Andrey V. Pnyushkov

Warming of the Intermediate Atlantic Water of the Arctic Ocean in the 2000s

AbstractThis analysis evaluates the thermal state of the intermediate (depth range of 150–900 m) Atlantic Water (AW) of the Arctic Ocean, beginning in the 1950s and with particular focus on the transition from the 1990s to the 2000s and on changes during the 2000s. Using an extensive array of observations, the authors document AW warming trends across various time scales and demonstrate that the 2000s were exceptionally warm, with no analogy since the 1950s or probably in the history of instrumental observations in the Arctic Ocean. Warming in the recent decade was dominated by a warm AW pulse in addition to the underlying trend. Since 1997, the Canadian Basin experienced a faster warming rate compared with the Eurasian Basin. The relative role of the AW warmth in setting the net energy flux and mass balance of the Arctic sea ice is still under debate. Additional carefully orchestrated field experiments are required in order to address this question of ongoing Arctic climate change.

Mooring-Based Observations of Double-Diffusive Staircases over the Laptev Sea Slope*

AbstractA yearlong time series from mooring-based high-resolution profiles of water temperature and salinity from the Laptev Sea slope (2003–04; 2686-m depth; 78°26′N, 125°37′E) shows six remarkably persistent staircase layers in the depth range of ~140–350 m encompassing the upper Atlantic Water (AW) and lower halocline. Despite frequent displacement of isopycnal surfaces by internal waves and eddies and two strong AW warming pulses that passed through the mooring location in February and late August 2004, the layers preserved their properties. Using laboratory-derived flux laws for diffusive convection, the authors estimate the time-averaged diapycnal heat fluxes across the four shallower layers overlying the AW core to be ~8 W m−2. Temporal variability of these fluxes is strong, with standard deviations of ~3–7 W m−2. These fluxes provide a means for effective transfer of AW heat upward over more than a 100-m depth range toward the upper halocline. These findings suggest that double diffusion is an imp...

Greater role for Atlantic inflows on sea-ice loss in the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean

Losing its character The eastern Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean is on the far side of the North Pole from the Atlantic, but it is becoming more like its larger neighbor as the climate warms. Polyakov et al. show that this region is also evolving toward a state of weakened stratification with increased vertical mixing, release of oceanic heat, and less sea ice. These changes could have considerable impacts on other geophysical and biogeochemical aspects of the Arctic Ocean system and presage a fundamentally new Arctic climate state. Science, this issue p. 285 The eastern Arctic Ocean is becoming more like the Atlantic as climate changes. Arctic sea-ice loss is a leading indicator of climate change and can be attributed, in large part, to atmospheric forcing. Here, we show that recent ice reductions, weakening of the halocline, and shoaling of the intermediate-depth Atlantic Water layer in the eastern Eurasian Basin have increased winter ventilation in the ocean interior, making this region structurally similar to that of the western Eurasian Basin. The associated enhanced release of oceanic heat has reduced winter sea-ice formation at a rate now comparable to losses from atmospheric thermodynamic forcing, thus explaining the recent reduction in sea-ice cover in the eastern Eurasian Basin. This encroaching “atlantification” of the Eurasian Basin represents an essential step toward a new Arctic climate state, with a substantially greater role for Atlantic inflows.

Winter Convection Transports Atlantic Water Heat to the Surface Layer in the Eastern Arctic Ocean

A 1-yr (2009/10) record of temperature and salinity profiles from Ice-Tethered Profiler (ITP) buoys in the Eurasian Basin (EB) of the Arctic Ocean is used to quantify the flux of heat from the upper pycnocline to the surface mixed layer. The upper pycnocline in the central EB is fed by the upward flux of heat from the intermediate-depth(;150‐900m)AtlanticWater(AW)layer;thisfluxisestimatedtobe;1Wm 22 averaged over one year. Release of heat from the upper pycnocline, through the cold halocline layer to the surface mixed layer is, however, seasonally intensified, occurring more strongly in winter. This seasonal heat loss averages ;3‐4Wm 22 between January and April, reducing the rate of winter sea ice formation. This study hypothesizes that the winter heat loss is driven by mixing caused by a combination of brine-driven convection associated with sea ice formation and larger vertical velocity shear below the base of the surface mixed layer (SML), enhanced by atmospheric storms and the seasonal reduction in density difference between the SML and underlying pycnocline.

Recent oceanic changes in the Arctic in the context of long‐term observations

This synthesis study assesses recent changes of Arctic Ocean physical parameters using a unique collection of observations from the 2000s and places them in the context of long-term climate trends and variability. Our analysis demonstrates that the 2000s were an exceptional decade with extraordinary upper Arctic Ocean freshening and intermediate Atlantic water warming. We note that the Arctic Ocean is characterized by large amplitude multi-decadal variability in addition to a long-term trend, making the link of observed changes to climate drivers problematic. However, the exceptional magnitude of recent high-latitude changes (not only oceanic, but also ice and atmospheric) strongly suggests that these recent changes signify a potentially irreversible shift of the Arctic Ocean to a new climate state. These changes have important implications for the Arctic Oceans marine ecosystem, especially those components that are dependent on sea ice or that have temperature-dependent sensitivities or thresholds. Addressing these and other questions requires a carefully orchestrated combination of sustained multidisciplinary observations and advanced modeling.

Heat, salt, and volume transports in the eastern Eurasian Basin ofthe Arctic Ocean, from two years of mooring observations

Abstract. This study discusses along-slope volume, heat, and salt transports derived from observations collected in 2013–15 using a cross-slope array of six moorings ranging from 250 m to 3900 m in the eastern Eurasian Basin (EB) of the Arctic Ocean. These observations demonstrate that in the upper 780 m layer, the along-slope boundary current advected, on average, 5.1 ± 0.1 Sv of water, predominantly in the eastward (shallow-to-right) direction. Monthly net volume transports across the Laptev Sea slope vary widely, from ~ 0.3 ± 0.8 in April 2014 to ~ 9.9 ± 0.8 Sv in June 2014. 3.1 ± 0.1 Sv (or 60 %) of the net transport was associated with warm and salty intermediate-depth Atlantic Water (AW). Calculated heat transport for 2013–15 (relative to −1.8 °C) was 46.0 ± 1.7 TW, and net salt transport (relative to zero salinity) was 172 ± 6 Mkg/s. Estimates for AW heat and salt transports were 32.7 ± 1.3 TW (71 % of net heat transport) and 112 ± 4 Mkg/s (65 % of net salt transport). The variability of currents explains ~ 90 % of the variability of the heat and salt transports. The remaining ~ 10 % is controlled by temperature and salinity anomalies together with temporal variability of the AW layer thickness. The annual mean volume transports decreased by 25 % from 5.8 ± 0.2 Sv in 2013–14 to 4.4 ± 0.2 Sv in 2014–15 suggesting that changes of the transports at interannual and longer time scales in the eastern EB may be significant.

Seasonal Freezing of a Subwater Ground Layer at the Laptev Sea Shelf

In this contribution, we present results from instrumental sea ice/ocean observations collected during the winter of 2014–15 in the Buor-Khaya Bay (southern Laptev Sea; Arctic Ocean). An observational analysis was complemented by numerical simulations, with a conceptual, one-dimensional thermodynamic model employed to describe the formation of sea ice cover, and to estimate the effect of fast ice growth on freezing of the underlying layer of bottom sediments. One of the advantages of this model is the application of two known methods for localization of the phase transition area. The classical (frontal) approach was used to reproduce seasonal growth of the fast ice layer, while the temperature spectrum describes phase transitions in the layer of bottom sediments. Using the developed model, we have described the thermodynamic evolution of the ice cover and the upper layer of the bottom sediments in the Tiksi Gulf. The simulations performed show that the presence of a liquid sub-ice layer, caused by salt rejection (an important element of the “ice-brine-ground” system) prevents complete freezing of the water layer even at very low (<−40 °C) air temperatures. The increased salinity of the sub-ice layer can cause melting of fast ice in shallow parts of the bay, even at negative air temperatures, alongside simultaneous growth in the areas located far from the coast.

On the Seasonal Cycles Observed at the Continental Slope of the Eastern Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean

AbstractThe Eurasian Basin (EB) of the Arctic Ocean is subject to substantial seasonality. We here use data collected between 2013 and 2015 from six moorings across the continental slope in the eas...