Bryony Eccles

Prospective Observational Study of Breast Cancer Treatment Outcomes for UK Women Aged 18–40 Years at Diagnosis: The POSH Study

BACKGROUND Breast cancer at a young age is associated with poor prognosis. The Prospective Study of Outcomes in Sporadic and Hereditary Breast Cancer (POSH) was designed to investigate factors affecting prognosis in this patient group. METHODS Between 2000 and 2008, 2956 patients aged 40 years or younger were recruited to a UK multicenter prospective observational cohort study (POSH). Details of tumor pathology, disease stage, treatment received, and outcome were recorded. Overall survival (OS) and distant disease-free interval (DDFI) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS Median age of patients was 36 years. Median tumor diameter was 22 mm, and 50% of patients had positive lymph nodes; 59% of tumors were grade 3, 33.7% were estrogen receptor (ER) negative, and 24% were human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) positive. Five-year OS was higher for patients with ER-positive than ER-negative tumors (85.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 83.2% to 86.7% vs 75.7%, 95% CI = 72.8% to 78.4%; P < .001), but by eight years, survival was almost equal. The eight-year OS of patients with ER-positive tumors was similar to that of patients with ER-negative tumors in both HER2-positive and HER2-negative subgroups. The flexible parametric survival model for OS shows that the risk of death increases steadily over time for patients with ER-positive tumors in contrast to patients with ER-negative tumors, where risk of death peaked at two years. CONCLUSIONS These results confirm the increased frequency of ER-negative tumors and early relapse in young patients and also demonstrate the equally poor longer-term outlook of young patients who have ER-positive tumors with HER2-negative or -positive disease.

Tamoxifen metabolism predicts drug concentrations and outcome in premenopausal patients with early breast cancer

Tamoxifen is the standard-of-care treatment for estrogen receptor-positive premenopausal breast cancer. We examined tamoxifen metabolism via blood metabolite concentrations and germline variations of CYP3A5, CYP2C9, CYP2C19 and CYP2D6 in 587 premenopausal patients (Asians, Middle Eastern Arabs, Caucasian-UK; median age 39 years) and clinical outcome in 306 patients. N-desmethyltamoxifen (DM-Tam)/(Z)-endoxifen and CYP2D6 phenotype significantly correlated across ethnicities (R2: 53%, P<10−77). CYP2C19 and CYP2C9 correlated with norendoxifen and (Z)-4-hydroxytamoxifen concentrations, respectively (P<0.001). DM-Tam was influenced by body mass index (P<0.001). Improved distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) was associated with decreasing DM-Tam/(Z)-endoxifen (P=0.036) and increasing CYP2D6 activity score (hazard ratio (HR)=0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.43–0.91; P=0.013). Low (<14 nM) compared with high (>35 nM) endoxifen concentrations were associated with shorter DRFS (univariate P=0.03; multivariate HR=1.94; 95% CI, 1.04–4.14; P=0.064). Our data indicate that endoxifen formation in premenopausal women depends on CYP2D6 irrespective of ethnicity. Low endoxifen concentration/formation and decreased CYP2D6 activity predict shorter DRFS.

Obesity and the outcome of young breast cancer patients in the UK: the POSH study

BACKGROUND Obese breast cancer patients have a poorer prognosis than non-obese patients. We examined data from a large prospective cohort study to explore the associations of obesity with tumour pathology, treatment and outcome in young British breast cancer patients receiving modern oncological treatments. PATIENTS AND METHODS A total of 2956 patients aged ≤40 at breast cancer diagnosis were recruited from 126 UK hospitals from 2001 to 2007. Height and weight were measured at registration. Tumour pathology and treatment details were collected. Follow-up data were collected at 6, 12 months, and annually. RESULTS A total of 2843 eligible patients (96.2%) had a body mass index (BMI) recorded: 1526 (53.7%) were under/healthy-weight (U/H, BMI <25 kg/m(2)), 784 (27.6%) were overweight (ov, BMI ≥25 to <30), and 533 (18.7%) were obese (ob, BMI ≥30). The median tumour size was significantly higher in obese and overweight patients than U/H patients (Ob 26 mm versus U/H 20 mm, P < 0.001; Ov 24 mm versus U/H 20 mm, P < 0.001). Obese and overweight patients had significantly more grade 3 tumours (63.9% versus 59.0%, P = 0.048; Ov 63.6% versus U/H 59.0% P = 0.034) and node-positive tumours (Ob 54.6% versus U/H 49.0%, P = 0.027; Ov 54.2% versus U/H 49%, P = 0.019) than U/H patients. Obese patients had more ER/PR/HER2-negative tumours than healthy-weight patients (25.0% versus 18.3%, P = 0.001). Eight-year overall survival (OS) and distant disease-free interval (DDFI) were significantly lower in obese patients than healthy-weight patients [OS: hazard ratio (HR) 1.65, P < 0.001; DDFI: HR 1.44, P < 0.001]. Multivariable analyses adjusting for tumour grade, size, nodal, and HER2 status indicated that obesity was a significant independent predictor of OS and DDFI in patients with ER-positive disease. CONCLUSIONS Young obese breast cancer patients present with adverse tumour characteristics. Despite adjustment for this, obesity still independently predicts DDFI and OS.BACKGROUND Obese breast cancer patients have a poorer prognosis than non-obese patients. We examined data from a large prospective cohort study to explore the associations of obesity with tumour pathology, treatment and outcome in young British breast cancer patients receiving modern oncological treatments. PATIENTS AND METHODS A total of 2956 patients aged ≤40 at breast cancer diagnosis were recruited from 126 UK hospitals from 2001 to 2007. Height and weight were measured at registration. Tumour pathology and treatment details were collected. Follow-up data were collected at 6, 12 months, and annually. RESULTS A total of 2843 eligible patients (96.2%) had a body mass index (BMI) recorded: 1526 (53.7%) were under/healthy-weight (U/H, BMI <25 kg/m2), 784 (27.6%) were overweight (ov, BMI ≥25 to <30), and 533 (18.7%) were obese (ob, BMI ≥30). The median tumour size was significantly higher in obese and overweight patients than U/H patients (Ob 26mm versus U/H 20mm, P < 0.001; Ov 24mm versus U/H 20mm, P < 0.001). Obese and overweight patients had significantly more grade 3 tumours (63.9% versus 59.0%, P = 0.048; Ov 63.6% versus U/H 59.0% P = 0.034) and node-positive tumours (Ob 54.6% versus U/H 49.0%, P = 0.027; Ov 54.2% versus U/H 49%, P = 0.019) than U/H patients. Obese patients had more ER/PR/HER2-negative tumours than healthy-weight patients (25.0% versus 18.3%, P = 0.001). Eight-year overall survival (OS) and distant disease-free interval (DDFI) were significantly lower in obese patients than healthy-weight patients [OS: hazard ratio (HR) 1.65, P < 0.001; DDFI: HR 1.44, P < 0.001]. Multivariable analyses adjusting for tumour grade, size, nodal, and HER2 status indicated that obesity was a significant independent predictor of OS and DDFI in patients with ER-positive disease. CONCLUSIONS Young obese breast cancer patients present with adverse tumour characteristics. Despite adjustment for this, obesity still independently predicts DDFI and OS.

Ethnicity and outcome of young breast cancer patients in the United Kingdom: the POSH study.

Background:Black ethnic groups have a higher breast cancer mortality than Whites. American studies have identified variations in tumour biology and unequal health-care access as causative factors. We compared tumour pathology, treatment and outcomes in three ethnic groups in young breast cancer patients treated in the United Kingdom.Methods:Women aged ⩽40 years at breast cancer diagnosis were recruited to the POSH national cohort study (MREC: 00/06/69). Personal characteristics, tumour pathology and treatment data were collected at diagnosis. Follow-up data were collected annually. Overall survival (OS) and distant relapse-free survival (DRFS) were assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves, and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox regression.Results:Ethnicity data were available for 2915 patients including 2690 (91.0%) Whites, 118 (4.0%) Blacks and 87 (2.9%) Asians. Median tumour diameter at presentation was greater in Blacks than Whites (26.0 mm vs 22.0 mm, P=0.0103), and multifocal tumours were more frequent in both Blacks (43.4%) and Asians (37.0%) than Whites (28.9%). ER/PR/HER2-negative tumours were significantly more frequent in Blacks (26.1%) than Whites (18.6%, P=0.043). Use of chemotherapy was similarly high in all ethnic groups (89% B vs 88.6% W vs 89.7% A). A 5-year DRFS was significantly lower in Blacks than Asians (62.8% B vs 77.0% A, P=0.0473) or Whites (62.8 B% vs 77.0% W, P=0.0053) and a 5-year OS for Black patients, 71.1% (95% CI: 61.0–79.1%), was significantly lower than that of Whites (82.4%, 95% CI: 80.8–83.9%, W vs B: P=0.0160). In multivariate analysis, Black ethnicity had an effect on DRFS in oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive patients that is independent of body mass index, tumour size, grade or nodal status, HR: 1.60 (95% CI: 1.03–2.47, P=0.035).Conclusion:Despite equal access to health care, young Black women in the United Kingdom have a significantly poorer outcome than White patients. Black ethnicity is an independent risk factor for reduced DRFS particularly in ER-positive patients.

Germline BRCA mutation and outcome in young-onset breast cancer (POSH): a prospective cohort study

Summary Background Retrospective studies provide conflicting interpretations of the effect of inherited genetic factors on the prognosis of patients with breast cancer. The primary aim of this study was to determine the effect of a germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation on breast cancer outcomes in patients with young-onset breast cancer. Methods We did a prospective cohort study of female patients recruited from 127 hospitals in the UK aged 40 years or younger at first diagnosis (by histological confirmation) of invasive breast cancer. Patients with a previous invasive malignancy (except non-melanomatous skin cancer) were excluded. Patients were identified within 12 months of initial diagnosis. BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations were identified using blood DNA collected at recruitment. Clinicopathological data, and data regarding treatment and long-term outcomes, including date and site of disease recurrence, were collected from routine medical records at 6 months, 12 months, and then annually until death or loss to follow-up. The primary outcome was overall survival for all BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers (BRCA-positive) versus all non-carriers (BRCA-negative) at 2 years, 5 years, and 10 years after diagnosis. A prespecified subgroup analysis of overall survival was done in patients with triple-negative breast cancer. Recruitment was completed in 2008, and long-term follow-up is continuing. Findings Between Jan 24, 2000, and Jan 24, 2008, we recruited 2733 women. Genotyping detected a pathogenic BRCA mutation in 338 (12%) patients (201 with BRCA1, 137 with BRCA2). After a median follow-up of 8·2 years (IQR 6·0–9·9), 651 (96%) of 678 deaths were due to breast cancer. There was no significant difference in overall survival between BRCA-positive and BRCA-negative patients in multivariable analyses at any timepoint (at 2 years: 97·0% [95% CI 94·5–98·4] vs 96·6% [95·8–97·3]; at 5 years: 83·8% [79·3–87·5] vs 85·0% [83·5–86·4]; at 10 years: 73·4% [67·4–78·5] vs 70·1% [67·7–72·3]; hazard ratio [HR] 0·96 [95% CI 0·76–1·22]; p=0·76). Of 558 patients with triple-negative breast cancer, BRCA mutation carriers had better overall survival than non-carriers at 2 years (95% [95% CI 89–97] vs 91% [88–94]; HR 0·59 [95% CI 0·35–0·99]; p=0·047) but not 5 years (81% [73–87] vs 74% [70–78]; HR 1·13 [0·70–1·84]; p=0·62) or 10 years (72% [62–80] vs 69% [63–74]; HR 2·12 [0·82–5·49]; p= 0·12). Interpretation Patients with young-onset breast cancer who carry a BRCA mutation have similar survival as non-carriers. However, BRCA mutation carriers with triple-negative breast cancer might have a survival advantage during the first few years after diagnosis compared with non-carriers. Decisions about timing of additional surgery aimed at reducing future second primary-cancer risks should take into account patient prognosis associated with the first malignancy and patient preferences. Funding Cancer Research UK, the UK National Cancer Research Network, the Wessex Cancer Trust, Breast Cancer Now, and the PPP Healthcare Medical Trust Grant.

Family history and outcome of young patients with breast cancer in the UK (POSH study).

Young patients presenting to surgical clinics with breast cancer are usually aware of their family history and frequently believe that a positive family history may adversely affect their prognosis. Tumour pathology and outcomes were compared in young British patients with breast cancer with and without a family history of breast cancer.

SABRE 1 (Surgery Against Brachytherapy - a Randomised Evaluation): feasibility randomised controlled trial (RCT) of brachytherapy vs radical prostatectomy in low-intermediate risk clinically localised prostate cancer.

To determine the feasibility of a phase III randomised controlled trial of brachytherapy vs radical prostatectomy (RP) in men with low–intermediate risk localised prostate cancer.

Improved prediction of endoxifen metabolism by CYP2D6 genotype in breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen

Purpose: Prediction of impaired tamoxifen (TAM) to endoxifen metabolism may be relevant to improve breast cancer treatment, e.g., via TAM dose increase. The polymorphic cytochrome P450 2D6 (CYP2D6) strongly determines an individual’s capacity for endoxifen formation, however, CYP2D6 phenotype assignments inferred from genotype widely differ between studies. Thus, we modeled plasma endoxifen predictability depending on variable CYP2D6 genotype groupings. Methods: CYP2D6 diplotype and metabolite plasma concentrations were assessed in 908 pre- and post-menopausal estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, TAM treated early breast cancer patients of Caucasian (N = 678), Middle-Eastern Arab (N = 77), and Asian (N = 153) origin. Robust coefficients of determination (R2) were estimated for endoxifen (E) or metabolic ratio endoxifen/desmethyl-TAM (E/DMT) as dependent and different CYP2D6 phenotype assignments as independent variables. Allele activity scores (ASs) were modified with respect to a reduced ∗10 allele activity. Predictability of endoxifen plasma concentrations above the clinical threshold of 5.9 ng/mL was investigated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: CYP2D6 diplotypes (N = 898) were strongly associated with E and E/DMT independent of age (P < 10-15). Across all ethnicities, 68–82% inter-patient variability of E/DMT was explained by CYP2D6 diplotype, while plasma endoxifen was predictable by 39–58%. The previously used codeine specific phenotype classification showed worse prediction for both endpoints particularly in Asians (median R2< 20%; P < 10-9). Downgrading of ∗10 activity slightly improved the explanatory value of metabolizer phenotype (P < 0.002). Endoxifen plasma concentrations above the clinical threshold of 5.9 ng/mL were achieved in 82.3% of patients and were predictable (96% sensitivity, 57% specificity) by CYP2D6 diplotypes with AS > 0.5, i.e., omitting PM/PM and PM/IM patients. Conclusion: The CYP2D6 explanatory power for active drug level assessment is maximized by TAM-specific phenotype assignments while a genotype cutoff that separates PM/PM and PM/IM from the remaining patients may improve clinical benefit via increased endoxifen concentrations.

Abstract 2029: A high ratio of tamoxifen metabolite E to tamoxifen is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer recurrences in premenopausal women

Tamoxifen (Tam), a standard therapy for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer, is excessively metabolized mainly by enzymes of the CYP450 family to anti-estrogenic and estrogenic compounds. Whereas in breast cancer cells the anti-estrogenic metabolites endoxifen and 4-hydroxy-Tam inhibit the ER, Tam bisphenol (Bis) and both isomers (E)- and (Z)- of metabolite E (Met E) show full estrogenic properties, with (E)-Met E being the most potent ER agonist. Contrary to known clinical effects of ER antagonists, the influence of Tam Bis, (E)-, and (Z)-Met E on treatment outcome is not thoroughly explored. Therefore we analyzed whether interindividual differences in plasma levels of estrogenic Tam metabolites interact with Tam therapy in vivo. Plasma concentrations of estrogenic metabolites Bis, (E)-, and (Z)-Met E and their metabolic ratios (MR) to Tam were quantified in 306 premenopausal breast cancer patients mainly of European origin who were treated with 20 mg/day of Tam (Eccles D, et al. BMC Cancer 2007; 7: 160) using recently published LC-MS/MS methods (Johanning et al. Anal Bioanal Chem 2015; Murdter et al. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2011). The endpoints recurrence-free interval (RFI) and event-free survival (EFS) were analyzed in hormone-receptor positive patients (N = 296) by Kaplan-Meyer and multivariate Cox regression adjusted for age, nodal status, tumor size, grade and plasma concentrations of endoxifen (as MR of desmethyl-Tam to endoxifen). Plasma concentrations were as follows: Bis 13-832 pM (median 187 pM), (E)-Met E 15-1029 pM (median 213 pM), (Z)-Met E 128-2484 pM (median 889 pM), and Tam 47-1061 nM (median 360 nM). Patients with higher (E)-Met E to Tam ratios showed a higher risk of breast cancer recurrence when classified into quartiles: compared to patients of the lower quartile, patients had shorter RFI when they grouped to the interquartile (P = 0.037) and the upper quartile (P = 0.005). There was a trend of higher recurrence risk for patients belonging to the upper quartile compared to the interquartile (P = 0.063). These findings were confirmed in multivariate Cox analyses: patients belonging to the upper quartile had a significantly increased hazard ratio (HR) of 2.77 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.34-5.71; P = 0.006) and patients belonging to the interquartile showed a trend for increased HR of 1.75 (CI = 0.88-3.46; P = 0.1). For EFS, a linearly increased HR was confirmed for patients with higher (E)-Met E to Tam ratios (HR = 1.44, CI = 1.06-1.97; P = 0.021). Bis, (Z)-Met E and their MRs to Tam showed no significantly altered risk of cancer recurrence or death. These findings suggest that higher formation rates of the most potent estrogenic Tam metabolite (E)-Met E influence Tam outcome in breast cancer patients and may be linked to therapeutic failure. Citation Format: Janina Johanning, Diana M. Eccles, Bryony Eccles, Michel Eichelbaum, Matthias Schwab, Hiltrud Brauch, Thomas Murdter, Werner Schroth. A high ratio of tamoxifen metabolite E to tamoxifen is associated with an increased risk of breast cancer recurrences in premenopausal women. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 107th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2016 Apr 16-20; New Orleans, LA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(14 Suppl):Abstract nr 2029.

Abstract 3351: Assessment of tamoxifen drug compliance by serum metabolite profiling in premenopausal breast cancer patients.

Proceedings: AACR 104th Annual Meeting 2013; Apr 6-10, 2013; Washington, DC Non-adherence to cancer drug therapy is a largely uncontrolled factor affecting clinical success. Long-term endocrine treatment of hormone-receptor positive breast cancer by tamoxifen is prone to premature stop of medication especially in young women due to severe side-effects commonly including hot flushes, fatigue, joint pain and nausea. Because non-adherence to prescribed therapy may mask any prognostic value of biomarkers for determining outcome, it is important to assess adherence both in prospective and retrospective studies that investigate pharmacogenetic associations. Currently, the estimation of compliance rates relies on prescription records and questionnaires that can be biased. We therefore determined actual rates of tamoxifen adherence from blood drug levels of the parent drug and its metabolites in 113 patients. All patients had adjuvant tamoxifen and were study subjects of the Prospective Study of Outcomes in Sporadic versus Hereditary Breast Cancer (POSH), a study that explores the effect of genetic factors on breast cancer prognosis in young women (Eccles et al BMC Cancer 2007). We used LC-MS/MS analytics to quantify levels of tamoxifen and its clinically active (antiestrogenic) metabolites (Z)-endoxifen and (Z)-4-OH tamoxifen, as well as N-desmethyl tamoxifen, didesmethyl tamoxifen and 15 other metabolites. Among 113 patients, 9 (8%) patients had no quantifiable tamoxifen metabolites and were considered non-compliant. There was a higher proportion of patients with breast cancer recurrence or death in non-compliant (7 out of 9, 78%) compared to compliant patients (54 out of 104, 52%), although this correlation was not significant. Moreover, a higher proportion of non-compliant patients were prescribed GnRH agonists (4 out of 9, 44%) compared to compliant patients (21 out of 104, 20%), although not significant. This study for the first time used serum metabolite profiling for the direct assessment of tamoxifen compliance of young women with breast cancer. We are currently pursuing this in a larger number of cases to better understand the confounding effects of non-compliance on outcome of genotype-phenotype associations. This is an important consideration for tamoxifen pharmacogenetic studies of young patients with a high risk for non-compliance. The pattern of irregular use and time-to-premature stop will be further investigated. WS and TM contributed equally Citation Format: Werner Schroth, Thomas Muerdter, Boian Ganchev, Pilar Saladores, Bryony Eccles, Wing-Yee Lo, Jana C. Precht, Matthias Schwab, Kathy Potter, Diana M. Eccles, Hiltrud B. Brauch. Assessment of tamoxifen drug compliance by serum metabolite profiling in premenopausal breast cancer patients. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 104th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2013 Apr 6-10; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2013;73(8 Suppl):Abstract nr 3351. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2013-3351