Annette L. Fitzpatrick

Genome-wide Analysis of Genetic Loci Associated With Alzheimer Disease

CONTEXT Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have recently identified CLU, PICALM, and CR1 as novel genes for late-onset Alzheimer disease (AD). OBJECTIVES To identify and strengthen additional loci associated with AD and confirm these in an independent sample and to examine the contribution of recently identified genes to AD risk prediction in a 3-stage analysis of new and previously published GWAS on more than 35,000 persons (8371 AD cases). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In stage 1, we identified strong genetic associations (P < 10(-3)) in a sample of 3006 AD cases and 14,642 controls by combining new data from the population-based Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology consortium (1367 AD cases [973 incident]) with previously reported results from the Translational Genomics Research Institute and the Mayo AD GWAS. We identified 2708 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with P < 10(-3). In stage 2, we pooled results for these SNPs with the European AD Initiative (2032 cases and 5328 controls) to identify 38 SNPs (10 loci) with P < 10(-5). In stage 3, we combined data for these 10 loci with data from the Genetic and Environmental Risk in AD consortium (3333 cases and 6995 controls) to identify 4 SNPs with P < 1.7x10(-8). These 4 SNPs were replicated in an independent Spanish sample (1140 AD cases and 1209 controls). Genome-wide association analyses were completed in 2007-2008 and the meta-analyses and replication in 2009. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE Presence of Alzheimer disease. RESULTS Two loci were identified to have genome-wide significance for the first time: rs744373 near BIN1 (odds ratio [OR],1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.06-1.21 per copy of the minor allele; P = 1.59x10(-11)) and rs597668 near EXOC3L2/BLOC1S3/MARK4 (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.07-1.29; P = 6.45x10(-9)). Associations of these 2 loci plus the previously identified loci CLU and PICALM with AD were confirmed in the Spanish sample (P < .05). However, although CLU and PICALM were confirmed to be associated with AD in this independent sample, they did not improve the ability of a model that included age, sex, and APOE to predict incident AD (improvement in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve from 0.847 to 0.849 in the Rotterdam Study and 0.702 to 0.705 in the Cardiovascular Health Study). CONCLUSIONS Two genetic loci for AD were found for the first time to reach genome-wide statistical significance. These findings were replicated in an independent population. Two recently reported associations were also confirmed. These loci did not improve AD risk prediction. While not clinically useful, they may implicate biological pathways useful for future research.

Surveillance and ascertainment of cardiovascular events: The Cardiovascular Health Study☆

While previous prospective multicenter studies have conducted cardiovascular disease surveillance, few have detailed the techniques relating to the ascertainment of and data collection for events. The Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) is a population-based study of coronary heart disease and stroke in older adults. This article summarizes the CHS events protocol and describes the methods of surveillance and ascertainment of hospitalized and nonhospitalized events, the use of medical records and other support documents, organizational issues at the field center level, and the classification of events through an adjudication process. We present data on incidence and mortality, the classification of adjudicated events, and the agreement between classification by the Events Subcommittee and the medical records diagnostic codes. The CHS techniques are a successful model for complete ascertainment, investigation, and documentation of events in an older cohort.

Ginkgo biloba for Prevention of Dementia: A Randomized Controlled Trial

CONTEXT Ginkgo biloba is widely used for its potential effects on memory and cognition. To date, adequately powered clinical trials testing the effect of G. biloba on dementia incidence are lacking. OBJECTIVE To determine effectiveness of G. biloba vs placebo in reducing the incidence of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease (AD) in elderly individuals with normal cognition and those with mild cognitive impairment (MCI). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial conducted in 5 academic medical centers in the United States between 2000 and 2008 with a median follow-up of 6.1 years. Three thousand sixty-nine community volunteers aged 75 years or older with normal cognition (n = 2587) or MCI (n = 482) at study entry were assessed every 6 months for incident dementia. INTERVENTION Twice-daily dose of 120-mg extract of G. biloba (n = 1545) or placebo (n = 1524). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Incident dementia and AD determined by expert panel consensus. RESULTS Five hundred twenty-three individuals developed dementia (246 receiving placebo and 277 receiving G. biloba) with 92% of the dementia cases classified as possible or probable AD, or AD with evidence of vascular disease of the brain. Rates of dropout and loss to follow-up were low (6.3%), and the adverse effect profiles were similar for both groups. The overall dementia rate was 3.3 per 100 person-years in participants assigned to G. biloba and 2.9 per 100 person-years in the placebo group. The hazard ratio (HR) for G. biloba compared with placebo for all-cause dementia was 1.12 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.94-1.33; P = .21) and for AD, 1.16 (95% CI, 0.97-1.39; P = .11). G. biloba also had no effect on the rate of progression to dementia in participants with MCI (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.85-1.50; P = .39). CONCLUSIONS In this study, G. biloba at 120 mg twice a day was not effective in reducing either the overall incidence rate of dementia or AD incidence in elderly individuals with normal cognition or those with MCI. Trial Registration clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00010803.

Incidence and Prevalence of Dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Study

Objectives: To estimate the incidence and prevalence of dementia, Alzheimers disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) cohort.

Dementia and Alzheimer's Disease Incidence in Relationship to Cardiovascular Disease in the Cardiovascular Health Study Cohort

Objectives: To determine whether coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial disease (PAD), or noninvasive markers of cardiovascular disease (CVD) predict the onset of dementia and Alzheimers disease (AD).

Benefits of fatty fish on dementia risk are stronger for those without APOE ε4

Objective: To compare associations of lean fish vs fatty fish (tuna or other fish) intake with dementia, Alzheimer disease (AD), and vascular dementia (VaD) and in relation to APOE ε4 status in the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study (CHCS). Methods: Fish intake was assessed by food frequency questionnaires. Incident dementia, AD, and VaD were determined through a series of cognitive tests, physicians assessment, and committee consensus. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to calculate hazard ratios of dementia, AD, and VaD with lean fried fish, fatty fish, or total fish intake, which were then stratified by the presence of APOE ε4. Results: Although consumption of lean fried fish had no protective effect, consumption of fatty fish more than twice per week was associated with a reduction in risk of dementia by 28% (95% CI: 0.51 to 1.02), and AD by 41% (95% CI: 0.36 to 0.95) in comparison to those who ate fish less than once per month. Stratification by APOE ε4 showed this effect to be selective to those without the ε4 allele. Adjustment by education and income attenuated the effect. Conclusion: In the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study, consumption of fatty fish was associated with a reduced risk of dementia and Alzheimer disease for those without the APOE ε4 allele.

Insulin-like Growth Factors, Their Binding Proteins, and Prostate Cancer Risk: Analysis of Individual Patient Data from 12 Prospective Studies

Context Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and IGF binding proteins may be associated with some cancers. Contribution This reanalysis of individual patient data from 12 studies of the association between IGFs and IGF binding proteins and prostate cancer suggests that higher levels of serum IGF-I are associated with higher risk for prostate cancer. Caution The 12 studies varied in the types of patients they studied and in how they measured IGFs. Implication High IGF-I levels seem to be a risk factor for prostate cancer. The Editors Prostate cancer is one of the most common types of cancer in men, yet few risk factors for the disease, other than age, race, and a family history, have been established (1, 2). Insulin-like growth factors (IGFs) and their associated binding proteins (IGFBPs) have been the subject of many epidemiologic investigations of prostate cancer because they are known to help regulate cell proliferation, differentiation, and apoptosis (3). Although results from some, but not all, studies suggest an association between IGFs and IGFBPs and prostate cancer risk, there has been much uncertainty about its consistency and magnitude. A previous meta-analysis that included only 3 prospective studies suggested that high levels could be associated with more than a 2-fold increase in risk (4), although recent studies have suggested the risk is lower. Furthermore, given that these peptides are correlated with each other, uncertainty remains about any observed relationships. The individual studies are rarely large enough to allow proper mutual adjustment for these correlated factors, and they are insufficiently powered to investigate the consistency of their findings in key subgroups (for example, stage and grade of disease). Such analyses are important because studies have suggested that IGF-I might be more associated with advanced than with localized disease (5, 6). The Endogenous Hormones and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group was established to conduct collaborative reanalyses of individual data from prospective studies on the relationships between circulating levels of sex hormones and IGFs and subsequent prostate cancer risk. Results for the sex hormones have been reported elsewhere and show no statistically significant relation between androgen or estrogen levels in men and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer (7). We report results for concentrations of IGFs and IGFBPs. Methods Participants The Endogenous Hormones and Prostate Cancer Collaborative Group is described in detail elsewhere (7). In brief, the group invited principal investigators of all studies, found by searching PubMed, Web of Science, and CancerLit, that provided data on circulating concentrations of sex steroids, IGFs or IGFBPs, and prostate cancer risk by using prospectively collected blood samples to join the collaboration. Thirteen studies collected data on circulating IGF concentrations and the subsequent risk for prostate cancer (5, 6, 820), of which 1 contributed only data on sex hormones (20). Eleven of the studies used a matched casecontrol design nested within a prospective cohort study (5, 6, 812, 16, 19) or a randomized trial (1315, 17). One study used a casecohort design (18) and was converted into a matched casecontrol design by randomly matching up to 3 control participants to each case patient by age at recruitment, time between blood collection and diagnosis, time of blood draw, and race. (Table 1 provides a full description of the studies and matching criteria used.) Most of the prospective studies were population-based, with the exception of 1 based on health plan members (9), 1 that recruited male health professionals (16), and 1 that was a combination of an intervention study and a monitoring study for cardiovascular disease (6, 10). Two of the randomized trials did not have prostate cancer as a primary end point (5, 8, 15); the other 2 were based within a screening trial (13) or were about treatment of prostate-specific antigen (PSA)detected prostate cancer (14). Table 1. Study Characteristics Individual participant data were available for age; height; weight; smoking status; alcohol consumption; marital status; socioeconomic status (assessed by educational achievement); race; concentrations of IGFs, IGFBPs, and endogenous sex steroids; and PSA level. Information sought about prostate cancer included date of diagnosis, stage and grade of disease, and method of case patient ascertainment. Some studies (5, 6, 8, 10, 16) published more than 1 article or performed assays at different times on the association between IGFs and prostate cancer risk, sometimes with different matched casecontrol sets, laboratory measurements, and durations of follow-up. For each study, we created a single data set in which each participant appeared only once. In our analysis, we treated any participant who appeared in a study as both a control participant and a case patient as a case patient only. We removed matched set identifiers, and we generated a series of strata (equivalent to matched sets) in which participants in each study were grouped according to age at recruitment (2-year age bands) and date of recruitment (by year), because these matching criteria were common to most studies (Table 1). The number of strata used in the collaborative analysis was slightly less than that of matched sets used in the original analyses. To ensure that this process did not introduce any bias, we checked that the results for each study, using the original matched sets, were the same as those using the strata described above. Tumors were classified as advanced if the tumor was described as extending beyond the prostate capsule (T3/T4), and/or there was lymph node involvement (N1/N2/N3), and/or there were distant metastases (M1); tumors were classified as localized if they were T0/T1/T2 and N0/NX and M0. We classified tumors as high-grade if they had a Gleason score of 7 or more or were moderately poorly or poorly differentiated; otherwise, they were classified as low-grade. Statistical Analysis We calculated partial correlation coefficients between log-transformed IGF and IGFBP concentrations among control participants, adjusted for age at blood collection (<50, 50 to 59, 60 to 69, or 70 years) and study. For each IGF and IGFBP, we categorized men into quintiles of IGF and IGFBP serum concentrations, with cut-points defined by the study-specific quintiles of the distribution within control participants. For studies with more than 1 publication or in which the serum assays were done at different times, resulting in different absolute levels of IGFs (5, 6, 8, 10, 16), we calculated cut-points separately for each substudy. We used a conditional logistic regression stratified by study, age at recruitment (2-year age bands), and date of recruitment (single year) as our main method of analysis. To provide a summary measure of risk, we calculated a linear trend by scoring the quintiles of the serum IGF or IGFBP concentrations as 0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, and 1. Under the assumption of linearity, a unit change in this trend variable is equivalent to the odds ratio (OR) comparing the highest with the lowest quintile. All results are unadjusted for participant characteristics, except for those controlled by the stratification variables. We examined the possible influence of 5 participant characteristics by adjusting the relevant conditional logistic regression models for body mass index (BMI) (<22.5, 22.5 to 24.9, 25.0 to 27.4, 27.5 to 29.9, or >30 kg/m2), marital status (married or cohabiting, or not married or cohabiting), educational status (did not attend college or university, or attended college or university), smoking (never, previous, or current), and alcohol consumption (<10 or 10 g/d). We excluded participants from the analysis if they had a missing value for the characteristic under examination. We assessed heterogeneity in linear trends among studies by using a chi-square statistic to test whether the study-specific ORs were statistically different from the overall OR (21). Heterogeneity among studies was also quantified by calculating the H and I 2 statistics (22). To test whether the linear trend OR estimates for each IGF and IGFBP varied according to case patient characteristics, we estimated a series of subsets for each characteristic: stage at diagnosis (localized or advanced), grade at diagnosis (low or high), year of diagnosis (before 1990, 1990 to 1994, or 1995 onward; these year cutoffs were chosen to attempt to reflect differences in the use of the PSA test for cancer detection), age at diagnosis (<60, 60 to 69, or 70 years), and time between blood collection and diagnosis (<3, 3 to 6, or 7 years). We excluded case patients from the analyses of stage and grade at diagnosis if the relevant information was not available. For each of these case patient characteristics, we calculated a heterogeneity chi-square statistic to assess whether the estimated ORs statistically differed from each other (21). To assess whether the OR estimate of the linear trend for each IGF or IGFBP varied according to PSA level at recruitment (<2 g/L or 2 g/L), we entered an interaction term into the conditional logistic regression model for each IGF or IGFBP, and we tested the statistical significance of the interaction term with a likelihood ratio test. Statistical significance was set at the 5% level. All statistical tests were 2-sided. All statistical analyses were done with Stata, version 9.0 (StataCorp, College Station, Texas). Results Table 1 shows the characteristics of the studies. The 12 prospective studies included approximately 3700 case patients with prostate cancer and 5200 control participants. Insulin-like growth factor I and IGFBP-III measurements were available for all and 3600 case patients, respectively. However, IGF-II and IGFBP-II measurements were available for only 379 and 419 case patients, respectively (Table 2). Mean age at blood collection

Moderate Renal Impairment and Risk of Dementia among Older Adults: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study

Renal impairment is associated with an increased risk of carotid atherosclerosis and stroke, determinants of cognitive dysfunction and dementia. The purpose of this study was to determine whether moderate renal impairment is associated with incident dementia among community-dwelling older adults. Participants in the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study without prevalent dementia (n = 3349) were included in the analysis. Incident dementia was confirmed through neurologic testing. Renal function at baseline was estimated by the inverse of serum creatinine (1/SCr); moderate renal impairment was defined as SCr > or = 1.3 mg/dl for women and > or = 1.5 mg/dl for men. Cox regression models were used to estimate the association of renal impairment with incident dementia. Because SCr is also a function of muscle mass, the authors determined whether the relationship between SCr and dementia was particularly strong among individuals without severe co-morbidity at baseline, as reflected by self-reported general health status. There were 477 incident dementia cases over a median 6 yr follow-up. After adjustment for potential confounders, moderate renal insufficiency was associated with a 37% increased risk of dementia (95% CI = 1.06 to 1.78). Similarly, a 0.5-unit decrement in 1/SCr (equivalent to an increase in SCr from 1.0 to 2.0 mg/dl) was associated with a 26% increased risk (95% CI = 1.02 to 1.60). These associations were present only among the 84% of older adults who reported good-excellent health. Among those in good-excellent health, higher SCr was associated with vascular-type dementia but not Alzheimer-type dementia. Moderate renal impairment, reflected by a higher SCr, is associated with an excess risk of incident dementia among individuals in good-excellent health. Strategies to prevent or delay the onset of dementia in patients with moderate renal impairment are needed.

Risk Factors for Dementia in the Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study

Background: The Cardiovascular Health Cognition Study has evaluated the determinants of dementia among 3,608 participants that had a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the brain in 1991 and were followed to 1998–1999. Methods: There were 480 incident dementia cases, 330 (69%) were classified as Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Results: In univariate analysis, low scores on the Modified Mini-Mental State Examination (3MSE) and on the Digit Symbol Substitution Test as well as declines in scores over time prior to the development of dementia were significant predictors of dementia. A high ventricular grade on the MRI (atrophy) as well as high white matter grade, a number of brain infarcts on the MRI were all determinants of dementia. Apolipoprotein E Ε4 (ApoE-4) was also a powerful predictor of dementia. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model controlling for race, gender and grade, the hazard ratios for age (1.1), 3MSE score (0.9), ventricular size (1.4), white matter grade (1.8), presence of large infarcts >3 mm (1.3) and ApoE-4 (2.1) were significant predictors of dementia. The combination of an ApoE-4 genotype, 3MSE score <90, ≧5 ventricular grade, ≧3 white matter grade at the time of the MRI were associated with a 17-fold increased risk (95% CI: 8.6–34.9) of dementia as compared to individuals with none of the above attributes. Conclusions: Measures of cognition, ApoE-4 and MRI of the brain are strong predictors of both dementia and of AD.

Effects of a Brief Early Start Denver Model (ESDM)–Based Parent Intervention on Toddlers at Risk for Autism Spectrum Disorders: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE This study was carried out to examine the efficacy of a 12-week, low-intensity (1-hour/wk of therapist contact), parent-delivered intervention for toddlers at risk for autism spectrum disorders (ASD) aged 14 to 24 months and their families. METHOD A randomized controlled trial involving 98 children and families was carried out in three different sites investigating the efficacy of a parent delivery of the Early Start Denver model (P-ESDM), which fosters parental use of a child-centered responsive interaction style that embeds many teaching opportunities into play, compared to community treatment as usual. Assessments were completed at baseline and 12 weeks later, immediately after the end of parent coaching sessions. RESULTS There was no effect of group assignment on parent-child interaction characteristics or on any child outcomes. Both groups of parents improved interaction skills, and both groups of children demonstrated progress. Parents receiving P-ESDM demonstrated significantly stronger working alliances with their therapists than did the community group. Children in the community group received significantly more intervention hours than those in the P-ESDM group. For the group as a whole, both younger child age at the start of intervention and a greater number of intervention hours were positively related to the degree of improvement in childrens behavior for most variables. CONCLUSIONS Parent-implemented intervention studies for early ASD thus far have not demonstrated the large effects seen in intensive-treatment studies. Evidence that both younger age and more intervention hours positively affect developmental rates has implications for clinical practice, service delivery, and public policy.