Cláudio Djissey Shikida

The international research of academic economists in Brazil: 1999-2006

Este paper estende a analise de Faria (2000) para o periodo de 1999-2006. O estudo analisa a producao de 750 economistas academicos de 31 departamentos de economia com programas de pos-graduacao no Brasil. Ao nivel individual, somente 12 economistas conseguiram publicar pelo menos um artigo nas revistas academicas mais importantes da profissao, e 96 economistas publicaram pelo menos um artigo nas revistas da lista de revistas internacionais. As areas de pesquisa em que os brasileiros sao mais bem sucedidos sao: Economia Aplicada, Desenvolvimento Economico, Economia Matematica e Economia Pos-Keynesiana. Ha uma diferenca marcante de qualidade entre os departamentos. A performance dos departamentos depende de esforcos isolados de individuos. O numero total de artigos publicados, de pesquisadores publicando em revistas internacionais e departamentos com membros publicando em revistas internacionais, cresceu durante o periodo.

The citation pattern of Brazilian economists

This paper studies the determinants of international citations by Brazilian economists in papers published in the top domestic journals in 1994 and 2004. Brazilian research in economics has become more open to international influence and widespread geographically; researchers more specialized and technically oriented and the research topics more diversified. However, Brazil is plagued by editorial favoritism, reflected in the negative and significant impact of references to the works authored by domestic journals editors on international citations. We also find that longer technical papers written on topics other than the economic history of Brazil are more likely to cite foreign literature.

Economia política da disputa por terras em Minas Gerais

The article analyzes the determinants of the probability of dispute over land conflicts, occupations and settlement projects) in the Brazilian state of Minas Gerais. Through the use of a logic model, we found that the main influences are political and economical ones. Apparently, the behavior of the agrarian reform’s supporters follows the political incentive, with fewer occurrences of conflicts in towns governed by political allies. By other hand, the economical determinants - degree of poverty and the economic growth - have negative impacts on it.

Dê-me segurança ou lhe dou um não: em busca do eleitor mediano no referendo das armas

On October 23, 2005, the Brazilian society faced a referendum with two options: “to not ban the legal market for firearms” and “to ban the legal market for firearms”. Voters chose the first option. Along the months before the voting day, two interest groups were formed: one, called “No” – arguing for not banning the market – and the other group, called “Yes” – for the ban. This article has two main objectives: first, to analyze the arguments of each group using an analytical model and, two, to identify the determinants of the voter’s choice using data at the local level. The main results indicate that the votes for No were negatively correlated to the homicide rate (measured in 2002) and positively correlated with the marginal change of the homicide rate (between 1995 and 2002. Thus, cities in which the violence increases more quickly, the citizens did not choose to ban the legal market for firearms.

TEORIA ECONÔMICA DO SUICÍDIO: ESTUDO EMPÍRICO PARA O BRASIL

Este artigo procura analisar como variaveis economicas influenciam as taxas de suicidios d o Brasil. Para isso analisa-se um cross-section estadual do ano de 2000. Os resultados sugerem que as previsoes teoricas foram validadas em sua maioria. Foi identificada uma relacao cubica entre idade e as taxas de suicidio. Do ponto de vista regional, as regioes sul e centro-oeste possuem taxas de suicidio superiores as observadas no sudeste. Os gastos com saude apresentaram efeito negativo sobre as taxas de suicidio o que evidencia o papel das politicas publicas em saude como forma de prevencao.

UMA ANÁLISE ECONOMÉTRICA DO FUTEBOL BRASILEIRO

This paper reports regression results identifying the variables influencing a states performance in Brazilian Soccers Championship. The results reveal that economic, club-specific controls and political factors are important. An inverted U-shaped relationship is found with respect to regional per capita wealth. We also found significant positive political effects with respect to the performance of Brazilian teams in the short run and negative in the long run. Explanations for our results are offered.

A ELEIÇÃO DE DILMA EM 2010 E SEUS DETERMINANTES: EVIDÊNCIAS EMPÍRICAS DO PROGRAMA BOLSA FAMÍLIA

This paper presents empirical evidence that the Bolsa Familia cash transfer program played a major role in the election of Dilma Rousseff, the Workers’ Party candidate, in 2010 presidential election. Our analysis indicates that this effect was more relevant than the impact of the favorable economic scene during the two Lula’s mandates. Employing a sample of 5.564 Brazilian municipalities, the results obtained from Beta Regression models point out that this statement holds even when we take into account other economic, social and political variables, as well as unobservable regional characteristics. The empirical results also point to a greater vote share to Dilma in the municipalities that show lower levels of schooling, giving support to the literature that proposes that less educated people tend to be more dependent on the Government and, therefore, they tend to keep the status quo unchanged. Different specifications confirm the results obtained.