-Loop Tracking Method

Regular sampling methods have a widely use in the target trajectory tracking fields and the tracking results are accurate but not fast enough sometimes especially with the long-data measurement. Irregular sampling methods for target tracking can trace the target with less time cost but the result may not very accurate due to the reduced information. This paper aims to find a balance between the computing speed and estimation performance. Based on an irregular sampling closed-loop tracking method, a sample with 2991 points simulated for 2D tracking. We conclude that our method can get a good estimation performance with high computing speed when the Irregular Sampling Rate is 66.1%.

Online Denoising Based on the Second-Order Adaptive Statistics Model

Online denoising is motivated by real-time applications in the industrial process, where the data must be utilizable soon after it is collected. Since the noise in practical process is usually colored, it is quite a challenge for denoising techniques. In this paper, a novel online denoising method was proposed to achieve the processing of the practical measurement data with colored noise, and the characteristics of the colored noise were considered in the dynamic model via an adaptive parameter. The proposed method consists of two parts within a closed loop: the first one is to estimate the system state based on the second-order adaptive statistics model and the other is to update the adaptive parameter in the model using the Yule–Walker algorithm. Specifically, the state estimation process was implemented via the Kalman filter in a recursive way, and the online purpose was therefore attained. Experimental data in a reinforced concrete structure test was used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. Results show the proposed method not only dealt with the signals with colored noise, but also achieved a tradeoff between efficiency and accuracy.