Danjie Zhang

Risk Group and Death From Prostate Cancer: Implications for Active Surveillance in Men With Favorable Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer

IMPORTANCE Active surveillance (AS), per the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines, is considered for patients with low-risk prostate cancer (PC) and a life expectancy of at least 10 years. However, given the grade migration following the 2005 International Society of Urologic Pathology consensus conference, AS may be appropriate for men presenting with favorable intermediate-risk PC. OBJECTIVE To estimate and compare the risk of PC-specific mortality (PCSM) and all-cause mortality (ACM) following brachytherapy among men with low and favorable intermediate-risk PC. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Prospective cohort study of 5580 consecutively treated men (median age, 68 years) with localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate treated with brachytherapy at the Prostate Cancer Foundation of Chicago between October 16, 1997, and May 28, 2013. INTERVENTION Standard of practice per the NCCN guidelines. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Fine and Gray competing risks regression and Cox regression analyses were used to assess whether the risks of PCSM and ACM, respectively, were increased in men with favorable intermediate-risk vs low-risk PC. Analyses were adjusted for age at brachytherapy, year of treatment, and known PC prognostic factors. RESULTS After median follow-up of 7.69 years, 605 men had died (10.84% of total cohort), 34 of PC (5.62% of total deaths). Men with favorable intermediate-risk PC did not have significantly increased risk of PCSM and ACM compared with men with low-risk PC (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.64; 95% CI, 0.76-3.53; P = .21 for PCSM; adjusted HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.88-1.39; P = .38 for ACM). Eight-year adjusted point estimates for PCSM were low: 0.48% (95% CI, 0.23%-0.93%) and 0.33% (95% CI, 0.19%-0.56%) for men with favorable intermediate-risk PC and low-risk PC, respectively. The respective estimates for ACM were 10.45% (95% CI, 8.91%-12.12%) and 8.68% (95% CI, 7.80%-9.61%). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Men with low-risk PC and favorable intermediate-risk PC have similarly low estimates of PCSM and ACM during the first decade following brachytherapy. While awaiting the results of ProtecT, the randomized trial of AS vs treatment, our results provide evidence to support AS as an initial approach for men with favorable intermediate-risk PC.

Association of androgen-deprivation therapy with excess cardiac-specific mortality in men with prostate cancer.

To determine if androgen‐deprivation therapy (ADT) is associated with excess cardiac‐specific mortality (CSM) in men with prostate cancer and no cardiovascular comorbidity, coronary artery disease risk factors, or congestive heart failure (CHF) or past myocardial infarction (MI).

The likelihood of death from prostate cancer in men with favorable or unfavorable intermediate‐risk disease

Recently, men with intermediate‐risk prostate cancer (PC) were classified into favorable and unfavorable categories; however, whether the risk of PC‐specific mortality (PCSM) among men with high‐risk PC versus unfavorable intermediate‐risk PC is increased is unknown.

Androgen deprivation therapy and the risk of death from prostate cancer among men with favorable or unfavorable intermediate-risk disease.

Radiotherapy (RT), short‐course androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), and brachytherapy in various combinations are treatment options for patients with intermediate‐risk prostate cancer (PC), but the question of which combination if any is necessary to minimize PC‐specific mortality (PCSM) risk in patients with favorable or unfavorable intermediate‐risk PC is unknown. The authors assessed PCSM risk after commonly used treatments.

The Effect of Differing Gleason Scores at Biopsy on the Odds of Upgrading and the Risk of Death From Prostate Cancer

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND The GS is an established prostate cancer prognostic factor. Whether the presence of differing GSs at biopsy (eg, 4+3 and 3+3), which we term ComboGS, improves the prognosis that would be predicted based on the highest GS (eg, 4+3) because of decreased upgrading is unknown. Therefore, we evaluated the odds of upgrading at time of radical prostatectomy (RP) and the risk of PCSM when ComboGS was present versus absent. PATIENTS AND METHODS Logistic and competing risks regression were performed to assess the effect that ComboGS had on the odds of upgrading at time of RP in the index (n = 134) and validation cohorts (n = 356) and the risk of PCSM after definitive therapy in a long-term cohort (n = 666), adjusting for known predictors of these end points. We calculated and compared the area under the curve using a receiver operating characteristic analysis when ComboGS was included versus excluded from the upgrading models. RESULTS ComboGS was associated with decreased odds of upgrading (index: adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 0.14; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04-0.50; P = .003; validation: AOR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.11-0.51; P < .001) and added significantly to the predictive value of upgrading for the in-sample index (P = .02), validation (P = .003), and out-of-sample prediction models (P = .002). ComboGS was also associated with a decreased risk of PCSM (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.19-0.85; P = .02). CONCLUSION Differing biopsy GSs are associated with a lower odds of upgrading and risk of PCSM. If validated, future randomized noninferiority studies evaluating deescalated treatment approaches in men with ComboGS could be considered.

Greatest percentage of involved core length and the risk of death from prostate cancer in men with highest Gleason score ≥ 7.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND Men with highest GS ≥ 7 and a differing, lower GS core (ComboGS) have decreased PC-specific mortality (PCSM) risk after RT or RT and androgen deprivation therapy (ADT). Whether the greatest percentage of involved core length (GPC) modulates this risk is unknown. PATIENTS AND METHODS Men with GS ≥ 7 PC (n = 333) consecutively treated between December 1989 and July 2000 using RT (n = 268; 80%) or RT and 6 months of ADT (n = 65; 20%) comprised the study cohort. The GPC was calculated using biopsy core and tumor lengths. We used competing risks regression to assess whether increasing GPC was associated with increased PCSM risk in men with or without ComboGS adjusting for risk group, age, and treatment. RESULTS After a median follow-up of 5.36 years (interquartile range, 3.22-7.61 years), 92 (28%) men died, 28 (30%) of PC. Increasing GPC was significantly associated with increased risk of PCSM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.03; P = .005). Men with GPC ≥ 50% versus < 50% had significantly greater PCSM estimates when ComboGS was present (P < .001) versus absent (P = .55). Of the 127 men with ComboGS and GPC < 50%, 83% were treated with RT alone and 2 PC deaths were observed; neither in men with GS 7 and favorable intermediate-risk PC. CONCLUSION Men treated with RT for ComboGS, GPC < 50%, GS 7, and favorable intermediate-risk PC have a very low risk of early PCSM. The RTOG 0815 trial will establish whether ADT is necessary to optimize curability in these men.

Short-course androgen deprivation therapy and the risk of death from high-risk prostate cancer in men undergoing external beam radiation therapy and brachytherapy.

PURPOSE We estimated the risks of prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) and all-cause mortality (ACM) in men with high-risk prostate cancer (PC) undergoing external beam radiation therapy and brachytherapy with short-course androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) (median 4 months) as compared with men with more favorable-risk PC undergoing standard of care as per the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines. METHODS AND MATERIALS The prospective study cohort comprised 6595 consecutively treated men with T1-4 N0M0 PC whose treatment included brachytherapy between October 16, 1997, and May 28, 2013. Fine and Gray competing risk regression and Cox regression analyses were used to assess the risks of PCSM and ACM in men with high, unfavorable intermediate, and favorable intermediate risk as compared with low-risk PC. RESULTS After median followup of 7.76 years, 820 men died (12.43%): 72 of PC (8.78%). Men with favorable intermediate-risk PC did not have significantly increased PCSM risk as compared with men with low-risk PC (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56, 2.88; p-Value 0.58), whereas men with high-risk PC (AHR, 3.74; 95% CI 1.12, 12.53; p-Value 0.032) and unfavorable intermediate-risk PC (AHR, 3.10; 95% CI 1.43, 6.72; p-Value 0.004) did. Based on 10-year adjusted point estimates of PCSM and ACM for men with high-risk PC being 6.01% (95% CI 3.79%, 8.94%) and 21.30% (95% CI 17.45%, 25.42%), respectively, PCSM comprised 28% of ACM. CONCLUSIONS In the setting of external beam radiation therapy and brachytherapy, men with high-risk PC have low absolute adjusted estimates of PCSM (~6%) during the first decade after treatment despite receiving only short-course ADT. Whether long-term ADT can lower PCSM and improve survival in these men requires additional study.

Evidence Suggesting That Obesity Prevention Measures May Improve Prostate Cancer Outcomes Using Data from a Prospective Randomized Trial

Purpose. Increasing body mass index (BMI) is associated with higher risk prostate cancer (PC) at presentation. Whether increasing BMI also prompts earlier salvage androgen suppression therapy (sAST) is unknown. Materials and Methods. Between 1995 and 2001, 206 men with unfavorable risk PC were treated with radiation therapy (RT) or RT and six months of androgen suppression therapy in a randomized controlled trial (RCT). 108 sustained PSA failure; 51 received sAST for PSA approaching 10 ng/mL; 49 with BMI data comprised the study cohort. A multivariable Cox regression analysis identified pretreatment factors associated with earlier sAST receipt. Results. Increasing BMI prompted earlier sAST (median years: 3.7 for overweight/obese, 6.9 for normal weight; adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.18; P = 0.002) as did high versus other risk PC (median: 3.2 versus 5.2 years; AHR: 2.01; 95% CI: 1.05, 3.83; P = 0.03). Increasing median time to sAST was observed for overweight/obese men with high versus other risk PC and for normal-weight men with any risk PC being 2.3, 4.6, and 6.9 years, respectively (P < 0.001 for trend). Conclusion. Increasing BMI was associated with earlier sAST. A RCT evaluating whether BMI reduction delays or eliminates need for sAST is warranted.

Maximum Tumor Diameter and the Risk of Prostate-Specific Antigen Recurrence After Radical Prostatectomy

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND The aim of this study was to investigate whether the MTD could identify men at low risk of PSA recurrence after RP who might not benefit from ART despite other adverse features. PATIENTS AND METHODS The study cohort consisted of 354 men with T1c to T2 prostate cancer diagnosed between September 2001 and December 2008 who underwent RP without adjuvant therapy. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess the effect of MTD on the risk of PSA recurrence (> 0.1 ng/mL and verified), adjusting for known predictors. RESULTS After a median follow-up of 4.0 years, 34 men (9.6%) experienced PSA failure. In multivariable analysis, increasing MTD was significantly associated with an increased PSA recurrence risk (hazard ratio, 2.74; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-6.10; P = .01) within the interaction model. Estimates of PSA recurrence-free survival stratified around the median MTD value (1.2 cm) were significantly different in men with a pre-RP PSA > 4 ng/mL (P < .001; 5-year estimate: 74.5% vs. 99.0%) but not in men with PSA ≤ 4 ng/mL (P = .59; 5-year estimate: 89.6% vs. 92.6%), consistent with the significant interaction (P = .004) between PSA and MTD. Moreover, in men with a pre-RP PSA > 4 ng/mL these estimates were significantly different if at least 1 adverse feature (pT3, R1, or Gleason score ≥ 8) was present at RP (P = .01; 5-year estimate: 46.6% vs. 100%) versus none (P = .09; 5-year estimate: 93.4% vs. 98.9%). CONCLUSION Men with a low MTD (≤ 1.2 cm) appear to be at low risk of PSA recurrence despite adverse features at RP and might not benefit from ART.

Unfavorable Intermediate-Risk Prostate Cancer and the Odds of Upgrading to Gleason 8 or Higher at Prostatectomy

Micro‐Abstract In order to decide whether to administer radiation and a short or long course of androgen deprivation therapy in men with unfavorable intermediate‐risk prostate cancer, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging could be considered when the prostate‐specific antigen is low (< 5 ng/mL) and the percentage core length high (> 70%) to identify occult Gleason score 8 or higher disease. Background: Some men with unfavorable intermediate‐risk prostate cancer (PC) have occult disease with a Gleason score of 8 or higher unrecognized on biopsy because of a sampling error that would change management to long from short course androgen‐deprivation therapy in conjunction with radiotherapy. Identifying such men could improve outcomes. Patients and Methods: The study cohort consisted of 136 consecutive men with unfavorable intermediate‐risk PC who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) between 2005 and 2008. We performed logistic regression analysis to identify clinical factors associated with upgrading to a Gleason score of 8 or higher at RP. Results: Fourteen percent of the men were upgraded to a Gleason score of 8 or higher PC at RP. Both increasing prostate‐specific antigen (PSA) (adjusted odds ratio, 1.98; 95% confidence interval, 1.19, 3.30; P = .01) and greatest percentage core length (GPC) (adjusted odds ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 1.03, 1.19; P < .01) were significantly associated with upgrading. A significant interaction between PSA and GPC was observed (P = .01). Specifically, men with low PSA (< 5 ng/mL) and those with larger GPC (> 70%) were significantly more likely to have a Gleason score of 8 or higher at RP compared to men with low PSA and GPC of 70% or less (35% vs. 0%; P = .01), whereas the same was not true among men with PSA levels ≥ 5 ng/mL (16% vs. 9%; P = .36). Conclusion: In men with unfavorable intermediate‐risk PC, a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging could be considered when the PSA is low and the percentage core length high to identify occult Gleason score 8 or higher disease and change management from short to long course androgen‐deprivation therapy and radiotherapy.