Deddo Mörtl

Copeptin, a fragment of the vasopressin precursor, as a novel predictor of outcome in heart failure

Background  Natriuretic peptides, particularly brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), are elevated in heart failure and therefore considered to be excellent predictors of outcome. Vasopressin is also known to be related to the severity of heart disease. Copeptin – an inactive fragment of the vasopressin precursor – has not been previously investigated in the context of heart failure.

Prognostic value of apoptosis markers in advanced heart failure patients

AIMS Apoptosis plays an important role in the progression of heart failure (HF). The purpose of this study was to assess whether the pro-apoptotic molecules apoptosis-stimulating fragment (FAS, CD95/APO-1) and tumour necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL) predict event-free survival of HF patients. METHODS AND RESULTS We assayed soluble (s)FAS and sTRAIL levels in 351 patients with advanced HF. During the median follow-up time of 16 months, 175 patients (50%) experienced the composite endpoints: rehospitalization and death. The hazard increased with sFAS concentrations, with a hazard ratio of 2.3 comparing fourth and first quartiles. This association remained significant after adjustment for B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and other risk factors in a Cox regression model (P = 0.014). Patients with high sFAS but low BNP had a comparable event-free survival rate with those with elevated BNP only (P = 0.78). Conversely, high sTRAIL concentrations were related to a better prognosis. Particularly, the risk of mortality dropped by 70% in the fourth quartile of sTRAIL (P = 0.001, multivariable Cox regression model). CONCLUSION sFAS is an independent risk predictor in advanced HF patients. It may be of particular value for the identification of high-risk patients in addition to BNP. Conversely, sTRAIL appears to be protective and could be an interesting therapeutic agent.

Chronic heart failure leads to an expanded plasma volume and pseudoanaemia, but does not lead to a reduction in the body's red cell volume

Aims Chronic heart failure (CHF) is frequently associated with a decreased haemoglobin level, whereas the mechanism remains largely unknown. Methods and results One hundred consecutive CHF patients without anaemia or renal dysfunction based on non-cardiac reasons were enrolled. We explored determinants of anaemia (as iron parameters, erythropoietin, hepcidin and kidney function) including red cell volume (RCV) (by a 51 Cr assay) as well as related markers and plasma volume. The influence of each factor on haemoglobin concentrations was determined in a multiple regression model. Mean haemoglobin concentrations were 11.7 +/- 0.8 mg/dL in anaemic CHF patients and 14.4 +/- 1.2 mg/dL in non-anaemic patients. Corrected reticulocytes were lower in anaemic patients (35.1 +/- 15.7 vs. 50.3 +/- 19.2 G/L, P = 0.001), but the RCV was not reduced (1659.3 +/- 517.6 vs. 1826.4 +/- 641.3 mL, P = 0.194). We found that plasma volumes were significantly higher in anaemic CHF patients (70.0 +/- 2.4 vs. 65.0 +/- 4.0%, P < 0.001). Plasma volume was the best predictor of haemoglobin concentrations in the regression model applied (B = -0.651, P < 0.001, R(2) = 0.769). Conclusion Haemodilution appears to be the most potent factor for the development of low haemoglobin levels in patients with CHF. Our data support an additional independent, but minor influence of iron deficiency on haemoglobin concentrations in CHF patients.

Prognostic value of plasma midregional pro-adrenomedullin and C-terminal-pro-endothelin-1 in chronic heart failure outpatients.

The identification of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients at high risk of adverse outcome remains a challenge. New peptides are emerging that may give additional information. In CHF patients, endothelin (ET) levels predict mortality risk. Adrenomedullin has been shown to predict mortality in ischaemic heart failure, but not in unselected or non‐ischaemic CHF patients. Moreover, ADM and ET have never been assessed in one model. The aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of midregional‐pro‐adrenomedullin (MR‐proADM) and C‐terminal‐pro‐endothelin‐1 (CT‐proET‐1) in outpatients with CHF.

A multi-biomarker risk score improves prediction of long-term mortality in patients with advanced heart failure

BACKGROUND Accurate risk prediction is important for an adequate management of heart failure (HF) patients. We assessed the incremental prognostic ability of a multi-biomarker approach in advanced HF. METHODS In 349 patients with advanced HF (median 75 years, 66% male) we investigated the incremental prognostic value of 12 novel biomarkers involved in different pathophysiological pathways including inflammation, immunological activation, oxidative stress, cell growth, remodeling, angiogenesis and apoptosis. RESULTS During a median follow-up of 4.9 years 55.9% of patients died. Using multivariable Cox regression and bootstrap variable-selection age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and the following 5 novel biomarkers were retained in the best mortality prediction model: the chemokine fractalkine, the angiogenic and mitogenic hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), the growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) influencing cardiac remodeling and apoptosis, and the 2 pro-apoptotic molecules soluble apoptosis-stimulating fragment (sFAS) and soluble tumor necrosis factor-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (sTRAIL). This multi-biomarker score had strong discriminatory power for 5-year mortality (area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve [AUC]=0.81) and improved risk prediction beyond the prognostic power of a comprehensive conventional risk score including known clinical predictors and NT-proBNP (AUC=0.77). Net reclassification confirmed a significant improvement of individual risk prediction (p=0.003). CONCLUSIONS Risk prediction by a multi-biomarker score is superior to a conventional risk score including clinical parameters and NT-proBNP. Additional predictive information from different biological pathways reflects the multisystemic character of HF.

Differences in the predictive value of tumor necrosis factor-like weak inducer of apoptosis (TWEAK) in advanced ischemic and non-ischemic heart failure

OBJECTIVE To assess the prognostic value of the pro-apoptotic, but also cell growth-inducing molecule soluble tumor necrosis factor-like weak inducer of apoptosis (sTWEAK) in heart failure (HF). METHODS We assayed sTWEAK levels in 351 patients with advanced HF (non-ischemic: 130, ischemic: 221). During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, 195 patients (56%) died. RESULTS sTWEAK concentrations were associated with extended survival in patients with non-ischemic (P=0.022), but not with ischemic HF (P=0.82). The inverse association in non-ischemic HF remained significant in a multivariable Cox regression model (P=0.025) with a hazard ratio of 0.40 (95% confidence interval: 0.21-0.77) comparing the third to the first tertile (P=0.007). CONCLUSION Low sTWEAK levels independently predict mortality in advanced non-ischemic HF. sTWEAK-induced proliferation of cardiomyocytes may explain its impact on suvival. The different prognostic value of sTWEAK in ischemic and non-ischemic HF may point towards distinct pathogenic pathways determining the course of disease.

Fractalkine is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with advanced heart failure

Immunological processes are implicated in the multifactorial pathophysiology of heart failure (HF). The multifunctional chemokine fractalkine (CX3CL1) promotes the extravasation of cytotoxic lymphocytes into tissues. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of fractalkine in HF. Fractalkine plasma levels were determined in 349 patients with advanced systolic HF (median 75 years, 66% male). During a median follow-up of 4.9 years (interquartile range: 4.6-5.2), 55.9% of patients died. Fractalkine was a significant predictor of all-cause mortality (p<0.001) with a hazard ratio of 2.78 (95% confidence interval: 1.95-3.95) for the third compared to the first tertile. This association remained significant after multivariable adjustment for demographics, clinical predictive variables and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP, p=0.008). The predictive value of fractalkine did not significantly differ between patients with ischaemic and non-ischaemic HF aetiology (p=0.79). The predictive value of fractalkine tertiles was not significantly modified by tertiles of NT-proBNP (p=0.18) but was more pronounced in the first and third tertile of NT-proBNP. Fractalkine was also an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality (p=0.015). Fractalkine levels were significantly lower in patients on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor therapy (p<0.001). In conclusion, circulating fractalkine with its pro-inflammatory and immunomodulatory effects is an independent predictor of mortality in advanced HF patients. Fractalkine improves risk prediction beyond NT-proBNP and might therefore help to identify high risk patients who need special care. Our data indicate the implication of immune modulation in HF pathology.

Macrophage-modulating cytokines predict adverse outcome in heart failure

Cytokines regulating the mobilisation, recruitment and survival of mononuclear cells may play an important role in progression of heart failure. Therefore, we investigated the role of granulocyte colony stimulating factor (G-CSF), monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1) and macrophage colony stimulating factor (M-CSF) in patients with advanced heart failure. G-CSF, MCP-1 and M-CSF were determined in plasma of 351 patients with advanced heart failure by specific ELISAs. During a median follow up period of 16 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 15-17 months) 175 patients (50%) experienced the composite endpoint rehospitalisation and all-cause mortality. M-CSF tertiles were associated with a gradually increasing risk with hazard ratios (HR) of 2.2 (95% CI: 1.5-3.2; for trend, p<0.001) for the composite endpoint and 2.6 (95% CI: 1.5-4.6; for trend, p=0.002) for all-cause mortality comparing third and first tertile. These associations remained significant in a multivariable Cox regression model after adjustment for BNP and other known risk factors (p=0.043 and p=0.024). High MCP-1 concentrations were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality with an adjusted HR of 1.9 (third vs. first tertile, 95% CI: 1.1-3.3; for trend, p=0.034). In contrast, G-CSF tertiles were not significantly associated with the composite endpoint or all-cause mortality in multivariable Cox regression. In conclusion, the independent and concentration-dependent association of macrophage-modulating cytokines and in particular of M-CSF with adverse outcome in advanced HF patients suggests that these cytokines may play an important pathophysiological role in progression of cardiomyopathy.

Hepatocyte growth factor is a strong predictor of mortality in patients with advanced heart failure

Objective To assess the prognostic value of the mitogenic, antiapoptotic, angiogenic and antifibrotic hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) in heart failure (HF). Design Prospective cohort study. Setting/patients Assessment of HGF levels at inclusion in 351 patients with advanced HF (median 75 years, interquartile range (IQR) 63–82, 66% male). Main outcome measures All-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality. Results During a median follow-up of 16 months, 26% of patients died. HGF tertiles were associated with an increasing risk for all-cause mortality (p<0.001) with a hazard ratio (HR) of 3.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.69 to 5.53) for the third compared with the first tertile. This association remained significant after multivariable adjustment for B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and other risk factors (p=0.002). Subgroup analysis revealed that HGF was a strong predictor of the secondary end point cardiovascular mortality in ischaemic HF (p=0.009) with an adjusted HR of 6.2 (95% CI 1.76 to 21.8) comparing the third with the first tertile but not in non-ischaemic HF (HR=1.47, 95% CI 0.48 to 4.49, p=0.5). Patients with high HGF but low BNP had a comparable survival rate to those with elevated BNP but low HGF (p=0.66). Of note, the dose of angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors inversely correlated with HGF concentrations (r=−0.25, p<0.001). Conclusions HGF is a strong and independent predictor of mortality in advanced HF and, in particular, in ischaemic HF. These results indicate that HGF with its multiple effects on myocardial function exerts an overall deleterious effect in advanced HF. HGF may be of special interest for risk prediction and tailoring of HF treatment.

Prognostic value of pigment epithelium-derived factor in patients with advanced heart failure.

OBJECTIVE Whereas angiogenesis, the formation of new blood vessels from preexisting vessels, may be beneficial in restoring failing myocardium, apoptosis may contribute to the progression of heart failure (HF). We investigated the role of pigment epithelium-derived factor (PEDF), a recently discovered antiangiogenic factor with additional proapoptotic effects, in patients with advanced HF. METHODS We assayed PEDF levels in 351 patients with advanced HF at baseline. During the median follow-up time of 16 months, 50% of patients experienced the composite end point of rehospitalization and/or death. RESULTS The risk of a clinical event increased with concentrations of the antiangiogenic marker PEDF, with a 1.94-fold higher risk in the third tertile compared with the first tertile (95% CI, 1.33-2.84). This association remained significant after adjustment for B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and other risk factors in a Cox regression model (P = .015). Experimental data revealed that PEDF may contribute to the progression of HF by inducing apoptosis in human cardiac myocytes and fibroblasts via activation of caspase 3. CONCLUSIONS We suggest a role of PEDF in the progression of HF by inducing apoptosis of human cardiac myocytes and fibroblasts. Our clinical data suggest that PEDF concentrations may have the potential to become a valuable marker of the prognosis of HF, in addition to BNP.