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Featured researches published by Zachary J. Ward.


Health Affairs | 2015

Three Interventions That Reduce Childhood Obesity Are Projected To Save More Than They Cost To Implement

Steven L. Gortmaker; Y. Claire Wang; Michael W. Long; Catherine M. Giles; Zachary J. Ward; Jessica L. Barrett; Erica L. Kenney; Kendrin R. Sonneville; Amna Sadaf Afzal; Stephen Resch; Angie L. Cradock

Policy makers seeking to reduce childhood obesity must prioritize investment in treatment and primary prevention. We estimated the cost-effectiveness of seven interventions high on the obesity policy agenda: a sugar-sweetened beverage excise tax; elimination of the tax subsidy for advertising unhealthy food to children; restaurant menu calorie labeling; nutrition standards for school meals; nutrition standards for all other food and beverages sold in schools; improved early care and education; and increased access to adolescent bariatric surgery. We used systematic reviews and a microsimulation model of national implementation of the interventions over the period 2015-25 to estimate their impact on obesity prevalence and their cost-effectiveness for reducing the body mass index of individuals. In our model, three of the seven interventions--excise tax, elimination of the tax deduction, and nutrition standards for food and beverages sold in schools outside of meals--saved more in health care costs than they cost to implement. Each of the three interventions prevented 129,000-576,000 cases of childhood obesity in 2025. Adolescent bariatric surgery had a negligible impact on obesity prevalence. Our results highlight the importance of primary prevention for policy makers aiming to reduce childhood obesity.


American Journal of Preventive Medicine | 2015

Cost Effectiveness of a Sugar-Sweetened Beverage Excise Tax in the U.S.

Michael W. Long; Steven L. Gortmaker; Zachary J. Ward; Stephen Resch; Marj Moodie; Gary Sacks; Boyd Swinburn; Rob Carter; Y. Claire Wang

INTRODUCTION Reducing sugar-sweetened beverage consumption through taxation is a promising public health response to the obesity epidemic in the U.S. This study quantifies the expected health and economic benefits of a national sugar-sweetened beverage excise tax of


American Journal of Preventive Medicine | 2015

Cost Effectiveness of Childhood Obesity Interventions Evidence and Methods for CHOICES

Steven L. Gortmaker; Michael W. Long; Stephen Resch; Zachary J. Ward; Angie L. Cradock; Jessica L. Barrett; Davene R. Wright; Kendrin R. Sonneville; Catherine M. Giles; Rob Carter; Marj Moodie; Gary Sacks; Boyd Swinburn; Amber Hsiao; Seanna Vine; Jan J. Barendregt; Theo Vos; Y. Claire Wang

0.01/ounce over 10 years. METHODS A cohort model was used to simulate the impact of the tax on BMI. Assuming ongoing implementation and effect maintenance, quality-adjusted life-years gained and disability-adjusted life-years and healthcare costs averted were estimated over the 2015-2025 period for the 2015 U.S. POPULATION Costs and health gains were discounted at 3% annually. Data were analyzed in 2014. RESULTS Implementing the tax nationally would cost


The New England Journal of Medicine | 2017

Simulation of Growth Trajectories of Childhood Obesity into Adulthood

Zachary J. Ward; Michael W. Long; Stephen Resch; Catherine M. Giles; Angie L. Cradock; Steven L. Gortmaker

51 million in the first year. The tax would reduce sugar-sweetened beverage consumption by 20% and mean BMI by 0.16 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]=0.06, 0.37) units among youth and 0.08 (95% UI=0.03, 0.20) units among adults in the second year for a cost of


Gut | 2016

Gastric adenocarcinoma screening and prevention in the era of new biomarker and endoscopic technologies: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Jennifer M. Yeh; Chin Hur; Zachary J. Ward; Deborah Schrag; Sue J. Goldie

3.16 (95% UI=


PLOS ONE | 2016

Redrawing the US Obesity Landscape: Bias- Corrected Estimates of State-Specific Adult Obesity Prevalence

Zachary J. Ward; Michael W. Long; Stephen Resch; Steven L. Gortmaker; Angie L. Cradock; Catherine M. Giles; Amber Hsiao; Y. Claire Wang

1.24,


Journal of the National Cancer Institute | 2016

Chronic Conditions and Utility-Based Health-Related Quality of Life in Adult Childhood Cancer Survivors

Jennifer M. Yeh; Janel Hanmer; Zachary J. Ward; Wendy Leisenring; Gregory T. Armstrong; Melissa M. Hudson; Marilyn Stovall; Leslie L. Robison; Kevin C. Oeffinger; Lisa Diller

8.14) per BMI unit reduced. From 2015 to 2025, the policy would avert 101,000 disability-adjusted life-years (95% UI=34,800, 249,000); gain 871,000 quality-adjusted life-years (95% UI=342,000, 2,030,000); and result in


American Journal of Preventive Medicine | 2015

BMI and Healthcare Cost Impact of Eliminating Tax Subsidy for Advertising Unhealthy Food to Youth.

Kendrin R. Sonneville; Michael W. Long; Zachary J. Ward; Stephen Resch; Y. Claire Wang; Jennifer L. Pomeranz; Marj Moodie; Rob Carter; Gary Sacks; Boyd Swinburn; Steven L. Gortmaker

23.6 billion (95% UI=


American Journal of Preventive Medicine | 2015

Modeling the Cost Effectiveness of Child Care Policy Changes in the U.S.

Davene R. Wright; Erica L. Kenney; Catherine M. Giles; Michael W. Long; Zachary J. Ward; Stephen Resch; Marj Moodie; Rob Carter; Y. Claire Wang; Gary Sacks; Boyd Swinburn; Steven L. Gortmaker; Angie L. Cradock

9.33 billion,


Preventive Medicine | 2017

Using cost-effectiveness analysis to prioritize policy and programmatic approaches to physical activity promotion and obesity prevention in childhood.

Angie L. Cradock; Jessica L. Barrett; Erica L. Kenney; Catherine M. Giles; Zachary J. Ward; Michael W. Long; Stephen Resch; Andrea A Pipito; Emily R Wei; Steven L. Gortmaker

54.9 billion) in healthcare cost savings. The tax would generate

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