Christopher M. Keran

Supply and demand analysis of the current and future US neurology workforce

Objective: This study estimates current and projects future neurologist supply and demand under alternative scenarios nationally and by state from 2012 through 2025. Methods: A microsimulation supply model simulates likely career choices of individual neurologists, taking into account the number of new neurologists trained each year and changing demographics of the neurology workforce. A microsimulation demand model simulates utilization of neurology services for each individual in a representative sample of the population in each state and for the United States as a whole. Demand projections reflect increased prevalence of neurologic conditions associated with population growth and aging, and expanded coverage under health care reform. Results: The estimated active supply of 16,366 neurologists in 2012 is projected to increase to 18,060 by 2025. Long wait times for patients to see a neurologist, difficulty hiring new neurologists, and large numbers of neurologists who do not accept new Medicaid patients are consistent with a current national shortfall of neurologists. Demand for neurologists is projected to increase from ∼18,180 in 2012 (11% shortfall) to 21,440 by 2025 (19% shortfall). This includes an increased demand of 520 full-time equivalent neurologists starting in 2014 from expanded medical insurance coverage associated with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. Conclusions: In the absence of efforts to increase the number of neurology professionals and retain the existing workforce, current national and geographic shortfalls of neurologists are likely to worsen, exacerbating long wait times and reducing access to care for Medicaid beneficiaries. Current geographic differences in adequacy of supply likely will persist into the future.

End-of-life care: A survey of US neurologists’ attitudes, behavior, and knowledge

Objective: The American Academy of Neurology (AAN) surveyed the attitudes, behavior, and knowledge of its members regarding care at the end of life. Three groups of AAN members were surveyed: neuro-oncologists, ALS specialists, and a representative sample of US neurologists. Methods: The survey presented two clinical scenarios involving end-of-life care. Neurologists were asked a series of questions to assess their knowledge of existing medical, ethical, and legal guidelines; their willingness to participate in physician-assisted suicide (PAS) or carry out voluntary euthanasia (VE); and their general attitudes regarding end-of-life care. Results: Neurologists support a patient’s right to refuse life-sustaining treatment, but many believe that they are killing their patients in supporting such refusals. Thirty-seven percent think it is illegal to administer analgesics in doses that risk respiratory depression to the point of death. Forty percent believe they should obtain legal counsel when considering stopping life-sustaining treatment. One half believe that PAS should be made explicitly legal by statute for terminally ill patients. Under current law, 13% would participate in PAS and 4% would carry out VE; if those procedures were legalized, 44% would participate in PAS and 28% in VE. Approximately one third believe that physicians have the same ethical duty to honor a terminally ill patient’s request for PAS as they do to honor a such a patient’s refusal of life-sustaining therapy. Conclusions: There is a gap between established medical, legal, and ethical guidelines for the care of dying patients and the beliefs and practices of many neurologists, suggesting a need for graduate and postgraduate education programs in the principles and practices of palliative care medicine. Many neurologists would participate in PAS and carry out VE if legalized.

Burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being among US neurologists in 2016

Objective: To study prevalence of and factors that contribute to burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being in US neurologists. Methods: A total of 4,127 US American Academy of Neurology member neurologists who had finished training were surveyed using validated measures of burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being from January 19 to March 21, 2016. Results: Response rate was 40.5% (1,671 of 4,127). Average age of participants was 51 years, with 65.3% male and nearly equal representation across US geographic regions. Approximately 60% of respondents had at least one symptom of burnout. Hours worked/week, nights on call/week, number of outpatients seen/week, and amount of clerical work were associated with greater burnout risk. Effective support staff, job autonomy, meaningful work, age, and subspecializing in epilepsy were associated with lower risk. Academic practice (AP) neurologists had a lower burnout rate and higher rates of career satisfaction and quality of life than clinical practice (CP) neurologists. Some factors contributing to burnout were shared between AP and CP, but some risks were unique to practice setting. Factors independently associated with profession satisfaction included meaningfulness of work, job autonomy, effectiveness of support staff, age, practicing sleep medicine (inverse relationship), and percent time in clinical practice (inverse relationship). Burnout was strongly associated with decreased career satisfaction. Conclusions: Burnout is common in all neurology practice settings and subspecialties. The largest driver of career satisfaction is the meaning neurologists find in their work. The results from this survey will inform approaches needed to reduce burnout and promote career satisfaction and well-being in US neurologists.

Training the future neurology workforce

Objective: To address training demands on future neurologists, the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) surveyed its US members as to their views about training the future neurology workforce. Methods: The survey was mailed to 575 US neurologists and 425 residents/fellows. Respondents (54%) were asked about their perceptions of current and future educational programs and settings needed to improve practice competence; issues related to subspecialization; and the role of non-neurologists in providing neurologic care. Views of neurologists were compared with those of neurology residents/fellows. Results: Most respondents support additional training in outpatient, community, and staff model health maintenance organization settings. The majority of respondents oppose a required fifth year of training or a yearly competency examination, but neurologists who have a subspecialty interest and residents/fellows favor elective certification and higher fees by subspecialists. General neurologists oppose these ideas. Most neurologists feel that primary care physicians, nurse practitioners, and physician assistants can manage uncomplicated neurologic problems, although residents/fellows are less willing to accept the role of nonphysician providers for neurologic services. Conclusions: Neurology educational programs should consider addressing deficiencies that today’s practitioners perceive. Increasing subspecialization, although favored by most neurologists, creates a challenge for the neurologic community as neurologists without subspecialty training see this trend as a threat to their livelihood.

Employment-seeking experiences of residents in 1996 A window into the neurology marketplace

Objective: To assess career choice and employment-seeking experience of senior neurology residents in 1996. Methods: Graduating residents in adult and pediatric neurology (n = 573) were surveyed to obtain career plans, initial job selection, health care attitudes, and demographic information. Results were compared with 1996 data on all United States neurologists and data from an American Medical Association (AMA) resident survey regarding the employment status of new physicians. Results: Survey response rate was 71%. There was a significant increase in international medical graduates and women entering neurology compared with the current workforce. Seventy-four percent of graduates planned to enter a fellowship position; 19%, private practice; 5%, an academic position; and 2%, a career outside of clinical medicine. Neurology residents differ from aggregate national data because only 28% of residents responding to an AMA survey across all specialties applied to fellowships in 1996. Overall, 44% of neurology graduates planned an academic career. Conclusions: Changing demographics and career choice of recent graduates may require continued monitoring and could be important in neurology workforce planning. The high rate of fellowship training and plans for academic careers in 1996 is of interest and may reflect both resident response to new demands in the changing health care market and a need to modify residency programs to enhance academic training and competitiveness of neurology graduates.

US neurologists Attitudes on rationing

Objective: To assess neurologists’ attitudes on rationing health care and to determine whether neurologists would set healthcare priorities in ways that are consistent with cost-effectiveness research. Background: Cost-effectiveness research can suggest ways to maximize health benefits within fixed budgets but is currently being underused in resource allocation decisions. Methods: The authors surveyed a random sample of neurologists practicing in the United States (response rate, 44.4%) with three hypothetical scenarios. Two scenarios were designed to address general attitudes on allocating finite resources with emphasis on formulary decisions for costly drugs. The third scenario was designed to assess whether neurologists would optimize the allocation of a fixed budget as recommended by cost-effectiveness analysis. Results: Three-quarters of respondents thought that neurologists make daily decisions that effectively ration healthcare resources, and 60% felt a professional responsibility to consider the financial impact of individualized treatment decisions on other patients. Only 25% of respondents thought that there should be no restrictions placed on any of the five newer antiepileptic agents. In a 1995 survey, 75% of similarly sampled neurologists agreed that no restrictions should be placed on the availability of FDA-approved medications. Nearly half (46%) of respondents favored a less effective test and would be willing to let patients die to ensure the offering of a more equitable alternative. Conclusions: Most neurologists recognize the need to ration health care, and although they think cost-effectiveness research is one method to achieve efficient distribution of resources, many think that considerable attention should also be given to equity.–1497

US neurologists in the 1990s Trends in practice characteristics

Background: The American Academy of Neurology (AAN) conducts periodic surveys of its members to profile and monitor changes in the characteristics of US neurologists and their practices. Objective: To assess neurologists’ characteristics, geographic distribution, practice arrangements, professional activities, practice volume, procedures performed, sources of revenue, involvement with managed care and capitation, and other selected topics. Methods: The AAN Member Census survey was sent to US neurologists in the fall of 1996 (response rate = 89%), and the Practice Profile survey was sent to a random sample of 1,986 US neurologists in the summer of 1997 (response rate = 55%) who had completed a Member Census survey. The results of the Practice Profile survey were compared with those of two prior surveys conducted in 1991 to 1992 and 1993 to 1994. Results: The mean age of US neurologists is 48 years, 18% are women, 93% are US citizens, and 24% are international medical graduates. The proportion of neurologists in solo practices, group practices, and medical schools/universities has not changed. The weekly hours worked has remained stable (58 hours), but the time spent in administrative activities has increased (p < 0.001). The average number of patient visits per week to neurologists appears to have increased (p < 0.001), as has the proportion of neurologists performing procedures (p < 0.05). The majority of neurologists have contracts with managed care organizations (82%), and a minority (32%) have capitated payment arrangements. Medicare continues to be the largest source of clinical revenue. Nearly 50% of all respondents have experience in developing clinical practice guidelines or critical pathways, and >20% of respondents employed physician extenders to assist in their practices. Conclusion: Neurologists are spending more time in administrative activities, are performing or interpreting more procedures, and are seeing more patients. Neurologists’ involvement with capitation is comparable with that in a nationally representative sample of physicians, and they are exploring innovative ways, such as developing practice guidelines and using physician extenders, to improve the quality and efficiency of providing neurologic care.

Author response: Burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being among US neurologists in 2016

We thank Bagot et al. for their comments. Burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being in neurologists who practice telemedicine is important to study as this practice model becomes more common.

Author response: Burnout, career satisfaction, and well-being among US neurology residents and fellows in 2016

We agree that factors outside the workplace play a potentially important role in emotional exhaustion and burnout among neurology trainees. We concentrated on workplace drivers of burnout, except for one general question about work–life balance, in order to keep the survey length manageable.1 Burnout is associated with poor quality of life and educational debt.2 Work–home interference can be a cause as well as a result of stress during residency.3 A more in-depth study of work–life balance and stressors outside the workplace among neurology trainees could provide additional insights.