Yoshitsugu Obi

Incremental Hemodialysis, Residual Kidney Function, and Mortality Risk in Incident Dialysis Patients: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND Maintenance hemodialysis is typically prescribed thrice weekly irrespective of a patients residual kidney function (RKF). We hypothesized that a less frequent schedule at hemodialysis therapy initiation is associated with greater preservation of RKF without compromising survival among patients with substantial RKF. STUDY DESIGN A longitudinal cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS 23,645 patients who initiated maintenance hemodialysis therapy in a large dialysis organization in the United States (January 2007 to December 2010), had available RKF data during the first 91 days (or quarter) of dialysis, and survived the first year. PREDICTOR Incremental (routine twice weekly for >6 continuous weeks during the first 91 days upon transition to dialysis) versus conventional (thrice weekly) hemodialysis regimens during the same time. OUTCOMES Changes in renal urea clearance and urine volume during 1 year after the first quarter and survival after the first year. RESULTS Among 23,645 included patients, 51% had substantial renal urea clearance (≥3.0mL/min/1.73m(2)) at baseline. Compared with 8,068 patients with conventional hemodialysis regimens matched based on baseline renal urea clearance, urine volume, age, sex, diabetes, and central venous catheter use, 351 patients with incremental regimens exhibited 16% (95% CI, 5%-28%) and 15% (95% CI, 2%-30%) more preserved renal urea clearance and urine volume at the second quarter, respectively, which persisted across the following quarters. Incremental regimens showed higher mortality risk in patients with inadequate baseline renal urea clearance (≤3.0mL/min/1.73m(2); HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.07-2.44), but not in those with higher baseline renal urea clearance (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.76-1.28). Results were similar in a subgroup defined by baseline urine volume of 600mL/d. LIMITATIONS Potential selection bias and wide CIs. CONCLUSIONS Among incident hemodialysis patients with substantial RKF, incremental hemodialysis may be a safe treatment regimen and is associated with greater preservation of RKF, whereas higher mortality is observed after the first year of dialysis in those with the lowest RKF. Clinical trials are needed to examine the safety and effectiveness of twice-weekly hemodialysis.

Combined Use of Vitamin D Status and FGF23 for Risk Stratification of Renal Outcome

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Hyperphosphatemia, vitamin D deficiency, hyperparathyroidism, and high serum fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) levels, when studied separately, were found to predict the progression of CKD. However, studies with simultaneous measurement of mineral bone disorder (MBD)-related factors were scarce. This study aimed to identify factors predicting renal outcome independent of other factors. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS This was a prospective cohort study of 738 Japanese predialysis outpatients in the nephrology departments of two hospitals. The outcome was defined as a doubling of serum creatinine or initiation of dialysis. RESULTS Mean estimated GFR (eGFR) was 35 ml/min per 1.73 m(2). At enrollment, the increase in intact FGF23 with decreasing eGFR was the earliest among changes in MBD-related factors, followed by 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D decrease, parathyroid hormone increase, and phosphate increase. During a median duration of 4.4 years, 213 patients reached the endpoint. In a multivariable Cox model, high FGF23 and low 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25D) levels were the only MBD-related factors associated with a higher risk of renal endpoint (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] per unit change of log FGF23 and 10 ng/ml of 25D: 1.83 [1.28-2.61] and 0.61 [0.41-0.90], respectively). There was no significant interaction between 25D and FGF23 (P=0.11). Active vitamin D therapy, serum phosphate, 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D, and parathyroid hormone levels were not related to the renal endpoint. Treating death as a competing risk or multiple imputation for missing values yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS Combined use of two markers is useful for the risk stratification of renal outcome.

Intact fibroblast growth factor 23 levels predict incident cardiovascular event before but not after the start of dialysis

PURPOSE Low 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25D), increased levels of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), parathyroid hormone (PTH), and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) were reported to be risk factors for mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the independent associations of these factors with cardiovascular disease (CVD), the leading cause of death among CKD patients, remain unclear. Our purpose was to identify which of these factors predict incident CVD in CKD. METHODS In this prospective cohort study, we enrolled 738 predialysis outpatients in the two nephrology departments. We employed Cox proportional hazards analyses to elucidate predictors of the endpoint, defined as fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular event requiring hospitalization. Multiple imputation was performed for missing values. RESULTS Mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 35 mL/min/1.73 m(2). During a median duration of 4.4 years, 86 patients developed the endpoint, of whom 62 patients achieved it before the initiation of dialysis. Multivariable analyses revealed that high serum intact FGF23 levels predicted the outcome preceding dialysis initiation (hazard ratio (HR) per lnFGF23 (SD), 1.64 (1.27-2.30)), while 25D, PTH, and bone-specific ALP did not. Adding FGF23 to the conventional model of age, sex, diabetes, prior CVD, pulse pressure, and eGFR, led to a net reclassification improvement of 6.87% (P=0.04). Not censoring the patients at the start of dialysis and continuing follow-up even after dialysis, FGF23 levels did not predict the outcome (HR, 1.16 (0.91-1.48)). Complete case analyses yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS Intact FGF23 levels in predialysis CKD predicted incident cardiovascular events requiring hospitalization before starting dialysis, but did not predict events during the entire follow-up period, including post dialysis initiation.

Residual Kidney Function Decline and Mortality in Incident Hemodialysis Patients

In patients with ESRD, residual kidney function (RKF) contributes to achievement of adequate solute clearance. However, few studies have examined RKF in patients on hemodialysis. In a longitudinal cohort of 6538 patients who started maintenance hemodialysis over a 4-year period (January 2007 through December 2010) and had available renal urea clearance (CLurea) data at baseline and 1 year after hemodialysis initiation, we examined the association of annual change in renal CLurea rate with subsequent survival. The median (interquartile range) baseline value and mean±SD annual change of CLurea were 3.3 (1.9-5.0) and -1.1±2.8 ml/min per 1.73 m2, respectively. Greater CLurea rate 1 year after hemodialysis initiation associated with better survival. Furthermore, we found a gradient association between loss of RKF and all-cause mortality: changes in CLurea rate of -6.0 and +3.0 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year associated with case mix-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.00 (1.55 to 2.59) and 0. 61 (0.50 to 0.74), respectively (reference: -1.5 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year). These associations remained robust against adjustment for laboratory variables and ultrafiltration rate and were consistent across strata of baseline CLurea, age, sex, race, diabetes status, presence of congestive heart failure, and hemoglobin, serum albumin, and serum phosphorus levels. Sensitivity analyses using urine volume as another index of RKF yielded consistent associations. In conclusion, RKF decline during the first year of dialysis has a graded association with all-cause mortality among incident hemodialysis patients. The clinical benefits of RKF preservation strategies on mortality should be determined.

Impact of Age and Overt Proteinuria on Outcomes of Stage 3 to 5 Chronic Kidney Disease in a Referred Cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Population-based studies have reported outcomes and risk factors for patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), defined primarily by decreased estimated GFR (eGFR). They are characterized by old age, low proteinuria level, and stage 3 CKD. However, many patients referred to nephrologists are younger and have overt proteinuria and advanced CKD. This study evaluated the association between outcomes and those factors among referred CKD patients. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS We retrospectively reviewed 461 referred patients with stage 3 to 5 CKD from January 2003 to December 2007. Key outcomes were death and ESRD. Patients were followed from the time of first serum creatinine measurement to December 2009. RESULTS The median age of subjects was 67.0 years, and median follow-up was 3.2 years. Overt proteinuria was present in 57.0% of subjects. For stage 3, 4, and 5 CKD, cumulative mortality and probability of ESRD at 3 years was 9.5 and 6.5%, 11.2 and 27.8%, and 16.5 and 79.1%, respectively. Using proportional-hazards regression models, age was a determinant for death, whereas overt proteinuria was strongly associated with ESRD. Among stage 3 CKD patients older than 65 years without overt proteinuria, the incidence of death before renal replacement therapy (RRT) was 2.8/100 patient-years and none had ESRD. In patients with advanced CKD and overt proteinuria, the incidence of ESRD was substantially higher than that of death before RRT. CONCLUSIONS Stratification by age, proteinuria level, and CKD stage could predict the competing outcomes of death before RRT and ESRD among CKD patients.

Self-reported Sleep Duration and Prediction of Proteinuria: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND Although multiple studies have shown that sleep duration is a predictor of cardiovascular diseases and mortality, few studies have reported an association between sleep duration and chronic kidney disease. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS 6,834 employees of Osaka University aged 20-65 years who visited Osaka University Healthcare Center for their mandatory annual health examinations between April 2006 and March 2010 and did not have estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2), proteinuria, or treatment for self-reported kidney disease. PREDICTOR Self-reported questionnaires about life style, including sleep duration, and blood and urine testing at the first examinations during the study period. An association between sleep duration and outcome was assessed using multivariate Poisson regression models adjusting for clinically relevant factors. OUTCOME Time to the development of proteinuria defined as 1+ or higher by dipstick test. RESULTS Self-reported baseline sleep duration was 6.0 ± 0.9 hours, which reflected the mean sleep duration during a median of 2.5 (25th-75th percentile, 1.4-3.9) years of the observational period. Development of proteinuria was observed in 550 employees (8.0%). A multivariate Poisson regression model clarified that shorter sleep duration, especially 5 or fewer hours, was associated with the development of proteinuria in a stepwise fashion (vs 7 hours; incidence rate ratios of 1.07 [95% CI, 0.87-1.33; P = 0.5], 1.28 [95% CI, 1.00-1.62; P = 0.05], and 1.72 [95% CI, 1.16-2.53; P = 0.007] for 6, 5, and ≤4 hours, respectively), along with younger age, heavier current smoking, trace urinary protein by dipstick test, higher eGFR, higher serum hemoglobin A(1c) level, and current treatment for heart disease. A stepwise association between shorter sleep duration and the development of proteinuria also was verified in 4,061 employees who did not work the night shift. LIMITATIONS Self-reported sleep duration might be biased. Results in a single center should be confirmed in the larger cohort including different occupations. CONCLUSION Short sleep duration, especially 5 or fewer hours, was a predictor of proteinuria.

Cardiac troponin T predicts occult coronary artery stenosis in patients with chronic kidney disease at the start of renal replacement therapy

BACKGROUND The high prevalence of asymptomatic coronary artery stenosis (CAS) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) has emerged as an important predictor of outcome. However, diagnostic tools that can identify asymptomatic CAS have not yet been established. We investigated whether asymptomatic patients at the initiation of renal replacement therapy (RRT) could be screened using cardiac troponin T (cTnT) and atherosclerotic surrogate markers such as ankle-brachial blood pressure index (ABPI) and intima-media thickness (IMT). METHODS AND RESULTS Among 142 patients who were about to start RRT, 60 who were asymptomatic underwent coronary evaluation by multi-slice computed tomography (MSCT) and/or coronary angiography (CAG). CAG diagnosed 35 patients (43.8%) as CAS positive and 27 of them had multi-vessel disease. Factors associated with CAS were smoking, elevated cTnT, low ABPI and high IMT. Moreover, the severity of CAS was associated with smoking, cTnT and ABPI. Stepwise logistic regression analyses revealed that cTnT was a powerful predictor of asymptomatic multi-vessel CAS. Receiver operating characteristic analysis documented the usefulness of cTnT as a screening tool with a cut-off point 0.05 ng/ml. The optimal screening tool for multi-vessel CAS was cTnT (sensitivity, 92.6%; 95% CI, 82.7-99.9; specificity, 63.6%; 95% CI, 47.2-80.0). CONCLUSION We concluded that cTnT should be measured as part of a strategy for detecting asymptomatic CAS, especially multi-vessel disease in patients with CKD at the start of RRT.

Vitamin D Deficiency Predicts Decline in Kidney Allograft Function: A Prospective Cohort Study

CONTEXT Vitamin D, often deficient in kidney transplant (KTx) recipients, has potential immunomodulatory effects. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to evaluate whether vitamin D status affects the rate of decline in kidney allograft function. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS The study included a prospective cohort of 264 ambulatory KTx recipients at a single Japanese center. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES We measured the baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25D) concentration and examined its association with annual decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Secondary outcome was rescue treatment with iv methylprednisolone (IV-MP) as an index of rejection episodes. RESULTS The mean serum 25D concentration was 17.1 (SD 6.5) ng/mL, and 68.4% patients had vitamin D inadequacy or deficiency. Time after KTx was a significant effect modifier for the association of serum 25D concentration with annual eGFR change and need for IV-MP (P for interaction < .1). We divided patients according to the median time after KTx (10 y) and found that low vitamin D was significantly associated with a rapid eGFR decline at less than 10 years after KTx but not at 10 or more years after KTx. The same was true for rescue treatment with IV-MP. Overall, propensity score matching showed independent associations of low vitamin D with both outcomes. Stratified matching confirmed pronounced associations at less than 10 years after KTx. CONCLUSIONS Vitamin D deficiency predicts a rapid decline in eGFR and need for IV-MP at less than 10 years after KTx. Future studies are warranted to evaluate the clinical efficacy of vitamin D supplementation.

Plasma B-type natriuretic peptide level predicts kidney prognosis in patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND As a cardiorenal syndrome, there is a dynamic interplay between the heart and the kidney. We conducted a prospective study to evaluate the prognostic impact of plasma B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level, a cardiac biomarker, on the long-term kidney prognosis in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. METHODS We prospectively enrolled 508 patients with CKD Stages 3, 4 and 5 not on dialysis, from a single nephrology department between 2004 and 2010. The exclusion criteria were over 90 years of age, malignancy, active infection, low cardiac ejection fraction and rapid progressive glomerulonephritis. Relationships between BNP and kidney end point [defined as doubling of baseline serum creatinine and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) requiring kidney replacement therapy] were measured using Cox models for case-mix and laboratory variables. RESULTS The final analysis covered 485 participants with no loss to follow-up. The median follow-up period was 3.2 years. Two hundred and twenty-eight of the 485 patients reached ESKD requiring dialysis, and baseline serum creatinine levels doubled in another 31. The kidney end point was significantly poorer among patients with plasma BNP levels above, compared with below a cut-off value of 86.1 pg/mL indicated from receiver operating characteristic analysis. Multivariable Cox regression analysis identified the common logarithm BNP as a predictor of kidney end point (adjusted hazard ratio 1.78, 95% CI: 1.28-2.46, P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Elevation of BNP level is associated with an increased risk for accelerated progression of CKD ultimately to ESKD. Monitoring the BNP level could be helpful in the management of combined heart and kidney disease.

Prevalence and prognostic implications of vitamin D deficiency in chronic kidney disease.

Vitamin D is an important nutrient involved in bone mineral metabolism, and vitamin D status is reflected by serum total 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) concentrations. Vitamin D deficiency is highly prevalent in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), and nutritional vitamin D supplementation decreases elevated parathyroid hormone concentrations in subgroups of these patients. Furthermore, vitamin D is supposed to have pleiotropic effects on various diseases such as cardiovascular diseases, malignancies, infectious diseases, diabetes, and autoimmune diseases. Indeed, there is cumulative evidence showing the associations of low vitamin D with the development and progression of CKD, cardiovascular complication, and high mortality. Recently, genetic polymorphisms in vitamin D-binding protein have received great attention because they largely affect bioavailable 25(OH)D concentrations. This finding suggests that the serum total 25(OH)D concentrations would not be comparable among different gene polymorphisms and thus may be inappropriate as an index of vitamin D status. This finding may refute the conventional definition of vitamin D status based solely on serum total 25(OH)D concentrations.