Aat Barendregt

Ecological-economic analysis of wetlands; scientific integration for management and policy

Abstract Wetlands all over the world have been lost or are threatened in spite of various international agreements and national policies. This is caused by: (1) the public nature of many wetlands products and services; (2) user externalities imposed on other stakeholders; and (3) policy intervention failures that are due to a lack of consistency among government policies in different areas (economics, environment, nature protection, physical planning, etc.). All three causes are related to information failures which in turn can be linked to the complexity and ‘invisibility’ of spatial relationships among groundwater, surface water and wetland vegetation. Integrated wetland research combining social and natural sciences can help in part to solve the information failure to achieve the required consistency across various government policies. An integrated wetland research framework suggests that a combination of economic valuation, integrated modelling, stakeholder analysis, and multi-criteria evaluation can provide complementary insights into sustainable and welfare-optimising wetland management and policy. Subsequently, each of the various components of such integrated wetland research is reviewed and related to wetland management policy.

Determining alternative models for vegetation response analysis: a non-parametric approach

. Vegetation models based on multiple logistic regression are of growing interest in environmental studies and decision making. The relatively simple sigmoid Gaussian optimum curves are most common in current vegetation models, although several different other response shapes are known. However, improvements in the technical means for handling statistical data now facilitate fast and interactive calculation of alternative complex, more data-related, non-parametric models. The aim in this study was to determine whether, and if so how often, a complex response shape could be more adequate than a linear or quadratic one. Using the framework of Generalized Additive Models, both parametric (linear and quadratic) and non-parametric (smoothed) stepwise multiple logistic regression techniques were applied to a large data set on wetlands and water plants and to six environmental variables: pH, chloride, orthophosphate, inorganic nitrogen, thickness of the sapropelium layer and depth of the water-body. All models were tested for their goodness-of-fit and significance. Of all 156 generalized additive models calculated, 77 % were found to contain at least one smoothed predictor variable, i.e. an environmental variable with a response better fitted by a complex, non-parametric, than by a linear or quadratic parametric curve. Chloride was the variable with the highest incidence of smoothed responses (48 %). Generally, a smoothed curve was preferable in 23 % of all species-variable correlations calculated, compared to 25 % and 18 % for sigmoid and Gaussian shaped curves, respectively. Regression models of two plant species are presented in detail to illustrate the potential of smoothers to produce good fitting and biologically sound response models in comparison to linear and polynomial regression models. We found Generalized Additive Modelling a useful and practical technique for improving current regression-based vegetation models by allowing for alternative, complex response shapes.

The relationship between fen vegetation gradients, groundwater flow and flooding in an undrained valley mire at Biebrza, Poland.

(1) Relationships between vegetation composition and nutrient and major ion concentrations in groundwater and peat were examined in 58 stands of fen vegetation in the Biebrza mire, Poland. The 58 stands included rich fens with a large standing biomass, rich fens with lower standing biomass and poor fens. (2) The highly productive rich fen (i.e. rich fen with large standing biomass) receives moderately eutrophic river water. The rheophilous part of the mire that is not, or only occasionally flooded contains gradients from quite productive rich fens to less productive rich fens and poor fens. In this part of the gradient, occasional river flooding appeared to be an important source of K and was probably responsible for the presence of quite productive rich fen vegetation. (3) Upward seepage of calcium-rich and phosphate-poor groundwater keeps phosphate concentration low in the superficial mire water and the peat from the lower productive rich fen. Phosphate concentration is higher in the mire water and the peat from the poor fen which is fed by downward-flowing rainwater. (4) Nitrogen concentration in mire water and peat is only poorly correlated with species composition and vegetation structure.

Groundwater chemistry and vegetation of gradients from rich fen to poor fen in the Naardermeer (the Netherlands)

In the eastern part of the Naardermeer peatlands (the Netherlands) a regional calcium-rich groundwater flow discharges (here often called the seepage area), whereas in the western part infiltration takes place. The ecological consequence of this hydrological pattern is reflected by the pattern in reedland communities. In the seepage area, which is characterized by Thelypteris-reedlands including many rare and endangered species (Caricion davallianae, Calthion palustris), there is a complex gradient of water types. The lime potential in the peat soil is clearly influenced by the hydrological gradient. In the ombrotrophic (poor fen) part of the gradient (containing species of Caricion curto-nigrae) the lime potentials are low and the groundwater contains low amounts of dissolved ions. The rare and endangered species (Caricion davallianae) are restricted to a small area with high lime potentials which is nourished by regional calcium-rich groundwater. High lime potentials were also measured in eutrophic reedlands influenced by brackish groundwater. Several species which generally occur in wet meadows even show a preference for this brackish environment. In a part of the seepage area succession from rich fen to poor fen and Alnus wood has taken place over a period of 40 years. This development has been caused by the diminishing amount of fresh seepage due to a lowering of the water levels in the surrounding area. The characteristics of poikilotrophic zones (contact zones between water flows) are discussed in relation to their significance for the preservation of endangered marsh species.

Relevant variables to predict macrophyte communities in running waters

Abstract In both predictive theoretical and empirical models for aquatic plant communities in running waters, the development and competition are many times explained in terms of nutrients. Minerals necessary for growth are generally not assumed to be limiting, although they influence the important pH-value. At the same time it is known that factors such as oxygen-concentration, solar energy, salinity, dimension of the system and soil characteristics (including river sediments) influence the development of the community, and should be considered in modelling. Effects of water quantity and water quality on macrophytes are reviewed. These conditions are caused by processes in the landscape, characterised by a set of nested variables which explain the distribution of macrophyte species and communities. Relevant variables are described and grouped on three scales: regional, local and site conditions. Case studies with direct and indirect gradient analysis are presented. Statistical tests (stepwise regression with forward selection) reveal that each species distribution is explained by a characteristic set of relevant variables, ranging from soil type and dimension of the system, to nutrient and salinity concentration.

Experimental evaluation of realized niche models for predicting responses of plant species to a change in environmental conditions

Abstract. We estimated, using logistic regression techniques, the realized niches of the four dominant species in an experimental marsh complex located in the Delta Marsh, Manitoba, Canada. These models were then used to predict the probability of occurrence of these species in selected elevation ranges when water levels were raised in 1985 either 0, 30 or 60 cm above the long-term normal water level. These realized-niche models were calculated using elevation and species data collected in 1980. After having been eliminated by two years of deep flooding, the emergent vegetation in this complex had been re-established during a drawdown beginning in either 1983 or 1984. Our hypothesis was that from 1985 to 1989 the frequencies of occurrence of species in selected elevation ranges would converge to their probabilities predicted from the 1980 logistic models. This was not borne out by our results. Actual frequencies and predicted probabilities of occurrence of a species were similar at best less than 40% and then mostly in the control (0 cm) treatment. The realized-niche models were not adequate to predict the distribution of emergents after an increase in water level in the short term because the emergent species did not migrate upslope. Emergent species in the medium and high treatments either (1) died out - Scolochloa festucacea and Scirpus lacustris - after 3 yr because they could not survive permanent flooding, (2) stayed where they were - Phragmites australis - because they were unable to move upslope through clonal growth, or (3) became more widespread - Typha glauca only because of the expansion of small local populations already established in 1985 in areas dominated formerly by other species.

Hydrological systems beyond a nature reserve, the major problem in wetland conservation of Naardermeer (The Netherlands)

Abstract Ecological relations within a wetland depend on it is hydrology, but this is determined largely by what happens outside the wetland area. These statements are illustrated with respect to the Naardermeer nature reserve in the Netherlands. Succession and eutrophication have led to a reduction in the variety of vegetation types in the area. Eutrophication has been caused by a lowering of the water levels, deposition of guano in bird colonies, pollution of surface water and groundwater, and atmospheric deposition. The fact that most restoration activities have to be executed outside the wetland demonstrates that the management of the conservation of wetland ecosystems needs to operate on a regional scale. The conservation of a wetland depends on water levels. However, the qualitative aspects of hydrology are also important. Since landscape ecological relations with the surrounding area provide for transport of nutrients, a wetland is not isolated. Changes in hydrology have an impact on processes that affect the ecosystems in different ways. These relations are illustrated from a reserve in the centre of the Netherlands.

Hydro-ecological analysis of the Biebrza mire (Poland)

Vegetation composition and structure of 58 sites along gradients in the valley mire of Biebrza, Poland, are related to physical and chemical variables of groundwater and peat. The three most prominent hydrochemical processes in the valley are (a) dissolution of calcite; (b) dissolution of iron, manganese and aluminium; and (c) enrichment with nitrogen and potassium. Major factors determining these processes are vertical flow of the groundwater and river flooding.Within the rheophilous zone of the mire, calcium-richness of the shallow groundwater and base-saturation of the peat are caused by upward seepage of groundwater originating from adjacent higher grounds. This groundwater movement keeps the larger part of the mire saturated with calcium.Good correlations exist between hydrochemistry and vegetation patterns. Groundwater-fed sites support a characteristic rich fen vegetation (Caricetum limoso-diandrae) with a low biomass production. The flood-plain vegetation consists of highly-productive communities of Glycerietum maximae and Caricetum elatae. In a belt in the Upper Basin where neither flooding nor upward seepage occurs, succession, probably caused by intensified drainage, leads to a dwarf-shrub vegetation (Betuletum humilis; poor fen).

Topographic position and water chemistry of fens in a Dutch river plain

. On the Vecht river plain (western Netherlands), small fens, remnants of a large mesotrophic wetland bordering a moraine, of 1 to 5 ha are found in a man-made matrix of lakes and pastures. The regional position of the fens, local position of sampling sites, composition of the vegetation and local hydrological variables were measured. Polders in the river plain produce a complex hydrology obscuring the regional zonation between moraine and river. Water supply and species composition are determined more by a sites regional than local position. High-productivity reedlands are abundant close to the river. Carex paniculata reedlands receive large amounts of river water, which gives their fen water a high K+ concentration. Low-productivity C. diandra fens and litter fens have their optimum closer to the moraine. C. diandra fens are fed mainly by inflowing nutrient-poor ground- or surface water; litter fens receive primarily rainwater. Nutrients in fen water and in peat are lowest in C. diandra and C. lasiocarpa fens, but do not differ significantly between the communities. In both, iron seems to be more important than calcium in reducing phosphate solubility. Iron richness in the C. diandra fens is caused by present inflows of ground- or surface water, while in C. lasiocarpa fens, which succeed the former, iron richness is the result of historical inflows.

Dependency of local mesotrophic fens on a regional groundwater flow system in a poldered river plain in the Netherlands

The effect of regional, subregional and local groundwater flow systems on mesotrophic fen ecosystems was studied in the polders of the Vecht River plain that borders the Pleistocene ice-pushed moraine of Het Gooi. Variation in the vegetation and in the habitat factors (groundwater and peat soil) of fens depends whether or not the fens are connected to the outflow of the regional groundwater system.Changes in the regional groundwater flow system, caused by changes in the water management of the polders, are probably responsible for the deterioration of mesotrophic fens. Drastic measures will have to be taken to restore the hydrology on a regional scale if the mesotrophic fens are to be saved from extinction.Hydrological research that integrates the results of regional and local studies is essential if the ecology of fen ecosystems is to be understood.