Alison M. MacLeod

Incidence and Outcomes in Acute Kidney Injury: A Comprehensive Population-Based Study

Epidemiological studies of acute kidney injury (AKI) and acute-on-chronic renal failure (ACRF) are surprisingly sparse and confounded by differences in definition. Reported incidences vary, with few studies being population-based. Given this and our aging population, the incidence of AKI may be much higher than currently thought. We tested the hypothesis that the incidence is higher by including all patients with AKI (in a geographical population base of 523,390) regardless of whether they required renal replacement therapy irrespective of the hospital setting in which they were treated. We also tested the hypothesis that the Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss, and End-Stage Kidney (RIFLE) classification predicts outcomes. We identified all patients with serum creatinine concentrations > or =150 micromol/L (male) or > or =130 micromol/L (female) over a 6-mo period in 2003. Clinical outcomes were obtained from each patients case records. The incidences of AKI and ACRF were 1811 and 336 per million population, respectively. Median age was 76 yr for AKI and 80.5 yr for ACRF. Sepsis was a precipitating factor in 47% of patients. The RIFLE classification was useful for predicting full recovery of renal function (P < 0.001), renal replacement therapy requirement (P < 0.001), length of hospital stay [excluding those who died during admission (P < 0.001)], and in-hospital mortality (P = 0.035). RIFLE did not predict mortality at 90 d or 6 mo. Thus the incidence of AKI is much higher than previously thought, with implications for service planning and providing information to colleagues about methods to prevent deterioration of renal function. The RIFLE classification is useful for identifying patients at greatest risk of adverse short-term outcomes.

Lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and higher albuminuria are associated with mortality and end-stage renal disease. A collaborative meta-analysis of kidney disease population cohorts

We studied here the independent associations of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria with mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We performed a collaborative meta-analysis of 13 studies totaling 21,688 patients selected for CKD of diverse etiology. After adjustment for potential confounders and albuminuria, we found that a 15 ml/min per 1.73 m² lower eGFR below a threshold of 45 ml/min per 1.73 m² was significantly associated with mortality and ESRD (pooled hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.47 and 6.24, respectively). There was significant heterogeneity between studies for both HR estimates. After adjustment for risk factors and eGFR, an eightfold higher albumin- or protein-to-creatinine ratio was significantly associated with mortality (pooled HR 1.40) without evidence of significant heterogeneity and with ESRD (pooled HR 3.04), with significant heterogeneity between HR estimates. Lower eGFR and more severe albuminuria independently predict mortality and ESRD among individuals selected for CKD, with the associations stronger for ESRD than for mortality. Thus, these relationships are consistent with CKD stage classifications based on eGFR and suggest that albuminuria provides additional prognostic information among individuals with CKD.

Influence of coexisting disease on survival on renal-replacement therapy

Survival of patients on renal-replacement therapy (RRT) is no longer improving. Increasingly, such patients are older and have co-morbid conditions affecting organs other than the kidney. In a retrospective study, we calculated actuarial survival of 375 patients starting RRT during a 6 1/2 year period at renal units in Aberdeen and Dundee, UK, after stratification of patients into three risk groups (low, medium, and high) based predominantly on co-morbidity and to a lesser extent on age. 2-year survival differed significantly between low, medium, and high risk groups both before (86%, 60%, and 35%, respectively; p < 0.002 for all comparisons) and after (90%, 70%, 46%; p < 0.004 for all comparisons) excluding early deaths (within 90 days of starting RRT). Overall survival was 61% in Aberdeen and 68% in Dundee (p = 0.04), but 73% and 74%, respectively, when deaths in the first 90 days were excluded (p = 0.73). We conclude that RRT is a highly successful treatment (86% 2-year survival) for patients aged under 70 with no co-morbid conditions (low-risk group); that coexisting non-renal disease has an important influence on survival of patients on RRT; and that risk stratification and analysis of data including and excluding early deaths should allow more valid comparison of data from different centres.

Death during the first 90 days of dialysis: A case control study☆

Comparison of survival data among centers may be used to assess performance, but may be influenced by the number of patients who die during the first 90 days of renal replacement therapy (RRT). Data published by registries in Europe do not detail these deaths, and US data generally exclude them from analysis for financial reasons. To study factors influencing such deaths we compared 42 patients who died within 90 days of first commencing RRT in one Scottish renal unit (group A) between 1971 and 1992 with 42 age- and sex-matched controls who started RRT over the same period and survived longer (group B). Patients who died within 90 days of RRT ranged in age from 25.3 to 83.7 years and had a mean age of 65.2 (SEM, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 61.9 to 68.4). The proportion of patients who died during the first 90 days of RRT increased from 2% of all patients treated before 1981 to 12% in subsequent years. Thirty-three patients in group A received emergency dialysis via temporary venous access compared with only nine in group B (P < 0.055). There were more patients in group A with a diagnosis of arteriosclerotic renal artery stenosis (14 v 1) and with a history of smoking (15 v 2) than in group B (P < 0.0005). Median renal or nonrenal follow-up before RRT was 1.1 month in group A and 10.6 months in group B (P < 0.0001). Fewer patients in group A had no coexisting disease (1 v 17; P < 0.0001).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

THE FETUS AS AN ALLOGRAFT: EVIDENCE FOR PROTECTIVE ANTIBODIES TO HLA-LINKED PATERNAL ANTIGENS

Non-cytotoxic antibodies to paternal B lymphocytes were detected in sera from 11 of 11 multiparous women and from 11 of 16 normal primigravidae during the first trimester of pregnancy. These antibodies were not, however, detected in sera from 9 of 10 women of comparable gestation at the time of spontaneous abortion. By means of a rosette inhibition assay, the difference in antibody activity between the primigravidae (mean 37.9 +/- 19%, median 36.5%) and the women subject to spontaneous abortion (mean 7.3 +/- 11.6%, median 0%) was statistically significant. This antibody activity was not directed to the known HLA specificities (HLA--A, B, C, or DR), but linkage to the HLA gene complex was suggested by family studies. These results provide evidence for an HLA-linked antigen system not defined by conventional tissue-typing techniques. Fetomaternal disparity at this antigenic site may be important for successful pregnancy.

Measuring the population burden of chronic kidney disease: a systematic literature review of the estimated prevalence of impaired kidney function

BACKGROUND Internationally, there have been substantial efforts to improve the early identification of chronic kidney disease (CKD), with a view to improving survival, reducing progression and minimizing cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. In 2002, a new and globally adopted definition of CKD was introduced. The burden of kidney function impairment in the population is unclear and widely ranging prevalence estimates have been reported. METHODS We conducted a systematic literature review, searching databases to June 2009. We included all adult population screening studies and studies based on laboratory or clinical datasets where the denominator was clear. Studies reporting prevalence estimates based on at least one eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m(2) or elevated creatinine above a stated threshold were included. Study design and quality were explored as potential factors leading to heterogeneity. RESULTS We identified 43 eligible studies (57 published reports) for inclusion. Substantial heterogeneity was observed with estimated prevalence (0.6-42.6%). The included studies demonstrated significant variation in methodology and quality that impacted on the comparability of their findings. From the higher quality studies, the six studies measuring impaired kidney function (iKF) using estimated glomerular filtration rate in community screening samples reported a prevalence ranging from 1.7% in a Chinese study to 8.1% in a US study, with four reporting an estimated prevalence of 3.2-5.6%. Heterogeneity was driven by the measure used, study design and study population. CONCLUSION In the general population, estimated iKF, particularly eGFR 30-59 mL/min/1.73m(2) was common with prevalence similar to diabetes mellitus. Appropriate care of patients poses a substantial global health care challenge.

Global variation in renal replacement therapy for end-stage renal disease

BACKGROUND Incidence rates of renal replacement therapy (RRT) for end-stage renal disease vary considerably worldwide. This study examines the independent association between the general population, health care system and renal service characteristics and RRT incidence rates. METHODS RRT incidence data (2003-2005) were obtained from renal registries; general population age and health and macroeconomic indices were collected from secondary sources. Renal service organization and resource data were obtained through interviews and questionnaires. Linear regression models were built to establish the factors independently associated with RRT incidence, stratified by the Human Development Index where required. False discovery rate (FDR) correction was adjusted for multiple testing. RESULTS Across the 46 countries (population 1.25 billion), RRT incidence rates ranged from 12 to 455 (median 130) per million population. Gross domestic product (GDP) per capita [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.02 per

Collecting unit cost data in multicentre studies

1000 increase, P(FDR) = 0.047], percentage of GDP spent on health care (IRR: 1.11 per % increase, P(FDR) = 0.006) and dialysis facility reimbursement rate relative to GDP (IRR: 0.76 per GDP per capita-sized increase in reimbursement rate, P(FDR) = 0.007) were independently associated with RRT incidence. In more developed countries, the private for-profit share of haemodialysis facilities was also associated with higher incidence (IRR: 1.009 per % increase, P(FDR) = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS Macroeconomic and renal service factors are more often associated with RRT incidence rates than measured demographic or general population health status factors.

FK 506: an immunosuppressant for the 1990s?

International comparisons of health care systems and services have created increased interest in the comparability of cost results. This study compared top-down and bottom-up approaches to collecting unit cost data across centres in the context of examining the cost-effectiveness of dialysis therapy across Europe. The study tested whether health care technologies in different countries can be costed using consistent and transparent methods to increase the comparability of results. There was more agreement across the approaches for peritoneal dialysis than for than haemodialysis, with differences, respectively of €91–1,687 vs. 333–7,314 per patient per year. Haemodialysis results showed greatest differences where dialysis units were integrated as part of larger hospitals. Deciding which approach to adopt depends largely on the technology. However, bottom-up costing should be considered for technologies with a large component of staff input or overheads, significant sharing of staff or facilities between technologies or patient groups and health care costing systems which do not routinely allocate costs to the intervention level. In these circumstances this costing approach could increase consistency and transparency and hence comparability of cost results.

The Expression of Connexin 43 in Human Kidney and Cultured Renal Cells

The novel macrolide immunosuppressant FK 506 is a powerful and selective anti-T-cell agent which has a similar mode of action to that of cyclosporin. Clinical studies of FK 506 in liver allograft recipients indicate a lower risk/benefit ratio than with cyclosporin, and wider evaluation of FK 506 in transplant recipients is now under way in multicentre, prospective, controlled trials in both Europe and North America.