Cláudio Roberto Fóffano Vasconcelos

Medidas "antidumping" e resultados colusivos: o caso do PEBDL na economia brasileira

The literature shows that the application of antidumping legislation can have a major effect on international trade. The threat of invoking the law can be used to obtain a collusive agreement or to punish a deviation from an existing agreement made between domestic and foreign firms. Thus, the objective of this study was to examine whether the request by petitioners to withdraw dumping investigation concerning LLDPE (linear low density polyethylene) served to support collusion in the Brazilian economy. The results show that this withdrawal does not point to a collusive agreement between domestic and foreign firms in this industry.

The effect of macroeconomic variables on the opening of antidumping measures: A robust analysis for Brazilian and Argentine economy

This paper analyzes the influence of macroeconomic factors on the introduction of antidumping (AD) cases in Brazil and in Argentina. Since this type of research does not have large samples, the relevant variables were selected via Sala‐i‐Martins (1997) test. The results, estimated using Poisson models, revealed that Brazil and Argentina are influenced by macroeconomic factors. However, the traditional (aggregated) models tend to minimize this influence on Brazil and overestimate it on Argentina. We also found that domestic and foreign income growth, exchange rate devaluation, and a reduction in domestic prices could reduce the number of AD cases in both countries. Therefore, there is evidence that these countries are using the AD law as a political tool, shifting it from its main objective of avoiding unfair trade.

IDENTIFICAÇÃO DE NICHOS DE MERCADO PARA PAÍSES EXPORTADORES: UMA ANÁLISE MULTIVARIADA PARA O ANO DE 2011

This study aimed to identify market niches based on exports of 97 types of products made by 68 countries in 2011. Therefore, multivariate analysis techniques were used in order to determine which groups of countries are exporting similar products. The results indicate that exports of products of heavy industry (metal and concrete) and technology (machinery, reactors and electronic products) are the main differentiation factor between countries. China was the country with the highest score in these criteria (outlier) followed by Group USA and Germany. Brazil was included into an intermediate group and seems to compete more intensively with countries like India, Mexico, Malaysia, Turkey and nine other economies. In general, any trade agreement that focuses on economies inserted into the same group should consider the fact that they are not complementary between themselves and have been competing for the same niche in the foreign market.