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Featured researches published by Yousif Ahmad.


The Lancet | 2018

Percutaneous coronary intervention in stable angina (ORBITA): a double-blind, randomised controlled trial

Rasha Al-Lamee; David Thompson; Hakim-Moulay Dehbi; Sayan Sen; Kare Tang; John Davies; Thomas R. Keeble; Michael Mielewczik; Raffi Kaprielian; Iqbal S. Malik; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Ricardo Petraco; Christopher Cook; Yousif Ahmad; James Howard; Christopher Baker; Andrew Sharp; Robert Gerber; Suneel Talwar; Ravi G. Assomull; Jamil Mayet; Roland Wensel; David Collier; Matthew Shun-Shin; Simon Thom; Justin E. Davies; Darrel P. Francis; Amarjit Sethi; Punit Ramrakha; Rodney A. Foale

BACKGROUND Symptomatic relief is the primary goal of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in stable angina and is commonly observed clinically. However, there is no evidence from blinded, placebo-controlled randomised trials to show its efficacy. METHODS ORBITA is a blinded, multicentre randomised trial of PCI versus a placebo procedure for angina relief that was done at five study sites in the UK. We enrolled patients with severe (≥70%) single-vessel stenoses. After enrolment, patients received 6 weeks of medication optimisation. Patients then had pre-randomisation assessments with cardiopulmonary exercise testing, symptom questionnaires, and dobutamine stress echocardiography. Patients were randomised 1:1 to undergo PCI or a placebo procedure by use of an automated online randomisation tool. After 6 weeks of follow-up, the assessments done before randomisation were repeated at the final assessment. The primary endpoint was difference in exercise time increment between groups. All analyses were based on the intention-to-treat principle and the study population contained all participants who underwent randomisation. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02062593. FINDINGS ORBITA enrolled 230 patients with ischaemic symptoms. After the medication optimisation phase and between Jan 6, 2014, and Aug 11, 2017, 200 patients underwent randomisation, with 105 patients assigned PCI and 95 assigned the placebo procedure. Lesions had mean area stenosis of 84·4% (SD 10·2), fractional flow reserve of 0·69 (0·16), and instantaneous wave-free ratio of 0·76 (0·22). There was no significant difference in the primary endpoint of exercise time increment between groups (PCI minus placebo 16·6 s, 95% CI -8·9 to 42·0, p=0·200). There were no deaths. Serious adverse events included four pressure-wire related complications in the placebo group, which required PCI, and five major bleeding events, including two in the PCI group and three in the placebo group. INTERPRETATION In patients with medically treated angina and severe coronary stenosis, PCI did not increase exercise time by more than the effect of a placebo procedure. The efficacy of invasive procedures can be assessed with a placebo control, as is standard for pharmacotherapy. FUNDING NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre, Foundation for Circulatory Health, Imperial College Healthcare Charity, Philips Volcano, NIHR Barts Biomedical Research Centre.


JAMA Cardiology | 2017

Diagnostic Accuracy of Computed Tomography–Derived Fractional Flow Reserve: A Systematic Review

Christopher Cook; Ricardo Petraco; Matthew Shun-Shin; Yousif Ahmad; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Rasha Al-Lamee; Yuetsu Kikuta; Yasutsugu Shiono; Jamil Mayet; Darrel P. Francis; Sayan Sen; Justin E. Davies

Importance Computed tomography–derived fractional flow reserve (FFR-CT) is a novel, noninvasive test for myocardial ischemia. Clinicians using FFR-CT must be able to interpret individual FFR-CT results to determine subsequent patient care. Objective To provide clinicians a means of interpreting individual FFR-CT results with respect to the range of invasive FFRs that this interpretation might likely represent. Evidence Review We performed a systematic review in accordance with guidelines from the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses. A systematic search of MEDLINE (January 1, 2011, to 2016, week 2) and EMBASE (January 1, 2011, to 2016, week 2) was performed for studies assessing the diagnostic accuracy of FFR-CT. Title words used were computed tomography or computed tomographic and fractional flow reserve or FFR. Results were limited to publications in peer-reviewed journals. Duplicate studies and abstracts from scientific meetings were removed. All of the retrieved studies, including references, were reviewed. Findings There were 908 vessels from 536 patients in 5 studies included in the analysis. A total of 365 (68.1%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 63.2 (9.5) years. The overall per-vessel diagnostic accuracy of FFR-CT was 81.9% (95% CI, 79.4%-84.4%). For vessels with FFR-CT values below 0.60, 0.60 to 0.70, 0.70 to 0.80, 0.80 to 0.90, and above 0.90, diagnostic accuracy of FFR-CT was 86.4% (95% CI, 78.0%-94.0%), 74.7% (95% CI, 71.9%-77.5%), 46.1% (95% CI, 42.9%-49.3%), 87.3% (95% CI, 85.1%-89.5%), and 97.9% (95% CI, 97.9%-98.8%), respectively. The 82% (overall) diagnostic accuracy threshold was met for FFR-CT values lower than 0.63 or above 0.83. More stringent 95% and 98% diagnostic accuracy thresholds were met for FFR-CT values lower than 0.53 or above 0.93 and lower than 0.47 or above 0.99, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance The diagnostic accuracy of FFR-CT varies markedly across the spectrum of disease. This analysis allows clinicians to interpret the diagnostic accuracy of individual FFR-CT results. In combination with patient-specific factors, clinicians can use FFR-CT to judge when the cost and risk of an invasive angiogram may safely be avoided.


European Heart Journal | 2018

Patent foramen ovale closure vs. medical therapy for cryptogenic stroke: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Yousif Ahmad; James Howard; Ahran Arnold; Matthew Shun Shin; Christopher Cook; Ricardo Petraco; Ozan Demir; Luke Williams; Juan F Iglesias; Nilesh Sutaria; Iqbal S. Malik; Justin E. Davies; Jamil Mayet; Darrel P. Francis; Sayan Sen

Abstract Aims The efficacy of patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure for cryptogenic stroke has been controversial. We undertook a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing device closure with medical therapy to prevent recurrent stroke for patients with PFO. Methods and results We systematically identified all RCTs comparing device closure to medical therapy for cryptogenic stroke in patients with PFO. The primary efficacy endpoint was recurrent stroke, analysed on an intention-to-treat basis. The primary safety endpoint was new onset atrial fibrillation (AF). Five studies (3440 patients) were included. In all, 1829 patients were randomized to device closure and 1611 to medical therapy. Across all patients, PFO closure was superior to medical therapy for prevention of stroke [hazard ratio (HR) 0.32, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.13–0.82; P = 0.018, I2 = 73.4%]. The risk of AF was significantly increased with device closure [risk ratio (RR) 4.68, 95% CI 2.19–10.00, P<0.001, heterogeneity I2 = 27.5%)]. In patients with large shunts, PFO closure was associated with a significant reduction in stroke (HR 0.33, 95% CI 0.16–0.72; P = 0.005), whilst there was no significant reduction in stroke in patients with a small shunt (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.50–1.60; P = 0.712). There was no effect from the presence or absence of an atrial septal aneurysm on outcomes (P = 0.994). Conclusion In selected patients with cryptogenic stroke, PFO closure is superior to medical therapy for the prevention of further stroke: this is particularly true for patients with moderate-to-large shunts. Guidelines should be updated to reflect this.


Circulation-cardiovascular Interventions | 2016

Quantification of the Effect of Pressure Wire Drift on the Diagnostic Performance of Fractional Flow Reserve, Instantaneous Wave-Free Ratio, and Whole-Cycle Pd/Pa

Christopher Cook; Yousif Ahmad; Matthew Shun-Shin; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Ricardo Petraco; Rasha Al-Lamee; Jamil Mayet; Darrel P. Francis; Sayan Sen; Justin E. Davies

Background—Small drifts in intracoronary pressure measurements (±2 mm Hg) can affect stenosis categorization using pressure indices. This has not previously been assessed for fractional flow reserve (FFR), instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR), and whole-cycle distal pressure/proximal pressure (Pd/Pa) indices. Methods and Results—Four hundred forty-sevenstenoses were assessed with FFR, iFR, and whole-cycle Pd/Pa. Cut point values for significance were predefined as ⩽0.8, <0.90, and <0.93, respectively. Pressure wire drift was simulated by offsetting the distal coronary pressure trace by ±2 mm Hg. FFR, iFR, and whole-cycle Pd/Pa indices were recalculated and stenosis misclassification quantified. Median (±median absolute deviation) values for FFR, iFR, and whole-cycle Pd/Pa were 0.81 (±0.11), 0.90 (±0.07), and 0.93 (±0.06), respectively. For the cut point of FFR, iFR, and whole-cycle Pd/Pa, 34.6% (155), 50.1% (224), and 62.2% (278) of values, respectively, lay within ±0.05 U. With ±2 mm Hg pressure wire drift, 21% (94), 25% (110), and 33% (148) of the study population were misclassified with FFR, iFR, and whole-cycle Pd/Pa, respectively. Both FFR and iFR had significantly lower misclassification than whole-cycle Pd/Pa (P<0.001). There was no statistically significant difference between the diagnostic performance of FFR and iFR (P=0.125). Conclusions—In a substantial proportion of cases, small amounts of pressure wire drift are enough to cause stenoses to change classification. Whole-cycle Pd/Pa is more vulnerable to such reclassification than FFR and iFR.


Jacc-cardiovascular Interventions | 2017

Fractional Flow Reserve/Instantaneous Wave-Free Ratio Discordance in Angiographically Intermediate Coronary Stenoses: An Analysis Using Doppler-Derived Coronary Flow Measurements

Christopher Cook; Allen Jeremias; Ricardo Petraco; Sayan Sen; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Matthew Shun-Shin; Yousif Ahmad; Guus de Waard; Tim P. van de Hoef; Mauro Echavarria-Pinto; Rasha Al Lamee; Yuetsu Kikuta; Yasutsugu Shiono; Ashesh N. Buch; Martijn Meuwissen; Ibrahim Danad; Paul Knaapen; Akiko Maehara; Bon-Kwon Koo; Gary S. Mintz; Javier Escaned; Gregg W. Stone; Darrel P. Francis; Jamil Mayet; Jan J. Piek; Niels van Royen; Justin E. Davies

Objectives The study sought to determine the coronary flow characteristics of angiographically intermediate stenoses classified as discordant by fractional flow reserve (FFR) and instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR). Background Discordance between FFR and iFR occurs in up to 20% of cases. No comparisons have been reported between the coronary flow characteristics of FFR/iFR discordant and angiographically unobstructed vessels. Methods Baseline and hyperemic coronary flow velocity and coronary flow reserve (CFR) were compared across 5 vessel groups: FFR+/iFR+ (108 vessels, n = 91), FFR–/iFR+ (28 vessels, n = 24), FFR+/iFR– (22 vessels, n = 22), FFR–/iFR– (208 vessels, n = 154), and an unobstructed vessel group (201 vessels, n = 153), in a post hoc analysis of the largest combined pressure and Doppler flow velocity registry (IDEAL [Iberian-Dutch-English] collaborators study). Results FFR disagreed with iFR in 14% (50 of 366). Baseline flow velocity was similar across all 5 vessel groups, including the unobstructed vessel group (p = 0.34 for variance). In FFR+/iFR– discordants, hyperemic flow velocity and CFR were similar to both FFR–/iFR– and unobstructed groups; 37.6 (interquartile range [IQR]: 26.1 to 50.4) cm/s vs. 40.0 [IQR: 29.7 to 52.3] cm/s and 42.2 [IQR: 33.8 to 53.2] cm/s and CFR 2.36 [IQR: 1.93 to 2.81] vs. 2.41 [IQR: 1.84 to 2.94] and 2.50 [IQR: 2.11 to 3.17], respectively (p > 0.05 for all). In FFR–/iFR+ discordants, hyperemic flow velocity, and CFR were similar to the FFR+/iFR+ group; 28.2 (IQR: 20.5 to 39.7) cm/s versus 23.5 (IQR: 16.4 to 34.9) cm/s and CFR 1.44 (IQR: 1.29 to 1.85) versus 1.39 (IQR: 1.06 to 1.88), respectively (p > 0.05 for all). Conclusions FFR/iFR disagreement was explained by differences in hyperemic coronary flow velocity. Furthermore, coronary stenoses classified as FFR+/iFR– demonstrated similar coronary flow characteristics to angiographically unobstructed vessels.


Circulation | 2013

Gone Fishing (for Silent Atrial Fibrillation)

Yousif Ahmad; Paulus Kirchhof

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a stubbornly elevated mortality (3.5% –4% per year in trials),1–4 at odds with the decline in mortality after a first myocardial infarction.5 Furthermore, the prevalence and incidence of AF are increasing as our societies get older,6 and treatment of other acute and chronic cardiac disorders that predispose to AF will further prolong the lives of patients at risk of AF. Hence, there is a need to improve outcomes in patients with AF.7 Article see p 930 AF can present in a variety of clinical scenarios. Some patients suffer so much that they seek specialist help to be relieved from the arrhythmia. Others present with diffuse symptoms, often including fatigue and shortness of breath, and are found to be in AF on clinical or ECG examination. In yet others, AF is an incidental finding when an irregular heartbeat is detected on physical examination and/or an ECG is recorded for other reasons, such as during preoperative assessment. In these patients, the diagnosis of AF is made in time to institute therapy, such as oral anticoagulation, rate control, rhythm control, and therapy of concomitant cardiovascular diseases.8 It is estimated that one third of patients with AF are asymptomatic. Paroxysmal AF, in particular, frequently occurs without patient awareness. Studies in which systematic ECG monitoring is used have suggested that 50% to 70% of AF episodes occur without patient symptoms.9 Some patients are particularly unfortunate, and the diagnosis of AF is made only after presentation with an AF-related complication. The most devastating complication of AF is an acute ischemic stroke. In others, paroxysmal, self-terminating AF may remain undiagnosed even after the …


Circulation | 2018

Fractional Flow Reserve and Instantaneous Wave-Free Ratio as Predictors of the Placebo-Controlled Response to Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Stable Single-Vessel Coronary Artery Disease: Physiology-Stratified Analysis of ORBITA

Rasha Al-Lamee; James Howard; Matthew Shun-Shin; David Thompson; Hakim-Moulay Dehbi; Sayan Sen; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Ricardo Petraco; John Davies; Thomas R. Keeble; Kare Tang; Iqbal S. Malik; Christopher Cook; Yousif Ahmad; Andrew Sharp; Robert Gerber; Christopher Baker; Raffi Kaprielian; Suneel Talwar; Ravi G. Assomull; Graham D. Cole; Niall G. Keenan; Gajen Kanaganayagam; Joban Sehmi; Roland Wensel; Frank E. Harrell; Jamil Mayet; Simon Thom; Justin E. Davies; Darrel P. Francis

Background: There are no data on how fractional flow reserve (FFR) and instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) are associated with the placebo-controlled efficacy of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in stable single-vessel coronary artery disease. Methods: We report the association between prerandomization invasive physiology within ORBITA (Objective Randomised Blinded Investigation With Optimal Medical Therapy of Angioplasty in Stable Angina), a placebo-controlled trial of patients who have stable angina with angiographically severe single-vessel coronary disease clinically eligible for PCI. Patients underwent prerandomization research FFR and iFR assessment. The operator was blinded to these values. Assessment of response variables, treadmill exercise time, stress echocardiography score, symptom frequency, and angina severity were performed at prerandomization and blinded follow-up. Effects were calculated by analysis of covariance. The ability of FFR and iFR to predict placebo-controlled changes in response variables was tested by using regression modeling. Results: Invasive physiology data were available in 196 patients (103 PCI and 93 placebo). At prerandomization, the majority had Canadian Cardiovascular Society class II or III symptoms (150/196, 76.5%). Mean FFR and iFR were 0.69±0.16 and 0.76±0.22, respectively; 97% had ≥1 positive ischemia tests. The estimated effect of PCI on between-arm prerandomization-adjusted total exercise time was 20.7 s (95% confidence interval [CI], –4.0 to 45.5; P=0.100) with no interaction of FFR (Pinteraction=0.318) or iFR (Pinteraction=0.523). PCI improved stress echocardiography score more than placebo (1.07 segment units; 95% CI, 0.70–1.44; P<0.00001). The placebo-controlled effect of PCI on stress echocardiography score increased progressively with decreasing FFR (Pinteraction<0.00001) and decreasing iFR (Pinteraction<0.00001). PCI did not improve angina frequency score significantly more than placebo (odds ratio, 1.64; 95% CI, 0.96–2.80; P=0.072) with no detectable evidence of interaction with FFR (Pinteraction=0.849) or iFR (Pinteraction=0.783). However, PCI resulted in more patient-reported freedom from angina than placebo (49.5% versus 31.5%; odds ratio, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.30–4.72; P=0.006) but neither FFR (Pinteraction=0.693) nor iFR (Pinteraction=0.761) modified this effect. Conclusions: In patients with stable angina and severe single-vessel disease, the blinded effect of PCI was more clearly seen by stress echocardiography score and freedom from angina than change in treadmill exercise time. Moreover, the lower the FFR or iFR, the greater the magnitude of stress echocardiographic improvement caused by PCI. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02062593.


International Journal of Cardiology | 2015

A new method of applying randomised control study data to the individual patient: A novel quantitative patient-centred approach to interpreting composite end points.

Yousif Ahmad; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Christopher Cook; Majd El-Harasis; John Graby; Ricardo Petraco; Tushar Kotecha; Christopher Baker; Iqbal S. Malik; Michael Bellamy; Amarjit Sethi; Ghada Mikhail; Mahmud Al-Bustami; Masood Khan; Raffi Kaprielian; Rodney A. Foale; Jamil Mayet; Justin E. Davies; Darrel P. Francis; Sayan Sen

BACKGROUND Modern randomised controlled trials typically use composite endpoints. This is only valid if each endpoint is equally important to patients but few trials document patient preference and seek the relative importance of components of combined endpoints. If patients weigh endpoints differentially, our interpretation of trial data needs to be refined. METHODS AND RESULTS We derive a quantitative, structured tool to determine the relative importance of each endpoint to patients. We then apply this tool to data comparing angioplasty with drug-eluting stents to bypass surgery. The survey was administered to patients undergoing cardiac catheterisation. A meta-analysis comparing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) to percutaneous coronary interventuin (PCI) was then performed using (a) standard MACE and (b) patient-centred MACE. Patients considered stroke worse than death (stroke 102.3 ± 19.6%, p < 0.01), and MI and repeat revascularisation less severe than death (61.9 ± 26.8% and 41.9 ± 25.4% respectively p < 0.01 for both). 7 RCTs (5251 patients) were eligible. Meta-analysis demonstrated that standard MACE occurs more frequently with PCI than surgery (OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.87; p = 0.007). Re-analysis using patient-centred MACE found no significant difference between PCI and CABG (OR 1.22, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.53; p = 0.10). CONCLUSIONS Patients do not consider the constituent endpoints of MACE equal. We derive a novel patient-centred metric that recognises and quantifies the differences attributed to each endpoint. When patient preference data are applied to contemporary trial results, there is no significant difference between PCI and CABG. Responses from individual patients in clinic could be used to give individual patients a recommendation that is truly personalised.


Journal of the American College of Cardiology | 2018

Impact of Percutaneous Revascularization on Exercise Hemodynamics in Patients With Stable Coronary Disease

Christopher Cook; Yousif Ahmad; James Howard; Matthew Shun-Shin; Amarjit Sethi; Gerald J. Clesham; Kare H. Tang; Sukhjinder Nijjer; Paul A. Kelly; John Davies; Iqbal S. Malik; Raffi Kaprielian; Ghada Mikhail; Ricardo Petraco; Firas Al-Janabi; Grigoris V. Karamasis; Shah Mohdnazri; Reto Gamma; Rasha Al-Lamee; Thomas Keeble; Jamil Mayet; Sayan Sen; Darrel P. Francis; Justin E. Davies

Background Recently, the therapeutic benefits of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have been challenged in patients with stable coronary artery disease (SCD). Objectives The authors examined the impact of PCI on exercise responses in the coronary circulation, the microcirculation, and systemic hemodynamics in patients with SCD. Methods A total of 21 patients (mean age 60.3 ± 8.4 years) with SCD and single-vessel coronary stenosis underwent cardiac catheterization. Pre-PCI, patients exercised on a supine ergometer until rate-limiting angina or exhaustion. Simultaneous trans-stenotic coronary pressure-flow measurements were made throughout exercise. Post-PCI, this process was repeated. Physiological parameters, rate-limiting symptoms, and exercise performance were compared between pre-PCI and post-PCI exercise cycles. Results PCI reduced ischemia as documented by fractional flow reserve value (pre-PCI 0.59 ± 0.18 to post-PCI 0.91 ± 0.07), instantaneous wave-free ratio value (pre-PCI 0.61 ± 0.27 to post-PCI 0.96 ± 0.05) and coronary flow reserve value (pre-PCI 1.7 ± 0.7 to post-PCI 3.1 ± 1.0; p < 0.001 for all). PCI increased peak-exercise average peak coronary flow velocity (p < 0.0001), coronary perfusion pressure (distal coronary pressure; p < 0.0001), systolic blood pressure (p = 0.01), accelerating wave energy (p < 0.001), and myocardial workload (rate-pressure product; p < 0.01). These changes observed immediately following PCI resulted from the abolition of stenosis resistance (p < 0.0001). PCI was also associated with an immediate improvement in exercise time (+67 s; 95% confidence interval: 31 to 102 s; p < 0.0001) and a reduction in rate-limiting angina symptoms (81% reduction in rate-limiting angina symptoms post-PCI; p < 0.001). Conclusions In patients with SCD and severe single-vessel stenosis, objective physiological responses to exercise immediately normalize following PCI. This is seen in the coronary circulation, the microcirculation, and systemic hemodynamics.


Seminars in Dialysis | 2017

Aortic Stenosis in Dialysis Patients

Yousif Ahmad; Michael Bellamy; Christopher Baker

Aortic valve stenosis occurs 10–20 years earlier in patients on dialysis compared with the general population. This is likely related to the exposure of the valve to a milieu that predisposes to calcification as well as increased shear stress across the valve. Objective assessment of stenosis severity is largely made using echocardiography though accurate interpretation requires an understanding of the potential pitfalls of the technique and the influence of cardiac output upon the gradient measured across the valve. Timing of valve replacement in severe aortic stenosis is predominantly guided by exercise‐induced symptoms (breathlessness, chest pain and [pre] syncope), which are often difficult to assess in the dialysis population who may have limited exercise capacity and symptoms due to renal failure and other comorbidities. Finally, treatment of aortic stenosis remains a constantly evolving area with advances in both conventional surgery and percutaneous techniques.

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Sayan Sen

Imperial College London

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Jamil Mayet

Imperial College London

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Iqbal S. Malik

Imperial College Healthcare

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