Ya-Ching Hung

Neurosurgical Care: Availability and Access in Low-Income and Middle-Income Countries

BACKGROUNDnAn estimated 5 billion people worldwide lack access to basic surgical care. In particular, the vast majority of low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) currently struggle to provide adequate neurosurgical services. Significant barriers exist, including limited access to trained medical, nursing, and allied health staff; lack of equipment; and availability of services at reasonable distance and at reasonable cost to patients. An accurate assessment of current neurosurgical capacity in LIMCs is an essential first step in tackling this deficit.nnnOBJECTIVEnTo quantify the neurosurgical operational capacity and assess access to neurosurgical services in LMICs, by taking into account the location of workforce and services.nnnMETHODSnA total of 141 LMICs were contacted and asked to report the number of currently practicing neurosurgeons, access to computed tomographic and magnetic resonance imaging, and availability of neurosurgical equipment (microscope, endoscope, bipolar diathermy, high-speed neurosurgical drill). A proposed World Federation of Neurosurgeons classification was used to stratify cities based on the level of neurosurgical care that could be provided. The data were geocoded and analyzed in Redivis (Redivis Inc.) to assess the percentage of the population covered within a 2-hour travel time of a city offering differing levels of neurosurgical care.nnnRESULTSn68 countries provided complete data (response rate, 48.2%). Eleven countries reported having no practicing neurosurgeons. The average percentage of the population with access to neurosurgical services within a 2-hour window is 25.26% in sub-Saharan Africa, 62.3% in Latin America and the Caribbean, 29.64% in East Asia and the Pacific, 52.83% in South Asia, 79.65% in the Middle East and North Africa, and 93.3% in Eastern Europe and Central Asia.nnnCONCLUSIONSnThere are several challenges to the provision of adequate neurosurgical services in low-resource settings. This study used mapping techniques to determine the current global neurosurgical workforce capacity and distribution. We have used our findings to identify areas for improvement. These include increasing and improving neurosurgical training programs worldwide, recruiting students and young physicians into the field, and retaining existing neurosurgeons within their home countries.

Race/Ethnicity and Age Distribution of Breast Cancer Diagnosis in the United States

This study assesses the age distribution of breast cancer diagnosis across race/ethnicity in US female patients using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database.

Estimating the global incidence of traumatic brain injury

OBJECTIVETraumatic brain injury (TBI)-the silent epidemic-contributes to worldwide death and disability more than any other traumatic insult. Yet, TBI incidence and distribution across regions and socioeconomic divides remain unknown. In an effort to promote advocacy, understanding, and targeted intervention, the authors sought to quantify the case burden of TBI across World Health Organization (WHO) regions and World Bank (WB) income groups.METHODSOpen-source epidemiological data on road traffic injuries (RTIs) were used to model the incidence of TBI using literature-derived ratios. First, a systematic review on the proportion of RTIs resulting in TBI was conducted, and a meta-analysis of study-derived proportions was performed. Next, a separate systematic review identified primary source studies describing mechanisms of injury contributing to TBI, and an additional meta-analysis yielded a proportion of TBI that is secondary to the mechanism of RTI. Then, the incidence of RTI as published by the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 was applied to these two ratios to generate the incidence and estimated case volume of TBI for each WHO region and WB income group.RESULTSRelevant articles and registries were identified via systematic review; study quality was higher in the high-income countries (HICs) than in the low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Sixty-nine million (95% CI 64-74 million) individuals worldwide are estimated to sustain a TBI each year. The proportion of TBIs resulting from road traffic collisions was greatest in Africa and Southeast Asia (both 56%) and lowest in North America (25%). The incidence of RTI was similar in Southeast Asia (1.5% of the population per year) and Europe (1.2%). The overall incidence of TBI per 100,000 people was greatest in North America (1299 cases, 95% CI 650-1947) and Europe (1012 cases, 95% CI 911-1113) and least in Africa (801 cases, 95% CI 732-871) and the Eastern Mediterranean (897 cases, 95% CI 771-1023). The LMICs experience nearly 3 times more cases of TBI proportionally than HICs.CONCLUSIONSSixty-nine million (95% CI 64-74 million) individuals are estimated to suffer TBI from all causes each year, with the Southeast Asian and Western Pacific regions experiencing the greatest overall burden of disease. Head injury following road traffic collision is more common in LMICs, and the proportion of TBIs secondary to road traffic collision is likewise greatest in these countries. Meanwhile, the estimated incidence of TBI is highest in regions with higher-quality data, specifically in North America and Europe.

A longitudinal population analysis of cumulative risks of circumcision

BACKGROUNDnCircumcision is widely accepted for newborns in the United States. However, circumcision carries a risk of complications, the rates of which are not well described in the contemporary era.nnnMETHODSnWe performed a longitudinal population analysis of the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development database between 2005 and 2010. Using International Classification of Procedures, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and Current Procedural Terminology codes, we calculated early and late complication rates by Kaplan-Meier survival estimates. Late complications were defined as those that occurred between 30xa0d and 5xa0y after circumcision. Descriptive analysis of complications was obtained by analysis of variance, chi-square test, or log-rank test. On adjusted analysis, a Cox proportional hazard model was performed to determine the risk of early and late complications, adjusting for patient demographics.nnnRESULTSnA total of 24,432 circumcised children under age 5 y were analyzed. Overall, cumulative complication rates over 5xa0y were 1.5% in neonates, 0.5% of which were early, and 2.9% in non-neonates, 2.2% of which were early. On adjusted analysis, non-neonates had a higher risk of early complications (OR 18.5). In both neonates and non-neonates, the majority of patients with late complications underwent circumcision revision.nnnCONCLUSIONSnCircumcision has a complication rate higher than previously recognized. Most patients with late complications after circumcision received an operative circumcision revision. Clinicians should weigh the surgical risks against the reported medical benefits of circumcision when counseling parents about circumcision.

How Much Data are Good Enough? Using Simulation to Determine the Reliability of Estimating POMR for Resource-Constrained Settings

AbstractIntroductionPerioperative mortality rate (POMR) is a suggested indicator for surgical quality worldwide. Currently, POMR is often sampled by convenience; a data-driven approach for calculating sample size has not previously been attempted. We proposed a novel application of a bootstrapping sampling technique to estimate how much data are needed to be collected to reasonably estimate POMR in low-resource countries where 100% data capture is not possible.nMaterial and methodsSix common procedures in low- and middle-income countries were analysed by using population database in New York and California. Relative margin of error by dividing the absolute margin of error by the true population rate was calculated. Target margin of error was ±50%, because this level of precision would allow us to detect a moderate-to-large effect size.Results and discussionTarget margin of error was achieved at 0.3% sampling size for abdominal surgery, 7% for fracture, 10% for craniotomy, 16% for pneumonectomy, 26% for hysterectomy and 60% for C-section. POMR may be estimated with fairly good reliability with small data sampling. This method demonstrates that it is possible to use a data-driven approach to determine the necessary sampling size to accurately collect POMR worldwide.

Reducing road traffic deaths: where should we focus global health initiatives?

BACKGROUNDnCurrent global surgery initiatives focus on increasing surgical workforce; however, it is unclear whether this approach would be helpful globally, as patients in low-resource countries may not be able to reach hospitals in a timely fashion without formal Emergency Medical Services (EMS). We hypothesize that increased surgical workforce correlates with decreased road traffic deaths (RTDs) only in countries with EMS.nnnMETHODSnEstimated RTDs were obtained from the Global Status Report on Road Safety 2013, which estimated the RTD rate in 2010 (RTD 2010). The classification of EMS was defined by the Global Status Report on Road Safety 2009. The density of surgeons, anesthesiologists, and obstetricians (SAO density) and 2010 income classification were accessed from the World Bank. Multivariable regression analysis was performed adjusting for different countries, income levels, and trauma system characteristics. Sensitivity analysis was performed.nnnRESULTSnOne-fourth of the countries reported not having formal EMS (nxa0=xa041, 23.4%). On adjusted analysis, SAO density was not associated with changes in RTD 2010 in countries without EMS (nxa0=xa025, Pxa0=xa00.50). However, in countries with EMS, each increase in SAO density per 100,000 population decreased RTDs by 0.079 per 100,000 population (nxa0=xa097, Pxa0<0.001). Income was the only other factor resulting in reduced mortality rates (Pxa0=xa00.004). Sensitivity analysis confirmed these findings.nnnCONCLUSIONSnIncreases in surgical workforce reduce RTDs only when EMS exist. Surgical workforce and EMS must be seen as part of the same system and developed together to maximize their effect in reducing RTDs. Global health initiatives should be tailored to individual country need.nnnLEVEL OF EVIDENCEnLevel II (Ecological study).