Christian Urich

A case independent approach on the impact of climate change effects on combined sewer system performance

Design and construction of urban drainage systems has to be done in a predictive way, as the average lifespan of such investments is several decades. The design engineer has to predict many influencing factors and scenarios for future development of a system (e.g. change in land use, population, water consumption and infiltration measures). Furthermore, climate change can cause increased rain intensities which leads to an additional impact on drainage systems. In this paper we compare the behaviour of different performance indicators of combined sewer systems when taking into account long-term environmental change effects (change in rainfall characteristics, change in impervious area and change in dry weather flow). By using 250 virtual case studies this approach is--in principle--a Monte Carlo Simulation in which not only parameter values are varied but the entire system structure and layout is changed in each run. Hence, results are more general and case-independent. For example the consideration of an increase of rainfall intensities by 20% has the same effect as an increase of impervious area of +40%. Such an increase of rainfall intensities could be compensated by infiltration measures in current systems which lead to a reduction of impervious area by 30%.

Exploring critical pathways for urban water management to identify robust strategies under deep uncertainties

Long-term projections for key drivers needed in urban water infrastructure planning such as climate change, population growth, and socio-economic changes are deeply uncertain. Traditional planning approaches heavily rely on these projections, which, if a projection stays unfulfilled, can lead to problematic infrastructure decisions causing high operational costs and/or lock-in effects. New approaches based on exploratory modelling take a fundamentally different view. Aim of these is, to identify an adaptation strategy that performs well under many future scenarios, instead of optimising a strategy for a handful. However, a modelling tool to support strategic planning to test the implication of adaptation strategies under deeply uncertain conditions for urban water management does not exist yet. This paper presents a first step towards a new generation of such strategic planning tools, by combing innovative modelling tools, which coevolve the urban environment and urban water infrastructure under many different future scenarios, with robust decision making. The developed approach is applied to the city of Innsbruck, Austria, which is spatially explicitly evolved 20 years into the future under 1000 scenarios to test the robustness of different adaptation strategies. Key findings of this paper show that: (1) Such an approach can be used to successfully identify parameter ranges of key drivers in which a desired performance criterion is not fulfilled, which is an important indicator for the robustness of an adaptation strategy; and (2) Analysis of the rich dataset gives new insights into the adaptive responses of agents to key drivers in the urban system by modifying a strategy.

An agent-based approach for generating virtual sewer systems

The application of artificial case studies is a well established technique in urban drainage to test measures, approaches or models. However, the preparation of a virtual case study for a sewer system is a tedious task. Several algorithms have been presented in the literature for an automatic generation of virtual sewer systems. Applying the approach of generating virtual cities by means of the software VIBe (Virtual Infrastructure Benchmarking) the urban structure (including elevation map, land use and population distribution) is generated firstly and the infrastructure is designed meeting the requirements of the urban structure. The aim of this paper is the development of an agent based approach for generating virtual sewer systems. This new algorithm functions as module of the software VIBe but can of course also be applied to a real city in order to get information on possible/optimal sewer placement. Here hundred virtual VIBe cities and for each twelve virtual sewer networks are generated and calibrated based on data of an alpine region. It is revealed that with the approach presented virtual sewer networks which are comparable with real world sewer networks can be generated. The agent based method provides data sets for benchmarking and allows case independent testing of new measures.

Modelling the urban water cycle as an integrated part of the city: a review

In contrast to common perceptions, the urban water infrastructure system is a complex and dynamic system that is constantly evolving and adapting to changes in the urban environment, to sustain existing services and provide additional ones. Instead of simplifying urban water infrastructure to a static system that is decoupled from its urban context, new management strategies use the complexity of the system to their advantage by integrating centralised with decentralised solutions and explicitly embedding water systems into their urban form. However, to understand and test possible adaptation strategies, urban water modelling tools are required to support exploration of their effectiveness as the human-technology-environment system coevolves under different future scenarios. The urban water modelling community has taken first steps to developing these new modelling tools. This paper critically reviews the historical development of urban water modelling tools and provides a summary of the current state of integrated modelling approaches. It reflects on the challenges that arise through the current practice of coupling urban water management tools with urban development models and discusses a potential pathway towards a new generation of modelling tools.

Modelling transitions in urban water systems

Long term planning of urban water infrastructure requires acknowledgement that transitions in the water system are driven by changes in the urban environment, as well as societal dynamics. Inherent to the complexity of these underlying processes is that the dynamics of a systems evolution cannot be explained by linear cause-effect relationships and cannot be predicted under narrow sets of assumptions. Planning therefore needs to consider the functional behaviour and performance of integrated flexible infrastructure systems under a wide range of future conditions. This paper presents the first step towards a new generation of integrated planning tools that take such an exploratory planning approach. The spatially explicit model, denoted DAnCE4Water, integrates urban development patterns, water infrastructure changes and the dynamics of socio-institutional changes. While the individual components of the DAnCE4Water model (i.e. modules for simulation of urban development, societal dynamics and evolution/performance of water infrastructure) have been developed elsewhere, this paper presents their integration into a single model. We explain the modelling framework of DAnCE4Water, its potential utility and its software implementation. The integrated model is validated for the case study of an urban catchment located in Melbourne, Australia.

The application of a Web-geographic information system for improving urban water cycle modelling

Research in urban water management has experienced a transition from traditional model applications to modelling water cycles as an integrated part of urban areas. This includes the interlinking of models of many research areas (e.g. urban development, socio-economy, urban water management). The integration and simulation is realized in newly developed frameworks (e.g. DynaMind and OpenMI) and often assumes a high knowledge in programming. This work presents a Web based urban water management modelling platform which simplifies the setup and usage of complex integrated models. The platform is demonstrated with a small application example on a case study within the Alpine region. The used model is a DynaMind model benchmarking the impact of newly connected catchments on the flooding behaviour of an existing combined sewer system. As a result the workflow of the user within a Web browser is demonstrated and benchmark results are shown. The presented platform hides implementation specific aspects behind Web services based technologies such that the user can focus on his main aim, which is urban water management modelling and benchmarking. Moreover, this platform offers a centralized data management, automatic software updates and access to high performance computers accessible with desktop computers and mobile devices.

Designing and implementing a multi-core capable integrated urban drainage modelling Toolkit

Development and application of an integrated modelling toolkit for urban water systems. Multi-core capability for high performance applications. Open source and modular design for easy and flexible extension. Integrated urban drainage modelling combines different aspects of the urban water system into a common framework. With increasing pressures of a changing climate, urban growth and economic constraints, the need for wider spread integration is necessary in the interest of a sustainable future. Greater complexity results in greater computational burden but modelling packages will, likewise, need to be flexible enough to allow incorporation of new algorithms. With advancements in modern information technology, a parallel implementation of such a modelling toolkit is mandatory while still leaving its users the flexibility of extensions. The design and implementation of the integrated modelling framework CityDrain3 shows that it is possible to write research code that is high-performance and extensible by many research projects. Three use case scenarios are presented to showcase the application of CityDrain3. The performance advantage of parallelization (up to 40 times compared to its predecessor) and the scalability of the framework are also demonstrated.

Assessing the efficiency of different CSO positions based on network graph characteristics.

The technical design of urban drainage systems comprises two major aspects: first, the spatial layout of the sewer system and second, the pipe-sizing process. Usually, engineers determine the spatial layout of the sewer network manually, taking into account physical features and future planning scenarios. Before the pipe-sizing process starts, it is important to determine locations of possible weirs and combined sewer overflows (CSOs) based on, e.g. distance to receiving water bodies or to a wastewater treatment plant and available space for storage units. However, positions of CSOs are also determined by topological characteristics of the sewer networks. In order to better understand the impact of placement choices for CSOs and storage units in new systems, this work aims to determine case unspecific, general rules. Therefore, based on numerous, stochastically generated virtual alpine sewer systems of different sizes it is investigated how choices for placement of CSOs and storage units have an impact on the pipe-sizing process (hence, also on investment costs) and on technical performance (CSO efficiency and flooding). To describe the impact of the topological positions of these elements in the sewer networks, graph characteristics are used. With an evaluation of 2,000 different alpine combined sewer systems, it was found that, as expected, with CSOs at more downstream positions in the network, greater construction costs and better performance regarding CSO efficiency result. At a specific point (i.e. topological network position), no significant difference (further increase) in construction costs can be identified. Contrarily, the flooding efficiency increases with more upstream positions of the CSOs. Therefore, CSO and flooding efficiency are in a trade-off conflict and a compromise is required.

Modelling characteristics of the urban form to support water systems planning

Abstract A spatial model is presented, based on urban planning concepts for abstracting urban form characteristics in new and existing areas. Requiring input maps of land use, elevation, population and parameters from planning regulations, the model conceptualises (on a spatial grid) attributes including impervious fraction, allotment geometry and roof areas among other relevant characteristics for integrated urban water management. The model is calibrated to three different Melbourne districts, varying in size (10–60 km2) and land use. Performance was evaluated by comparing modelled outputs with observations of total dwelling count, employment and spatial distribution of impervious fraction and residential roof areas. Results not only highlight reasonably good prediction, particularly with spatially variable indicators such as imperviousness across all case studies, but also logical contrasts and consistency in the chosen planning parameters across the different case study districts. Discrepancies highlight aspects needing improvement and potential for exploring auto-calibration and model sensitivity.

Klimawandel und Urbanisierung – wie soll die Wasserinfrastruktur angepasst werden?

ZusammenfassungStädte sind ständigen Veränderungen unterworfen, neben zu- und abnehmender Bevölkerung verändern sich auch die Bedürfnisse der Bevölkerung und somit die Anforderungen an den Lebensraum Stadt und damit auch an die Wasserinfrastruktur. Neben den geänderten Anforderungen an die Siedlungsentwässerung stellt vor allem der Klimawandel die bestehende Wasserinfrastruktur vor große Herausforderung. So kann durch die prognostizierte Zunahme von Starkregenereignissen in vielen Städten der Schutz vor Überflutung nur mehr unzureichend erfüllt werden. Um neue Strategien und Technologien zur Anpassung von Entwässerungssystemen auf ihre Wirksamkeit testen zu können, wird im Rahmen des EU-FP7-Projektes „PREPARED: Enabling Change“ das strategische Planungstool DAnCE4Water (Dynamic Adaptation for eNabling City Evolution for Water) entwickelt. DAnCE4Water ermöglicht das Testen von Technologien und Strategien in einer integrierten dynamischen urbanen Umgebung unter Berücksichtigung von Stadtwachstum, sozialen sowie klimatischen Veränderungen. Anhand eines einfachen Anwendungsbeispiels kann das Potenzial von DAnCE4Water aufgezeigt werden. Hierfür wird eine Stadt und deren Siedlungsentwässerungsstruktur 20 Jahre in die Zukunft entwickelt und das Potenzial von Infiltrationsanlagen zur Kompensierung möglicher Effekte aus Klimawandel und Urbanisierung untersucht.AbstractConventional urban water servicing has successfully provided cities with clean water, sanitation and flood protection. Traditional approaches are unsuited to address future challenges like climate change and modern urban development trends (e.g. migration, aging population, densification). As well as increased risks of water scarcity and flooding, societys demands for urban amenity and healthy waterways in metropolitan areas also challenge these traditional principles of urban water management.It is increasingly recognized that solutions to these challenges will not be purely technological in nature; the socio-institutional contexts will also be critical. However modelling tools to support medium and long-term strategic planning of integrated social and infrastructural dimensions are lacking, leaving decision-makers with untested policy ideas.To identify possible transition strategies to a resilient city, the development of the DAnCE4Water (Dynamic Adaptation for eNabling City Evolution for Water) within the EU FP7 project “PREPARED: Enabling Change” as a strategic planning and decision-support tool is thus proposed. DAnCE4Water allows ‘What-if’ experiments by investigating possible consequences of policies and strategic actions, taking into consideration urban development, climate change, biophysical environment and societal dynamics.This paper presents the concept of the DAnCE4Water tool and its application to an example citys evolution 20 years into the future.