Daniel J. Schaid

Evidence for a prostate cancer susceptibility locus on the X chromosome.

Over 200,000 new prostate cancer cases are diagnosed in the United States each year, accounting for more than 35% of all cancer cases affecting men, and resulting in 40,000 deaths annually1. Attempts to characterize genes predisposing to prostate cancer have been hampered by a high phenocopy rate, the late age of onset of the disease and, in the absence of distinguishing clinical features, the inability to stratify patients into subgroups relative to suspected genetic locus heterogeneity. We previously performed a genome-wide search for hereditary prostate cancer (HPC) genes, finding evidence of a prostate cancer susceptibility locus on chromosome 1 (termed HPC1; ref. 2). Here we present evidence for the location of a second prostate cancer susceptibility gene, which by heterogeneity estimates accounts for approximately 16% of HPC cases. This HPC locus resides on the X chromosome (Xq27-28), a finding consistent with results of previous population-based studies suggesting an X-linked mode of HPC inheritance. Linkage to Xq27-28 was observed in a combined study population of 360 prostate cancer families collected at four independent sites in North America, Finland and Sweden. A maximum two-point lod score of 4.60 was observed at DXS1113, θ=0.26, in the combined data set. Parametric multipoint and non-parametric analyses provided results consistent with the two-point analysis. evidence for genetic locus heterogeneity was observed, with similar estimates of the proportion of linked families in each separate family collection. Genetic mapping of the locus represents an important initial step in the identification of an X-linked gene implicated in the aetiology of HPC.

Estimation and Tests of Haplotype-Environment Interaction when Linkage Phase Is Ambiguous

In the study of complex traits, the utility of linkage analysis and single marker association tests can be limited for researchers attempting to elucidate the complex interplay between a gene and environmental covariates. For these purposes, tests of gene-environment interactions are needed. In addition, recent studies have indicated that haplotypes, which are specific combinations of nucleotides on the same chromosome, may be more suitable as the unit of analysis for statistical tests than single genetic markers. The difficulty with this approach is that, in standard laboratory genotyping, haplotypes are often not directly observable. Instead, unphased marker phenotypes are collected. In this article, we present a method for estimating and testing haplotype-environment interactions when linkage phase is potentially ambiguous. The method builds on the work of Schaid et al. [2002] and is applicable to any trait that can be placed in the generalized linear model framework. Simulations were run to illustrate the salient features of the method. In addition, the method was used to test for haplotype-smoking exposure interaction with data from the Childhood Asthma Management Program.

Anxiety disorders and depressive disorders preceding Parkinson's disease: a case-control study.

We studied the association between preceding psychiatric disorders and Parkinsons disease (PD) using a case‐control design. We used the medical records‐linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology Project to identify 196 subjects who developed PD in Olmsted County, Minnesota, during the years 1976–1995. Each case was matched by age (±1 yr) and sex to a general population control. We reviewed the complete medical records of cases and control subjects to detect preceding psychiatric disorders. The frequency of psychiatric disorders was higher in cases than in control subjects; the odds ratio was 2.2 for anxiety disorders (95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.4–3.4; p = 0.0003), 1.9 for depressive disorders (95% CI = 1.1–3.2; p = 0.02), and 2.4 for both anxiety disorders and depressive disorders occurring in the same individual (95% CI = 1.2–4.8; p = 0.02). When we restricted analyses to disorders present 5 years or more before the onset of motor symptoms of PD, the association with depressive disorders lost statistical significance. However, the association with anxiety disorders remained significant for disorders present 5, 10, or 20 years before onset of motor symptoms. Our results suggest that anxiety disorders and depressive disorders are associated with PD and that the causative process or the risk factors underlying PD are present many years before the appearance of motor symptoms.

Common sequence variants on 2p15 and Xp11.22 confer susceptibility to prostate cancer

We conducted a genome-wide SNP association study on prostate cancer on over 23,000 Icelanders, followed by a replication study including over 15,500 individuals from Europe and the United States. Two newly identified variants were shown to be associated with prostate cancer: rs5945572 on Xp11.22 and rs721048 on 2p15 (odds ratios (OR) = 1.23 and 1.15; P = 3.9 × 10−13 and 7.7 × 10−9, respectively). The 2p15 variant shows a significantly stronger association with more aggressive, rather than less aggressive, forms of the disease.

General score tests for associations of genetic markers with disease using cases and their parents

Association studies of genetic markers with disease play a critical role in the dissection of genetically complex traits because they are relatively easy to conduct and are useful for fine‐scale mapping of genetic traits. The advantage of family‐based controls has recently received much attention because spurious associations caused by population structure can be controlled for, and marker genotype information on diseased cases and their parents can be used to test the compound hypothesis of both linkage and linkage disequilibrium. However, debate still exists regarding the statistical methods of analysis. Herein are presented statistical methods to test for linkage (in the presence of linkage disequilibrium) between multiallelic genetic markers and disease when diseased subjects (cases) and their parents are sampled. Theoretical considerations for the development of general statistical tests are presented as well as asymptotic formulas to compute their power when planning a study. Furthermore, simulation results for nine specific statistics are used to contrast the power of these methods under different genetic mechanisms leading to disease (dominant vs. recessive, one vs. two high‐risk alleles). These results demonstrate substantial gains in power for specific statistical tests designed to detect specified genetic mechanisms. However, without a priori knowledge of the likely genetic mechanism, it is desirable to rely on a fairly robust statistical method, robust so that power is not drastically lost when either dominant or recessive mechanisms are acting, and when either one or more than one marker alleles are associated with disease. Based on both theoretical and simulation results, a general score statistic, which generalizes the transmission/disequilibrium test, tends to offer sufficient power for a variety of genetic mechanisms, so that it is worth considering for broad use in studies which use genetic marker information from both diseased cases and their parents.

Evidence for a Prostate Cancer-Susceptibility Locus on Chromosome 20

Recent studies suggest that hereditary prostate cancer is a complex disease involving multiple susceptibility genes and variable phenotypic expression. While conducting a genomewide search on 162 North American families with > or =3 members affected with prostate cancer (PRCA), we found evidence for linkage to chromosome 20q13 with two-point parametric LOD scores >1 at multiple sites, with the highest two-point LOD score of 2.69 for marker D20S196. The maximum multipoint NPL score for the entire data set was 3.02 (P=.002) at D20S887. On the basis of findings from previous reports, families were stratified by the presence (n=116) or absence (n=46) of male-to-male transmission, average age of diagnosis (<66 years, n=73; > or =66 years, n=89), and number of affected individuals (<5, n=101; > or =5, n=61) for further analysis. The strongest evidence of linkage was evident with the pedigrees having <5 family members affected with prostate cancer (multipoint NPL 3.22, P=.00079), a later average age of diagnosis (multipoint NPL 3.40, P=.0006), and no male-to-male transmission (multipoint NPL 3.94, P=.00007). The group of patients having all three of these characteristics (n=19) had a multipoint NPL score of 3.69 (P=.0001). These results demonstrate evidence for a PRCA susceptibility locus in a subset of families that is distinct from the groups more likely to be linked to previously identified loci.

Efficacy of Contralateral Prophylactic Mastectomy in Women With a Personal and Family History of Breast Cancer

PURPOSE To estimate the efficacy of contralateral prophylactic mastectomy in women with a personal and family history of breast cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS We followed the course of 745 women with a first breast cancer and a family history of breast and/or ovarian cancer who underwent contralateral prophylactic mastectomy at the Mayo Clinic between 1960 and 1993. Family history information and cancer follow-up information were obtained from the medical record, a study-specific questionnaire, and telephone follow-up. Life-tables for contralateral breast cancers, which consider age at first breast cancer, current age, and type of family history, were used to calculate the number of breast cancers expected in our cohort had they not had a prophylactic mastectomy. RESULTS Of the 745 women in our cohort, 388 were premenopausal (age < 50 years) and 357 were post- menopausal. Eight women developed a contralateral breast cancer. Six events were observed among the premenopausal women, compared with 106.2 predicted, resulting in a risk reduction of 94.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 87.7% to 97.9%). For the 357 postmenopausal women, 50.3 contralateral breast cancers were predicted, whereas only two were observed, representing a 96.0% risk reduction (95% CI, 85.6% to 99.5%). CONCLUSION The incidence of contralateral breast cancer seems to be reduced significantly after contralateral prophylactic mastectomy in women with a personal and family history of breast cancer.

Risk tables for parkinsonism and Parkinson's disease

We applied the incidence rates of parkinsonism and Parkinsons disease (PD) from Olmsted County, MN (1976-1990) to a hypothetical cohort undergoing the mortality rates observed in Minnesota, and computed the lifetime risk and the remaining lifetime risk of developing parkinsonism and PD. These risks were compared to cumulative incidences that do not take competing risks of death into account. The lifetime risk of developing parkinsonism from birth was 4.4% for men and 3.7% for women (ratio = 1.2). The corresponding risk of developing PD was 2.0% for men and 1.3% for women (ratio = 1.5). Because of the opposite effect of higher incidence and higher mortality rates in men, the lifetime risks were only slightly higher in men than in women. Lifetime cumulative incidences were consistently higher than lifetime risks; this difference was more pronounced in men and in older subjects. Lifetime risk estimates are useful in clinical practice, epidemiologic research, and public health.

Evidence for autosomal dominant inheritance of prostate cancer.

A family-history cancer survey was conducted on 5,486 men who underwent a radical prostatectomy, for clinically localized prostate cancer, in the Department of Urology at the Mayo Clinic during 1966-95; 4,288 men responded to the survey. Complex segregation analysis was performed to assess the genetic basis of age at diagnosis and the familial clustering of prostate cancer. For the total group, no single-gene model of inheritance clearly explained familial clustering of disease, which could be partly explained by lack of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, with an excess of homozygotes. After accounting for deviations from Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, the best-fitting model that explained the familial aggregation and age at diagnosis was a rare autosomal dominant susceptibility gene, and this model fitted best when probands were diagnosed at <60 years of age. The model predicts that the frequency of the susceptibility gene in the population is .006 and that the risk of prostate cancer by age 85 years is 89% among carriers of the gene and 3% among noncarriers. A strength of our study is its large size, such that genetic models could be fitted within strata defined by the age of the proband. Although the autosomal dominant model was consistently the best model, the parameter estimates differed somewhat (P=.03) across the different age groups, suggesting genetic heterogeneity. Additional evidence that the hereditary basis of prostate cancer is likely to be genetically complex was provided by the following: (1) there was a significantly elevated age-adjusted risk of prostate cancer among brothers of probands, compared with their fathers (relative risk 1.5 [95% confidence interval 1.4-1.7]); (2) the autosomal dominant model predicted an excess of homozygotes, over that predicted by Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium; and (3) the model-predicted risk of prostate cancer among relatives was inadequate when probands were diagnosed at age >=70 years.

Incidence of Reading Disability in a Population-Based Birth Cohort, 1976–1982, Rochester, Minn

OBJECTIVE To report the incidence of reading disability among school-aged children. SUBJECTS AND METHODS In this population-based, retrospective birth cohort study, subjects included all 5718 children born between 1976 and 1982 who remained in Rochester, Minn, after the age of 5 years. Based on records from all public and nonpublic schools, medical facilities, and private tutorial services and on results of all individually administered IQ and achievement tests, extensive medical, educational, and socioeconomic information were abstracted. Reading disability was established with use of research criteria based on 4 formulas (2 regression-based discrepancy, 1 non-regression-based discrepancy, and 1 low achievement). RESULTS Cumulative incidence rates of reading disability varied from 5.3% to 11.8% depending on the formula used. Boys were 2 to 3 times more likely to be affected than girls, regardless of the identification methods applied. CONCLUSIONS In this population-based birth cohort, reading disability was common among school-aged children and significantly more frequent among boys than girls, regardless of definition.